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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Japan Economy

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Economics

Wednesday, July 21, 2010

Japan, Land of the Rising Debt / Economics / Japan Economy

By: Vitaliy_Katsenelson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInvestors are understandably scared of the sovereign debt crisis unfolding in Europe. Amid their angst, however, they are ignoring a more likely, and significantly larger, debt catastrophe that is about to hit the nation with the second-largest economy in the world — Japan. Two decades of stimulative, low-interest-rate fiscal policy have made Japan the most indebted nation in the developed world, and as new Prime Minister Naoto Kan recently said, in his first address to Parliament, that situation is not sustainable. Japan has little choice but to raise interest rates substantially, with dire consequences far beyond its shores.

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Economics

Thursday, July 08, 2010

The Real Housewives of Japan Shopping for Bargains Driving Deflation? / Economics / Japan Economy

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKeith Fitz-Gerald writes: KYOTO, Japan - Could 70,000 Japanese housewives tip this Asian giant into a deflationary spiral?

As farfetched as that sounds, it's become a major cause for concern in this nation of 128 million, which has been in an economic funk for two decades. These "real housewives" are part of a user-driven, social-networking site called Mainichi Tokubai, which delivers the best prices on specific grocery-store items to the fingertips of Tokyo-region consumers.

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Economics

Wednesday, February 17, 2010

Japan Economy GDP Growth Recovery, Too early to celebrate? / Economics / Japan Economy

By: Fresbee

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHigh growth at 1.1% QoQ (4.6% saar) in 4Q 2009 The Japanese economy grew 1.1% QoQ after seasonal adjustment (or 4.6% saar) in 4Q (Oct-Dec) 2009, higher than DB forecast (0.7%; 2.8%). The noteworthy development is that private consumption registered the third consecutive quarterly increase (0.7% QoQ) thanks to fiscal stimulus on the purchase of consumer durables and that private capital investment recovered for the first time in seven quarters (1.0% QoQ).

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Economics

Wednesday, January 20, 2010

Japan Deflationary Depression Myth, Heading for an Inflationary Spiral? / Economics / Japan Economy

By: Claus_Vogt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDuring the past few years you have most likely read about Japan’s so-called lost decade or its so-called deflationary malaise. And you may have heard warnings that the Japanese experience might be the dire blueprint for what’s to come in the U.S.

Since there are some striking similarities between Japan of the early 1990s and the U.S. today, it’s definitely worth the effort to have a closer look at what is going on in Japan — and what is probably going to happen in the U.S.

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Economics

Saturday, January 16, 2010

Japan in a Permanent Deflation Trap A Myth! / Economics / Japan Economy

By: G_Abraham

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJapan is a perfect case study of how monetary policy can go awfully wrong and how the damage can be permanent. Japan, claims PIMCO’s Paul Mcculley, has entered into a disastrous self feeding deflationary spiral which is impossible to exit.

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Economics

Friday, November 20, 2009

Why Investors Can’t Ignore a Rebounding Japan / Economics / Japan Economy

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: In a visit to Japan in the early 1990s, U.S. President George H.W. Bush threw up over the Japanese prime minister. When President Barack Obama visited Japan last weekend, he offered an effusive bow to the Emperor Akihito.

Politically, U.S.-Japanese relations have improved dramatically during that two-decade stretch.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, October 10, 2009

On CNBC: Will Japan Drive Our Interest Rates Higher? / Interest-Rates / Japan Economy

By: Vitaliy_Katsenelson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI was on CNBC a few days ago discussing the Japan debt situation. Here are my talking points and some additional thoughts – a lot of them I did not have a chance to cover in the previous note or the interview.

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Economics

Wednesday, July 22, 2009

Can Japan Avoid Another Lost Economic Decade? / Economics / Japan Economy

By: RGE_Monitor

Deleted.

 


Economics

Tuesday, May 19, 2009

Japans Economy Crashes by 4% in 1st Quarter, Discounted by Stealth Stocks Bull Market / Economics / Japan Economy

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Japan reported GDP contraction of 4% for the 1st Quarter of 2009 which is the worst fall on record and equates to an annualised crash of 15%. However the fall is less than the widely expected fall of 4.2%, with the stealth stocks bull market continuing to recover from the March lows, which is suggestive of much better data in quarters 2 and 3 of 2009.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, March 26, 2009

Investing in Japan: Profit Play or Investment Trap? / Stock-Markets / Japan Economy

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: Anyone who has ever visited Japan knows it to be a country where everything works beautifully - and with great efficiency. Right now, however, it's clear that something has gone horribly wrong there.

Japan's exports for February were down a shocking 49.4% on a year-over-year basis. The Japanese economy suffered a fourth-quarter decline of 3.2% - twice the decline of its U.S. counterpart - and is expected to drop by a similar amount during the current quarter.

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Economics

Wednesday, March 25, 2009

Japan's Economy Caught In Deflationary Downward Spiral; Exports Plunge, Prices To Follow / Economics / Japan Economy

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRecessions have taken their toll on Asia exporters. Inquiring minds are reading Japan Exports Drop Record 49% as Global Slump Deepens .
Japan's exports plunged a record 49.4 percent in February as deepening recessions in the U.S. and Europe sapped demand for the country's cars and electronics.

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Economics

Thursday, February 26, 2009

Japan's Economic Crash as Exports Halve / Economics / Japan Economy

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJason Simpkins writes: Japan's exports were cut nearly in half last month as the global downturn crushed demand for the country's electronics and automobiles, a development that increases the odds that the Japanese yen could be poised for a tumble.

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Economics

Sunday, February 15, 2009

Japan's Economy Collapses into Economic Depression / Economics / Japan Economy

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Japan today released truly shocking GDP data for the fourth quarter of 2008, the Japanese economy contracted by 3.3% which equates to an annualised rate of 13.2% which is on par with magnitude of contraction that is associated with an economic depression. All exporting countries are experiencing a crash in exports which fell by 14% in the quarter, as western consumers stop buying and start saving. Japans industrial plunged by nearly 10% in December 2008, down 20% on the year earlier.

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Companies

Tuesday, December 23, 2008

Japanese Economy in Crisis as Toyota Reports First Operating Loss Since 1938 / Companies / Japan Economy

By: Money_Morning

Don Miller writes: Joining a chorus of ailing U.S. automakers, Toyota Motor Co. ( TM ) yesterday (Monday) forecast its first operating loss in 71 years on plummeting demand and sharp appreciation of the Japanese yen. The announcement prompted Moody's Investors Service to consider downgrading the company's top-rated credit.

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Economics

Monday, September 01, 2008

Japan Economic Stimulus Plan Will Not Prevent Recession / Economics / Japan Economy

By: Money_Morning

Jason Simpkins writes: Japanese Prime Minister Yasuo Fukuda will spend about $108 billion (11.7 trillion yen) on a stimulus package that critics say is more of an attempt to salvage political support than it is a serious effort to rescue an economy teetering on the brink of recession.

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Economics

Wednesday, May 14, 2008

Japan Lost Decade Gives Way to th New Asian Reality / Economics / Japan Economy

By: Keith_Fitz-Gerald

KYOTO, JAPAN - On one of my first mornings at our home here, my family and I headed for the Fushimi Inari Taisha shrine. Built in the 8th century by the powerful Hata family, the shrine is best known for the four consecutive kilometers of orange Torii gates covering the mountain on which it was built.

My wife's family has been coming here for centuries, making it a familiar and comfortable place that we enjoy very much.

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Economics

Tuesday, March 11, 2008

Japanese Economic Hard Landing Forecast for 2008 / Economics / Japan Economy

By: Dr_Krassimir_Petrov

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhile investment powerhouses like UBS barely lowered their 2008 growth forecast for Japan in late January down to 1.2%, their forecast is likely to prove overly optimistic. Even in late January, Morgan Stanley's respective forecast is 1.1%. IMF's forecast is 1.5%. So far, only Goldman Sacs has suggested that there is a probability that the Japanese economy may have slipped into a recession at the beginning of 2008. I believe that the Japanese economy will surprise on the downside with a recession during 2008 that may likely extend into 2009.

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Politics

Saturday, September 15, 2007

Harakiri - Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Resignation / Politics / Japan Economy

By: Yiannis_G_Mostrous

Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe finally resigned, apparently unable to withstand the pressure from the anti-reform factions of his party. It looks like he walked into the trap after promoting a lot of anti-reform party members to key positions in the cabinet in the last government reshuffling.

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Economics

Tuesday, August 14, 2007

Japanese Q2 Real GDP Growth Downshifts Sharply as Export Growth Slows / Economics / Japan Economy

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

After growing at an annualized rate of 3.2% in the first quarter, Japanese real GDP growth slowed to only 0.5% in the second quarter. To be sure, domestic demand growth slowed - from 1.5% to 0.4%. But, as the first chart below shows, a rising percentage of Japanese real GDP is accounted for by its exports. For example, in Q2:2003, real exports accounted for 11.5% of Japanese real GDP. By Q2:2007, this ratio had risen to 15.3%.

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