Category: Financial Markets 2017
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Wednesday, August 16, 2017
Stocks, Bonds, Interest Rates, and Serbia, Camp Kotok 2017 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: John_Mauldin
I went to Camp Kotok, an invitation-only gathering of economists, market analysts, fund managers, and a few journalists. I go every year, and I always learn more than I can manage to remember.
It’s a three-day economic thought-fest (and more rich food and wine than is good for me or anyone else at the camp). For me, that’s about as good as life gets.
Come along with me as I share some of my main takeaways and consensus forecasts from this year’s camp.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 15, 2017
North Korea Showdown: Pivotal Market Turning Point / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: The_Gold_Report
The next two weeks could be a make-or-break period for President Trump, says Lior Gantz, founder of Wealth Research Group.
We're witnessing a classic political attention diverting operation.
Like many before him, President Trump is provoking a foreign affair crisis in order to take our minds off of the problematic U.S. domestic economic and political tensions and focus on matters the government can blame on others instead of themselves.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, August 05, 2017
CABLE leads the way in a major turn for USD / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Enda_Glynn
My Bias: short below parity in wave (5).
Wave Structure: continuing impulsive structure to the downside in wave (5)
Long term wave count: decline in wave (5) blue, below parity
Important risk events: GBP: N/A. USD: Average Hourly Earnings m/m, Non-Farm Employment Change, Unemployment Rate, Trade Balance.
Cable took a beating today with the first bearish action in two weeks.
We got a slight new high overnight as expected,
And then a very impulsive looking decline this morning.
Friday, August 04, 2017
Every Investor Is One Misstep Away From Losing Everything—And It Has Nothing To Do With Crashes / Portfolio / Financial Markets 2017
By: John_Mauldin
BY OLIVIER GARRET : The US has become a very unfriendly place for successful people.
Not just for the uber wealthy, but entrepreneurs, investors, and the family next door. Anyone with even a modest net worth is a potential target.
Our country has just 5% of the world’s population yet is home to 80% of its lawyers. The US spends 2.2% of its GDP on legal costs. That is an eight-fold jump per capita (inflation adjusted) since the 1950s.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, July 28, 2017
Could USD/JPY go into Freefall? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX futures are down, but have not exceeded yesterday’s intraday low.
Today being Friday, there may be an effort to keep the decline from going too low. That suggests a probable bounce at Short-term support at 2457.17 to rally back to breakeven by the end of the day. Should this take place, it may offer another short entry opportunity by the end of the day. But this is only one outcome out of several possible scenarios. A second scenario may be an immediate launch into a Wave three scenario with a minimum 8-12% decline in the next three days. Yesterday may have been day one of a 4.3-day panic Cycle.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, July 26, 2017
Dollar, Bitcoin, Markets - Is There A New Flight To Safety? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The dollar has been taken beating on ‘false promises’ of any major fiscal reform from the Trump administration.
Sunday, July 16, 2017
Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - The Calm Before the Storm / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Jesse
“In truth, however, nothing is inevitable and very little is new. And tech is no more the root of the problem than are trade or globalization. Many of our most vaunted innovations are simply methods -- electronic or otherwise -- of pulling off some age-old profit-maximizing maneuver by new and unregulated means.” Thomas Frank
“It is my purpose, as one who lived and acted in these days, first to show how easily the tragedy of the Second World War could have been prevented; how the malice of the wicked was reinforced by the weakness of the virtuous.” Winston S. Churchill, The Gathering Storm
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, July 14, 2017
SPX Cycles, Fed Funds and Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Gary_Tanashian
This “amateur cyclist’s” chart (I am anything but a cycles analyst) of the S&P 500 shows that the 12 month marker (C12) meant exactly nothing as the market remained firmly on trend, after brief pokes down in April and May. We noted that C12 was a lesser indicator than the 30 month cycle, which has coincided with some pretty significant changes ( a few months). That cycle (C30) is coming due at the end of the summer. Will it mean anything? Well, this market eats top callers for breakfast, lunch, dinner and midnight snacks. But it is worth knowing about to a lucid and well-armed market participant.
Thursday, July 13, 2017
Financial Markets - 3 Videos + 8 Charts = Opportunities You Need to See / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: EWI
Dear Investor,
Our friends at Elliott Wave International (EWI) regularly put out great free content on their site. If you've visited their site before, you may have seen "Chart of the Day," a featured series of videos that take a quick, but close examination of a chart from one of EWI's paid publications.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, July 13, 2017
What's Next for US Dollar, Stocks, Bonds and Gold? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Axel_Merk
The Fed’s “balance sheet reduction” may have profound implications for the dollar, gold, stocks and bonds. We provide an outlook.
It is said forecasts are difficult, especially when they relate to the future. Investors might want to pay attention nonetheless, not so much because I believe I have a crystal ball, but because investing is about managing risk. And there’s a risk that I’m right.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 10, 2017
Yellen Goes on Record: The Fed’s Pulling the Plug This Year / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Graham_Summers
The Fed keeps ringing bells to signal the top, but the markets aren’t listening.
Janet Yellen is set to present the Fed’s Monetary Report to Congress this week. Her remarks have already been posted online.
The results aren’t pretty.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, July 08, 2017
Major Market Opportunity of a Lifetime is Coming! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: EWI
Dear Investor,
"That time still lies ahead, but it is coming." - Robert Prechter says on the first page of his Elliott Wave Theorist.
The major market Bob refers to could be the opportunity of a lifetime. And the quote above could be considered the theme of this issue.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, July 07, 2017
Trump Trade Will Break in 2017 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Adam_ODell
The first half of 2017 is over… and, boy, was it one for the history books!American politics dominated the global discussion, as speculation ran rampant over who would emerge as the winners and losers of a Trump presidency.
Surprisingly (or not!)… the media’s storylines have likely led naïve investors into some of the worst-performing investments so far this year.
Essentially, everything that was up “huuuuge” from Election Day through year end… is now lagging behind. And everything that struggled to digest the reality of Trump’s win… is now leading the pack.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 26, 2017
Crude Oil Trade & Nasdaq QQQ Update / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Plunger
I would like to put out a short update on the oil market and my view of the QQQs being a proxy for the Hi-Tech end of the market. With the hard sell off in the oil market of this week this would seem a logical place to give it a rest and for a short seller to step over to the sidelines for a while. Anytime the market has gotten itself to this level of being oversold we have seen a rip to the upside.
One of the keys to being a successful short seller is to know when its time to press ones bet. Extended moves to the downside come from oversold levels and I am going to show you why I believe we may have further to go to the downside before this current move is over.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 23, 2017
Hedgers Net Short the Euro, US Market Rotates; 2 Horsemen Set to Ride? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Gary_Tanashian
In line with our bullish forward view on USD, behold the very bearish state of the Commercial Hedger positions in the Euro (courtesy of Sentimentrader). Recent historical data speaks for itself. It appears a decline in the Euro is imminent (which, in market terms means ‘relax, it could be a while yet’ ).
Friday, June 16, 2017
The Market Effects of Another Interest Rate Hike / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Donald_W_Dony
Yesterday's much anticipated Fed interest rate increase has done little to change the mood on Wall Street.
The FOMC raised the Fed Funds rate by another 25 bps on Wednesday as Fed chair Janet Yellen saw the US economy advancing at a "measured" rate.
This is the 2nd time the Fed has increased rates this year and the 3rd time in as many quarters.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, June 14, 2017
US Dollar Acceleration Phase is Dead Ahead! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Enda_Glynn
My Bias: LONG
Wave Structure: rally in wave [C]
Long term wave count: wave [C] is underway, upside to above 136.00
Important risk events: JPY: N/A. USD: CPI m/m, Retail Sales m/m, Crude Oil Inventories, FOMC Statement, Federal Funds Rate, FOMC Press Conference.
Thursday, June 08, 2017
FTSE Stocks, Bonds and Sterling Calm Ahead of UK Election Result Storm? / ElectionOracle / Financial Markets 2017
By: Nadeem_Walayat
UK stocks, bonds and sterling were calm ahead of the result of the UK general election, where effectively the financial markets are discounting a Conservative election victory on an INCREASED majority in Theresa May's BrExit election, where the higher the number of seats gained by the Tories then the more positive the market response is likely to be. However should the markets also get it wrong this time as they had for the EU Referendum then all hell could once more break lose. But for the time being the markets are calm.
Tuesday, June 06, 2017
Big Changes at Bilderberg This Year… A Good or Bad Sign? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Jeff_Berwick
I have just returned from my 3rd Bilderberg conference and… wow, that was different!
The first Bilderberg I attended was in 2015 in Telfs, Austria and the entire town was turned into a military zone. You couldn’t walk five feet without out seeing a police van, humvee, tanks and black helicopters. And, we were tracked, detained and searched constantly.
Last year was in Dresden, Germany and while they did not shut down the entire town, the area surrounding the Bilderberg hotel was clearly a militarized zone and we really couldn’t walk a block without being stopped, searched, photographed and threatened by the police. They even searched our room while telling us when no cameras were near that they were going to physically hurt us.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, June 06, 2017
Stocks or Precious Metals, Which Makes More Sense to Invest in Now? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Peter_Ginelli
"Buy low, sell high," is the most fundamental principal of a great investment strategy in any sector. A deviation from this core principal can be truly costly and downright dangerous.
One might wonder, why state something so obvious as that! This is because many investors wait till it is too late, and a market is in its final stages of a bull market before they finally convince themselves to get in, and by then they are sitting on a ticking time bomb, ready to explode.
The flip side of this, are the investors who let greed keep them trapped in an aged bull market and wait till it is too late before a crash wipes out their entire life savings.
Read full article... Read full article...