Category: Financial Markets 2017The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Sunday, February 26, 2017
Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - God and Mammon and Power / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
"The world is ours, we are its lords, and ours it shall remain. As for the host of labor, it has been in the dirt since history began, and I read history aright. And in the dirt it shall remain so long as I and mine and those that come after us have the power.
There is the word. It is the king of words— Power. Not God, not Mammon, but Power. Pour it over your tongue till it tingles with it. Power.”
Jack London, The Iron HeelRead full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 24, 2017
Why Low Risk Does Not Equate To Risk Free!
Charles Schwab has informed its’ clients that “at least 80% of the fund’s net assets will be invested solely in U.S. government securities…”. Schwab automatically assumes that all clients affected by this change will accept: “if you are in agreement with this change in your cash feature, no response is required from you. They consider a non-response from its’ clients to be notice. “Those who disagree have the “option” of either sweeping their cash into the corporate bank exposing them to greater risk. They add “you also have the right to close your brokerage account(s) without penalty at any time.”Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 22, 2017
Those who lived through the ‘80s will undoubtedly remember the famous scene from the original Ghostbusters in which Bill Muray’s character goes to see Sigourney Weaver.
Unbeknownst to Murray, Weaver’s character has been possessed by a demonic spirit. And every time he states to her, “I want to talk to Dana” (the name of Weaver’s character in the movie), she responds, “There is no Dana, only ZUL!!!”Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 21, 2017
One way to calculate market risk is through bond yields. As risk and return are directly correlated when a bond’s yield rises, it implies the risk of owning it has increased.
The main vehicle for measuring risk through yield is the US 10-year Treasury. The 10-year is the bellwether for global bonds as it’s considered a “risk-free” instrument. Since hitting all-time lows in July 2016, its yield has shot up 50%.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 14, 2017
WITCH'S BREW: Sentiment UP, Complacency UP - but Uncertainty Also UP (Not DOWN?)
When did the distortion start occurring in the markets when increasing UNCERTAINTY can come with an increase in COMPLACENCY and SENTIMENT?Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, February 11, 2017
President Donald J. Trump was elected the 45th President of the United States to preside over the largest debt collapse ever in U.S. history. During this four-year term, he and his administration will be most feared and hated president there ever was. The odds are stacked high against his ideology of “Making America Great Again” during his term in office.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 06, 2017
The right time to consider our future financial markets for investing
Since the presidential election there have been many reports as how the financial markets of 2017 and beyond may evolve. Given the acrimonious post election environment, it would be wiser to forecast the direction of markets after we see Mr. Trump’s full team in action for at least a few months, and more fully understand or experience his actual policies. However, it is clear that at no time in history will a president’s fiscal, trade, national security, or FED’s monetary policies affect our financial markets more, which will determine the future wellness of America’s citizens. At the same time, however, no policies can fully extricate us from our overbearing debt, and the painful economic consequences which we are to experience in the very near future.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 01, 2017
The Great Rotation - Monetary to Fiscal, Major Cycles Turning Down / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
Democratic Senator Chuck Schumer dejectedly quipped during Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke's Humphrey-Hawkins testimony before congress in July of 2012:
"I'm afraid the Fed's the only game in town!"
Now nearly five years later things may be about to change! The other two policy pillars of Fiscal and Public Policy may be reasserting themselves with a change in the White House and congressional leadership. Suddenly just the promise of potential fiscal stimulus, tax policy and claw backs of regulatory over-reach have become the lead stories on the nightly news.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 27, 2017
Forecasting the New Year is a curious tradition. Much evidence suggests that no one does it both accurately and consistently, yet everyone keeps trying. Just as no war plan survives contact with the enemy, no investment plan survives contact with February.
But the real value of an annual forecast is strategic. It helps you set priorities, define important issues, and think about what you should anticipate and what you can safely ignore. That’s a good exercise to go through periodically, and January is as good a time as any.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 24, 2017
While Donald Trump's election has altered a number of aspects of the economy, investors cannot ignore economic trends that were in place before the election, says Joe McAlinden, founder of McAlinden Research Partners and former chief global strategist with Morgan Stanley Investment Management. In this interview with The Gold Report, he discusses those trends and how they may be changed by Trump's election, why he is bullish on gold and which sectors he expects to thrive in the Trump era.
The Gold Report: 2017 will be a year of change. In the early days of the Trump administration, what should investors be focusing on?Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 24, 2017
In keeping our eyes on the USD, we can ascertain the moves of the rest of the market. USD futures declined to 99.88 in overnight trading, but
retraced to 100.40 at 6:00 am., a 28% retracement of its last decline. Since that decline was clearly impulsive while the others were not, I am labeling the first two thrusts down with an A, while the bounce was a B Wave. We may have just seen Wave [i] of C, while Wave [ii] appears to be in progress. It has retraced 28% of the decline thus far and is easing back down.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 19, 2017
Bonds, Dollar, Stocks, Gold, Silver Major Markets at Turning Points / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
Bonds have risen in a 35 year bull market. That bull market looks tired and probably peaked in July of 2016.
The U.S. Dollar Index recently hit 14 year highs. Has the dollar finally peaked? Has it turned downward since January 3, 2017?
Stocks have been rising since the 2009 crash lows. Rounded to the nearest point, the Dow hit 20,000. Was that enough to make a final top before a major turn downward?Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 19, 2017
State of the Global Stock, Financial and Commodity Markets Report 2017 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
Major markets around the world -- stocks, bonds, currencies and more -- are poised for major moves in 2017, and our friends at Elliott Wave International have created a new report to get you ready for them.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 13, 2017
If you thought the pace of the head-spinning political events of the last two months couldn't get any faster, think again. One of the most critical decisions of President-Elect Trump's reign will soon be decided. The final verdict will have a direct impact on the direction of stocks, gold, and the economy in the months to come.
The decision in question is the Congressional challenge being made against the Affordable Care Act (ACA), also known as Obamacare. Specifically, the requirement that individual Americans carry health insurance or else pay a stiff financial penalty is being challenged. Earlier this week, Trump directed the Republican-led Congress to begin efforts at repealing and replacing the health care law "very quickly."Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 11, 2017
Now that another New Year is upon us, it's time to reflect on what the coming months might unfold. Normally when market analysts try their hand at predicting the year ahead it involves either wild guessing or linear extrapolation based on prevailing trends. I tend to eschew both methods and instead focus on comparing past events in comparable time frames. This method is based on something known as Kress cycle "echo" analysis and was pioneered by my late mentor, Samuel J. Kress.Read full article... Read full article...