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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Gold and Silver 2018

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Commodities

Saturday, December 15, 2018

‘Hard’ Brexit Risk Sees Gold Gain In Euros and Pounds – Nears £1,000/oz & €1,100/oz / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: GoldCore

Gold was lower today in dollars but saw slight gains in pounds and euros. It was supported by increasing concerns about the likelihood of a ‘hard’ Brexit, about global economic growth and uncertainty around the Fed’s interest rate policies in 2019.

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Commodities

Saturday, December 15, 2018

Will Central Bank Save Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Central banks’ purchases create a floor for gold prices. Myth or fact? We invite you to read our today’s article about the central banks’ demand for gold and find out whether it will save gold.

Gold is an important part of central banks’ foreign exchange reserves. As of H1 2018, they hold about 34,000 tons of bullion worth $1.36 trillion, or 10.3 percent of the total reserves, according to the World Gold Council.

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Commodities

Friday, December 14, 2018

Gold GDX Cycles from the January 2016 Lows / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: ElliottWaveForecast

EWF Lewis : Firstly, the GDX ETF was created in 2006. From there it bounced higher into the September 2011 highs. This not shown on the chart however the price trend was obviously up. The pullback lower into the January 2016 lows corrected the cycle from the all time highs. The bounce from the January 2016 lows was strong enough to suggest it was no longer pulling back lower. It ended that bullish cycle August 2016. I give Elliott Wave benefit of the doubt that was a lead diagonal up. The January 2016 low should hold in any further dip.

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Commodities

Thursday, December 13, 2018

Does Flat CPI in November Imply Flat Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Zero. The US inflation rate was unchanged in November. What does the flat CPI mean for the gold market?

What Happened With Inflation?

The CPI was unchanged in November, following an increase of 0.3 percent in October. It was the weakest number since March 2018, when monthly inflation fell about 0.1 percent. However, the flat reading was caused by a sharp decline in the price of gasoline – that subindex dropped 4.2 percent in November, offsetting increases in an array of prices including shelter and used cars and trucks. But the core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, increased 0.2 percent last month, the same change as in October. So, don’t worry about the upcoming deflation.

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Commodities

Thursday, December 13, 2018

Expect Gold & Silver to Pullback Before the Next Move Higher / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our team of researchers, at www.TheTechnicalTraders.com, believe the recent upward price move in Gold has reached a level where prices will pause and retrace a bit before the next big leg higher begins.

The recent downward pricing pressures in the US and global stock markets have prompted Gold to move well above recent highs near $1242.  We predicted this move over 40 days ago with this research post.  We still believe Gold and Silver are setup for a bigger move higher, yet we believe the recent upswing will briefly pause and retrace to levels we are showing, below, before attempting a bigger move to the upside.

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Commodities

Thursday, December 13, 2018

The Historic Role of Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses the role of silver historically as well as recent moves in the market. Could there have ever been constructed four finer sentences strung together for the purpose of defining eight items related to money and social standing than the following?

"Gold is the money of kings. Silver is the money of gentlemen. Barter is the money of peasants. And debt is the money of slaves."

While they sound impressive, and while I understand the reason for their construct, I actually take umbrage with the linkage of debt to slavery because slavery is a man-induced condition whereby one man is responsible for the enslavement of another while debt is often (but not always) a choice made by the individual. If that were a paragraph to which I could be allowed to impart my name, I would say "And debt is the money of sloth", rather than "slave," where those that opt for debt over savings wind up with an unfavourable outcome, one connoted by the original sin of "sloth." Ergo, the alteration. . .

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Commodities

Thursday, December 13, 2018

Is the Buyer’s Market for Silver Coming to an End? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: MoneyMetals

Few markets are as depressed – and, as many analysts argue, suppressed – as silver. Prices for the white metal continue to languish in a low-level trading range amidst lackluster demand.

The upshot for investors is that they can now obtain silver bullion at both a low spot price and a low premium above spot.

How long this buyer’s market will is unknowable last. But given silver’s manic-depressive personality, prices could launch explosively higher at any time.

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Commodities

Thursday, December 13, 2018

Gold Price Analysis: Closer To A Significant Monetary Event / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Hubert_Moolman

Previously, I have shown how we could be close to major financial crisis with the monetary system at the center. The following chart that shows the ratio of gold to the monetary base was used:

The chart shows the ratio of the gold price to the St. Louis Adjusted Monetary Base back to 1918. That is the gold price in US dollars divided by the St. Louis Adjusted Monetary Base in billions of US dollars. (from macrotrends.com)

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Commodities

Wednesday, December 12, 2018

Owning Precious Metals in an IRA / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Andy Schectman of Miles Franklin Precious Metals Investments discusses with Maurice Jackson of Proven and Probable some benefits of holding precious metals in IRAs as well as some other tax advantages of precious metals.

Maurice Jackson: Welcome to Proven and Probable. Joining us is Andy Schectman, the president of Miles Franklin Precious Metals Investments.

In our previous interview, we addressed the value propositions and opportunity of a lifetime available right now in silver and platinum. Today, we will address two very important topics regarding tax law selling in precious metals RAs.

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 11, 2018

Silver Investors See Palladium as the “Canary in the Coal Mine” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: MoneyMetals

The precious metals sector has just one standout performer this year, and that is palladium. Lately the market for that metal has gotten more than just hot. Developments there could have implications for the LBMA and the rickety fractional reserve system of inventory underpinning all of the physical precious metals markets.

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Commodities

Monday, December 10, 2018

Waiting for Gold Price to Erupt / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

As we are watching the US and global markets rotate dramatically lower over the past few days, we have been advising our members that we believe this rotation is an over-reaction to economic impetuses and trade issues – not a massive downside price break.  Overall, some of our longer-term technical indicators are currently bearish, as one would think technical indicators would react to price activity and trends.  Our ADL, predictive modeling system, is still suggesting upside price activity and we believe our research team has hit on something that helps to put this end of year turmoil into perspective.

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Commodities

Monday, December 10, 2018

Listen to What Gold is Telling You / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Gary_Savage

Listen to what gold is saying. It’s not deflation that we have to worry about. We’re about to enter a multi year period of rising inflation. Seriously did you think years of QE weren’t going to have consequences at some point?

For a long time I’ve maintained several key macro views.

  1. Gold started a new bull market in late 2015.
  2. The dollar started a secular bear market in early 2017.
  3. Stocks have not topped yet. We still have higher highs ahead.

First off let’s look at the stock market.

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Commodities

Sunday, December 09, 2018

Is an Inverted Yield Curve Bullish for Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

In recent days we’ve seen the beginnings of an inversion in the yield curve.

The 2-year yield and the 5-year yield have inverted but not yet the the 2-year yield and the 10-year yield, the curve that is watched most. However, “2s and 10s” as bond traders would say appear headed for an inversion very soon.

We know that an inversion of the yield curve precedes a recession and bear market. That is good for Gold. But timing is important and the key word is precedes.

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Commodities

Saturday, December 08, 2018

Stocks Selloff Boosting Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

The recent stock-market selloff is persisting, fueling mounting worries among investors.  The intensifying volatility and lack of a quick rebound higher is strangling euphoric sentiment, spawning self-reinforcing selling pressure.  Scoffed at a few months ago, the notions that a young bear market is underway and a recession looms are gaining traction.  The great beneficiary of this ominous stock-market downturn will be gold.

Gold has always been an essential asset class for prudently diversifying investment portfolios.  Uniquely it tends to rally when stock markets weaken, offsetting some of the losses in typical stock-heavy portfolios.  Gold acts like portfolio insurance, usually soaring when stock markets plunge on unforeseen news.  All throughout history, wise investors have recommended everyone have 5% to 10% of their portfolios in gold.

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Commodities

Friday, December 07, 2018

Will Weak US Dollar Save Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Trade wars and lax fiscal policy are negative for the US dollar and positive for gold. Myth or fact? We invite you to read our today’s article about the effects of Trump’s actions on the greenback and find out whether weak dollar will save gold.

Let’s look at the chart below. As one can see, the greenback has been in a bull market since February 2018. Yup, the chart does not lie. The US Congress widened the fiscal deficit, while President Trump engaged in trade disputes. But despite these disturbing developments for long-run economic health, the broad trade weighted US dollar index increased from 115 to almost 130 now. But why – shouldn’t it decline?

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Commodities

Friday, December 07, 2018

Gold and Palladium Shake Hands / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

The price of palladium just exceeded the price of gold for the first time in 16 years. That’s an epic even. But what does it really mean? And why should gold, silver, and mining stock investors care about the small palladium market?

In short, because this development can tell us something about the future performance of the PM sector in general.

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Commodities

Thursday, December 06, 2018

When Lights Go Off, What Does Gold Do? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Powell has recently came up with the metaphor of wandering in the darkness. Will golden sunshine brighten the dark?

I Am the Fed Chair and I Know Nothing

On November 14th, Powell discussed global perspectives in Dallas Fed with its President, Robert Kaplan. He characterized the Fed’s stance, providing an interesting analogy:

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 04, 2018

Trump and Powell More Dovish. Will Gold Fly Away? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

President Trump and President Xi Jinping agreed to halt escalation in their trade conflict. At the same time, the Fed officials became more cautious about the pace of future interest rate hikes. How will the softening of the US trade and monetary policies affect the gold market?

Trade Truce and Gold

Have you heard about the Christmas truce? It was a series of unofficial ceasefires across the Western Front during World War I around Christmas Day in 1914. In that time, men from both sides emerged from the trenches and met in No Man’s Land to exchange gifts, take photos, sing carols and play football. Really. We were also moved. It shows that there might be a moment of peace even during a dreadful war.

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 04, 2018

Golds Xmas Gift / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: readtheticker

Three things have tweaked the fundamentals for gold.

1) Bitcoin is not attracting the hot cash, unlike 2016.

2) Fed's Powell dovish switch, now less expectations for interest rate hikes in 2019.

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Commodities

Friday, November 30, 2018

Gold Fundamentals Improving but Not Bullish Yet / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Recent market and economic developments are positive for Gold and precious metals but conditions are not bullish yet.

Bullish conditions and bullish fundamentals would be highlighted by a shift in Fed policy. They aren’t shifting yet. They are slowing, which precedes a shift.  

From a market standpoint, we need to see strength in Gold in real terms (against stocks and foreign currencies) and a steepening of the yield curve. These developments along with shifting Fed policy will tell us a new bull market is soon to begin.

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