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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Gold and Silver 2018

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Commodities

Monday, October 15, 2018

Consider This Your Final Warning About Gold, For Bulls And Bears Alike / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

Sentiment is a funny bedfellow. When the metals market was at the lows back in August, everyone and their mother were again certain that we were going to break below $1,000 in gold. Yet, that exact sentiment is what kept us from doing so, no different than what we saw at the end of 2015.

Currently, the sentiment has been turning bullish again, with many thinking the current rally is the break out everyone has been awaiting. As for me, I am not quite so certain.

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Commodities

Friday, October 12, 2018

Gold Action Does Not Make Sense / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

I have been hearing for years how gold is manipulated to go down, and is expected to rise when allowed to trade freely. So, according to these manipulation theorists, gold is really only supposed to move in one direction and would never see any corrections.

Yes, I know that sounds ridiculous, but this is a perspective in the market. And this is why so many were not able to foresee the correction which began in 2011.

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Commodities

Wednesday, October 10, 2018

A Bottom in Gold but not THE Bottom / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Gold has struggled to rebound despite an extreme oversold condition and extreme bearish sentiment. Nevertheless, conditions for Gold have not worsened in recent days. In fact, Gold as well as gold stocks appear to be basing for a potential rebound into the holiday season. While some gold bulls expect a major bottom, we aren’t in that camp because the fundamentals are not in place yet to support a sustained advance.

The weekly chart below shows several positives for Gold.

First, last week Gold made a somewhat bullish candle after six weeks of testing $1180-$1190 support and failing to make new lows. With a daily close above $1215, a short-term bottom would be confirmed.

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 09, 2018

The Gold Standard: Protector of Individual Liberty and Economic Prosperity / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Antonius_Aquinas

The idea of a constitution and/or written legislation to secure individual rights so beloved by conservatives and among many libertarians has proven to be a myth. The US Constitution and all those that have been written and ratified in its wake throughout the world have done little to protect individual liberties or keep a check on State largesse. Instead, in the American case, the Constitution created a powerful central government which eliminated much of the sovereignty and independence that the individual states possessed under the Articles of Confederation.

While the US Constitution contains a “Bill of Rights,” the interpreter of those rights and protections thereof is the very entity which has enumerated them. It is only natural that decisions on whether, or if such rights have been violated will be in favor of the state. Moreover, nearly every amendment which has come in the wake of the Bill of Rights, has augmented federal power at the expense of the individual states and that of property owners.

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Commodities

Monday, October 08, 2018

The Chartology of Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Rambus_Chartology

Several weeks ago we looked at some resistance points for gold and silver from the short  to the longer term time perspective. Below is a daily chart for gold which starts with the 2018 five point rectangle reversal pattern which broke down in May. The backtest to the underside of the five point rectangle took about five weeks to complete, forming a bearish rising wedge. From that point the impulse move down began in earnest stopping in mid July to form a small rectangle. After trading sideways for about three weeks gold broke down from that small rectangle and finally bottomed in mid August where it began a countertrend rally.

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Commodities

Sunday, October 07, 2018

One More Bounce for the Gold Price / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Harry_Dent

You know by now that I think gold is above all a commodity, and in a bubble that was more extreme than stocks… a bubble that’s been bursting since September 2011, but…

Gold and bitcoin are two examples of bubbles bursting that are NOT following my bubble model as well as most. Both, thus far, are basing out at higher levels than I expected.

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Commodities

Saturday, October 06, 2018

Prepare for a Gold/Silver Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our modeling systems are suggesting that Gold and Silver will begin a new upside rally very quickly. We wrote about how our modeling systems are suggesting this upside move could be a tremendous opportunity for investors over 2 weeks ago. Our initial target is near the $1245 level and our second target is near the $1309 level. Recent lows help to confirm this upside projection as the most recent low prices created a price rotation that supports further upside price action. What is needed right now is a push above $1220 before we begin to see the real acceleration higher.

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Commodities

Saturday, October 06, 2018

More Evidence Of Manipulation In The Gold Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

This past week, we saw that the Bank of Nova Scotia was charged by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission with multiple acts of spoofing in gold and silver futures between June 2013 and June 2016. Traders placed orders to buy or sell precious metals futures contracts with the intent to cancel the orders before execution, the CFTC said.

So, the tin-foil hat wearers are back out in full force screaming about how this market rigging has caused gold to collapse over the last seven years. Unfortunately, anyone who believes this is simply not dealing with the facts of any of the supposed “manipulation” cases. You see, believing that these manipulation cases caused the gold market to drop from is 2011 high is no different from believing that a paper cut can cause someone to bleed to death.

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Commodities

Thursday, October 04, 2018

Gold and Silver Bottoming Pattern May Be in Process / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical expert Jack Chan updates the gold and silver charts, including what he believes to be a bottoming pattern.

Our proprietary cycle indicator is now up.

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Commodities

Wednesday, October 03, 2018

Ratcheting Up the Gold Friendly COT Tension / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses the most recent gold COT report and movements in the market. Once again the COT report from last Tuesday has revealed continued pressure on the already taut firing pins of the gold and silver markets with more shorts added by the Large Spec algobots and more longs/fewer shorts reported by the Commercials largely represented by the bullion banks. If it is the gold cartel that has capped rallies in the $1,350-1,375 range since August 2016, it is that same gold cartel that are actually positioned for a rally today and where the market is baffling everyone is the failure of the Crimex Criminals to launch the rally. The answer lies in the ascent of the machines in dictating direction in any and all markets. Whereas the algos have been focused on all things non-metal in recent years, they have taken to the gold and silver markets lately and are displaying phenomenal power and control in thwarting the intentions of the bullion bank cartel.

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 02, 2018

The Silver Exclamation Mark / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Rallying mining stocks? Forget about them. Silver is the new cool kid in the neighborhood. Having rallied by almost 50 cents in just one day, silver stole the spotlight and seems to be ready to move much higher… Or much lower. Does anyone still fall for silver’s fake rallies? Based on the size of the rally and the corresponding volume, it certainly seems to be the case. But you don’t have to fall for it – that is if you prefer to analyze the market’s emotionality instead of acting on it. It’s not an easy thing to do, because each silver rally seems to be “it”. But what’s easy and what’s profitable is rarely the same thing.

Today’s analysis will be quite specific, because we already wrote about “the silver signal” several times in the past several days. We did emphasize our take on the silver market more than once, because the market itself provided us with the signal more than once.

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Commodities

Monday, October 01, 2018

Gold and Silver: Bottoming is a Process / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

Last Friday we examined the fact that gold has now fallen 6 months in a row. Historically, this suggests that gold is at a short term bottom.

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Commodities

Monday, October 01, 2018

Gold: New Bull Or Same Old Bear? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Gary_Savage

There are two schools of thought right now, and both sides are firmly convinced they are correct.

The bullish case: Gold started a new cyclical bull market in late 2015.

The bearish case: The bounce out of the 2015 bottom was just a counter trend bear market rally, and at best gold is stuck in a long sideways channel similar to the 1980-2001 period.

While I have to admit there is a lot of compelling evidence to support the bearish scenario I’m not convinced that is correct.

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Commodities

Sunday, September 30, 2018

Gold And Silver – Still Weak, Qrtly, Mthly, Wkly Charts / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Michael_Noonan

We did an interview with Rory from The Daily Coin, last week, and we mentioned how crypto currencies could be problematic for gold and silver. Their existence could replace the massive fiat debt and preclude any reason for gold and silver to rally.  You can find the interview here.

There has been a lot of discussion of a possible reset whereby gold and silver would eventually replace the failing fiats, and that potential scenario was how $10,000/oz gold and $400/oz silver came about, for the most part.

The pertinent question is, which country would want to have a gold and silver backed currency which would severely restrict the ability to issue increased amounts of the currency?  Also, every other nation would want to buy and take delivery of any and all available gold and silver.  That would not fly, at all.  Recall how Nixon closed the gold window back in the 1970s.

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Commodities

Saturday, September 29, 2018

Gold Investors: It Is Time for a Logic Lesson / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses distortions in the markets. Here is a question for any and all of you that have ever purchased a lottery ticket or played the slots or bet on a horse: If you had proof that the outcomes were all rigged, would you still play? If someone showed you a video of pit bosses stacking decks or tampering with dice, would you ever enter that establishment again? If your wife or mother or employer knew that you would constantly blow your paychecks in a rigged casino, would you ever be able to face them? The answer to all of the above-mentioned scenarios is a resounding "NO!" Yet millions of people (albeit that figure is rapidly shrinking) are still committing many hundreds of millions of dollars every week to the Crimex Casino, which has now proven that every single input into determining prices for gold and silver (Bitcoin, too) is completely controlled by the bullion banks, the Crimex bosses and the regulators.

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Commodities

Friday, September 28, 2018

Gold, Silver HUI Stocks Precious Metals Analysis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Gary_Tanashian

In honor of the men staring at silver’s daily chart, let’s highlight NFTRH 518’s Precious Metals segment this morning. We have 60% of the new trading week in the books and not much has changed for the PMs since this was written. You’ll notice that this man who stares at charts gets a little wordy at the end. There is much context that would-be gold bugs need to have in hand.

First, the intro per our anniversary series of posts…

To celebrate NFTRH’s 10 year anniversary (Friday, Sept. 28) I’d like to present one segment from this week’s report, NFTRH 518 each day until Friday. These excerpts will give you an idea of what it takes to provide a top tier, best of breed product. But there is much more to a single weekly report than will be shown here publicly. Oh and don’t forget the dynamic in-week market updates as events dictate.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 27, 2018

Gold Price Can Still See a Lower Low / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

The Fed controls the gold market. The manipulators control the gold market. The “swaps” control the gold market. The hedge funds control the market. Yes, I have heard about how everyone is controlling the gold market.

In fact, I even hear such ridiculous statements as, "The banks are pushing us down so that they can buy at lower prices." The problem with this is that the banks have been long for weeks - yet they are still pushing us down?

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 26, 2018

Gold/Silver Ratio Back at Extremes / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: MoneyMetals

The gold/silver ratio, calculated by simply dividing the gold price by the silver price, may be signaling the end of the bear market in metals is drawing near. That could be good news for gold investors and great news for those who hold silver.

First, let's take a look at a long-term chart of the ratio:

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 26, 2018

The Final Silver Sign / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

We’ve seen myriads of signs pointing to lower precious metals prices in the past months, weeks, and days. We even discussed how ridiculously similar the current situation is to what happened in 2013, right before the $200+ decline in gold. But the final bearish confirmation usually comes from the silver market and this time is no different.

Let’s take a look at the charts for details (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 25, 2018

Gold – “Make Me Feel Good…Tell Me Anything” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Kelsey_Williams

Most technical analysis of gold boils down to “what the charts tell us about gold’s next move”. The next move according to most seers of the trade – is “imminently bullish” and represents one, last chance for investors to save their financial souls.

The problem is that more people have lost more money by ‘investing’ in gold upon the advice of those who proffer it, than will likely ever be made up going forward.”…Kelsey Williams

There are several reasons for that. 

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