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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Gold and Silver 2018

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Commodities

Tuesday, August 14, 2018

Gold Price to Plunge Below $1000 - Key Factors for Gold & Silver Investors / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Briefly: Gold is likely to plunge below $1,000 this year and we’ve been writing about it for months. This article provides a list of critical long-term factors that one should be aware of if they want to invest in or trade gold, silver, and/or mining stocks. We include links to our previous premium analyses and we just made these analyses available to everyone.

But first, a quick short-term update.

There were a few important technical details that took place on Friday that confirmed what we had written previously. The USD Index broke above the rising wedge pattern and the medium-term reverse head-and-shoulders pattern, while silver closed (the daily and weekly close) below its July 2017 lows.

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Commodities

Friday, August 10, 2018

The Various Prices Of Gold Pointing Higher / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Hubert_Moolman

Let’s take a look at gold priced in oil (WTI Crude), the Dow and US dollars:

Gold priced in oil from 1983 to now. Price has moved in a large channel before it broke out at the end of 2014. This is really significant given the importance of oil in the current monetary system (more of this another time).

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Commodities

Thursday, August 09, 2018

Gold and Silver Kill Zone / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Gary_Tanashian

There is nothing bullish happening on the gold and silver charts. Nothing bullish on the miner Index/ETF charts. Nothing bullish on the HUI/Gold ratio. In other words, when it comes to a segment as volatile and sentiment-dependent as the precious metals, we are in the kill zone.

That can be read a couple of different ways. First, the inflationist gold bugs are getting exterminated as the US dollar first rose and since has stubbornly refused to take a pullback.

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Commodities

Thursday, August 09, 2018

Even More Cracks in the Gold Dam / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

We’re getting there. Inch by inch, we’re moving closer to the tipping point of the decline when the slow, regular, and somewhat boring move lower turns into a violent drop. Yesterday’s session was still in line with the less exciting manner of declining, but we saw another crack in the dam that’s still somewhat holding the prices at the current levels. It doesn’t seem that it’s going to last for long. Are you prepared?

Before moving to the details of yesterday’s session, we would like to stress that the key bearish factors that we outlined in our Monday’s analysis remain up-to-date, so if you haven’t had the chance to read it yet, we strongly encourage you to do so today. Gold is likely to drop far in the next 2.5 weeks.

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Commodities

Tuesday, August 07, 2018

Technical Analyst Sees Silver as 'Oversold' / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Clive Maund takes a look at the latest movements in the silver market.

The picture for silver looks dull and weak, and it has dropped back over the past month or two, like gold, in response to dollar strength. On its latest 14-month chart we can see how, after breaking support in the $16.15 area, it has dropped back to support close to the low of last July, where it is oversold. The intermediate trend must be classed as neutral/down as it is below bearishly aligned moving averages. Having said all that there is a fair chance of it turning higher soon, as in addition to being oversold and at support, its COTs now look bullish, as we can see on the latest COT chart stacked below the 14-month silver chart for direct comparison, with gold's COTs being more so, and with gold's seasonal factors now approaching their strongest for the year, silver may come along for the ride if gold now advances, which looks likely also because there is a good chance that the dollar will react back over the near-term, as we have observed in the parallel Gold Market update.

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Commodities

Sunday, August 05, 2018

Gold & Silver Precious Metals Monthly Charts / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

With the end of July I thought it was important to take a look at the monthly charts which carry more significance than weekly and daily charts. Visible trends on the monthly charts obviously carry greater weight than those on the weekly and daily charts. Monthly charts can also simplify and clarify sector relationships. While the broader trend for precious metals is lower, there are some slight differences as evidenced by the monthly charts.

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Commodities

Thursday, August 02, 2018

Gold And The USD/CNY (It’s Still About The U.S. Dollar) / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Kelsey_Williams

My last article, Gold And The Elusive Chase For Profits/The Case For Gold Is Not About Price, generated the following comment:

“Gold is now pegged to CNY not USD.”…Anonymous

I responded as follows:

“All currencies are substitutes for real money, i.e. gold.  And all governments inflate and destroy their own currencies. Whether gold is priced in yuan, SDRs, or dollars, doesn’t matter. The case for gold is not about price (in any currency). It is about value. Gold is real money and a store of value.”
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Commodities

Thursday, August 02, 2018

Gold Current Extreme Bearish Sentiment is an Excellent long-term Buying Opportunity / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in the gold and silver markets.

Our proprietary cycle indicator is down.

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Commodities

Thursday, August 02, 2018

Gold GLD Update… / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Rambus_Chartology

Just a quick update on GLD which has broken down from a 2 1/2 year triangle consolidation pattern. If we get a backtest to the bottom rail around the 119 area I will take a position in DGLD which is a 3 X short gold etf.

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Commodities

Wednesday, August 01, 2018

Bullish Sentiment Is In The Toilet For Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

For those that follow me regularly, you will know that I have been tracking a set-up for the SPDR Gold Trust ETF (NYSEARCA:GLD), which I analyze as a proxy for the gold market. I also believe that gold can outperform the general equity market once we confirm a long-term break out has begun.

While I have gone on record as to why I do not think the GLD ETF is a wise long-term investment hold, I still use it to track the market movements. For those that have not seen my webinar about why I don’t think the GLD is a wise long-term investment, feel free to review this link for my webinar on the matter.

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Commodities

Wednesday, August 01, 2018

When JP Morgan Decides to Stop Shorting Silver, Prices Will Shock You / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: MoneyMetals

Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome in Ed Steer of Ed Steer's Gold and Silver Digest. Ed has covered the precious metals markets for going on two decades now, having written for Casey Research prior to his latest project, and is also a director at GATA, the Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee, where he and his colleagues work to expose the manipulation in the gold and silver markets.

Ed, it's a pleasure to have you back on, and thanks for the time today.

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Commodities

Sunday, July 29, 2018

The Road to War: Buying Fear - Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Richard_Mills

Gold has been dropping like a stone over the last several months, and getting no relief as the summer doldrums for precious metals meander along. Historically gold’s worst month is March, with January and September the next best months to look for a rally. September is when gold demand spikes in India due to the buying of jewelry for weddings to correspond with the Diwali festival in October-November. April to July is when gold usually drops below its average monthly return.

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Commodities

Sunday, July 29, 2018

Gold Shorts Near Record! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold continues to drift near summer-doldrums lows, feeding and intensifying bearish sentiment.  But an exceedingly-bullish event just happened which will ignite a major new upleg.  Speculators’ gold-futures short positions have soared near all-time record highs!  That means the recent heavy gold selling is exhausted, and massive proportional short-covering buying is imminent.  That will catapult gold much higher.

Short-term gold price action is dominated by speculators’ gold-futures trading.  This is counterintuitive as this group of traders and the capital they control are small compared to investors and their vast funds.  But the futures guys still wield wildly-disproportional outsized influence over gold.  It’s impossible to game short-term gold action if you’re not watching and analyzing speculators’ collective gold-futures trading activity.

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Commodities

Friday, July 27, 2018

Silver Threads among the Gold: What the Tea Leaves Seem to Be Telling Us / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: MoneyMetals

The ongoing July silver (and gold) slam has a 2008 feel about it. Important data point elements are different, but there's an air of panic on the part of physical precious metals' owners.

"Major trend lines" being broken to the downside; physical metals' buying (in the U.S. off significantly so far on the year; (some) long-term silver holders giving up the ghost and selling their metal below spot.

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Commodities

Friday, July 27, 2018

Supposedly Bullish Gold’s CoT Signal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

At first sight, yesterday’s session was quite boring – gold ended the session practically unchanged while silver and mining stocks were only a little higher. The USD Index was practically unchanged. But just because nothing happened in the market in terms of the daily closing prices, it doesn’t mean that we don’t have anything interesting to discuss. We do. There is a boomerang topic that just came back once again – the Commitment of Traders report for gold seems to be favoring higher gold prices as the current readings were seen at previous local bottoms. Are we going to see a CoT-driven rally shortly?

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 24, 2018

Gold & Silver Need THIS to Unfold before They Rally Sharply Higher... / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: MoneyMetals

Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome in Greg Weldon, CEO and president of Weldon Financial. Greg has over three decades of market research and trading experience, specializing in the metals and commodity markets, and his close connection with the metals led him to author a book back in 2006, titled Gold Trading Boot Camp, where he accurately predicted the implosion of the U.S. credit market and urged people to buy gold when it was only $550 an ounce.

He's a regular presenter at financial conferences throughout the country, and is a highly sought-after guest on many financial shows. And it's always great to have him on the Money Metals Podcast. Greg, good to talk to you again. Welcome back.

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Commodities

Sunday, July 22, 2018

You Buy the Fear in Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Gary_Tanashian

This article does not speak to gold’s proper fundamentals, which are not yet very healthy (although some positive signs are finally gathering). For the proper counter-cyclical atmosphere to engage gold bulls would need have risk ‘on’ markets and assets crack. Yet, gold’s (and silver’s) price may well bottom before readily obvious fundamental improvement is apparent to a majority (as was the case in Q1 2016). 

Far too much analysis is put out there linking gold with inflation. It is true that gold often acts as an effective inflation hedge, but it all too often fails in that capacity.

Far too much analysis is put out there linking gold with war, terror, pestilence and other conditions of human suffering. The surest way to spot a gold promoter, if he is not pumping inflation, is his pitch for gold as a disaster hedge. Yes okay, and I have a little Unibomber shack in Montana to sell you too.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 19, 2018

Gold Market Signal vs. Noise / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

In his book Nobody Knows Anything, my friend Bob Moriarty wrote about the difference between signal and noise. Unfortunately, much of the information in the gold space or what passes for such is really noise. Conspiracy theories around manipulation, price suppression and China are all too popular while important factors like real interest rates, investment demand and gold’s relationship to equities are neglected. At present the Gold market has experienced a critical breakdown yet in some circles a new theory and explanation is gaining traction.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 19, 2018

Don’t Get Too Bullish on Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

Gold has been getting crushed recently, and now sits near several support levels.

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 17, 2018

Gold And The Elusive Chase For Profits / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Kelsey_Williams

Between the years 1971 and 2011, the price of gold went from $42.00 per ounce to $1900.00 per ounce – a forty-five fold increase. This is depicted on the chart below…

Looking at the chart, it would appear that gold is in a long-term bull market and that continually higher prices over time can be expected. Proponents of this approach to gold cite fundamentals such as a weakening U.S. dollar, social unrest, wars (combat and trade), political instability, etc.

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