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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Companies

Tuesday, May 05, 2020

Do I Need Business Van Insurance? / Companies / Insurance

By: Submissions

A commercial van is the beating heart of many small businesses. In some cases, losing access to a van could mean that operations would be interrupted, if not halted entirely. Picture a custom carpentry business that is left without a cargo van. It couldn’t reasonably ask customers to pick up their furniture and third-party transport would put a huge dent on profits.

Insuring your van is required, as it’s a registered vehicle the same as any other. However, that doesn’t mean that standard coverage is adequate for a commercial van. Instead, you’re going to need business van insurance.

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Politics

Tuesday, May 05, 2020

United States Coronavirus Trend Trajectory Update / Politics / Pandemic

By: Nadeem_Walayat

A quick update for the US Corona catastrophe trend trajectory. Over 1 million testing positive and 61,656 reported deaths resolves to a case fatality rate of 5.8% up from 2.1% at the start of April. Which just reiterates how badly wrong ALL those who were touting that the CFR would fall when the US starts to test many more people, we'll just as I warned at the time that is NOT what's going to happen and HAS not happened!

Regardless of what President Trump and the mad scientists state about flattening the curve , in reality there is little sign of the curve flattening on even the official data which just like the UK UNDER REPORTs the actual number of deaths by likely 70%-80%! Still official data is all I have to work with and the curve on this graph does not look like it's flattening. Instead projects towards an End May death toll of about 110,000!

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 05, 2020

Stock Market Hit Resistance and Fell, Transportation Sector Forms Topping Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Recently, the Transportation Index and the S&P SPDR ETF setup topping patterns near the end of April 2020.  In terms of technical triggers, these patterns need to see additional downside price confirmation before we can confirm the true potential for these setups. If they do confirm, we could be starting a new downside price trend fairly soon.

The recent market upside price move is dramatically different on the TRAN chart vs. the SPY chart.  Even though the SPY price advance has mirrored the move in the ES and NQ, the TRAN upside price move has been more muted.  This is because global economic activity has continued to stall and is not translating into active shipping and trucking activity.  Remember, the Transportation Index helps us to understand the core levels of economic activity as parcels and products move around the globe.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 05, 2020

Stock Market Resuming the Major Downtrend? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – We are in an official bear market

Intermediate trend – resuming decline?

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends

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Politics

Tuesday, May 05, 2020

Boris Johnson Orders CHARGE of the NHS Light Brigade Charge into the Valley of Coronavirus Death / Politics / Pandemic

By: N_Walayat

The magnitude of incompetence and negligence of the UK government is unprecedented, a death toll that should be in the hundreds now runs into the tens of thousands, not even 100 Bin Laden's could have inflicted as much damage as Boris Johnson's government has.

Nothing illustrates this then NHS workers being sent like the Light Brigade to Charge into the Coronavirus valley of death without any protection!

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Politics

Monday, May 04, 2020

Britain's FAKE Coronavirus Death Statistics Exposed / Politics / Pandemic

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The UK death toll has sky rocketed to over 26,000! Well beyond that which anyone could have imagined in lockdown Britain a month ago! All this whilst lockdown Britain continues without end with the government financing 80% of MOST workers wages, bailing out corporations and underwriting small business loans up to the tune of £50k each, canceling £36 billion of NHS Debt and on it goes, the final bill for which could exceed £1 trillion! All whilst the Bank of England quietly prints money to monetize UK government debt that will have inflationary consequences as consumer prices soar.

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Companies

Monday, May 04, 2020

The Biotech Boom May Have Only Just Begun / Companies / BioTech

By: Submissions

“The world is moving so fast these days that the man who says it can't be done is generally interrupted by someone doing it.” ― Elbert Hubbard

A new medical development is sweeping the country…

Some may see it as controversial - but the studies don’t lie.

It’s effective.

So effective, in fact, that the FDA has just fast-tracked approval for research…

Meaning that it is aiming to gain a major stake in a key healthcare market that is on track to hit $260 billion in the next six years.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, May 04, 2020

Stock Market “Fundamentals ? It’s ALL in the Chartology” / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Rambus_Chartology

Before we look at tonight’s Precious Metals charts I would like to make a comment on the US stock markets. I will take some flack over some of the comments I’m going to make but that’s fine as it won’t be the first time nor the last.

Let me start by saying, “The only rule when it comes to trading the stock markets is, “There Are No Rules.” The other important rule that I live by is that, “the markets are always right regardless of what I think.” It’s interesting to hear comments like, the markets don’t trade like they used so its not any fun anymore. Even trading during the mania phase in the tech bubble parabolic rise wasn’t easy. Or the markets can’t keep going up because of no volume or interest rates are too high or countless other reasons that only make sense according to traditional investing.

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Economics

Monday, May 04, 2020

US Q1 GDP Data Masking The True Global Economic Future? / Economics / Coronavirus Depression

By: Chris_Vermeulen

As Q1 GDP data is released on Wednesday, April 29, which will reflect the first three months of 2020 in terms of total economic output, we believe the number will skew the current true global economic conditions to a large degree.  The pandemic shutdowns started in the US on March 15th – nearly 2 weeks before the end of Q1:2020.  Thus, we had a fairly normal Q1 in terms of economic activity, production, and consumer engagement. Everything changed after March 15th, 2020.

Skilled traders need to watch the current economic data and “week over week” data that is presented.  Skilled traders also need to pay attention to the news items that are being pushed out to the public.  Larger and larger corporations and sectors are moving towards bankruptcy or screaming for a bailout. Airlines, Hotels, Car Rental, and dozens of other sectors have all collapsed over the past 5+ weeks.  We expect real estate activity and pricing to collapse as well.  The results of the last 5+ weeks, after the March 15th shutdown started, have been anything but normal.

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Commodities

Monday, May 04, 2020

Gold $3K to $20K Coming? These Pundits (now 34) Think So! / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Lorimer_Wilson

10 years ago every “analyst” and his brother was hyping the future price of gold and I kept track of their guesses in an article entitled “Gold Going To $2500, $5000, $10000, Even More? These 148 “Analysts Think/Thought So“. None of their forecasts “panned” out (pun intended) but some are back at it again suggesting that we are going to see gold going as high as $20,000.

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Currencies

Monday, May 04, 2020

What’s Next, Trillion US Dollar Coins? / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: MoneyMetals

The massive set of stimulus measures rolled out last month by the Treasury Department and Federal Reserve has left many Americans wanting more… and politicians scheming for new ways to dole out additional trillions in cash.

Most taxpayers have already received their $1,200 “stimulus” payments. However, that one-time payment will do little to repair the long-term financial health of the 26 million (and rising) who are newly unemployed.

And it surely won’t bail out all the small business owners who were callously deemed “non-essential” and forced to shut down during this pandemic.

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Housing-Market

Monday, May 04, 2020

Ways to Speed Up Your Mortgage Application / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Travis_Bard

Homeownership comes with many perks, and it is everyone’s dream to become a homeowner. Thanks to mortgages, this dream has become a reality to many. It helps homeowners build their credit and make their ratings go higher, get tax breaks, and helps in building equity. The most important is that you will get a permanent home from where you will grow your family and enjoy your time together looking for new film releases and enjoying quality time. 

Getting the mortgage, however, may not be as easy as it may appear. It might take some time before you are able to buy that house that you really want. There are, however, ways that you can speed up your mortgage application. 

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Politics

Monday, May 04, 2020

UK Government Orders NHS Workers Light Brigade Charge into the Valley of Coronavirus Death / Politics / UK Politics

By: N_Walayat

The magnitude of incompetence and negligence of the UK government is unprecedented, a death toll that should be in the hundreds now runs into the tens of thousands, not even 100 Bin Laden's could have inflicted as much damage as Boris Johnson's government has.

Nothing illustrates this then NHS workers being sent like the Light Brigade to Charge into the Coronavirus valley of death without any protection!

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Sunday, May 03, 2020

Monster Gains in Mining Stocks Bode Well for Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2020

By: MoneyMetals

April marks a second month of truly extraordinary developments in markets – from negatively priced crude oil futures to a record spike in unemployment claims to a lockdown-defying rally in stocks.

The financial media is touting the S&P 500’s surge of more than 13% in April – the biggest one-month gain for the index since 1974.

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Economics

Sunday, May 03, 2020

No, the Economy Isn’t Re-Opening Soon / Economics / Coronavirus Depression

By: Patrick_Watson

 “America will be open for business very soon,” said President Trump on March 23, just a week after local authorities began issuing stay-at-home orders.

At that point, the novel coronavirus had killed a total of 689 Americans. Now, a little over a month later, 689 deaths would be a really good day. And America still isn’t open for business. But the president and some governors think it should be and are trying to make it so.

Unfortunately, politicians can’t order the economy open again because they didn’t close it. Consumers and businesses began shutting down long before they were forced to, and they won’t re-open just because they legally can.

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Commodities

Saturday, May 02, 2020

Crude Oil Prices Go NEGATIVE! What's Next? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Negative oil prices is another corona consequences that no one saw coming. A 30% drop in world oil demand due to the corona lockdown's resulting in demand falling to 70m barrels per day, whilst the producers are pumping out over 90mbd meant that storage faculties had become saturated, thus nowhere to transport new supply to.

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Commodities

Saturday, May 02, 2020

Gold and Silver, Lockdowns and Reopening / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: P_Radomski_CFA

The action in silver is really interesting. Let’s check the prospects for volatile white metal, and the relevant historical analogy it offers. Is the major 2008 – 2020 analogy in terms of price moves remains intact? In short, yes.

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Commodities

Saturday, May 02, 2020

About Gold Miners and Inflation / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Gary_Tanashian

I think the case is closed, or it should be closed. But with firmly ingrained perceptions passed down from one generation of inflationist gold bugs to the next, you never know. Remember the old dismissive “gold is silver is copper is tin is oil is hogs” line from the 2003-2008 time frame? Probably not, but I remember it because it was me saying it against an army of inflationist commodity and resources bulls advising to buy gold, buy silver, buy oil… buy resources of all kinds to protect yourself from the evils of inflation!

As an interlude, here is a pleasant interaction I had with a reader (actually, the interaction was his in a comment to an article of mine, but you get the drift) during the 2016 gold sector launch that ultimately proved to be ill-fated by mid-year because… inflation.

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Politics

Saturday, May 02, 2020

Trump and His Coronavirus Task Force go for “Throttle Up” / Politics / Pandemic

By: James_Quinn

“For a successful technology, reality must take precedence over public relations, for Nature cannot be fooled.” Richard Feynman – Rogers Commission

“It appears that there are enormous differences of opinion as to the probability of a failure with loss of vehicle and of human life. The estimates range from roughly 1 in 100 to 1 in 100,000. The higher figures come from the working engineers, and the very low figures from management. What are the causes and consequences of this lack of agreement? Since 1 part in 100,000 would imply that one could put a Shuttle up each day for 300 years expecting to lose only one, we could properly ask “What is the cause of management’s fantastic faith in the machinery? … It would appear that, for whatever purpose, be it for internal or external consumption, the management of NASA exaggerates the reliability of its product, to the point of fantasy.” – Richard Feynman – Rogers Commission

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Politics

Friday, May 01, 2020

Coronavirus Wuhan Bio Lab Origins Paving Way for US War with China / Politics / China US Conflict

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The CCP opened one of their desk drawers marked "Do Not Open" to reveal that the number of total deaths is actually 50% higher than previously reported. Expect more such revisions upwards though likely we will never know the true number since many bodies were disposed off in mass cremations, and I would not be surprised if the real number was at least 5 times higher than Beijing propaganda, all of which acts as accelerant on the War with China mega-trend as what the West is experiencing does not match that which China reported to the world to expect for which there will be a reckoning with China. As is the focus of my latest video based on excerpted analysis from my article made available to Patrons on the 6th of April.

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