Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Sunday, April 19, 2015

Stock Market Week in Review / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Brad_Gudgeon

The stock market had a rocky week last week, ending on a down note. Early on, I expected a possible 40 point SPX down move from Monday into Tuesday. I also was looking for a possible top around Thursday. The SPX fell 24 points from Monday into Tuesday and then rallied into Wednesday. I sent a note to my subs that it was possible we could come back to the SPX 2073/76 zone later in the week.

Monday's action gave us a possible VIX (Volatility Index) sell signal implying a possible major top was at hand. As it rallied back into Wednesday, the NASDAQ failed to follow, creating what is known as an inter-market bearish divergence (these usually last for about a week while the New York Market trends higher).

Saturday, April 18, 2015

Stock Market Correction May be Nearing End / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Tony_Caldaro

Another choppy week. The market started the week at SPX 2102, rallied to 2108 on Monday, dropped to 2083 on Tuesday, rallied to 2012 on Wednesday, then dropped to 2072 on Friday, before ending the week at 2081. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 1.15%, the NDX/NAZ lost 1.45%, and the DJ World index lost 0.30%. On the economic front reports again came in mostly to the upside. On the uptick: retail sales, the CPI/PPI, business inventories, the NAHB, housing starts, the Philly FED, consumer sentiment, leading indicators, the WLEI, and the monetary base. On the downtick: the NY FED, industrial production, capacity utilization, and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week we get three reports on housing and durable goods orders.

Saturday, April 18, 2015

Stock Market Strong Pullback Day...Nothing Bearish Yet.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

So we wake up this morning to some very nasty futures. When I went to bed last night fair value was green. It seemed as if the futures were saying we would try for a breakout. This morning told a very different story. A major blast lower as Europe got crushed overnight. Fears of a Greece fall out. Germany down roughly 500 points in two days. We followed their futures lower in a very big way. We gapped down hard and never showed any strength or fight the rest of the day.

Friday, April 17, 2015

Q1 Corporate Earnings Risky for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Zeal_LLC

The highly-anticipated first-quarter earnings season is in full swing, with traders eager to see how US companies are faring.  While expectations are low, these profits releases still collectively pose serious risks for today’s overvalued and overextended US stock markets.  A few high-profile misses could prove all it takes to unleash a long-overdue serious selloff.  Investors and speculators alike need to remain wary.

Most publicly-traded companies report their comprehensive quarterly financial results in the month after a calendar quarter ends.  This deluge of reports released in a matter of weeks is called earnings season by traders.  And it’s exceedingly important, as underlying corporate profits are the ultimate fundamental driver of stock prices.  Supported by earnings, they can only climb over the long term if earnings grow.

Friday, April 17, 2015

US Stock Market Getting Scarier by the Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Clive_Maund

The giant bearish Rising Wedge in the S&P500 index shown on its 8-year chart below is now closing up rapidly and looks set to force a breakdown soon. While an upside breakout is possible, it looks highly unlikely, for a variety of other reasons that we will look at shortly. The top line of this Wedge is certainly of importance as the index has retreated from it on several occasions. Note the non-confirmation of recent new highs by the Dow Jones Transports at the top of the chart.

Friday, April 17, 2015

Stock Market Watershed Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX declined beneath its 50-day Moving Average at 2084.21 shortly after 10:00 am. There may be a retest of the 50-day, but may resume with the realization of the loss of an important support.

Friday, April 17, 2015

Chinese Stock Market - Men Go Mad in Herds / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market

By: James_Quinn

The Chinese real estate bubble has been imploding for the last year. The Chinese economy is barely growing at 1.6% after decades of 10% growth. There are millions of unoccupied condos. There are dozens of ghost cities and empty office towers. It’s the most corrupt nation on earth. We are in the midst of a global recession.It’s pure madness that the Chinese stock market would soar when its leading economic indicators crash to 2008 lows.

Friday, April 17, 2015

King Dollar Hurting Stock Market Corporate Earnings! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Puru_Saxena

BIG PICTURE - Let's face it; the strong US Dollar and weakness in the price of oil are hurting corporate earnings in the US and it is conceivable that both sales and profits for the S&P500 Index may decline during the first half of the year.

Make no mistake; the strong greenback is hurting the American multinationals as their overseas sales and earnings are being diminished in their reporting currency. Furthermore, due to last year's slide in crude oil, the energy industry is really struggling and earnings in the sector have fallen off the edge of a cliff!

Friday, April 17, 2015

Toil and Trouble in Nasdaq Tech Stocks Sector / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: EWI

Editor's note: This article is from Elliott Wave International's brand-new investment report, "U.S. Investors Face a Giant, Historic Bubble." It originally appeared in the March issue of The Elliott Wave Theorist, published March 13, 2015. For a limited-time, EWI has agreed to give our readers exclusive free access to the full report. Please click here to read it now.

On March 2, the day of the all-time closing highs in the major stock indexes to date, a swift-acting subscriber snapped a photo of this headline on financial news television.

Friday, April 17, 2015

NASDAQ Stock Index Diverging From SP500 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Brad_Gudgeon

The NASDAQ is showing the same type bearish divergence from the S&P 500 last seen from Nov 28 to Dec 5, 2014. The Lindsay top has a variance of 222/225 trading days placing the last possible top for the S&P 500 on Monday, April 20, 2015. From Dec 5 to Dec 16, 2014, the S&P 500 fell about 5.46% top to bottom over 7 trading days. Following the same pattern places the next low on the FOMC meeting date of April 29, 2015, which also happens to be a Wall Cycle low of 11.25/33.75 trading days from the series starting on Mar 11, and following on Mar 26 and April 14.

Friday, April 17, 2015

Footsie UK Stock Market Final High / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market

By: Austin_Galt

Today the 16th April 2015 may very well go down as the high of the bull market that began in 2009. Let's take a look at the recent action using the daily chart.

Thursday, April 16, 2015

Will Ever More Boomers Selling Retirement Assets Change Investment Prices For Decades? / Stock-Markets / Demographics

By: Dan_Amerman

When investors pour cash into a market, all else being equal – prices rise.  And when investors pull cash from a market – prices fall.

If we accept that simple relationship, and agree that the basic laws of supply and demand apply to investments just like they do to the rest of economics, this could mean that we are in the early stages of a tidal reversal in the investment markets – which just may change everything when it comes to our future income and standards of living.

Thursday, April 16, 2015

Won't Be Contagion with 'Grexit' Greece Euro-zone Exit / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Bloomberg

Stan Druckenmiller, the Chairman and CEO of Duquesne Family Office, sat down with Bloomberg Television's Stephanie Ruhle to discuss China's economy and stock market, Greece possibly exiting the euro and the concern over a contagion in the region.

On an interest rate increase, Druckenmiller said: "My fear is we’re not going to see anything for a year-and-a-half because they set up metrics eight or nine months ago…I have no confidence whatsoever that you’re going to see rate hikes in September or December or whenever because when they lay out metrics and then they change, and then they change again, and then they change again, who knows where -- when they’re going to go."

Thursday, April 16, 2015

A Secular look at USD and USB / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

A look at the monthly chart of USD reveals the backdrop for my analysis and conclusions.

First, the rally may be seen as a Cycle degree Wave II.

Second, the 50% Fibonacci retracement value of Cycle Wave I happens to be 100.87. Note how close the high came to this.

Thursday, April 16, 2015

Stock Market Boom and Crash: Cause and Effect / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Wim_Grommen

This article explains, based on transition properties, why a stock market boom occurs during the acceleration phase of a transition, inevitably followed by a stock market crash in the stabilization phase of a transition.

Thursday, April 16, 2015

US Stock Market Will Likely Drop 5% by Next Week! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Brad_Gudgeon

Last weekend, I expected the US stock market to drop suddenly from Monday into Tuesday. While I expected about close to a 2% drop, we got closer to a 1% drop instead (I give myself a C grade there). Out of this cycle low Tuesday (Gann 4/8/12 and Wall Cycle 22.5 TD low), we rallied 1.3%. I also talked about the prevailing 32 TD top due Thursday this week, which I believe came a day early on April 15th. There has been much talk about Lindsay's methods, and his method agrees with me that we made an important top on April 15th.

Thursday, April 16, 2015

Stock Market Getting Overbought Short Term Again Near The Breakout..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

Overall, the action was solid today. It approached the breakout as the S&P 500 neared 2119, but it wasn't meant to be. The sixty-minute short-term index charts hit 70 RSI, and that was the end of the rally for the day. The market pulled back some over the last twenty minutes. No breakout today, but that doesn't mean it won't happen as the daily-index charts are looking better. Nothing bearish in terms of the oscillators. They are confirming price. This is on the daily charts.

Wednesday, April 15, 2015

What's going on with the Dow Jones Transportation Index? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Marty_Chenard

The best way we can describe the Dow Jones Transportation Index is that it is a little higher than than last week at this time, but it is still at the lower end of its trading range.

The Transportation Index has been in a trading range since the end of last October. The Index is not very strong at this time, so it is in a higher-risk condition.

Wednesday, April 15, 2015

It Takes a Different Breed to Be Contrarian / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015

By: Casey_Research

By Justin Spittler

The most memorable scene in the film adaptation of Glengarry Glen Ross is when Alec Baldwin’s character—a hotshot real estate broker from the prestigious Mitch and Murray agency—tells a group of struggling real estate agents that it takes “brass balls to sell real estate.” There’s probably some truth to that, but it takes bigger cojones to buy what everyone else hates.

Wednesday, April 15, 2015

Stock Market Poised for a Flash Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

My earlier thesis of an unfinished retracement in SPX hit the nail on the head. Note that it didn’t go above the March 23 high, verifying the weakening uptrend. I recalibrated the Megaphone formation and verified it as an Orthodox Broadening top rather than a Broadening wedge. The formation may be triggered at 2103.00, so this is where I expect a Flash Crash to begin.