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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Thursday, December 29, 2016

Surging US Dollar in 2017 a Catalyst for Gold Bottom / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Gold has suffered recently in the wake of higher real interest rates while the US Dollar, thanks to higher yields has reached a 14-year high. Stronger real rates hurt Gold but so does a stronger US Dollar, which remains the dominant global currency. In addition to falling real interest rates Gold likely needs the US Dollar to approach a major peak. It may sound perverse to gold bugs but the sooner the US Dollar climbs and the stronger it gets, the closer Gold could be to the start of a new bull market.

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Commodities

Wednesday, December 28, 2016

Investing for Max Commodity Market Profits During a Trump US Presidency / Commodities / Investing 2017

By: Peter_Degraaf

By listening to President-elect Trump we can anticipate the effect his administration will have on the US economy. 
Here is what we know:  Mr. Trump plans to beef up the military, and improve US infrastructure, including a wall at the southern border.   
While there are other priorities, such as improving on healthcare, just his two main goals will require many billions of dollars. 
Being a successful businessman is his asset, and no doubt the new president will surprise us with funding that will be new and novel, such as enticing US companies with overseas assets to repatriate those funds and put them to work in the USA. 

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 27, 2016

Gold Price Due for a Bounce, But Remains in Long-term Bearish Trend / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Submissions

Bruce Powers writes: Spot gold (XAU/USD) remains in a long-term downtrend following a test of resistance at the long-term downtrend line over multiple weeks from July to September, and then again in November. A swing high of $1,375.15 was reached during that time, which was also a 2016 high and the highest price since March 2014.

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Commodities

Sunday, December 25, 2016

Gold As A Percentage Of Global Financial Assets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: I_M_Vronsky

In 2014 Total Global Assets Topped $105 TRILLION (i.e more than $105,000,000,000,000)

An astronomical amount by any standards. Interestingly, only a small fraction of this monumental amount has been allocated to gold investments. Here below is the record of gold investments since 1980. To be sure a brief history of gold investment demand will indubitably put our analysis into sharp perspective.

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Commodities

Saturday, December 24, 2016

US Dollar Euphoria and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Zeal_LLC

The US dollar has rocketed higher since early November’s US presidential election, rivaling the massive gains seen in the stock markets.  With the world’s reserve currency catapulted to extreme secular highs, dollar euphoria has naturally exploded.  Traders are overwhelmingly betting the dollar’s strong upside will continue.  But this greed-drenched currency looks very toppy and ready to fall, which is very bullish for gold.

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Commodities

Saturday, December 24, 2016

Deutsche Bank Settlement: Seasonal Intraday Charts Provide Evidence for Gold Market Manipulation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Dimitri_Speck

Deutsche Bank trader: "u just said u sold on fix."
Answer UBS trader: "yeah, we smashed it good."

Deutsche Bank is a defendant in more than 7,000 lawsuits worldwide. In two of them it has recently agreed to settlements and is prepared to pay tens of millions of US dollars in restitution and fines. This includes the settling of lawsuits over gold and silver price manipulation. Associated court proceedings against other financial institutions are still underway.

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Commodities

Thursday, December 22, 2016

U.S. Shale Oil Cash Flow Is Now Neutral / Commodities / Shale Oil and Gas

By: OilPrice_Com

Oil prices are probably already high enough to spark a rebound in shale production.

The IEA says that in the third quarter of 2016, the U.S. shale industry became cash flow neutral for the first time ever. That isn’t a typo. For years, the drilling boom was done with a lot of debt, and the revenues earned from steadily higher levels of output were not enough to cover the cost of drilling, even when oil prices traded above $100 per barrel in the go-go drilling days between 2011 and 2014. Even when U.S. oil production hit a peak at 9.7 million barrels per day in the second quarter of 2015, the industry did not break even. Indeed, shale companies were coming off of one of their worst quarters in terms of cash flow in recent history.

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Commodities

Wednesday, December 21, 2016

The War on Cash and Then on Gold / Commodities / War on Cash

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Clive Maund says liquidity issues with banks could lead to restrictions on cash and precious metals.

The global financial system continues to groan under the strain of the accumulated weight of trillions of dollars worth of debt and derivatives, which have built up to even more fantastic levels than those that precipitated the near collapse in 2008, thanks to the policy of solving liquidity problems near term by creating even more debt and derivatives, Quantitative Easing being the most obvious example. However, while the majority considers the situation to be hopeless, there is actually "light at the end of the tunnel."

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Commodities

Wednesday, December 21, 2016

How to Get a Firm Handle on Gold's Ups and Downs / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: EWI

Watch the yellow metal's price pattern to anticipate key junctures

By Elliott Wave International

[Editor's Note: The text version of the story is below.]

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Commodities

Monday, December 19, 2016

Federal Reserve and Stronger Real Rates Cause Breakdown in Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Gold and gold mining stocks were setting up for a rebound until the market suddenly priced in tighter policy from the Federal Reserve. Both nominal and real yields surged and that pushed an already oversold sector below key support. Gold lost support in the mid $1100s while gold stocks (GDX) lost a critical support level. While the sector is oversold and likely to rebound as 2017 begins, the primary trend remains lower.

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Commodities

Monday, December 19, 2016

Gold and Silver New Bull or Bear Market Rally ? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Rambus_Chartology

Buckle Up ,Pour yourself your favorite beverage , and take some time . This Report will be an in depth Chartology analysis of the current situation in this ever interesting and often exasperating market we are participating in. Oh and don’t forget to open your mind. Lets begin.

I would like to start the Weekend Report by looking at a combo chart which has the US dollar on top and gold on the bottom, which shows you a better version of the positive divergence the US dollar had vs gold in 2011. First note the red arrows on the US dollar and gold back in 2008 when gold was making a high, and the US dollar was making a low, which is what you would expect. Now look at the two red arrows in 2011 whch shows the all time high for gold and a higher low for the US dollar vs the 2008 low. Gold rallied almost 1200 points to its 2011 bull market high, but the US dollar made a higher low. If they were on an equal footing the US dollar should have traded much lower when gold was making its all time high. That’s how I viewed the positive divergence for the US dollar vs gold.

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Commodities

Friday, December 16, 2016

Radical Gold Under Investment / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold was again blasted to new post-election lows this week, further trashing contrarian sentiment.  The Fed proved more hawkish than expected in its rate-hike-trajectory forecast, unleashing heavy selling in gold futures.  This catapulted gold bearishness back up to extremes not seen in a year.  Investors are once again convinced gold is doomed, and thus radically underinvested.  That’s actually super-bullish for gold.

It certainly wasn’t the Fed’s second rate hike in 10.5 years this week that hammered gold.  Actually that was universally expected.  Federal-funds-futures traders had assigned it an average 96% probability in the two weeks leading up to that rate hike.  If the Fed had simply raised its federal-funds rate by 25 basis points to a 0.50%-to-0.75% range, gold-futures speculators would’ve likely yawned.  They knew it was coming.

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Commodities

Friday, December 16, 2016

Gold & Miners Bottoming Signs / Commodities / Stock Markets 2016

By: Gary_Savage

A couple of months from now are traders going to look back and wonder how they could have ignored the bottoming signs?

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Friday, December 16, 2016

Goldman Sachs is Talking Nonsense Again: Shale will not affect Global Oil Supply until Price hits $85 / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Andrew_Butter

Latest headline: “Goldman Sachs Warns the Saudis: ‘’U.S. Shale Will Respond’’”

http://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/Goldman-Sachs-Warns-The-Saudis-US-Shale-Will-Respond.html

Reminds me of when we all used to sing-along the company song ”House Prices Always go up”; and why not? If you could get the suckers to buy that idea, selling them AAA-rated (toxic) collateralized debt obligations concocted by Goldman Sachs, was a synch. Ah...Goldman Sachs...the Divine God’s Workers; now they are experts on shale oil...what next...tropical fish? So now they are telling their customers “shale oil is a buy”, that means presumably, they are long and they are scrambling to unload their positions?

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Commodities

Thursday, December 15, 2016

Seasonality Favors Gold, Silver and Junior Mining Stocks Going Into Year End / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Jeb_Handwerger

Summary
Gold and silver could once again be ready to rally possibly starting in days or in the beginning of 2017.

Precious Metals usually bottom at year end then have massive rallies in the New Year.

Remember the lower it goes the higher it runs and the more gains made in the following year.

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Commodities

Thursday, December 15, 2016

Fed Raised Rates 0.25% – Rising Interest Rates Positive For Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

The Federal Reserve increased interest rates by 0.25% as expected yesterday leading to gold falling to lows last seen in February 2016 and the dollar rising to its highest level against the euro in 14 years.

Gold actually settled higher at $1,163.70 for the day yesterday. However gold futures slid to $1,156.70 an ounce in electronic trading on the rate decision at 1400 EST and soon gold was pushed down 1.3% to 10 month lows after the decision in less liquid after hour markets.

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Commodities

Thursday, December 15, 2016

Gold and Silver Now What ? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Rambus_Chartology

I had a completely different post in mind for tonight, but the action in the PM complex has changed my mind. Since the US elections the PM complex has had a hard go of it trapping many bulls in their long positions. The magnitude of this decline especially in gold has been unrelenting in nature, which is how a bull trap is set. Just a short five weeks ago all looked good for this sector as it had one of the biggest rallies in history off the January low for the PM stocks. There wasn’t anything to suggest that five weeks ago the plunge was coming, but since then, there have been many clues that all was not right with the PM sector.

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Commodities

Wednesday, December 14, 2016

The Silver Tsunami / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

At this point in the cycle, the silver market should be relatively easy for the average person to enter. Prices are beginning to move back toward natural supply and demand equilibrium, as large disruptions are occurring between the positioning of dominant futures speculators that have kept futures prices entrapped for nearly 6 years. 

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Commodities

Wednesday, December 14, 2016

Take Advantage of Gold, Silver, Platinum and Palladium Different Seasonal Trends / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Dimitri_Speck

Prices in financial and commodity markets are exhibiting seasonal trends. This applies to the precious metals gold, silver, platinum and palladium as well.

The chart below depicts the seasonal trends of the gold price over a time period of 45 years.

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Commodities

Wednesday, December 14, 2016

Shariah Gold Standard Is “Revolutionary” – Mark Mobius / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

One of the world’s leading investors, Mark Mobius told a gold conference in Dubai that the new ‘Shariah Gold Standard’ is both “innovative and revolutionary” and importantly will bring “transparency” to the physical gold market which suffers from a lack of trust.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


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