Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, February 15, 2016

Silver, Gold, the Argentina Peso, and Exponentially Increasing Prices / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: DeviantInvestor

The exchange rate between the Argentina Peso and the US dollar in January 1945 was 4.17 pesos to one dollar.  Like the United States, Argentina created substantial price inflation – devaluation of their currency – in the 1950s – 1990s.

According to Wikipedia Argentina devalued their currency by a factor of 100 in 1970, by another 10,000 in 1983, by another 1,000 in 1985, and by another 10,000 in 1992.

Monday, February 15, 2016

The Retracement In the Price of Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jesse

Here is a closer look at the retracement of gold we have seen as of this morning.

While the US markets are closed for Presidents' Day, the rest of the world is open for business.

As you can see from the second chart from Friday, gold had become quite overbought short term.

Monday, February 15, 2016

Consensus Macro Trades Stop Out: Gold Has Made A Near Term Top / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Sam_Kirtley

Macro consensus trades into 2016 have not worked well, at all. This week saw a large flush out in positioning across financial markets. There are three consensus trades that we feel have been particularly squeezed and what we believe was a final clearout of these position sent other assets, such as gold, to extreme levels that present a number of trading opportunities.

Monday, February 15, 2016

Gold And Silver – Will Precious Metals Purchasers Become Terrorists? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Michael_Noonan

A clarification:  We tend to use the regular Friday closes for our charts to avoid the closing “fix” that can sometimes be several dollars for gold and several cents for silver away from the end of Friday trade.  It is not of much consequence because we are consistent in doing it that way, but two weeks ago, the was a substantial rally after the normal close, and it was not taken into consideration during our analysis.

More people are becoming aware that not all is as it seems with the federal government, but there is still a reluctance, even a refusal, to attribute many of today’s existing problems as a root cause by the federal government, which is not a government of, by, or for the people.  Today’s de facto federal government has been a product of the globalists for over a century, starting in more earnest when the Rothschild’s financed both sides in the Civil War, and when Lincoln introduced the Executive Order, now routinely used by presidents to by-pass Congress in the Bread and Circus facade known as the federal government where the globalists are in  charge behind the “curtain.”

Monday, February 15, 2016

Soybeans Commodity Trading Weekly Setup / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Submissions

Sasafuturestrading writes: Remember that there is one open position in the COPPER market.

SOYBEANS WEEKLY SETUP:

Sunday, February 14, 2016

Is this the start of a run in Precious Metals? We think not / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Donald_W_Dony

On the backs of a short-term weakness in the U.S. dollar, precious metals have made a sizable advance in the last few weeks.

Gold prices have jumped 17% and silver has increased over 12%.

Sunday, February 14, 2016

What is Gold Telling Us? MAP WAVE ANALYSIS / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Marc_Horn

Cycle analysis is something that is not well understood and reinforces that markets are not propelled by any form of intrinsic value of anything, including gold and money! They are propelled by expectations of the future and nothing else!

So starting with that we will look at what the analysis says, and then we can look at how that fits in with human behaviour, because that is what drives prices which reflect nothing more than investors future expectations!

Sunday, February 14, 2016

GOLD In Two Words - BULL MARKET / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Denali_Guide

BULL MARKET = 2 Words
     We know it bottomed in Jul 2013.  Really !!!
Lets go back to October of 2015 when this appeared on this blog.

GOLD NOW IS U$D 1336 - FIGURED IN COIN SHOPS FRIDAYS CLOSE WAS 1310 U$D, SO IT CORRELATES TO THE REAL WORLD, SINCE THE COIN SHOP PRICE IS F.O.B. COIN SHOP

Saturday, February 13, 2016

Seasonal Gold Price Correction on the Way / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Submissions

Goldvybe writes: Not much has changed since our gold correction commentary post on the 10th (here) except that gold had spiked up to $1263 on Thursday after global equities weakness and continued fears about European banks.

The fib retracements have stayed pretty much the same except now moving up a bit. For the most part, our analysis has not changed as we still anticipate a move lower from the seasonal February high into a seasonal low (March-April) of between $1130-$1150.

Saturday, February 13, 2016

Gold’s Macrocosm: The Planets Align / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Gary_Tanashian

We introduced the graphical view of the preferred counter-cyclical environment for gold and especially the gold stock sector in July:  Macrocosm.  We have updated the view several times since at NFTRH.com, with the macro backdrop getting more and more supportive of the gold sector over the last half a year.

Saturday, February 13, 2016

Gold New Bull Market on Track / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Last week we focused on the gold stocks. There was more initial evidence of a new bull market there than in Gold. However, Thursday Gold erased some doubts as it rocketed above $1200/oz and to as high as $1264/oz before settling a bit lower. That move puts Gold's recovery on par with those following past major lows and offers greater confirmation that a new bull market is underway.

Saturday, February 13, 2016

HUI Gold Stocks …Meet Me at The Bottomz Inn ? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Rambus_Chartology

This is the Question on Everyone’s mind .

Earlier this week we looked at the expanding triangle as a possible reversal pattern as it was testing the top rail with a beakout gap. The next two days saw the HUI decline back down to the top of the double bottom hump at 139 where it found support. Yesterdays price action took out the top rail of the expanding triangle again. Today the HUI backtested the top rail around the 155 area and is bouncing. There is no doubt the PM complex is overbought but we now have two possible reversal patterns in play. The double bottom which was the first pattern that showed itself and now the expanding triangle which has an odd number of reversal points, five, which makes it a reversal pattern instead of a consolidation pattern.

Friday, February 12, 2016

Gold Stocks Upside Targets / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Zeal_LLC

The gold miners’ stocks are rocketing higher again, multiplying wealth for smart contrarian traders who bought them low in recent months.  But after such a blistering surge, traders are naturally wondering how much farther gold stocks can run.  Is it time to realize gains, or buy aggressively for greater gains to come?  This critical question can be answered by looking at fundamentally-derived gold-stock price targets.

Many analysts shy away from offering price targets, with good reason.  Divining precise future outcomes in volatile markets is all but impossible.  Prevailing stock prices result from the chaotic interplay between sentimental, technical, and fundamental drivers.  And an effectively-infinite array of variables can affect each one, making forecasting stock prices a fool’s errand.  Nevertheless, this exercise is absolutely necessary.

Friday, February 12, 2016

Gold, Gold Stocks, and the End Game / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: DeviantInvestor

We have seen the bottom in the gold market and gold stocks.

Evidence:

• Examine the 30+ year chart of the monthly XAU (gold stock Index) to Gold ratio. You can see that the downtrend in the ratio has lasted about 20 years – since 1996.  The ratio is now at all-time lows in the form of a contracting triangle.  The triangle has been broken to the upside.

Friday, February 12, 2016

The Coming Silver Price Rally Will Be Fueled By A Crashing Dow / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Hubert_Moolman

It is good news for silver investors when significant nominal peaks of the Dow are formed. This is because significant nominal peaks in the price of silver tend to come after significant nominal peaks in the Dow. This has been the case for the last 90 years at least.

The two most significant nominal peaks of the Dow were in 1929 and 1973. Silver made a significant peak in 1935, about six years after the Dow's major peak in 1929. Again, in 1980, silver made a significant peak, about seven years after the Dow's major peak in 1973.

Friday, February 12, 2016

Is the Gold Price Manipulated? Part2 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

One of the main arguments for the systematic suppression of the gold price says that governments and central banks try to stop gold being the canary in the inflationary mine. We have problems with this view.

First, there are many other indicators of inflation, like official indices (CPI, PPI, and PCEPI), inflation premiums embedded in Treasury prices, or oil and other commodity prices. Do central banks also suppress oil, copper and practically all commodities? We do not think so. The current bear market in gold and base metals is more connected with the strong U.S. dollar than with diligent manipulation.

Friday, February 12, 2016

Gold Price Surges Another 7% This Week – Largest Gain Since 2008 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Gold bullion jumped 4 percent yesterday to $1,244.20/oz, its biggest single-day percentage rally since 2013. For the week, gold is 7.2% higher which is its biggest weekly gain since the global financial crisis in 2008.

Friday, February 12, 2016

T. Boone Pickens On Obama Oil Tax: "Dumbest Idea Ever" / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

The Obama administration's proposed $10.25 per barrel oil tax adds up to approximately $32 billion a year, and critics are coming out of the woodwork in defense of both the oil industry and end users who would foot the bill for transportation system reforms-but it may be a moot point since the effort will simply be killed off by Congress.

Friday, February 12, 2016

Will Harry Dent Eat Crow on His $700 Gold Price Prediction? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jason_Hamlin

Investment guru Harry Dent has made quite a few predictions since his start in the 1980’s. He has certainly been correct a few times and had to backtrack several other times. In early 2013, he predicted a financial crash will begin between the end of 2013 and the first half of 2014. This prediction was incorrect or maybe just early by a few years.

In 2014, while promoting his book, he predicted a major Australian housing market correction beginning in 2014 after an even bigger one in China. While the housing market is cooling in both countries, we have yet to see a major correction.

Friday, February 12, 2016

Cartel Buster Gold Price Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Denali_Guide

CARTEL~BUSTER ! - A hasty post for all who want to see !! I think this one tells a story.
all the red circles cover critical zones that are now stalling.
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