Category: Bitcoin
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Wednesday, August 18, 2021
Bitcoin (BTC) Buying Levels - My Crypto Market Investing Strategy / Currencies / Bitcoin
1. BTC & ETH - My primary focus will be on building positions in BTC and ETH that will target approx 80% of my crypto portfolio, the balance spread between a number of Alt Coins such as Cardano and Pokadot.
2. Hold BUSD and USDC - In advance of buying crypto's I am funding my accounts (mainly Binance) with approx 50% of my target position size to as to capitalise on a high GBP exchange rate, converting into BUSD and USD whilst also correcting my initial error of holding USDT.
3. Place limit orders on approx half of the funds on account across the target crypto's in relatively nearby levels compared to the more distant levels i.e. BTC $21,500 and ETH $1400. Whilst my initial limit orders are far distant from the actual crypto prices as I am anticipating a decline in prices. However over time my orders will gravitate towards being nearer to the actual spot price i.e. over the next 6 months and where I could even be buy crypto at spot rather than with limit orders depending on what transpires over the remainder of this year due to various dynamics such as the Ravencoin halving due in Jan 2022 etc in advance of which I want to have a significant holding of raven coins.
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Saturday, August 14, 2021
Bitcoin Price Trend Analysis / Currencies / Bitcoin
Dear Reader
This is part 4 of 5 of my extensive full spectrum analysis of the crypto markets, of what I expect to happen over the next 6 months in terms of a Bitcoin price trend forecast, and the strategy I am deploying to capitalise on as well as 5 potential black swans that could collapse the crypto markets where Stable Coins such as USDT are what could be imminent catalysts for.
Part 1 Investing in the Tulip Crypto Mania 2021,
Part 2 Bitcoin Halvings Price Forecast and Stock to Flow Analysis)
Part 3 Bitcoin, Crypto Market Black Swans from Google to Obsolescence
Bitcoin Bear Market Trend Forecast 2021 and Model Crypto Portfolio Buying Levels
Topics covered in this analysis:
- Investing in the Tulip Crypto Mania
- Bitcoin Price Trend Forecast Review
- Lessons Learned
- Cathy Crypto Wood's View on Bitcoin
- BITCOIN HALVINGS TREND TRAJECTORY
- Stock to Flow Infinity and Beyond!
- Bitcoin, Crypto's and the Inflation Mega-trend
- Black Swan 1 - Will Crypto's Get Banned?
- Black Swan 2 - GOOGLE
- Black Swan 3 - USDT Tether Un-Stable Coin Ponzi Schemes!
- BLACK SWAN 4 - Bitcoin 51% Network Attack by China?
- Black Swan 5 - Bitcoin is Already Obsolete
- US Trending Towards Hyperinflation
- BITCOIN TREND ANALYSIS
- Bitcoin Bear markets analysis - How low could she blow?
- Bitcoin Trend Forecast
- Bitcoin Long-term probable Next bull market price target
- Alternative Scenarios
- My Crypto Bear Market Investing Strategy
- Crypto 1 - Ethereum (ETH) $2600
- Crypto 2 - Bitcoin $40,375
- Crypto 3 - Ravencoin $0.078
- Crypto 4 - Cardano $1.59
- Crypto 5 - Pokadot $25
- Crypto 6 - ChainLink $26
- Crypto's 7 to 10
- Creating The Perfect Crypto
- How to Invest in Crypto Without Getting SCAMMED
- CHIA SCAM COIN
- Binance vs Coinbase
- Have ARK Invest Funds Bottomed?
Thursday, August 12, 2021
Bitcoin BTC Trend Analysis / Currencies / Bitcoin
Bitcoins price action during the first half of 2021 was a classic distribution pattern that had the smart money (you and me) SELLING out of Bitcoin and other crypto positions.
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Sunday, August 01, 2021
Bitcoin, Crypto Market Black Swans from Google to Obsolescence / Currencies / Bitcoin
Dear Reader
This is part 3 of my extensive full spectrum analysis of the crypto markets, of what I expect to happen over the next 6 months in terms of a Bitcoin price trend forecast, and the strategy I am deploying to capitalise on as well as 5 potential black swans that could collapse the crypto markets where Stable Coins such as USDT are what could be imminent catalysts for. (Part 1 Investing in the Tulip Crypto Mania 2021, Part 2 Bitcoin Halvings Price Forecast and Stock to Flow Analysis)
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Sunday, July 25, 2021
Bitcoin Stock to Flow Model to Infinity and Beyond Price Forecasts / Currencies / Bitcoin
Once you venture into the realm of bitcoins future prospects then you are pretty soon going to be presented with Stock to Flow model projections. Which is basically how many years will it take for new annual supply of bitcoins to cover total available supply of bitcoins and what it suggests for future pricing given that Bitcoins future supply is reducing with each halving.
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Saturday, July 24, 2021
Bitcoin Black Swan - GOOGLE! / Currencies / Bitcoin
The stock to flow model to is too easy and that Bitcoin halving can do what it does to pump the price ever higher, but what happens if next time that does NOT HAPPEN where instead bitcoin pricing rising it FALLS! If the biggest bullish case for Bitcoin turns out to be FALSE then that crypto is heading towards $1 rather than the stock to flow models $1 million plus coins.
So yes, it worked last time, and could work next time. However, on it's own it has to be coin flip, and eventually those coins are going to flip TAILS - GAME OVER!
Which means don' get sucked into such hype and make sure not to over commit to the crypto casino i.e. Even at maximum exposure I am not going to spend MORE than 1% of my total fiat on crypto's. One has to be prepared for assets that have no intrinsic value to reflect that lack of intrinsic value so keep exposure small.
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Thursday, July 22, 2021
Bitcoin Price Enters Stage #4 Excess Phase Peak Breakdown – Where To Next? / Currencies / Bitcoin
Over the past few months, I’ve been interviewed in podcasts and on Kitco where I’ve discussed the US and global market setups and trends based on my unique understanding of Technical Analysis and price patterns. Even though I’ve heard/read some comments from viewers sharing their own opinions which may not always agree with my interpretation of the market setups, I like to let the market trends do their thing and ultimately someone will be proven correct at the end of the day. Today, we’ll revisit some research I completed back in November 2020 and see how that research played out to today with Bitcoin.
Attempting to predict any future trend in any market is a difficult task, to say the least. The markets do what they do and part of my experience is to understand technical analysis setups and the underlying psychological aspect to the market cycles. I’m never 100% accurate in my predictions or expectations either – no one is 100% accurate in predicting any future event. All we can do is try our best at identifying these setups and take trades when the opportunity strikes for profits.
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Wednesday, July 21, 2021
Bitcoin Price CRASH, How to SELL BTC at $40k! Real Analysis vs Shill Coin Pumper's and Clueless Newbs / Currencies / Bitcoin
For the duration of this crypto bear market the so called crypto experts that populate Youtube, vested interest in their HODL psychosis have seen every dip to buy more and that the bottom was in, and so was the response to the latest dive lower to below BTC $30k, with the moronic response across the broad spectrum of crypto youtube channels proclaiming it to be another buying opportunity just as has been the case for the past 30,000 points drop to date! The reality is that whilst they are good at producing youtube videos, gathering millions of views but in reality they don't have a clue of how to actually analyse markets hence the example of the WYCOFF pattern endlessly regurgitated that in reality has no more value in forecasting trends than a COIN FLIP!. And then you have the crypto shills, selling their garbage scam coins such as Tech Lead's ,Million token alt scam coin videos pumping for liquidity to an extreme, with every video now with a click bait title "My wife left me for Bitcoin, Please Buy My Scam Coin" etc. Just focused on pumping their Alt garbage coins.
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Sunday, July 18, 2021
Bitcoin Halvings Price Forecast and Stock to Flow Analysis / Currencies / Bitcoin
This is part 2 (part 1 Investing in the Tulip Crypto Mania 2021) of my extensive full spectrum analysis of the crypto markets, of what I expect to happen over the next 6 months in terms of a Bitcoin price trend forecast, and the strategy I am deploying to capitalise on as well as 5 potential black swans that could collapse the crypto markets where Stable Coins such as USDT are what could be imminent catalysts for.
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Sunday, July 18, 2021
Bitcoin Halving's Price Projection Forecasts Trend Trajectory / Currencies / Bitcoin
The supply of bitcoin is capped at 21 million coins. Imagine what would happen to the price of Gold if no more Gold could be mined, that's the trend trajectory that Bitcoin appears to be on i.e. there will come a time when NO MORE bitcoin can be mined!
So the simplest thing to do would be to to buy bitcoin when cheap and forget about it for a decade or so and then likely see a return of X10 that which one paid for it.
Total bitcoins mined to date number 18,700,000, 210,000 blocks will be mined from May 2020 to roughly March 2024, totaling 1.3 million bitcoins, which implies a total of 20 million bitcoins by the time of the next halving of rewards for miners to 3.125 bitcoin rewards per block mined (block rewards to miners is how the block chain works).
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Wednesday, July 14, 2021
Bitcoin Stock to Flow Model Forecasts Infinity and Beyond! / Currencies / Bitcoin
Once you venture into the realm of bitcoins future prospects then you are pretty soon going to be presented with Stock to Flow model projections. Which is basically how many years will it take for new annual supply of bitcoins to cover total available supply of bitcoins and what it suggests for future pricing given that Bitcoins future supply is reducing with each halving.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, July 07, 2021
BITCOIN PRICE HALVINGS TREND TRAJECTORY / Currencies / Bitcoin
The supply of bitcoin is capped at 21 million coins. Imagine what would happen to the price of Gold if no more Gold could be mined, that's the trend trajectory that Bitcoin appears to be on i.e. there will come a time when NO MORE bitcoin can be mined!
So the simplest thing to do would be to to buy bitcoin when cheap and forget about it for a decade or so and then likely see a return of X10 that which one paid for it.
Total bitcoins mined to date number 18,700,000, 210,000 blocks will be mined from May 2020 to roughly March 2024, totaling 1.3 million bitcoins, which implies a total of 20 million bitcoins by the time of the next halving of rewards for miners to 3.125 bitcoin rewards per block mined (block rewards to miners is how the block chain works).
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Wednesday, July 07, 2021
Is Wall Street’s ESG a threat to the BTC industry? / Currencies / Bitcoin
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Monday, July 05, 2021
Four Small Cap Bio-Tech 10X Potential Stocks for 2021 and Beyond / Companies / Bitcoin
This analysis is part 3 of 3 from my recent extensive analysis that concludes in my latest biotech stock picks with the potential to X10 over the coming years Five More Small Cap Bio and Tech Stocks to Invest for 2021 and Beyond! that was first been made available to Patrons who support my work.
Topics Include:
- Invest and Forget
- Stock Market Early Summer Correction Review
- AI Stocks Strength vs Weakness
- RAMPANT MONEY PRINTING INFLATION BIG PICTURE!
- HIGH RISK STOCK BUYING LEVELS
- RISK RATINGS
- WESTERN DIGITAL - WDC $71 - CHIA! - Risk 1
- Life Sciences Biotech Smaller Cap High Risk Stocks Investing Binge
- Biotech stock 1 - Cheap Low Risk Pharma - Risk 1
- Biotech stock 2 - HIGH RISK GENE EDITING - Risk 9
- Biotech stock 3 - Low Risk 2
- Biotech stock 4 - X10 for Max Risk 10
- High Risk Stocks Portfolio Buying Levels
- Covid India Black Mold Epidemic
- Bitcoin and Raven Coin Buying Levels
So for immediate first access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.
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Wednesday, June 23, 2021
Could Bitcoin Price CRASH Target A Bottom Below $7500? / Currencies / Bitcoin
Bitcoin has followed our Excess Phase Peak breakdown pattern almost perfectly. Each phase of any Excess Phase Peak is important to understand as it relates to other asset classes. For example, as an asset, like Bitcoin, begins a Excess Phase breakdown in trend, other assets will likely follow along. The psychological impact of a major decline can often result in traders also expecting breakdown events in various other asset classes.
Before we begin to go into deeper detail regarding this Excess Phase Peak setup in Bitcoin, I suggest taking a minute or two to review our earlier research posts related to this pattern: How To Spot The End Of An Excess Phase – Part I November 25, 2020; How To Spot The End Of An Excess Phase – Part II November 27, 2020; and, Bitcoin Completes Phase #3 Of Excess Phase Top Pattern – What Next May 20, 2021. As this breakdown continues to unfold, we want to warn you that other asset classes (as mentioned above) may follow this trend as trader/investor psychology often impacts future expectations/trends across the globe.
If traders suddenly develop an expectation that the recent price rally in the global markets is at risk of failing, or that the downtrend in Bitcoin may have broader implications across other assets, we may see a bigger rotation in the global markets throughout the rest or 2021 (and beyond).
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Wednesday, June 23, 2021
Bitcoin and cryptos: Your 'long-term investment'? / Currencies / Bitcoin
Hi reader,
Bitcoin fell some 12% to start the week, and you may be wondering:
"Is this FINALLY my moment to buy?"
You're not alone. In early June, over 12,000 crypto fans visited Miami to take part in "Bitcoin 2021," the largest Bitcoin event in the world. Although it took place with Bitcoin trading near $30K, half of where it was in April, the enthusiasm for the King of Cryptos was palpable.
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Monday, June 14, 2021
The Bitcoin Crime Wave Hits / Currencies / Bitcoin
The conviction gripping bitcoin's ascendancy is so deep that children are now being indoctrinated into the bullish fold. We talked about this phenomenon with respect to the stock market last month. This Bloomberg column from May 16 signals its arrival in the cryptocurrency world: "Why I Pay My Seventh Grader in Bitcoin." The columnist claims he wants his "kids to be able to think independently about money" and "feel the full spectrum of feelings that money induces." Sure, why not feel the burn of the real world? Besides, the big kids are doing it, too. According to MarketWatch, "As Bitcoin and Dogecoin Plummet, College Students" are "Going Long on Crypto." According to a survey by College Finance, "more than 60% of college students and recent graduates see crypto as a long-term investment."
In April, EWFF showed two magazine covers' positive portrayal of bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. We labeled it bearish for bitcoin's immediate prospects. Last month, we added that bitcoin's "Great Arrival" into the "mainstream" of finance confirmed this forecast. One of the signals of cryptocurrencies' acceptance into the financial establishment was Coinbase Global Inc.'s emergence as a publicly traded company. On May 19, with bitcoin down more than 53% from its high, Bloomberg observed the following about the premier cryptocurrency trading platform:
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Friday, June 04, 2021
Bitcoin and Ravencoin Cryptos CRASH Bear Market Buying Levels Price Targets / Currencies / Bitcoin
Whilst my in-depth analysis is pending completion, however I have been flagging for several months that the crypto's are in a bubble that will burst / crash / plunge enter into a bear market for which we received a taste of what to expect a few days ago. So my message and strategy has been NOT to hold any meaningful amount of crypto i.e. the only crypto I have is what I have mined with a couple of existing desktop PC's and even then most of the funds generated (80%) have been SPENT because I know that the price of most of not all crypto's is going to head a lot lower.
So in response to patron requests and in advance of my more in-depth analysis on the crypto space that is about 50% complete, then here are the approx range of buying levels that I have had penciled in for Bitcoin for sometime of where I would be tempted to look at actually buying Bitcoin with fiat, though attempts to fund my Coinbase account with fiat has so far failed but I will leave that for my next analysis.
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Saturday, May 29, 2021
Bitcoin and Ravencoin Cryptos CRASH Bear Market Price Targets / Currencies / Bitcoin
Whilst my in-depth analysis is pending completion, however I have been flagging for several months that the crypto's are in a bubble that will burst / crash / plunge enter into a bear market for which we received a taste of what to expect a few days ago. So my message and strategy has been NOT to hold any meaningful amount of crypto i.e. the only crypto I have is what I have mined with a couple of existing desktop PC's and even then most of the funds generated (80%) have been SPENT because I know that the price of most of not all crypto's is going to head a lot lower.
So in response to patron requests and in advance of my more in-depth analysis on the crypto space that is about 50% complete, then here are the approx range of buying levels that I have had penciled in for Bitcoin for sometime of where I would be tempted to look at actually buying Bitcoin with fiat, though attempts to fund my Coinbase account with fiat has so far failed but I will leave that for my next analysis.
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Saturday, May 29, 2021
Bitcoin: Here's the "$64,000 Question" / Currencies / Bitcoin
Will the cryptocurrency ever trade at its all-time again?
In the 1950s television game show, "The $64,000 Question," contestants answered general knowledge questions and the money they could earn doubled as questions became more difficult.
The show's title spawned the well-known phrase -- "that's the $64,000 question" -- which, as you probably know, means the crucial question which gets to the heart of a matter.
Well, "the $64,000 question" for bitcoin is: Will the cryptocurrency ever trade at its all-time of $64,899 again (which was reached on April 14 of this year)?
This is a top-of-mind question for many bitcoin investors who've seen the cryptocurrency bounce back from every "correction" since the start of its meteoric rise.
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