Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, December 20, 2008
U.S. Dollar Buying Opportunity? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Money_and_Markets
Jack Crooks writes: Traders have slashed the price of the U.S. dollar. And that's terrific news! Now you can get your hands on greenbacks far cheaper than you could only two weeks ago. If you are a regular reader of my Money and Markets columns , you know that my long-term theme is that the dollar will climb sharply through most, if not all, of 2009. And now's certainly not the time to deviate from those expectations. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 19, 2008
U.S. Dollar Falls off a Cliff / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Joe_Gelet
Recent move in the USD proved a good case study for a strategy EES has been working on called “Golden Grid”, an EA based on Fibonacci levels.
Unusual market conditions: USD falls off a cliff
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Friday, December 19, 2008
U.S. Dollar Plunges as Devaluation Policy Seeks to Export Deflation / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
Bernanke & Co. on Tuesday signaled to the financial markets that they were hell-bent on pursuing an “inflate or die” approach to rescuing the ailing US economy and fending off the forces of deflation. The Fed is now inflating at a level possibly not seen before by a developed nation since Weimar Germany. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 19, 2008
Japan Announces Currency and Stock Market Intervention / Currencies / Japanese Yen
By: Mike_Shedlock
Countries are now playing a game of "Top This" to see who can do the dumbest things. Please consider the following: Japan plans to buy $227 billion in shares to boost market
Japan's government said Thursday it is submitting a bill to parliament allowing for the purchase of 20 trillion yen ($227 billion) in stock to help stabilize the Japanese stock market, Kyodo news reported. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 18, 2008
U.S. Dollar Panic Selling Following Rate Cut Abating / Currencies / Futures Trading
By: ForexPros
The USD continued to decline today despite good indications that near-term technical levels would hold surprising traders with the speed of the move. All the major pairs fell through key support levels for the second day after traders chose to sell the Greenback with both hands after yesterday’s larger than expected interest rate cut by the FOMC. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 17, 2008
The Great Crash of U.S. Dollar Begins Following Record Low Interest Rate / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: ForexPros
The USD started a bit better overnight but began to fall off as traders trimmed long positions ahead of today’s economic news. This morning’s CPI and Housing data was mixed for traders as lower CPI was offset by weaker housing data; the majors began a steady climb into the FOMC rate announcement which of course was the big news of the day. In a surprise move, the FOMC voted unanimously to cut rates a larger than expected 75 BP putting the FF rate at .25% and announcing to the world that the USD is now the cheapest currency on the planet. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 17, 2008
Crude Oil and U.S. Dollar Inverse Relationship? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Richard_Shaw
Are oil and the US Dollar inverse to each other? No. At least not always.
There are numerous articles out about “Dollar Up & Oil Down”, or “Dollar Down & Oil Up”.
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Tuesday, December 16, 2008
U.S. Dollar Crashes Through Support Treasury Bonds to Follow / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Clive_Maund
Over the past several days the dollar has gone into a severe decline, and this drop does not look like a reaction within an ongoing uptrend, as was the case in September, for as we can see on the 6-month chart it follows the development of a Head-and-Shoulders top area, a distribution pattern that took nearly 2 months to form. It looks like the dollar has broken down from an important reversal pattern. We had correctly identified the Head-and-Shoulders top back when the dollar index was high in the Right Shoulder of the pattern, when a Dollar Special update was posted on the site on 5th December, warning of a probable imminent dollar breakdown. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 16, 2008
Zero Interest Rate Bound Fed Breaks U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Ashraf_Laidi
The Fed's shift towards a range of 0-0.25% in its fed funds target zero intensifies the yield assault to the dollar, leaving little chance for traders but to extend speculative and directional offers in the currency. The decision prompts the biggest 2-day rallly in EURUSD (4.8%) following last week's 5.1% jump. The dollar is unlikely to immediately descend into an uncontrollable decline as the easing campaigns of overseas central bankers and secular market volatility has yet to recapture its peak. But the longer term prospects ahead appear particularly ominous for the world's reserve currency once global economic stability starts to buildup and the demand/supply schedule of commodities further moves towards the price. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 16, 2008
U.S. Dollar Slides Ahead of FOMC Interest Rate Cut Meeting / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: ForexPros
The USD remains under pressure to end Monday as several technical levels fail putting the majors on the offensive into tomorrows’ FOMC meeting. Analysts remain optimistic for a 50 BP cut in rates adding a bit of weight to current USD sentiment. At this point the USD remains the worlds’ number 2 low-yielding currency with only the Yen providing less. With year-end repatriation into higher-yielding currencies as traders square-books with only a few solid trading days to go into year-end the USD appears likely to suffer more losses this week. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 15, 2008
U.S. Dollar Topping Action Intensifies, Sell Dollars into Strength / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: ForexPros
The USD opens the week on a softer note and remains under light pressure at the start of New York trade. Overnight action was subdued with most of the action contained in Yen cross spreads after the release of Japan’s Tankan report; traders note that the report was very soft and below forecasts prompting some analysts to expect the BOJ to cut interest rates at some point soon. With rates at .3% from the BOJ it is difficult to expect that a rate cut would help much as the bank has held effectively a zero-rate policy since the 1990’s; USD/JPY is lower at 90.74 with highs at 91.37 and lows at 90.47 making for an inside range day with lower two-way action. Traders report bid interest on the dip to 90.50 area likely from option defense and profit-taking from shorts. Additionally, EURO/JPY was firmer after the Tankan report which helped to support USD/JPY. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, December 13, 2008
Euro Set to Fall Against the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / Euro
By: Money_and_Markets
Jack Crooks writes: There's been a strong move against the U.S. dollar this week. But am I envious of the euro right now? Definitely not.
Technically the dollar is extremely overbought. So I expect a decent, near-term correction upward in the euro. However, according to my analysis, the euro is set to weaken substantially against the U.S. dollar over the next several months.
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Friday, December 12, 2008
U.S. Dollar Set to Decline on Back of Bailouts Frenzy / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Money_Morning
Martin Hutchinson writes: The plethora of bank and corporate bailouts, stimulus plans and interest-rate cuts that the U.S. government has produced over the last three months can only lead to one outcome: The U.S. dollar has to decline.
During the crisis so far, the dollar in general, and U.S. Treasury bonds in particular, have been regarded as a “safe haven,” making the dollar strong and pushing long-term U.S. Treasury rates downward. In the New Year, however, this is likely to change – the weight of the added supply of dollars in circulation will be too great for the greenback to shrug off.
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Friday, December 12, 2008
What the Sterling Crisis Means for You / Currencies / British Pound
By: MoneyWeek
If this isn't a sterling crisis, what is? Not content with plunging 25% against the dollar over the last six months, the pound is now fast heading for parity with the euro.
Our so-called government may think it can solve Britain 's economic problems via borrowing like crazy, and letting sterling collapse into the bargain.
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Thursday, December 11, 2008
U.S. Dollar in Retreat as Corporate Failure Risks Soar on U.S. Auto's Bailout / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Ashraf_Laidi
It may be premature to call the recent currency developments a paradigm shift, but it is worth shedding light on these changes as the news from Capitol Hill overlap with thin trading volumes. The current weakness of the US dollar is not only taking part against higher yielding counterparts such as the commodity currencies (which was usually assign of improved risk appetite), but also against the Japanese yen. Since the intensification of the market and economic weakness, the greenback would gain versus most major currencies with the exception of the yen during curtailed appetite, while losing ground versus its higher yielding counterparts and weighing on the yen at times of improved risk appetite. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 11, 2008
U.S. Dollar Continued Topping Action / Currencies / Futures Trading
By: ForexPros
The USD lost ground today after a mixed open this morning; traders note that volumes remained lighter but there was no doubt which side the orders were on. After a slightly higher open in Equities this morning the prospects for the USD tracked the rise and fall in Equities during the day; turning lower into mid-day stocks posted losses before recovering to trade back through the opening range. The majors tracked the rise and fall through the day ultimately to end better on the day but off the traded highs. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 11, 2008
British Pound Heading for Parity Against the Euro / Currencies / British Pound
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Sterling continued its Crash of 2008 by falling to a new all time low against the Euro by trading below 1.14, which is just another marker enroute towards parity to the Euro as investors and speculators continue to adjust to the deteriorating fundamentals of record low interest rates, economic stagflation and an exploding pubic sector debt burden that is likely to cripple the British economy for many years AFTER the recession of 2009. Already some Bureau De changes are offering an exchange rate to the Euro of just 1.04.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 10, 2008
U.S. Dollar Under Pressure / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: ForexPros
It was a disappointing day today for equities traders as the follow-on buying seen overnight failed to inspire traders in New York today; the DJIA shed over 200 points near the end of the day putting pressure on USD bears. Crude oil lost over $1.50/BBL as well putting conflicting fundamentals in play for equities traders. The net result for traders in the majors was solid two-way whipsaw over the course of New York trade; EURO rallying to post a nine-day high at 1.3002 looking very much like a test of the resting stops rumored to be at the 1.3030 area untouched before dropping back as equities gave back recent gains. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 09, 2008
U.S. Dollar Weakens Amidst Signs of Easing Credit Crisis / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: ForexPros
Higher equities on follow-on strength from overnight positive stock prices helped to lift the majors against the USD with most pairs setting new highs against the Greenback in late trade. GBP regained the 1.4900 handle but still off the Asian highs of 1.5051 in New York; traders note that spillover strength from EURO is helping to hold GBP firmer. Additionally, cross-spreaders continued to buy Sterling on the crosses also bringing the upside in focus. Today’s close over the 1.4940 area is the highest close in six days suggesting a near-term bottom may be forming in that rate. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 08, 2008
U.S. Dollar Two Way Action Following Interest Rate Cuts / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: ForexPros
The USD is lower to start New York after a quiet steady open in Asia overnight; traders note trading was subdued in early trade but appetite for the Yen crosses finally began to push the USD lower. Technical trade was the rule as no real unexpected news was released . Falling back from Friday’s highs the Greenback failed at several key technical support levels across all major pairs to start the week on the defensive. Equities were higher across the board with all major bourses in the black by several percent helping to support their respective currencies. Read full article... Read full article...