Best of the Week
Most Popular
1.Bitcoin War Begins – Bitcoin Cash Rises 50% While Bitcoin Drops $1,000 In 24 Hours - Jeff_Berwick
2.Fragile Stock Market Bull in a China Shop -James_Quinn
3.Sheffield Leafy Suburbs Tree Felling's Triggering House Prices CRASH! - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Bank of England Hikes UK Interest Rates 100%, Reversing BREXIT PANIC Cut! - Nadeem_Walayat
5.Government Finances and Gold - Cautionary Tale told in Four Charts - Michael_J_Kosares
6.Gold Stocks Winter Rally - Zeal_LLC
7.The Stock Market- From Here to Infinity? - Plunger
8.Ethereum (ETH/USD) – bullish breakout of large symmetrical triangle looks to be getting closer - MarketsToday
9.Electronic Gold: The Deep State’s Corrupt Threat to Human Prosperity and Freedom - Stewart_Dougherty
10.Finally, The Fall Of The House Of Saud - Jim_Willie_CB
Last 7 days
Evidence of a Stock Market Top Mounting - 10th Dec 17
Bitcoin Doesn’t Exist – Forks and Mad Max - 10th Dec 17
Bitcoin Doesn’t Exist – Putting the Banks Out of Business - 9th Dec 17
China’s Struggle for Market Economy Status - 9th Dec 17
Is Gold Really Strong? - 9th Dec 17
Bitcoin Parabolic Mania - 8th Dec 17
SPX Make a 61.8% Retracement - 8th Dec 17
Gold, Stocks and Bonds - The 3 Amigos Update - 8th Dec 17
Gold Stocks Break, Gold to Follow - 8th Dec 17
4 Charts That Show How Trump Tax Cuts Will Trigger A Recession - 8th Dec 17
Precious Metals Breaking Down! 3 Amigos to Abort? 4 Horsemen to Ride? - 7th Dec 17
Bitcoin Just Smashed Through $12k… Wait, $13k… Now $14k… This Is Getting Ridiculous! - 7th Dec 17
Stock Market Tops Look Like This - 7th Dec 17
Crude Oil, Oil Stocks and Invalidation of Breakouts - 7th Dec 17
Bitcoin Doesn’t Exist – 2 - 7th Dec 17
British Pound Sterling Volatility In Crucial Week of Brexit Talk - 6th Dec 17
Day Trading vs Swing Trading: Which One is the Better Strategy? - 6th Dec 17
Crude Oil and Negative Divergences - 6th Dec 17
EU Bailins Coming – 114 Italian Banks Have NP Loans Exceeding Tangible Assets - 6th Dec 17
Bitcoin Doesn’t Exist - 5th Dec 17
Advantages of Car Insurance to Protect a Vehicle - 5th Dec 17
How High Will Gold Go? - 5th Dec 17
The Loonie Takes Flight -- BUT a "Labor Miracle" is NOT the Reason Why - 5th Dec 17
The True Meaning of Bitcoin's 'Success' - 5th Dec 17
Gerald Celente: Middle East Wild Cards Could Bring Down Markets, Drive Up Gold - 5th Dec 17
Silver’s Positive Fundamentals Due To Strong Demand In Key Growth Industries - 4th Dec 17
Stock Market Positive Expectations, But Will S&P 500 Continue Higher? - 4th Dec 17
Bitcoin Achieved What The Gold Market Never Could & Never Will? - 4th Dec 17
Stock Market Top Distribution Starting - 4th Dec 17
Understanding Real Time Forex Trading - 4th Dec 17

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Traders Workshop

How to Find Recession Proof Stocks

Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis Jul 20, 2010 - 07:35 AM GMT

By: Nilus_Mattive

Stock-Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIsn’t it amazing how quickly the mainstream media talk has turned from green shoots and recoveries to double-dip recessions and a whole laundry list of new economic worries?

The whimsical nature of the news aside, there certainly are plenty of reasons for concern as some of my colleagues have been pointing out in their recent Money and Markets columns:


Global shipping is grinding to a halt … consumers are hunkering down again … manufacturing measures are indicating a new slump in activity … and even China’s red-hot economy is now a bit less robust according to Beijing!

In short, now is the perfect time to revisit the areas of the stock market that traditionally hold up best when recessions strike. These are the very same areas that I’ve been emphasizing all along, even during the manic rally, and the very same groups of stocks that you should look at right now as storm clouds roll back over the economic landscape.

Before I get to the specific sectors and industries, however, I first want to note that I suggest sticking only to stocks that pay dividends at this point.

Reason: By their nature, income-producing stocks are a reliable way to weather all types of market hurdles and get non-refundable returns along the way.

Better yet, they tend to hold up much better than non-dividend-paying stocks … no matter what sector or industry you look at.

In 2002, for example, non-dividend stocks in the S&P 500 lost 30 percent while dividend-payers lost only 11 percent … and even during the height of the financial crisis in 2008, dividend payers outperformed by a full six percentage points.

Things Get Even Better When You Focus on The Right Dividend Stocks in Certain Parts of the Market

Many of the very same companies that pay the biggest dividends also provide products that people buy even when times are tough. Examples? Pharmaceuticals, electricity, and food.

And according to data from Standard & Poor’s, these are precisely the groups that have outperformed in past recessions.

Overall, the S&P 500 has lost an average of 21 percent during past recessions (excluding the latest one).

Meanwhile: 

blackhalfarrow Where to Find Recession Proof Stocks The average utility stock lost 15 percent and beat the market in 9 out of ten past recessions …

blackhalfarrow Where to Find Recession Proof Stocks The average health care stock posted a 7.3 percent decline and outperformed the market in 80 percent of the recessions, and …

blackhalfarrow Where to Find Recession Proof Stocks The average consumer staples stock lost just 2.4 percent, beating the market 90 percent of the time.

Average Stock Performances in Past Recessions

Yes, even the best-performing sector posted a loss … but if we get even more specific we can find pockets of companies that tend to gain ground even during economic slumps.

For example …

Alcoholic beverage makers not only beat the market in 80 percent of recessions prior to this one, they actually rose an average of 6 percent …

Household products manufacturers posted a gain of 1.8 percent and outperformed in every single instance, and …

And tobacco companies rose 9.6 percent and beat the market every time.

I can tell you from real-world experience that these trends have held through “The Great Recession,” too!

For example, tobacco company Altria produced a total return of 15 percent from my first recommendation on July 2, 2007 through May 28, 2010.

Now, are these hard-and-fast rules? Of course not. Just because a company operates in one of these traditionally recession-resistant industries doesn’t guarantee that its stock will go up (or even hold its ground).

In addition, there are some companies I consider great recession plays that operate outside these traditional safe havens — even in technology and retail!

But my point today is simple: Even if the economy continues to weaken from here, you do not have to completely abandon the entire market, especially if you’re looking for steady income.

Best wishes,

Nilus

P.S. I will be issuing the first recommendations for my brand-new Dad’s Income Portfolio service this Friday! So if you want to get on board before those income-boosting, recession-fighting plays go out … and get an entire year of additional recommendations for the special Charter Rate of $69 … I must hear from you by Midnight Eastern Time this Thursday. Click here now for all the details.

This investment news is brought to you by Money and Markets. Money and Markets is a free daily investment newsletter from Martin D. Weiss and Weiss Research analysts offering the latest investing news and financial insights for the stock market, including tips and advice on investing in gold, energy and oil. Dr. Weiss is a leader in the fields of investing, interest rates, financial safety and economic forecasting. To view archives or subscribe, visit http://www.moneyandmarkets.com.


© 2005-2018 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

Catching a Falling Financial Knife