Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
S&P Stock Market Trend Forecast to Dec 2024 - 16th Apr 24
No Deposit Bonuses: Boost Your Finances - 16th Apr 24
Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - 8th Apr 24
Gold Is Rallying Again, But Silver Could Get REALLY Interesting - 8th Apr 24
Media Elite Belittle Inflation Struggles of Ordinary Americans - 8th Apr 24
Profit from the Roaring AI 2020's Tech Stocks Economic Boom - 8th Apr 24
Stock Market Election Year Five Nights at Freddy's - 7th Apr 24
It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- 7th Apr 24
AI Revolution and NVDA: Why Tough Going May Be Ahead - 7th Apr 24
Hidden cost of US homeownership just saw its biggest spike in 5 years - 7th Apr 24
What Happens To Gold Price If The Fed Doesn’t Cut Rates? - 7th Apr 24
The Fed is becoming increasingly divided on interest rates - 7th Apr 24
The Evils of Paper Money Have no End - 7th Apr 24
Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - 3rd Apr 24
Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend - 2nd Apr 24
Dow Stock Market Annual Percent Change Analysis 2024 - 2nd Apr 24
Bitcoin S&P Pattern - 31st Mar 24
S&P Stock Market Correlating Seasonal Swings - 31st Mar 24
S&P SEASONAL ANALYSIS - 31st Mar 24
Here's a Dirty Little Secret: Federal Reserve Monetary Policy Is Still Loose - 31st Mar 24
Tandem Chairman Paul Pester on Fintech, AI, and the Future of Banking in the UK - 31st Mar 24
Stock Market Volatility (VIX) - 25th Mar 24
Stock Market Investor Sentiment - 25th Mar 24
The Federal Reserve Didn't Do Anything But It Had Plenty to Say - 25th Mar 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

"Exciting Week" Ahead for Gold as Silver as US Prepares $99Bn Bond Sale

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012 Nov 23, 2012 - 10:05 AM GMT

By: Adrian_Ash

Commodities

The DOLLAR PRICE of physical gold rose back to $1734 per ounce in London on Friday morning, nearing the top of the last 5 weeks' trading range as so-called "risk assets" also crept higher.

Asian and European stock markets were slightly stronger, while the single Euro currency pushed back above $1.29.


Commodity prices added 0.5% on the broad GSCI index. Silver touched its best Dollar-price in 6 weeks above $33.50 per ounce.

"Activity is muted," said one London dealer, with US markets due to re-open but many traders extending the Thanksgiving holiday.

"[The gold price] is stuck between $1715 and $1740 area for now," Reuters quotes Ronald Leung at Lee Cheong Gold Dealers in Hong Kong.

"But speculators are still bullish on gold, as uncertainties about the 'fiscal cliff' hang around and they believe that central banks around the world will stay loose on monetary policy."

On a technical analysis, the gold price "is just a few dollars shy of its 50-day moving average sitting at $1741," says a note from Swiss investment and bullion bank, UBS.

"More importantly, a key technical level [is] lurking at $1739.10...A break above this level, which is the month’s high, would be a crucial bullish development.

Again citing the US holiday, "Market participants may have to wait until after the weekend to see some action," UBS adds. "[European] investors still have the day ahead to position for what may be an exciting week."

Next week the US Treasury will seek to raise $99 billion in new debt, according to Bloomberg data.

Treasury bond prices rose Friday, pushing interest rates down to just 1.67% on 10-year debt.

"Pimco is avoiding, or trying to keep a low weighting, on maturities beyond 10 years," said Tony Crescenzi, a portfolio manager at the giant bond-fund group, in an interview. "Because we know the Fed’s intent is to reflate a deflated economy."

Nearer-term, he believes, "Treasuries provide good insurance against macro risk."

British Gilts and German Bunds also rose Friday morning, reducing 10-year German yields to just 1.42% – despite stronger-than-expected Ifo business confidence data – after the S&P ratings agency cut the status of 3 more Spanish banks.

Spain's sovereign debt prices fell, nudging 10-year interest rates up to 5.68%.

Spain's wealthiest region, Catalonia, goes to the polls on Sunday for elections which local president Artur Mas has called a referendum on independence from Madrid.

Over in Athens meantime, negotiations continued over €31.2 billion in bail-out funds which Greece has been waiting for since June from the International Monetary Fund.

The IMF said this morning that Greek debt would be "viable" if cut to 124% of GDP by 2020. It is currently on track to hit 190% by 2014.

"It's natural [we] look out for other types of assets," today's Financial Times quotes a Brazilian economist after new data showed the central bank adding more than 17 tonnes of gold bullion to its national reserves in October.

That took Brazil's total reserves to 53 tonnes, an 11-year high.

The latest gold reserves data from the IMF also show Turkey, Kazakhstan and Russia again raising their national holdings as well.

By Adrian Ash
BullionVault.com

Gold price chart, no delay   |   Buy gold online at live prices

Formerly City correspondent for The Daily Reckoning in London and a regular contributor to MoneyWeek magazine, Adrian Ash is the editor of Gold News and head of research at www.BullionVault.com , giving you direct access to investment gold, vaulted in Zurich , on $3 spreads and 0.8% dealing fees.

(c) BullionVault 2012

Please Note: This article is to inform your thinking, not lead it. Only you can decide the best place for your money, and any decision you make will put your money at risk. Information or data included here may have already been overtaken by events – and must be verified elsewhere – should you choose to act on it.


© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in