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Nadeem Walayat Financial Markets Analysiis and Trend Forecasts

Silver Forecast - Targeting Break of Key Resistance at $15.20

Commodities / Forecasts & Technical Analysis Feb 26, 2007 - 01:05 AM GMT

By: Clive_Maund

Commodities Although silver did not stage such an obviously important breakout as gold last week, it did nevertheless rise in tandem, and succeeded in breaking out above important resistance at its early December highs, putting it in position for "The Big One", which will be the breakout above last year's highs at about $15.20, which is an objective that silver, with its propensity for big moves could easily achieve in a single day from the current position.


We had earlier looked to delineate a 3-arc Fan Correction in silver to match the one in gold but didn't find a truly satisfactory fit. Now, however, after last week's action, we have it. On the 14-month chart (the time period for which was selected to allow last year's high to be viewed without interference from writing on the chart) we can see how a 3rd fanline drawn from last year's highs across the early December highs is what created the resistance that caused silver to start rolling over the week before last before it suddenly blasted higher in tune with gold last week.

Having broken out above the resistance at the December highs, in the process breaking out above the 3rd fanline of the 3-arc Fan Correction, silver has arrived at the threshold of "The Big One". Silver is now very well placed to stage a breakout above the highs of last year, an event that could well involved a $1 - $1.50 up day, which will mark the start of a powerful uptrend.

By Clive Maund
CliveMaund.com

The above represents the opinion and analysis of Mr. Maund, based on data available to him, at the time of writing. Mr. Maunds opinions are his own, and are not a recommendation or an offer to buy or sell securities. No responsibility can be accepted for losses that may result as a consequence of trading on the basis of this analysis. Mr. Maund is an independent analyst who receives no compensation of any kind from any groups, individuals or corporations mentioned in his reports. As trading and investing in any financial markets may involve serious risk of loss, Mr. Maund recommends that you consult with a qualified investment advisor, one licensed by appropriate regulatory agencies in your legal jurisdiction and do your own due diligence and research when making any kind of a transaction with financial ramifications.


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