Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Will Iran Kill the PetroDollar? - Marin Katusa
2. Tail Events, Isolation, New Normal Of Hyper Monetary Inflation - Jim_Willie_CB
3. Kodak's Former Moment, A Lesson for You, Me and America - Gary_North
4.The Five Stages of Collapse and the Coming Paradigm Shift in Silver - Steve_St_Angelo
5. UK Recession 2012 Certain as Bank of England Prepares to Ramp Up Money Printing Presses - Nadeem_Walayat
6. HMRC Extends Tax Deadline by 2Days for Self Assessment Online Filing - Nadeem_Walayat
7. Gold GLD ETF Investors Mass Exodus - Zeal_LLC
8. Credit Crisis Perfect Storm, Robert Prechter Discusses What's Backing Your Dollars - Robert Prechter
9. Best Cash ISA 2012 to Reduce Stealth Inflation Theft of Value of Savings - Nadeem_Walayat
10.Financial Markets 2012, When Leverage Fails - Ty_Andros
Last 5 Days Analysis
The Next Big Asian Emerging Market - 9th Feb 12
Different Measures of U.S. Unemployment, but Consistent Story is Visible - 9th Feb 12
The Fed's Quasi-Fiscal Policies - 9th Feb 12
Will Currency Devaluation Fix the Eurozone? - 9th Feb 12
What If Iran Closed The Straits Of Hormuz? - 9th Feb 12
Gold Will Advance to $2,500 If Euro Zone Breaks Up - 9th Feb 12
Ben Bernanke is Every Gold Bug's Best Friend - 9th Feb 12
Apple Stock Heading Over $600 on iTV and iPad3 - 9th Feb 12
Money Market Funds Are in the Fight of Their Lives - 9th Feb 12
China's Economic Rebalancing Should Be Good for Gold Demand - 9th Feb 12
Waiting to Pounce on Gold and Silver Profits - 9th Feb 12
Learn How to Apply Fibonacci Retracements to Your Stock Index Trading - 8th Feb 12
Do Low Interest Rates Power Stock Markets Higher? - 8th Feb 12
SILVER: The Illegitimate Child Of The Commodities Family - 8th Feb 12
A New Reason Gold Stocks Will Soar - 8th Feb 12
The Deception of 0% Interest Rates, High Costs and Capital Destruction - 8th Feb 12
Bring Down the New World Order with Free Market Education - 8th Feb 12
Gold Increases In Value During Inflation or Deflation Scenarios - 8th Feb 12
Gold Holds Steady as U.S. Dollar Hits 2-Month Low - 8th Feb 12
Markets Risk Train Chugs Along, Overbought Does Not Mean a Correction is Coming - 8th Feb 12
Banking, U.S. Housing Market and Mortgages - 8th Feb 12
Has Zero Interest Rate Policy Held Back Economic Recovery? - 8th Feb 12
Graphite and Rare Earth Metals for the 21st Century - 8th Feb 12
Gold Odysseus Journey Continues! - 8th Feb 12
The Fed Resumes Printing Money to Monetize U.S. Government Debt - 7th Feb 12
Timing the Market: Predicting When the FED Will Act Next (Feb 12) - 7th Feb 12
U.S. War With Iran? - 7th Feb 12
Abandoning the U.S. Dollar for Gold - 7th Feb 12
Financial Crisis American Gridlock, Why The “Left” And The “Right” Are Both Wrong - 7th Feb 12
The Fed is Engineering Barack Obama’s Re-Election Campaign - 7th Feb 12
Finding Fundamentals Key to Gold Stocks Investing - 7th Feb 12
US Debt Will Explode Without Changes - 7th Feb 12
Gold Compared to Past Bubbles - 7th Feb 12
Illusion Of Economic Recovery – Feelings & Facts - 7th Feb 12
In the Gold Bullring - 7th Feb 12
This Precious Metal Could Rise 125% Over the Next 10 Months - 6th Feb 12
Washington Heading for War on Syria - 6th Feb 12
Gold "Rollercoaster" Heads Yet Lower as Greece Hits "Crunch Time for Bankruptcy" - 6th Feb 12
Did Friday's Gold Price Action Signal a Stock Market Top? - 6th Feb 12
Monday Financial Markets Madness – What’s This Greece Thing? - 6th Feb 12
Stock Market Investors Dangerous Times Ahead, Will Impact Gold - 6th Feb 12
Gold, Stocks and Euro Fall As Possible Greek Debt Default Looms - 6th Feb 12
Bond Investors Pour into Emerging Market Debt in Hunt for Higher Yields - 6th Feb 12
New Spy Technology Could Be Worth Billions - 6th Feb 12
U.S. Fraudulent Election Year Unemployment Data, Lies, Lies, More and Bigger Lies - 6th Feb 12
Double Liability for Bank Shareholders, Officers and Directors - 6th Feb 12
Stock Market Next Short-term Top in Sight - 6th Feb 12
U.S. Home Foreclosures and Shadow Banking: Why All the "Robo-signing"? - 5th Feb 12
Look at What 'Worked' in the Great Depression - 5th Feb 12
Putting Good U.S. Employment Numbers in Perspective, College Education Isn’t Enough - 5th Feb 12
Stock Market Weekend Update - 5th Feb 12
The Doomsday Machine - 4th Feb 12
Are US Treasury Bond Markets a Sell? - 4th Feb 12
Obama’s Refinancing Swindle, Banks Want to Dump Millions of Risky Mortgages Onto FHA - 4th Feb 12
The Euro Zone and the Crisis of Sovereign Debt - 4th Feb 12
Is the U.S. 'Decoupling' From the European Debt Crisis? - 4th Feb 12
The Crucial Pillar of the New World Order - 4th Feb 12
Gold Junior Mining Stocks Poised to Rebound - 4th Feb 12
U.S. January Employment Situation Shows Widespread Improvement, but Short of Full Employment Mandate - 4th Feb 12
U.S. Non Farm Payrolls Interesting Market Divergences - 4th Feb 12
Gold and Silver Mining Stocks Tops Might Be Just Around the Corner - 4th Feb 12
Critical Materials for Critical Technologies - 3rd Feb 12
Junior Gold Mining Stock - 3rd Feb 12
SOPA, PIPA, The State of US Surveillance - 3rd Feb 12
Essential Investor Preparations for The Big Crisis - 3rd Feb 12
U.S. Jobs, El-Erian U.S. Structural Issues Aren't Being Dealt With - 3rd Feb 12
What Every U.S. Investor Should Know About Inflation - 3rd Feb 12
Gold Challenges Resistance at $1,750/oz – Technicals and Fundamentals Remain Very Positive - 2nd Feb 12
German Central Bailing Out Europe - 2nd Feb 12
In the Wake of Davos: "Strong Economic Medicine" for the European Union - 2nd Feb 12
The American Economy is "Dead": The Illusion of Economic Recovery - 2nd Feb 12
Irish People Bailout of Bond Holders, Vincent Browne v The European Central Bank Video - 2nd Feb 12

Free Instant Analysis

Free Instant Technical Analysis


Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How You Can Identify Stock Market Turning Points Using Fibonacci

US Dollar Major Bottom Forecast Within Next Two Weeks

Currencies / US Dollar Apr 05, 2008 - 07:57 PM

By: Marty_Chenard

Currencies

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis morning's update will look at two U.S. Dollar charts ... short term and long term.

The first is the weekly chart of U.S. Dollar going back to 2005.  Very clearly, you can see that it has been in a  down trend since 2005.  Its descending channel has held steadily all the way down.


However, the Dollar fell below the channel and held support for the past four weeks.  It is now in a bottoming consolidation. See the next chart ...

This next chart shows the daily movement of the Dollar from 2006 to today. 

This chart has two indicators attached to it ... the Relative Strength reading, and our Hybrid Accelerator indicator.

Here is what these indicators are saying:

1. The Relative Strength shows that the Dollar reached an oversold level on March 17th.  Once the Dollar hits an oversold level, the typical pattern is for it to consolidate for a few weeks and then start an upside move.

We are now in our 4th. week of consolidation. 

2.  Now, take a look at our Hybrid Accelerator at the bottom of the graph.  Its red/blue trend lines are now moving up, confirming that an oversold bottom is gathering the muster to change to an upside move.

The fast green Hybrid Accelerator indicator is now positive (above the horizontal line).  It has not made a higher top over the previous (green indicator) move yet.  But when it does ... within the next two weeks, that will confirm the Dollar is ready to move to the upside.  [This chart is posted on our Advanced subscriber site every day.]


By Marty Chenard
http://www.stocktim ing.com/

Please Note: We do not issue Buy or Sell timing recommendations on these Free daily update pages . I hope you understand, that in fairness, our Buy/Sell recommendations and advanced market Models are only available to our paid subscribers on a password required basis. Membership information

Marty Chenard is the Author and Teacher of two Seminar Courses on "Advanced Technical Analysis Investing", Mr. Chenard has been investing for over 30 years. In 2001 when the NASDAQ dropped 24.5%, his personal investment performance for the year was a gain of 57.428%. He is an Advanced Stock Market Technical Analyst that has developed his own proprietary analytical tools.  As a result, he was out of the market two weeks before the 1987 Crash in the most recent Bear Market he faxed his Members in March 2000 telling them all to SELL.  He is an advanced technical analyst and not an investment advisor, nor a securities broker.

Marty Chenard Archive

© 2005-2012 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Comments


Post Comment (Moderated)




Commenting Issue - If on submitting you are returned to the main Index Page (50% chance) then your comment has not been accepted, Follow below steps for 95% chance of comment being accepted.

  1. Click your browser Back button (from main index page).
  2. COPY your comment text from Comment box (i.e. copy to clipboard).
  3. Press PAGE Refresh - You should see the message "You are not authorized to carry out this operation"
  4. Paste your comment back into the comment text box.
  5. Click Submit - If everything goes okay you will remain on the article page with the message "Your comment was held for moderation and will be reviewed shortly".
  6. If instead you are again returned to the main index page then repeat 1-5, alternatively EMAIL to comments @ marketoracle.co.uk quoting the article number.

FREE Deflation Survival GuideFREE Updated 118 Page Independant Investor E-book