Best of the Week
Most Popular
1.U.S. Inner City Turmoil and Other Crises: Ron Pauls Predictions for 2015 - Dr_Ron_Paul
2. What’s In Store For Gold Price in 2015? - Ben Kramer-Miller
3.Crude Oil Price Ten Year Forecast to 2025: Importers Set to Receive a $600 Billion Refund - Andrew_Butter
4.Je ne suis pas Charlie - I am not Charlie - Nadeem_Walayat
5.The New Normal for Oil? - Marin_Katusa
6.Will Collapse in Oil Price Cause a Stock Market Crash? - OilPrice.com
7.UK CPI Inflation Smoke and Mirrors Deflation Warning, Inflation Mega-trend is Exponential - Nadeem_Walayat
8.Winter Storms Snow and Wind Tree Damage Dangers, DIY Pruning - Nadeem_Walayat
9.Oil Price Crash and SNP Independent Scotland Economic Collapse Bankruptcy - Nadeem_Walayat
10.U.S. Housing Market Bubble 2.0 Meet the Pin - James_Quinn
Last 5 days
Kaminak Yukon Gold - 30th Jan 15
U.S. Asset Price Deflation Coming Up? Food Prices Drop? CPI Negative? Credit Deflation? - 30th Jan 15
An Often Overlooked Predator: State Governments and Income Taxes - 30th Jan 15
Bullard Says Rates at Zero Interest Rates Not Right for U.S. Economy - 30th Jan 15
Why the European Central Bank's Massive Economic Experiment Will Fail - 30th Jan 15
Gold Price Short-Term Bottom Due, Higher into February - 30th Jan 15
Silver and Other Precious Metals To Manipulate - 30th Jan 15
Socialism Is Like a Nude Beach - Sounds Like a Great Idea Until You Get There - 30th Jan 15
To Create Unlimited Market Liquidity or Not; That Is the Question - 30th Jan 15
Seen the Energy Downturn Movie Before, and Not Worried - 30th Jan 15
It’s Not Time to Sell Everything – Yet - 30th Jan 15
13 Investment Themes for 2015 - 29th Jan 15
The Raging Currency Wars Across Europe - 29th Jan 15
The End of Currency 'Safe-Havens' - 29th Jan 15
Ron Paul on U.S. Fed, Central Bankers Monetary Psychopaths - 29th Jan 15
Why Microsoft Stock Will Provide Major Investing Returns - 29th Jan 15
Exploring the Clash Within Civilizations - Mind the Gap - 29th Jan 15
Saudi Arabia Changes Kings, But Not its Oil Policy - 29th Jan 15
Crude Oil Price Bulls vs. Resistance Zone - 28th Jan 15
Acceleration Of Events With Rising Chaos – US Dollar Death Foretold - 28th Jan 15
The Fed and ECB Take the West back to when the Rich Owned Everything - 28th Jan 15
Washington's War on Russia - 28th Jan 15
Cyber War Poses Risks To Banks and Deposits - 28th Jan 15
Lies And Deception In Ukraine's Energy Sector - 28th Jan 15
EUR, AUD, GBP USD – Invalidation of Breakdown - 28th Jan 15
“Backup-Camera Envy” Is Driving This Unstoppaple Investment Trend - 28th Jan 15
The Great "inflated" Expectations for Gold, Oil, Commodities -- and Now Stocks - 28th Jan 15
How to Find the Best Offshore Banks - 28th Jan 15
There’s More to the Gold Price Rally Than European Market Fears - 28th Jan 15
Bitcoin Price Tense Days Ahead - 27th Jan 15
The Most Overlooked “Buy” Signal in the Stock Market - 27th Jan 15
Gold's Time Has Come - 27th Jan 15
France America And Religious Terror War - 27th Jan 15
The New Drivers of Europe's Geopolitics - 27th Jan 15
Gold And Silver - Around The FX World In Charts - 27th Jan 15
It’s Not The Greeks Who Failed, It’s The EU - 27th Jan 15
Gold and Silver Stocks Investing Basics - 27th Jan 15
Stock Market Test of Strength - 26th Jan 15
Is the Gold Price Rally Over? - 26th Jan 15
ECB QE Action - Canary’s Alive & Well - 26th Jan 15
Possible Stock Market Pop-n-drop in Store For SPX - 26th Jan 15
Risk of New Debt Crisis After Syriza Victory In Greece - 26th Jan 15
How Eurozone QE Works: A Guide to Draghi's News - 26th Jan 15
Comprehensive Silver Price Chart Analysis - 26th Jan 15
Stock Market More Retracement Expected - 26th Jan 15
Decoding the Gold COTs: Myth vs Reality - 26th Jan 15
Greece Votes for Syriza Hyperinflation - Threatening Euro-zone Collapse or Perpetual Free Lunch - 26th Jan 15
Draghi's "No-growth" QE Money for Stocks, Zilch for the Economy - 25th Jan 15
Unjust and Undeclared Wars - 25th Jan 15
The European Central Bank Commits Monetary Suicide - 25th Jan 15
Stock Market ECB EQE week - 25th Jan 15
Gold And Silver Timing Is Most Important Element - 25th Jan 15
The Best Way to Invest in the Next Alibaba Internet Stock IPO - 25th Jan 15
The Outpatient Surgery Business Rains Cash into Healthcare Stocks - 25th Jan 15

Free Instant Analysis

Free Instant Technical Analysis


Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Learn to Trade

Gold Price, What Can We Infer From Copper and Palladium?

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013 Sep 05, 2013 - 01:47 PM GMT

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Commodities

According to Reuters, gold rose after President Barack Obama won the backing of key figures in the U.S. Congress, including Republicans, in his call for limited strikes on Syria to punish the government for its suspected use of chemical weapons against civilians. Earlier on Tuesday, a missile test by Israeli forces training in the Mediterranean with the U.S. Navy set nerves on edge. These circumstances stimulated safe-haven buying in the gold market and resulted in an increase in price to above $1,416 an ounce.


However, this improvement didn’t last long. The yellow metal gave up some of its gains as the dollar rose after strong U.S. data boosted prospects the Federal Reserve would trim its stimulus this month. Despite this decline, prices held above $1,400 on continued concerns around Syria.

Speaking of Fed… markets are awaiting jobs data on Friday for clues on when the U.S. Federal Reserve will dial back its commodities-friendly stimulus measures that have helped push gold to record highs. However, the Fed meeting later this month will be much more important. It seems that as the days go and we approach this event, the precious metals market is getting nervous about a possible start to QE tapering and we see some price weakness.

In our previous essays we took a closer look at the situation in gold from different perspectives. In our essay on gold and the dollar on September 3, 2013 we wrote about the dollar‘s and the euro‘s implications for gold. At the end of August we also checked the stock market and the mining stocks for clues. In today’s essay we want to introduce you to the copper and palladium charts. Why have we decided to feature these charts? Because commodities usually move together on a short-term basis, even though they may evolve into different formations in the medium- and long term. Do they provide us with interesting clues as to the next possible moves in the entire sector? Let’s take a closer look at the charts below and find out. Let’s start with the copper chart (charts courtesy by http://stockcharts.com).

On the above chart, we see that there was another short-term pullback in the past few days. This upward move took copper to the neck level of the bearish head-and-shoulders pattern once again; however, there was no breakout above it, and the price of copper declined shortly after this neck level was reached. What this means is that nothing has changed as far as the bearish implications of this pattern are concerned.

From this point of view, it was just another pullback, which did not invalidate the previous large head-and-shoulders pattern or its implications.

Consequently, the medium-term outlook for copper remains bearish.

Now, let’s move on to the palladium chart.

On the above chart, we see that palladium moved above its upper resistance line (marked with a dashed line on the chart) in the first half of August.  However, the improvement didn’t last long, and palladium moved back below this resistance line in the following week.

Last week we saw further deterioration as the price of palladium dropped below the declining resistance line based on the 2013 top and the May peak (in terms of weekly closing prices).

From this point of view, we have an invalidation of two breakouts, which is a bearish signal. This is likely to result in further declines, and the implications for the rest of the precious metals sector are therefore bearish as well.

Summing up, as you know from our previous essay, the medium-term outlook for gold remains bearish despite a recent show of strength. Additionally, Tuesday’s strength didn’t change anything in the overall outlook. Taking into account the situation in copper and palladium and their implications for gold, it seems that the rally that we have seen in recent weeks was just a correction and that the metals will move much lower in the coming weeks.

To make sure that you are notified once the new features are implemented, and get immediate access to our free thoughts on the market, including information not available publicly, we urge you to sign up for our free gold newsletter. Sign up today and you'll also get free, 7-day access to the Premium Sections on our website, including valuable tools and charts dedicated to serious Precious Metals Investors and Traders along with our 14 best gold investment practices. It's free and you may unsubscribe at any time.

Thank you for reading. Have a great and profitable week!

Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA

Founder, Editor-in-chief

Gold & Silver Investment & Trading Website - SunshineProfits.com

* * * * *

About Sunshine Profits

Sunshine Profits enables anyone to forecast market changes with a level of accuracy that was once only available to closed-door institutions. It provides free trial access to its best investment tools (including lists of best gold stocks and best silver stocks), proprietary gold & silver indicators, buy & sell signals, weekly newsletter, and more. Seeing is believing.

Disclaimer

All essays, research and information found above represent analyses and opinions of Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA and Sunshine Profits' associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be a subject to change without notice. Opinions and analyses were based on data available to authors of respective essays at the time of writing. Although the information provided above is based on careful research and sources that are believed to be accurate, Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA and his associates do not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. The opinions published above are neither an offer nor a recommendation to purchase or sell any securities. Mr. Radomski is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading Przemyslaw Radomski's, CFA reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA, Sunshine Profits' employees and affiliates as well as members of their families may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.

Przemyslaw Radomski Archive

© 2005-2014 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

Free Report - Financial Markets 2014