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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Urgent Stock Market Message

UK Interest Rates and House Prices Trend Forecast - Video

Housing-Market / UK Housing Jul 03, 2014 - 10:18 AM GMT

By: Nadeem_Walayat


Blasting away Mark Carneys flop flopping smoke and mirrors statements on the prospects for UK interest rates to reveal the underlying fundamentals for RISING interest rates this year. This video addresses the likely impact on the ongoing UK housing bull market.

The analysis in this video is based on the following article -

UK Housing Market Forecast 2014-2018 Ebook - FREE DOWNLOAD

The housing market ebook of over 300 pages comprises four main parts :

1. U.S. Housing Market Analysis and Trend Forecast 2013-2016 - 27 pages

The US housing market analysis and concluding trend forecast at the start of 2013 acted as a good lead exercise for the subsequent more in-depth analysis of the UK housing market.

2. U.K. Housing Market Analysis and House Prices Forecast 2014-2018 - 107 pages

The second part comprises the bulk of analysis that concludes in several detailed trend forecasts including that for UK house prices from 2014 to 2018 and their implications for the outcome of the next General Election (May 2015) as well as the Scottish Referendum.

3. Housing Market Guides - 138 Pages

Over 1/3rd of the ebook comprises of extensive guides that cover virtually every aspect of the process of buying, selling and owning properties, including many value increasing home improvements continuing on in how to save on running and repair costs with timely maintenance tasks and even guides on which value losing home improvements should be avoided.

  • What Can You Afford to Buy?
  • Home Buyers Guide
  • Home Sellers Guide
  • Top 15 Value Increasing Home Improvements
  • Home Improvements to Avoid
  • Home Winter Weather Proofing 22 Point Survey

These guides will further be supplemented from Mid 2014 onwards by a series of online videos and regularly updated calculators such as the Home Buying Profit and Loss Calculator, which will seek to give calculations on whether to buy or rent based on personal individual circumstances, that will be updated to include the latest expected trend trajectories for future house price inflation i.e. you will have your own personal house price forecast.

4. Historic Analysis 2007 to 2012 - 40 pages

A selection of 10 historic articles of analysis to illustrate the process of analysis during key stages of the housing markets trend from the euphoric bubble high, to a state of denial as house prices entered a literal free fall, to the depths of depression and then emergence of the embryonic bull market during 2012 that gave birth to the bull market proper of 2013.

FREE DOWNLOAD (Only requirement is a valid email address)

By Nadeem Walayat

Copyright © 2005-2014 (Market Oracle Ltd). All rights reserved.

Nadeem Walayat has over 25 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of five ebook's in the The Inflation Mega-Trend and Stocks Stealth Bull Market series that can be downloaded for Free.

Housing Markets Forecast 2014-2018The Stocks Stealth Bull Market 2013 and Beyond EbookThe Stocks Stealth Bull Market Update 2011 EbookThe Interest Rate Mega-Trend EbookThe Inflation Mega-trend Ebook

Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication that presents in-depth analysis from over 1000 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets, thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction.

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

Nadeem Walayat Archive

© 2005-2018 - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


04 Jul 14, 00:43

Nadeem would you be able to clarify if your forecast for price increases includes London suburbs? In contrast to the UK there was really no significant correction, and as you know prices are at least 30% above 2007 levels. Would appreciate any insight even if not data based.

Thanks again


05 Jul 14, 02:59
London House Prices

Hi Zahir

Firstly London house prices did crash by between 22%-25%, depending on who's price data you look at.

In April I covered the dynamics for London house prices where my conclusion was because of mass delusion amongst foriegn buyers, I will take a closer look at aspects of the London bubble in a future article.

My view is that the London boom is set to ripple outwards which means a year from now the media will be reporting how London house prices are lagging other regions of Britain. However don't assume that means that London house prices will fall as even the London bull market has got many more years to run, easily 2 more.

If you want to invest in London, then as is the case for other UK cities the place to look at are up and coming areas, that probably means looking further Eastwards and south of the Thames



06 Jul 14, 04:34
London House Prices

Thanks alot Nadeem appreciate your time. I do appreciate the crash figures, but I believe that it was only for a few months, and in the suburbs of North London where I live supply just totally dried up.

Yh I would be up for going East and south of the thames as a buy to let, but as a residential I would like to stay near my base.

I was wondering if you have or would consider a property sourcing or advisory type of service, whereby we could pay you a finders fee of a % of the price etc or even seminars on trading or investment. I know you must be busy, and not really in need of additional money but I agree there is alot of opportunity up North, like Birmingham with HS2 etc. I lovee the fact that you can get things for 2007 prices there still. But obviously for someone who doesnt know the midlands or the North it could be a bit amateurish.

Anyway thanks again for your time and articles. You are providing a great service to us.

Thanks alot


07 Jul 14, 05:01


Sales men sell.

My objective is to know the truth, that which is most probable. It just would not work where one is selling something when the truth is contrary to what is being sold.

Becoming a sales man is just not in my character. It would not work, I would become all confused, like what the dudes are on CNBC :)



08 Jul 14, 01:36

Yes I understand, well was worth a try anyway :)

Many thanks for your responses. Sincerely appreciate that.


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