Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. The Trump Stock Market Trap May Be Triggered - Barry_M_Ferguson
2.Why are Central Banks Buying Gold and Dumping Dollars? - Richard_Mills
3.US China War - Thucydides Trap and gold - Richard_Mills
4.Gold Price Trend Forcast to End September 2019 - Nadeem_Walayat
5.Money Saving Kids Gardening Growing Giant Sunflowers Summer Fun - Anika_Walayat
6.US Dollar Breakdown Begins, Gold Price to Bolt Higher - Jim_Willie_CB
7.INTEL (INTC) Stock Investing to Profit From AI Machine Learning Boom - Nadeem_Walayat
8.Will Google AI Kill Us? Man vs Machine Intelligence - N_Walayat
9.US Prepares for Currency War with China - Richard_Mills
10.Gold Price Epochal Breakout Will Not Be Negated by a Correction - Clive Maund
Last 7 days
US Housing Market Real Terms BUY / SELL Indicator - 16th July 19
Could Trump Really Win the 2020 US Presidential Election? - 16th July 19
Gold Stocks Forming Bullish Consolidation - 16th July 19
Will Fed Easing Turn Out Like 1995 or 2007? - 16th July 19
Red Rock Entertainment Investments: Around the world in a day with Supreme Jets - 16th July 19
Silver Has Already Gone from Weak to Strong Hands - 15th July 19
Top Equity Mutual Funds That Offer Best Returns - 15th July 19
Gold’s Breakout And The US Dollar - 15th July 19
Financial Markets, Iran, U.S. Global Hegemony - 15th July 19
U.S Bond Yields Point to a 40% Rise in SPX - 15th July 19
Corporate Earnings may Surprise the Stock Market – Watch Out! - 15th July 19
Stock Market Interest Rate Cut Prevails - 15th July 19
Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast Current State July 2019 Video - 15th July 19
Why Summer is the Best Time to be in the Entertainment Industry - 15th July 19
Mid-August Is A Critical Turning Point For US Stocks - 14th July 19
Fed’s Recessionary Indicators and Gold - 14th July 19
The Problem with Keynesian Economics - 14th July 19
Stocks Market Investors Worried About the Fed? Don't Be -- Here's Why - 13th July 19
Could Gold Launch Into A Parabolic Upside Rally? - 13th July 19
Stock Market SPX and Dow in BREAKOUT but this is the worrying part - 13th July 19
Key Stage 2 SATS Tests Results Grades and Scores GDS, EXS, WTS Explained - 13th July 19
INTEL Stock Investing in Qubits and AI Neural Network Processors - Video - 12th July 19
Gold Price Selloff Risk High - 12th July 19
State of the US Economy as Laffer Gets Laughable - 12th July 19
Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast Current State - 12th July 19
Stock Market Major Index Top In 3 to 5 Weeks? - 11th July 19
Platinum Price vs Gold Price - 11th July 19
What This Centi-Billionaire Fashion Magnate Can Teach You About Investing - 11th July 19
Stock Market Fundamentals are Weakening: 3000 on SPX Means Nothing - 11th July 19
This Tobacco Stock Is a Big Winner from E-Cigarette Bans - 11th July 19
Investing in Life Extending Pharma Stocks - 11th July 19
How to Pay for It All: An Option the Presidential Candidates Missed - 11th July 19
Mining Stocks Flash Powerful Signal for Gold and Silver Markets - 11th July 19
5 Surefire Ways to Get More Viewers for Your Video Series - 11th July 19
Gold Price Gann Angle Update - 10th July 19
Crude Oil Prices and the 2019 Hurricane Season - 10th July 19
Can Gold Recover from Friday’s Strong Payrolls Hit? - 10th July 19
Netflix’s Worst Nightmare Has Come True - 10th July 19
LIMITLESS - Improving Cognitive Function and Fighting Brain Ageing Right Now! - 10th July 19
US Dollar Strength Will Drive Markets Higher - 10th July 19
Government-Pumped Student Loan Bubble Sets Up Next Financial Crisis - 10th July 19
Stock Market SPX 3000 Dream is Pushed Away: Pullback of 5-10% is Coming - 10th July 19
July 2019 GBPUSD Market Update and Outlook - 10th July 19

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Top AI Stocks Investing to Profit from the Machine Intelligence Mega-trend

Stocks Bear Market - 5 Further Technical Confirmations

Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market Sep 05, 2015 - 04:22 PM GMT

By: Brian_Bloom



We now have five signals that the US equity market is entering a Primary Bear Trend (Confirms the prognosis of the S&P Global 1200 Index)

  1. Rounding top on both Industrials and Transports
  2. The DJ Industrials’ fall to a lower low than October 2014 was confirmed by Transports fall to a lower low (Pink spots)
  3. “Death Cross” on both indices as 50 Day MA crossed over of 200 day MA (Green spots)
  4. The consolidation of both indices after fall below 200 day MA was followed by sharp declines (Blue spots)
  5. On Balance Volume (relationship between buying and selling pressure) of Dow Jones Industrials has fallen to a new low (Yellow spots) (Not yet “finally” confirmed by Transports)


If On Balance Volume chart of Transport Index falls to a new low there can be no argument: The US equity market has entered a Primary Bear trend

Bloom Observation:

One needs to be circumspect about technical analysis nowadays because of the so-called Dark Pools of computer generated trading transactions that are not reported. It is for that reason that technical “confirmations” become far more important than in the days that preceded the insider trading of algorithm driven computers which benefit from advance information. Nevertheless, it seems reasonable to argue that five technical confirmations is sufficient to arrive at a reliable conclusion. The world is entering a new and uncharted era of economic activity.  The time has arrived when Finance Ministers and Treasurers of sovereign countries need to face the fact that the Central Banking assumption – that structural and controlled inflation can be sustained ad infinitum – is flawed. Economic forecasts by models that are predicated on this assumption can no longer be trusted.

My understanding (and expectation) of the above is what led to the decision to write and publish my two fact-based novels, (in 2008 and 2012) which attempt to explain how we got into this economic mess; and which also make some suggestions (for broad based and deeper discussion by the community at large) as to how we might claw our way out of it. They can be acquired in e-book format from either Amazon or Barnes & Noble, depending on your format requirements.  

Bottom line: Energy (not money and banking) is the beating heart of all economic activity, and the “Energy Return on Energy Invested” (EROI) of fossil fuels has been deteriorating since the late 1970s. Coal is an environmental pollutant, Peak Oil has passed, shale oil and tar sands are merely distractions, and natural gas is a temporary fix that will begin to lose economic traction around 2030. According to the various converging models I have been examining (and developing), humanity has between 10 and15 years to get its energy house in order. If we fail to attain this objective, the global economy will almost certainly go into terminal decline thereafter. On the other hand (cue economist smiles) if we can succeed in this objective, then humanity might look forward to a glorious future given that the era of Artificial Intelligence will facilitate the realisation of humanity’s full potential.

Brian Bloom

Author, Beyond Neanderthal and The Last Finesse

Links to Amazon reader reviews of Brian Bloom’s fact-based novels:

The Last Finesse

Beyond Neanderthal

Beyond Neanderthal and The Last Finesse are now available to purchase in e-book format, at under US$10 a copy, via almost 60 web based book retailers across the globe. In addition to Kindle, the entertaining, easy-to-read fact based adventure novels may also be downloaded on Kindle for PC, iPhone, iPod Touch, Blackberry, Nook, iPad and Adobe Digital Editions. Together, these two books offer a holistic right brain/left brain view of the current human condition, and of possibilities for a more positive future for humanity.

Copyright © 2015 Brian Bloom - All Rights Reserved

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

Brian Bloom Archive

© 2005-2019 - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.

Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules