Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Climate Change Mass Extinction - Birds, Bees and Bugs: Going Going Gone - Richard_Mills
2.A Purrrfect Gold Price Setup! - Peter_Degraaf
3.Who Finances America's Borrowing? Recession Indicator for Independent Thinkers Part 2 - F_F_Wiley
4.America’s One-sided Domestic Financial War - Raymond_Matison
5.Gold Price Summer Doldrums - Zeal_LLC
6.Two Key Events Will Unleash Gold - Jim_Willie_CB
7.Billionaire Schools Teacher in NAFTA Trade Talks - Richard_Mills
8.Get Out Of Crypto Cannabis Bubble Before It Pops and Move Into Bargain Basement Miners - Jeb_Handwerger
9.Stock Market Could Pullback for 1-2 weeks, But Medium Term Bullish - Troy_Bombardia
10.G7 Chaos, Central Banks and US Fed Will Drive Stock Prices This Week - Chris_Vermeulen
Last 7 days
Financial Markets Analysis and Trend Forecasts 2018 - A Message from Nadeem Walayat - 21st Jun 18
SPX Bouncing Above Support - 21st Jun 18
Things You Need To Know If You Want To Invest In Bitcoin Now - 21st Jun 18
The NASDAQ’s Outperformance vs. the Dow is Very Bullish - 21st Jun 18
Warning All Investors: Global Stock Market Are Shifting Away From US Price Correlation - 20th Jun 18
Gold GLD ETF Update… Breakdown ? - 20th Jun 18
Short-term Turnaround in Bitcoin Might Not Be What You Think - 19th Jun 18
Stock Market’s Short Term Downside Will be Limited - 19th Jun 18
Natural Gas Setup for 32% Move in UGAZ Fund - 19th Jun 18
Magnus Collective To Empower Automation And Artificial Intelligence - 19th Jun 18
Trump A Bull in a China Shop - 19th Jun 18
Minor Car Accident! What Happens After You Report Your Accident to Your Insurer - 19th Jun 18
US Majors Flush Out A Major Pivot Low and What’s Next - 18th Jun 18
Cocoa Commodities Trading Analysis - 18th Jun 18
Stock Market Consolidating in an Uptrend - 18th Jun 18
Russell Has Gone Up 7 Weeks in a Row. EXTREMELY Bullish for Stocks - 18th Jun 18
What Happens Next to Stocks when Tech Massively Outperforms Utilities and Consumer Staples - 18th Jun 18
The Trillion Dollar Market You’ve Never Heard Of - 18th Jun 18
The Corruption of Capitalism - 17th Jun 18
North Korea, Trade Wars, Precious Metals and Bitcoin - 17th Jun 18
Climate Change and Fish Stocks – Burning Oxygen! - 17th Jun 18
A $1,180 Ticket to NEW Trading Opportunities, FREE! - 16th Jun 18
Gold Bullish on Fed Interest Rate Hike - 16th Jun 18
Respite for Bitcoin Traders Might Be Deceptive - 16th Jun 18
The Euro Crashed Yesterday. Bearish for Euro and Bullish for USD - 15th Jun 18
Inflation Trade, in Progress Since Gold Kicked it Off - 15th Jun 18
Can Saudi Arabia Prevent The Next Oil Shock? - 15th Jun 18
The Biggest Online Gambling Companies - 15th Jun 18
Powell's Excess Reserve Change and Gold - 15th Jun 18
Is This a Big Sign of a Big Stock Market Turn? - 15th Jun 18
Will Italy Sink the EU and Boost Gold? - 15th Jun 18
Bumper Crash! Land Rover Discovery Sport vs Audi - 15th Jun 18
Stock Market Topping Pattern or Just Pause Before Going Higher? - 14th Jun 18
Is the ECB Ending QE a Good Thing? Markets Think So - 14th Jun 18
Yield Curve Continues to Flatten. A Bullish Sign for the Stock Market - 14th Jun 18
How Online Gambling has Impacted the Economy - 14th Jun 18
Crude Oil Price Targeting $58 ppb Before Finding Support - 14th Jun 18
Stock Market Near Another Top? - 14th Jun 18
Thorpe Park REAL Walking Dead Living Nightmare Zombie Car Park Ride Experience! - 14th Jun 18

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

5 "Tells" that the Stock Markets Are About to Reverse

US Presidential Election Forecast 2016 - Will America Vote for BrExit Freedom?

ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016 Nov 02, 2016 - 07:52 AM GMT

By: Nadeem_Walayat

ElectionOracle

It's the 2nd of November and not just America but the whole world is counting down to the US election day. Gone is the fantasy reporting of a week ago when the mainstream press, pollsters, political pundits, analysts, book makers and markets were literally all concluding that Hillary Clinton was heading for not just an election win but a landslide victory. And then the FBI detonated their Hillary emails bomb which has galvanised into action what had been a Trump campaign literally on life support, which saw many cowardly republicans throwing in the towel, abandoning the Trump ship, leaving the Trump Terminator to keep relentlessly plowing on and on, on his own, regardless of what the establishment media threw at him every other day, that which would have killed off any ordinary candidate's campaign months ago!


And which I warned in an article was another reason to not quite yet write Trump off (Can Donald Trump, The Terminator Still Win the Election Despite, Pollsters, Bookies, Media and Pundits?) referencing the video I posted on the 4th of October that portrayed Donald Trump as a Terminator figure that refuses to stop!

In my election forecast of September 25th, and accompanying video I concluded that Donald Trump would WIN the general election due to the BrExit factor that allowed for a 3-4% swing in the outcome which would not show up in the opinion polls. And so as a consequence of Donald Trump being the first anti-establishment candidate in perhaps at least 40 years was expected to capitalise on the BrExit factor.

25 Sep 2016 - US Presidential Election Forecast 2016 - Trump Riding BrExit Wave into the White House

And since which all of my articles and videos have tended to conclude that Donald Trump still stood a chance of winning regardless of what the polls and the betting markets were stating. However, I did say that I would revisit my forecast of September 25th much closer to election day just as I had done for my forecast for BrExit ahead of the June 23rd EU Referendum vote.

And so here is my final look at the prospects for Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton winning the US Presidential Election 2016 as we enter the final week.

Support Market Oracle's FREE Analysis

And ensure you are subscribed to my always free newsletter for in-depth analysis and detailed trend forecasts.

By Nadeem Walayat

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Copyright © 2005-2016 Marketoracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd). All rights reserved.

Nadeem Walayat has over 25 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of five ebook's in the The Inflation Mega-Trend and Stocks Stealth Bull Market series that can be downloaded for Free.

Housing Markets Forecast 2014-2018The Stocks Stealth Bull Market 2013 and Beyond EbookThe Stocks Stealth Bull Market Update 2011 EbookThe Interest Rate Mega-Trend EbookThe Inflation Mega-trend Ebook

Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication that presents in-depth analysis from over 1000 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets, thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

Nadeem Walayat Archive

© 2005-2018 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Comments


03 Nov 16, 10:54
change

LOL the only way you could have any sort of real change would be if you kicked all of the current politicians out and replaced them with something else. Whether they vote Trump in or not will change nothing.

Theexiles



03 Nov 16, 12:54
brave man to go against all odds

wrong. sometimes it takes one brave man to go against all odds. just remember Gorbachev. nobody kicked the Russian politicians back then and replaced them with "something else", it were the same people, but Gorbachev managed to turn things around. yes, he made a lot of mistakes, but he shifted things in the right direction. if not for him, Russia would still be a socialist country. and btw, the US now resembles ex Soviet Union more and more: one-party corrupted socialist country.

Not Formatted


charlesmortlock
03 Nov 16, 14:54
betting on trump

I thought you would like to know nadeem that following your article several weeks ago although not having bet in years I put 30 quid on trump with betfair to win at 3.5 to 1 then the odds went to 6 to 1 and I put another 20 quid on as I am totally confident that you will be right and i was therefore delighted to see 6 to 1.

Now we will soon see and i m sure im going to pick up about 220 quid on a trump victory.



03 Nov 16, 15:49
Hillary Crimes

Hillary Clinton should be locked up for her crimes against America,

never mind running for president. With all her corrupt monies from the

Clinton Foundation, her socialist agendas, foreign government kickbacks,

anti US Constitution mind-set, Benghazi blood on her hands, E-mail

scandals, stealing the nomination from Sanders (and he's supporting her

now?? WTF), getting debate questions ahead of time, disdain for

Christians, public vs private positions, surrounding and insulating

herself with corrupt and immoral leaches, and her superior bitchy

arrogance. Where did the $330 million dollars come from if she was broke

when leaving the White House? It's pay for play! The entire US

government will be totally and irrevocably corrupted permanently if

she's elected. Don't be fooled by her, she's wrong for America. Think,

who is the worse of the two candidates to lead America into the future?

TheLunarLumen


Nadeem_Walayat
03 Nov 16, 19:45
Betting on Trump

I last added at 5.6. I was tempted to add again at 6.4 but thought it's not looking good for the position, so left it at that.

If Trump wins, I should make about £1500.


charlesmortlock
10 Nov 16, 10:52
betting on trump

we both won ! The day before yesterday i was working on a ship and everyone laughed when i said trump was going to win and i had 50 quid on it scoffed and mocked but they werent laughing when i went back yesterday !

They said i must be chuffed but to be honest i regretted not putting 1000 on, I dont think I will ever see odds of 6 to 1 on a two horse race again.

But....300 quid for a 50 stake is the best i ever did thanx for the heads up !


Nadeem_Walayat
10 Nov 16, 15:27
Trump Winnings

Good for you !

My last bet on Trump was 1.5 hours before the polls closed at 6.4.

After the polls closed I saw the odds soar to 12 ! But I did not have the balls to bet more, never mind,

Best

Nadeem W.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules