Best of the Week
Most Popular
1.Spain Ignores Scotland Lesson as Catalan Independence Referendum Could Spark Civil War - Nadeem_Walayat
2.Used Car Buying From UK Dealer Top Tips, CarMotion.co.uk Real Customer Experience - N_Walayat
3.Spanish New Civil War Begins as Madrid Regime Storm Troopers Quell Catalan Independence Rebellion - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Virgin Media Broadband Down, Catastrophic UK Wide Failure! - Nadeem_Walayat
5.Are the US Markets setting up for an Early October Surprise? - Chris_Vermeulen
6.The Pension Storm Is Coming To Europe—It May Be The End Of Europe As We Know It -John_Mauldin
7.Stock Market Crash 2018; Will it Prove to be Another Buying Opportunity - Sol_Palha
8.The Profoundly Personal Impact Of The National Debt On Our Retirements - Dan_Amerman
9.Stock Market as Good as it Gets; Like 2000 With a Twist -Gary_Tanashian
10.1987 Stock Market Crash 30th Anniversary Greatest Investing Lesson Learned - Nadeem_Walayat
Last 7 days
Bitcoin Hits $6,000, $100 Billion Market Cap As Helicopter Ben and Jamie Demon Warn The End Is Near! - 22nd Oct 17
Time for Caution in Gold Miners - 22nd Oct 17
“Great Rotation” Ahead; Will it Be Inflationary or Deflationary? - 21st Oct 17
The Trigger for Volatility, Rates and the Next Crisis - 21st Oct 17
Perks to Consider an Agent for Auto Insurance - 21st Oct 17
Emerging Megatrends Hurting Consumers - 21st Oct 17
A Catalyst of the Stock Market Bubble Bust - 21st Oct 17
Silver Stocks Comatose - 21st Oct 17
Stock Investors Ignore What May Be The Biggest Policy Error In History - 20th Oct 17
Gold Up 74% Since Last Stock Market Peak 10 Years Ago - 20th Oct 17
Labour Sheffield City Council Employs Army of Spy's to Track Down Tree Campaigners / Felling's Watchers - 20th Oct 17
Stock Market Calm Before The Storm - 20th Oct 17
GOLD Price Creates Bullish Higher Low - 20th Oct 17
Here’s the US’s Biggest Vulnerability in NAFTA Negotiations - 20th Oct 17
The Greatest Investing Lesson Learned from the 1987 Stock Market Crash - 20th Oct 17
Stock Market Time to Go All-in. Short, That Is - 19th Oct 17
How Gold Bullion Protects From Conflict And War - 19th Oct 17
Stock Market Super Cycle Wave C May Have Started - 19th Oct 17
Negative Expectations, Will the Stock Market Correct? - 19th Oct 17
Knowing the Factors Affect your Car Insurance Premium - 19th Oct 17
Getting Your Feet Wet In Crypto Currencies - 19th Oct 17
10 Years Ago Today a Stocks Bear Market Started - 19th Oct 17
1987 Stock Market Crash 30th Anniversary Greatest Investing Lesson Learned - 19th Oct 17
Virgin Media Broadband Down, Catastrophic UK Wide Failure! - 19th Oct 17
The Passive Investing Bubble May Trigger A Massive Exodus from Stocks - 18th Oct 17
Gold Is In A Dangerous Spot - 18th Oct 17
History Says Global Debt Levels Will Lead to Another Crisis - 18th Oct 17
Deflation Basics Series: The Quantity Theory of Money - 18th Oct 17
Attractive European Countries for Foreign Investors - 18th Oct 17
Financial Transcription Services – What investors should know about them - 18th Oct 17
Brexit UK Vulnerable As Gold Bar Exports Distort UK Trade Figures - 18th Oct 17
Surge in UK Race Hate Crimes, Micro-Racism, Sheffield, Millhouses Park, Black on Asian - 18th Oct 17
Comfortably Numb: Surviving the Assault on Silver - 17th Oct 17
Are Amey Street Tree Felling's Devaluing Sheffield House Prices? - 17th Oct 17
12 Real-Life Techniques That Will Make You a Better Trader Now - 17th Oct 17
Warren Buffett Predicting Dow One Million - Being Bold Or Overly Cautious? - 17th Oct 17
Globalization is Poverty - 17th Oct 17
Boomers Are Not Saving Enough for Retirement, Neither Is the Government - 16th Oct 17
Stock Market Trading Dow Theory - 16th Oct 17
Stocks Slightly Higher as They Set New Record Highs - 16th Oct 17
Why is Big Data is so Important for Casino Player Acquisition and Retention - 16th Oct 17
How Investors Can Play The Bitcoin Boom - 16th Oct 17
Who Will Be the Next Fed Chief - And Why It Matters  - 16th Oct 17
Stock Market Only Minor Top Ahead - 16th Oct 17
Precious Metals Sector is on Major Buy Signal - 16th Oct 17
Really Bad Ideas - The Fed Should Have And Defend An Inflation Target - 16th Oct 17
The Bullish Chartology for Gold - 15th Oct 17
Wikileaks Mocking US Government Over Bitcoin Shows Why There Is No Stopping Bitcoin - 15th Oct 17
How to Wipe Out Puerto Rico's Debt Without Hurting Bondholders - 15th Oct 17
Gold And Silver – Think Prices Are Manipulated? Look In The Mirror! - 15th Oct 17

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

3 Videos + 8 Charts = Opportunities You Need to See - Free

US Presidential Election Forecast 2016 - Will America Vote for BrExit Freedom?

ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016 Nov 02, 2016 - 07:52 AM GMT

By: Nadeem_Walayat

ElectionOracle

It's the 2nd of November and not just America but the whole world is counting down to the US election day. Gone is the fantasy reporting of a week ago when the mainstream press, pollsters, political pundits, analysts, book makers and markets were literally all concluding that Hillary Clinton was heading for not just an election win but a landslide victory. And then the FBI detonated their Hillary emails bomb which has galvanised into action what had been a Trump campaign literally on life support, which saw many cowardly republicans throwing in the towel, abandoning the Trump ship, leaving the Trump Terminator to keep relentlessly plowing on and on, on his own, regardless of what the establishment media threw at him every other day, that which would have killed off any ordinary candidate's campaign months ago!


And which I warned in an article was another reason to not quite yet write Trump off (Can Donald Trump, The Terminator Still Win the Election Despite, Pollsters, Bookies, Media and Pundits?) referencing the video I posted on the 4th of October that portrayed Donald Trump as a Terminator figure that refuses to stop!

In my election forecast of September 25th, and accompanying video I concluded that Donald Trump would WIN the general election due to the BrExit factor that allowed for a 3-4% swing in the outcome which would not show up in the opinion polls. And so as a consequence of Donald Trump being the first anti-establishment candidate in perhaps at least 40 years was expected to capitalise on the BrExit factor.

25 Sep 2016 - US Presidential Election Forecast 2016 - Trump Riding BrExit Wave into the White House

And since which all of my articles and videos have tended to conclude that Donald Trump still stood a chance of winning regardless of what the polls and the betting markets were stating. However, I did say that I would revisit my forecast of September 25th much closer to election day just as I had done for my forecast for BrExit ahead of the June 23rd EU Referendum vote.

And so here is my final look at the prospects for Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton winning the US Presidential Election 2016 as we enter the final week.

Support Market Oracle's FREE Analysis

And ensure you are subscribed to my always free newsletter for in-depth analysis and detailed trend forecasts.

By Nadeem Walayat

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Copyright © 2005-2016 Marketoracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd). All rights reserved.

Nadeem Walayat has over 25 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of five ebook's in the The Inflation Mega-Trend and Stocks Stealth Bull Market series that can be downloaded for Free.

Housing Markets Forecast 2014-2018The Stocks Stealth Bull Market 2013 and Beyond EbookThe Stocks Stealth Bull Market Update 2011 EbookThe Interest Rate Mega-Trend EbookThe Inflation Mega-trend Ebook

Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication that presents in-depth analysis from over 1000 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets, thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

Nadeem Walayat Archive

© 2005-2017 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Comments


03 Nov 16, 10:54
change

LOL the only way you could have any sort of real change would be if you kicked all of the current politicians out and replaced them with something else. Whether they vote Trump in or not will change nothing.

Theexiles



03 Nov 16, 12:54
brave man to go against all odds

wrong. sometimes it takes one brave man to go against all odds. just remember Gorbachev. nobody kicked the Russian politicians back then and replaced them with "something else", it were the same people, but Gorbachev managed to turn things around. yes, he made a lot of mistakes, but he shifted things in the right direction. if not for him, Russia would still be a socialist country. and btw, the US now resembles ex Soviet Union more and more: one-party corrupted socialist country.

Not Formatted


charlesmortlock
03 Nov 16, 14:54
betting on trump

I thought you would like to know nadeem that following your article several weeks ago although not having bet in years I put 30 quid on trump with betfair to win at 3.5 to 1 then the odds went to 6 to 1 and I put another 20 quid on as I am totally confident that you will be right and i was therefore delighted to see 6 to 1.

Now we will soon see and i m sure im going to pick up about 220 quid on a trump victory.



03 Nov 16, 15:49
Hillary Crimes

Hillary Clinton should be locked up for her crimes against America,

never mind running for president. With all her corrupt monies from the

Clinton Foundation, her socialist agendas, foreign government kickbacks,

anti US Constitution mind-set, Benghazi blood on her hands, E-mail

scandals, stealing the nomination from Sanders (and he's supporting her

now?? WTF), getting debate questions ahead of time, disdain for

Christians, public vs private positions, surrounding and insulating

herself with corrupt and immoral leaches, and her superior bitchy

arrogance. Where did the $330 million dollars come from if she was broke

when leaving the White House? It's pay for play! The entire US

government will be totally and irrevocably corrupted permanently if

she's elected. Don't be fooled by her, she's wrong for America. Think,

who is the worse of the two candidates to lead America into the future?

TheLunarLumen


Nadeem_Walayat
03 Nov 16, 19:45
Betting on Trump

I last added at 5.6. I was tempted to add again at 6.4 but thought it's not looking good for the position, so left it at that.

If Trump wins, I should make about £1500.


charlesmortlock
10 Nov 16, 10:52
betting on trump

we both won ! The day before yesterday i was working on a ship and everyone laughed when i said trump was going to win and i had 50 quid on it scoffed and mocked but they werent laughing when i went back yesterday !

They said i must be chuffed but to be honest i regretted not putting 1000 on, I dont think I will ever see odds of 6 to 1 on a two horse race again.

But....300 quid for a 50 stake is the best i ever did thanx for the heads up !


Nadeem_Walayat
10 Nov 16, 15:27
Trump Winnings

Good for you !

My last bet on Trump was 1.5 hours before the polls closed at 6.4.

After the polls closed I saw the odds soar to 12 ! But I did not have the balls to bet more, never mind,

Best

Nadeem W.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

Catching a Falling Financial Knife