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Stock Market Trend Forecast Oct - Dec 2019 by Nadeem Walayat

US Presidential Election Forecast 2016 - Will America Vote for BrExit Freedom?

News_Letter / US Presidential Election 2016 Jan 02, 2017 - 11:34 PM GMT

By: NewsLetter

News_Letter The Market Oracle Newsletter
2nd November, 2016 Issue # 27 Vol. 10


The Market Oracle Newsletter
2nd November, 2016            Issue # 27 Vol. 10

Commodities Currencies Economics Housing Market Interest Rates Education Personal Finance Stocks / Financials Real Gems

US Presidential Election Forecast 2016 - Will America Vote for BrExit Freedom?Support Our FREE Newsletter

Dear Reader,

It's the 2nd of November and not just America but the whole world is counting down to the US election day. Gone is the fantasy reporting of a week ago when the mainstream press, pollsters, political pundits, analysts, book makers and markets were literally all concluding that Hillary Clinton was heading for not just an election win but a landslide victory. And then the FBI detonated their Hillary emails bomb which has galvanised into action what had been a Trump campaign literally on life support, which saw many cowardly republicans throwing in the towel, abandoning the Trump ship, leaving the Trump Terminator to keep relentlessly plowing on and on, on his own, regardless of what the establishment media threw at him every other day, that which would have killed off any ordinary candidate's campaign months ago!

And which I warned in an article was another reason to not quite yet write Trump off (Can Donald Trump, The Terminator Still Win the Election Despite, Pollsters, Bookies, Media and Pundits?) referencing the video I posted on the 4th of October that portrayed Donald Trump as a Terminator figure that refuses to stop!

In my election forecast of September 25th, and accompanying video I concluded that Donald Trump would WIN the general election due to the BrExit factor that allowed for a 3-4% swing in the outcome which would not show up in the opinion polls. And so as a consequence of Donald Trump being the first anti-establishment candidate in perhaps at least 40 years was expected to capitalise on the BrExit factor.

25 Sep 2016 - US Presidential Election Forecast 2016 - Trump Riding BrExit Wave into the White House

And since which all of my articles and videos have tended to conclude that Donald Trump still stood a chance of winning regardless of what the polls and the betting markets were stating. However, I did say that I would revisit my forecast of September 25th much closer to election day just as I had done for my forecast for BrExit ahead of the June 23rd EU Referendum vote.

And so here is my final look at the prospects for Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton winning the US Presidential Election 2016 as we enter the final week.

Support Our FREE Newsletter

By Nadeem Walayat

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Copyright © 2005-2016 Marketoracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd). All rights reserved.

Nadeem Walayat has over 25 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of five ebook's in the The Inflation Mega-Trend and Stocks Stealth Bull Market series that can be downloaded for Free.

Housing Markets Forecast 2014-2018The Stocks Stealth Bull Market 2013 and Beyond EbookThe Stocks Stealth Bull Market Update 2011 EbookThe Interest Rate Mega-Trend EbookThe Inflation Mega-trend Ebook

Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication that presents in-depth analysis from over 1000 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets, thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

Nadeem Walayat Archive

 

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(c) 2005-2016 MarketOracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd) - The Market Oracle asserts copyright on all articles authored by our editorial team. Any and all information provided within this newsletter is for general information purposes only and Market Oracle do not warrant the accuracy, timeliness or suitability of any information provided in this newsletter. nor is or shall be deemed to constitute, financial or any other advice or recommendation by us. and are also not meant to be investment advice or solicitation or recommendation to establish market positions. We recommend that independent professional advice is obtained before you make any investment or trading decisions. ( Market Oracle Ltd , Registered in England and Wales, Company no 6387055. Registered office: International House, 124 Cromwell Road, Kensington, London, SW7 4ET, UK )

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