Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Gold Final Warning: Here Are the Stunning Implications of Plunging Gold Price - P_Radomski_CFA
2.Fed Balance Sheet QE4EVER - Stock Market Trend Forecast Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3.UK House Prices, Immigration, and Population Growth Mega Trend Forecast - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Gold and Silver Precious Metals Pot Pourri - Rambus_Chartology
5.The Exponential Stocks Bull Market - Nadeem_Walayat
6.Yield Curve Inversion and the Stock Market 2019 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.America's 30 Blocks of Holes - James_Quinn
8.US Presidential Cycle and Stock Market Trend 2019 - Nadeem_Walayat
9.Dear Stocks Bull Market: Happy 10 Year Anniversary! - Troy_Bombardia
10.Britain's Demographic Time Bomb Has Gone Off! - Nadeem_Walayat
Last 7 days
The Deep State vs Donald Trump - US vs Them Part 2 - 21st May 19
Deep State & Financial Powers Worry about Alternative Currencies - 21st May 19
Gold’s Exciting Boredom - 21st May 19
Trade War Fears Again, Will Stocks Resume the Downtrend? - 21st May 19
Buffett Mistake Costs Him $4.3 Billion This Year—Here’s What Every Investor Can Learn from It - 21st May 19
Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast 2019 May Update - Video - 20th May 19
A Brief History of Financial Entropy - 20th May 19
Gold, MMT, Fiat Money Inflation In France - 20th May 19
WAR - Us versus Them Narrative - 20th May 19
US - Iran War Safe-haven Reasons to Own Gold - 20th May 19
How long does Google have to reference a website? - 20th May 19
Tory Leadership Contest - Will Michael Gove Stab Boris Johnson in the Back Again? - 19th May 19
Stock Market Counter-trend Rally - 19th May 19
Will Stock Market “Sell in May, Go Away” Lead to a Correction… or a Crash? - 19th May 19
US vs. Global Stocks Sector Rotation – What Next? Part 1 - 19th May 19
BrExit Party EarthQuake Could Win it 150 MP's at Next UK General Election! - 18th May 19
Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast 2019 May Update - 18th May 19
US Economy to Die a Traditional Death… Inflation Is Going to Move Higher - 18th May 19
Trump’s Trade War Is Good for These 3 Dividend Stocks - 18th May 19
GDX Gold Mining Stocks Fundamentals Update - 17th May 19
Stock Markets Rally Hard – Is The Volatility Move Over? - 17th May 19
The Use of Technical Analysis for Forex Traders - 17th May 19
Brexit Party Set to Storm EU Parliament Elections - Seats Forecast - 17th May 19
Is the Trade War a Catalyst for Gold? - 17th May 19
This Is a Recession Indicator No One Is Talking About—and It’s Flashing Red - 17th May 19
War! Good or Bad for Stocks? - 17th May 19
How Many Seats Will Brexit Party Win - EU Parliament Elections Forecast 2019 - 16th May 19
It’s Not Technology but the Fed That Is Taking Away Jobs - 16th May 19
Learn to Protect your Forex Trading Capital - 16th May 19
Gold Ratio Charts Offer The Keys to the Bull Market - 16th May 19
Is Someone Secretly Smashing the Stock Market at Night? - 16th May 19
Crude Oil Price Fails At Critical Fibonacci Level - 15th May 19
Strong Stock Market Rally Expected - 15th May 19
US China Trade Impasse Threatens US Lithium, Rare Earth Imports - 15th May 19
Gold Mind Reader's Guide to the Global Markets Galaxy: 'Surreal' - 15th May 19
Trade Wars and Other Black Swan Threats to Your Investments - 15th May 19
Our Long-Anticipated Gold Momentum Rally Begins - 15th May 19
Defense Spending Is Recession Proof - Defense Dividend Stocks - 15th May 19

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

U.S. House Prices Analysis and Trend Forecast 2019 to 2021

Yellen’s Delusional Statement Guarantees Stock Market Crash Around the Corner

Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash Jun 30, 2017 - 06:35 AM GMT

By: Harry_Dent

Stock-Markets Janet Yellen Said What!?

She just had to do it!

Human behavior and its accompanying delusion is just so predictable! Earlier this week, she straight up said that “she does not believe there will be another financial crisis in her (our) lifetime…”

WHAT?!


She believes this to be true because of the banking reforms since 2008.

But that’s just ridiculous. All they have done with free and cheap money is recapitalize the banks at the expense of savers and shifted all the risk to the private sectors.

Free money has doubled leveraged loans and corporate debt, and created massive artificial financial engineering.

Consumer and total debt is at record levels. Subprime auto loans have exploded, and student loans continue to grow.

Stocks have exploded to valuation levels that are nearly as high as 1929, and actually higher than even the early 2000 historical extremes, when you adjust for much lower economic and earnings growth. (I explained this in the May issue of Boom & Bust.)

That artificial wealth can be liquidated in the blink of an eye, and it will be with the first crash in this bubble. Stocks could drop 40% or so in the first two or three months, just like they did in late 1929 and early 2000!

Global debt has grown more than $60 trillion since the last bubble peak.

Every measure of debt and bubble-behavior says that there is the highest chance of a financial crisis and crash!

Yet Janet Yellen thinks we won’t see another financial crisis in our lifetime!

Do you know what she essentially just did?

She essentially just guaranteed that we’ll see a crash. And I don’t say this because of Murphy’s Law or any kind of idiotic superstition. I base this prediction on history…

Every statement of this nature has been issued near the top of a bubble, and every time it’s proved to be the final sign that the bubble is very close to bursting.

There was Irving Fisher’s statement in October 1929: “Stock prices have reached what looks like a permanently high plateau.”

There was John Maynard Keynes comment in March 1929: “We will not have any more crashes in our time.”

Ben Bernanke told us in 2007 that “the subprime crisis was contained,” just before it roared its ugly head. The Director of Research at the Fed still “painted a benign picture” in his forecast in December 2007 just as the crash and recession was beginning.

This is the human propensity to want nirvana. Economists always think they can end the business cycle – as if that would be a good thing. It wouldn’t be. Instead it would be the end of innovation and growth, as Japan has already proven in the past 27 years.

Humans naturally have more confidence in a boom or bubble the longer they last, when the truth is that such trends only insure that there will be another recession or crash.

Right now, the VIX (measure of volatility) for the stock market is the lowest and most complacent it’s been in recent history. It’s closed below 10 more times than I can remember.

Everything points to the greatest crash of our lifetime… and this statement by our Fed Chair seals that fate.

Get your Conestoga wagons ready… or, even better, listen to this presentation from Adam about how to profit from volatility in booms and busts.

Harry

http://economyandmarkets.com

Follow me on Twitter @HarryDentjr

Harry studied economics in college in the ’70s, but found it vague and inconclusive. He became so disillusioned by the state of the profession that he turned his back on it. Instead, he threw himself into the burgeoning New Science of Finance, which married economic research and market research and encompassed identifying and studying demographic trends, business cycles, consumers’ purchasing power and many, many other trends that empowered him to forecast economic and market changes.

Copyright © 2017 Harry Dent- All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

Harry Dent Archive

© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules