Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Crude Oil and Water: How Climate Change is Threatening our Two Most Precious Commodities - Richard_Mills
2.The Potential $54 Trillion Cost Of The Fed's Planned Interest Rate Increases - Dan_Amerman
3.Best Cash ISA Savings for Rising UK Interest Rates and High Inflation - March 2018 - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Fed Interest Hikes, US Dollar, and Gold - Zeal_LLC
5.What Happens Next after February’s Stock Market Selloff - Troy_Bombardia
6.The 'Beast from the East' UK Extreme Snow Weather - Sheffield Day 2 - N_Walayat
7.Currencies Will Be ‘Flushed Down the Toilet’ Triggering a ‘Mad Rush into Gold’ - MoneyMetals
8.Significant Decline In Stocks On The Cards! -Enda_Glynn
9.Land Rover Discovery Sport Extreme Driving "Beast from the East" Snow Weather Test - N_Walayat
10.SILVER Large Specualtors Net Short Position 15 Year Anniversary - Clive_Maund
Last 7 days
Larry Kudlow vs. Vladimir Putin on Gold - 21st Mar 18
Trump Builds Economy and War Machine - 21st Mar 18
This Stock Market "Illusion" Can Destroy Once-Vibrant Portfolios - 21st Mar 18
Gold Short-term Pull Back in Progress - 20th Mar 18
Stocks Appear to be Under Pressure - 20th Mar 18
Time To Eliminate Your Wall Street Tax? - 20th Mar 18
The Beast from the East Snow, UK Roads Driving Car Accidents - 20th Mar 18
Can Bitcoin Price Rally Continue After Paypal Fake FUD Attack? - 19th Mar 18
2018 Reversal Dates for Gold, Silver and Gold Stocks - 19th Mar 18
This Tech Breakthrough Could Save The Electric Car Market - 19th Mar 18
Stocks Set to Open Lower, Should You Buy? - 19th Mar 18
The Wealth Machine That Rising Interest Rates Create Conflict With The National Debt - 19th Mar 18
Affiliate Marketing Tips and Network Recommendations - 19th Mar 18
Do Stocks Bull Market Tops Need Breadth Divergences? - 19th Mar 18
Doritos Instant £500 Win! Why Super Market Shelves are Empty - 19th Mar 18
Bonds, Inflation & the Market Amigos - 19th Mar 18
US Housing Real Estate Market and Banking Pressures Are Building - 19th Mar 18
Stock Market Bulls Last Stand? - 18th Mar 18
Putin Flip-Flops Like A Drunken Whore On Bitcoin Cryptocurrency Legalization - 18th Mar 18
How to Legally Manipulate Interest Rates - 18th Mar 18
Return of Stock Market Volatility Amidst Political Chaos and Uncertain Economy - 18th Mar 18
Bitcoin Price Trend Forecast, Paypal FUD Fake Cryptocurrency Warning - 17th Mar 18
Strong Earnings Growth is Bullish for Stocks - 17th Mar 18
The War on the Post Office - 17th Mar 18
GDX Gold Mining Stocks Fundamentals - 16th Mar 18
Nationalism, Not the Russians, got Trump Elected - 16th Mar 18
Has Bitcoin Bought It? - 16th Mar 18
Crude Oil Price – Who Wants the Triangle? - 16th Mar 18
PayPal Cease Trading Crypto Currency Bitcoin Warning Email Sophisticated Fake Scam? - 16th Mar 18
EUR/USD – Something Old, Something New and… Something Blue - 16th Mar 18
DasCoin: A 5-Minute Guide to How It Works - 15th Mar 18
Stock Market Downward Pressure Mounting - 15th Mar 18
The Stock Market Trend is Your Friend ’til the Very End - 15th Mar 18
6 Easy Ways to Get What Women Want, for Less! - 15th Mar 18
This Isn’t Your Grandfather’s (1960s) Inflation Scare - 15th Mar 18
Eye Opening Stock Market Index, Volatility, Charts and Predictions - 15th Mar 18
Gold Cup At Cheltenham – Gold Is For Winners, Not For Gamblers - 15th Mar 18
Upcoming Turnaround in Gold - 14th Mar 18
Will the Stock Market Make Another Correction this Year? - 14th Mar 18
4 Ways To Writing An Interesting Education Research Paper - 14th Mar 18
China Toward Sustainable Economic Growth - 14th Mar 18
Stock Market Direction Is No Longer Important - 14th Mar 18
Trade Tariffs Defeat Globalists and Return Prosperity - 14th Mar 18
Stock Market Crash is Underway and Cannot be Stopped! - 14th Mar 18
Are Energy Sector Stocks Bottoming? - 14th Mar 18
Nasdaq Stocks Soars to New Record High After Strong Job Reports - 14th Mar 18

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Urgent Stock Market Message

Last Week’s Rally in Gold Stocks Erased

Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017 Jul 26, 2017 - 02:26 PM GMT

By: P_Radomski_CFA


Gold, silver and the USD Index didn’t do much in yesterday’s trading, but that was not the case with mining stocks. The divergence between gold stocks and gold was particularly visible and the implications are once again particularly important.

Let’s take a look at the charts, starting with the HUI Index(gold stock chart courtesy of

The gold stocks’ reaction to the recent USD weakness and gold’s previous move higher has been weak for many days, but Monday’s session took the weakness to the extreme. Gold ended the session more or less unchanged and this lack of a continuation of the rally was enough for the HUI Index to erase almost the entire previous week of gains.

This could have been understandable if the general stock market had also declined substantially, pushing all stocks – including miners – much lower. However, that was not the case. Miners had no good reason to decline – and yet they did. It doesn’t get much clearer than that as far as the degrees of underperformance and weakness are concerned.

Please note that gold stocks declined right after the move to the combination of strong resistance lines and their reversal triggered a sell signal from the Stochastic Indicator. The implications are clearly bearish.

If the above wasn’t enough, the decline took place on big volume, while the previous daily upswings took place on low volume. The price-volume analysis clearly confirms that the July upswing was a counter-trend correction and that down is the true direction in which the market is heading.

Let’s keep in mind that the additional significant confirmation comes from the weekly volume readings (the text below is a quote from yesterday’s Gold Trading Alert), but it’s impact is present also today – and it will likely continue to be present in the following weeks:

The volume that we saw last week was extremely low, especially when compared to the sizes of previous volumes. Theoretically, it’s a strong bearish sign as it shows that the buying power is next to non-existent.

We marked similar situations with red arrows – as you see, the weekly upswings that took place on very low volume were usually followed by huge declines. The only exception that we can see on the above chart (1 out of 5) is not quite comparable as it was the session right at the bottom and the current one is the second after the bottom, which changes a lot – the volume should be picking up right now, but it isn’t. Back in December 2013 it was the first candlestick of the rally – so the sellers might have given up and the buyers simply were able to push the market higher. Besides, trading is generally limited in the second half of December each year as it’s the holiday season.

So, it seems that in all comparable cases, huge declines followed the low-volume rallies in mining stocks – will this time be any different? It doesn’t seem likely. The efficiency of this signal alone is something that makes the outlook very bearish for the following weeks.

Summing up, the implications of the (lack of) action in mining stocks in the previous days and their decline yesterday are bearish. In fact, yesterday’s decline theoretically shouldn’t have taken place as no decline was seen either in either gold or the main stock indices. Yet, it was seen and it serves as a strong bearish confirmation of multiple other medium-term bearish signals that we’ve been discussing in our alerts. The medium-term outlook remains bearish and any strength here – if we see it at all – is likely to be only temporary.

If you haven’t already signed up to our free gold newsletter, it may be a good idea to do so now – you’ll stay updated on our free articles (including the follow-ups to the above article) and you’ll also get 7 days of free access to our premium daily Gold Alerts as a starting bonus. Sign up today.

Thank you.


Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA

Founder, Editor-in-chief

Tools for Effective Gold & Silver Investments -
Tools für Effektives Gold- und Silber-Investment - SunshineProfits.DE

* * * * *

About Sunshine Profits

Sunshine Profits enables anyone to forecast market changes with a level of accuracy that was once only available to closed-door institutions. It provides free trial access to its best investment tools (including lists of best gold stocks and best silver stocks), proprietary gold & silver indicators, buy & sell signals, weekly newsletter, and more. Seeing is believing.


All essays, research and information found above represent analyses and opinions of Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA and Sunshine Profits' associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be a subject to change without notice. Opinions and analyses were based on data available to authors of respective essays at the time of writing. Although the information provided above is based on careful research and sources that are believed to be accurate, Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA and his associates do not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. The opinions published above are neither an offer nor a recommendation to purchase or sell any securities. Mr. Radomski is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading Przemyslaw Radomski's, CFA reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA, Sunshine Profits' employees and affiliates as well as members of their families may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.

Przemyslaw Radomski Archive

© 2005-2018 - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.

Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules