Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Gold vs Cash in a Financial Crisis - Richard_Mills
2.Current Stock Market Rally Similarities To 1999 - Chris_Vermeulen
3.America See You On The Dark Side Of The Moon - Part2 - James_Quinn
4.Stock Market Trend Forecast Outlook for 2020 - Nadeem_Walayat
5.Who Said Stock Market Traders and Investor are Emotional Right Now? - Chris_Vermeulen
6.Gold Upswing and Lessons from Gold Tops - P_Radomski_CFA
7.Economic Tribulation is Coming, and Here is Why - Michael_Pento
8.What to Expect in Our Next Recession/Depression? - Raymond_Matison
9.The Fed Celebrates While Americans Drown in Financial Despair - John_Mauldin
10.Hi-yo Silver Away! - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
Stock Market and the US Presidential Election Cycle  - 16th Jan 20
Shifting Undercurrents In The US Stock Market - 16th Jan 20
America 2020 – YEAR OF LIVING DANGEROUSLY (PART TWO) - 16th Jan 20
Yes, China Is a Currency Manipulator – And the U.S. Banking System Is a Metals Manipulator - 16th Jan 20
MICROSOFT Stock Investing in AI Machine Intelligence Mega-trend 2020 and Beyond - 15th Jan 20
Silver Traders Big Trend Analysis – Part II - 15th Jan 20
Silver Short-Term Pullback Before Acceleration Higher - 15th Jan 20
Gold Overall Outlook Is 'Strongly Bullish' - 15th Jan 20
AMD is Killing Intel - Best CPU's For 2020! Ryzen 3900x, 3950x, 3960x Budget, to High End Systems - 15th Jan 20
The Importance Of Keeping Invoices Up To Date - 15th Jan 20
Stock Market Elliott Wave Analysis 2020 - 14th Jan 20
Walmart Has Made a Genius Move to Beat Amazon - 14th Jan 20
Deep State 2020 – A Year Of Living Dangerously! - 14th Jan 20
The End of College Is Near - 14th Jan 20
AI Stocks Investing 2020 to Profit from the Machine Intelligence Mega-trend - Video - 14th Jan 20
Stock Market Final Thrust - 14th Jan 20
British Pound GBP Trend Forecast Review - 13th Jan 20
Trumpism Stock Market and the crisis in American social equality - 13th Jan 20
Silver Investors Big Trend Analysis for – Part I - 13th Jan 20
Craig Hemke Gold & Silver 2020 Prediction, Slams Biased Gold Naysayers - 13th Jan 20
AMAZON Stock Investing in AI Machine Intelligence Mega-trend 2020 and Beyond - 11th Jan 20
Gold Price Reacting to Global Flash Points - 11th Jan 20
Land Rover Discovery Sport 2020 - What You Need to Know Before Buying - 11th Jan 20
Gold Buying Precarious - 11th Jan 20
The Crazy Stock Market Train to Bull Eternity - 11th Jan 20
Gold Gann Angle Update - 10th Jan 20
Gold In Rally Mode Suggests Commitment of Traders (COT) Data - 10th Jan 20
Disney Could Mount Its Biggest Rally in 2020 - 10th Jan 20
How on Earth Can Gold Decline During the U.S. – Iran Crisis? - 10th Jan 20
Getting Your HR Budget in Line - 10th Jan 20
The Fed Protects Gamblers at the Expense of the Economy - 9th Jan 20
Last Chance to Get Microsoft Windows 10 for FREE! - 9th Jan 20
The Stock Market is the Opiate of the Masses - 9th Jan 20
Is The Energy Sector Setting Up Another Great Entry? - 9th Jan 20
The Fed Is Creating a Monster Bubble - 9th Jan 20
If History Repeats, Video Game Stocks Could Soar 600%+ - 9th Jan 20
What to Know Before Buying a Land Rover Discovery Sport in 2020 - 8th Jan 20
Stock Market Forecast 2020 Trend Analysis - 8th Jan 20
Gold Price at Resistance - 8th Jan 20
The Fed Has Quietly Started QE4 - 8th Jan 20
NASDAQ Set to Fall 1000pts Early 2020, and What it Means for Gold Price - 8th Jan 20
Gold 2020 - Financial Analysts and Major Financial Institutions Outlook - 8th Jan 20
Stock Market Trend Review - 8th Jan 20

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Nadeem Walayat Financial Markets Analysiis and Trend Forecasts

What Does These Signs Mean for Stock s & Real Estate?

Stock-Markets / Deflation May 21, 2018 - 08:47 PM GMT

By: Harry_Dent

Stock-Markets We’ve been waiting years for our fixed income trade of a decade…

Our target’s at the top of the long-term Treasury Bond Channel near 3% on current 10-year yields. And recently, we advised our Boom & Bust subscribers to buy long-term Treasurys at around 2.99% on the 10-year.

Now we’re thinking it could get better… much better.


Yesterday, we emailed subscribers with instructions to tighten their stop losses on our Trade of the Decade play. If yields break much higher (above 3.15%), then we’ll exit our current position and wait for a much better long-term opportunity.

Treasurys are breaking above the best long-term indicator we’ve ever had: the 10-Year Treasury Bond Yield Since 1989.

That’s almost 40 years…

The last low, at 1.38% yields, didn’t quite test the bottom of the channel. But, this first break above the top of this 40-year trend-line is significant. I’ve been forecasting late-stage inflation, as has David Stockman, editor of Deep State Declassified.

If this break out continues, we face the opportunity of buying secure bonds at 5%-plus yields, instead of 3%, then we’ll ride them down towards 1% or lower yields over the next several years, banking higher dividends than stocks

https://economyandmarkets.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/T-YieldsUpdated-300x225.png

With the 20-year AAA corporate bond and 30-year Treasury bond yields rising, they’ll become increasingly better than stock dividend yields. The bonds have greater safety and appreciation in the asset class, which has proven to do well during times of deflation and debt leveraging. High-quality bonds tend to go up in value and accrue more interest, similarly to cash – which has no yield – but does appreciate dramatically, when everything else goes down.

Just look back at the worst of the 2008 crash when stocks dropped 50%. Gold went down 33%, and silver 50%… while the U.S. dollar went up 27% and Treasury bonds surged, likewise.

Your gut may tell you: Money printing can only be bad, and only end up in inflation.

But that only happens in rare cases, and is NOT happening here.

We’re only printing such unprecedented amounts of money to prevent the greatest deflationary crisis since the Great Depression – when debt gets written off and financial bubbles bursts. That destroys money!

That’s deflationary, not inflationary.

Money printing and artificial stimulus will only make the coming crisis worse!

This bond breakout underway is issuing a stark warning: Get out of passive stock investments and real estate on any near-term rallies… If yields spike, as I expect we’ll see, it’ll send both asset classes into free fall.

Baron Rothschild said that the secret to his wealth was: “He always got out a bit early!”

Be like Baron Rothschild, if you’re not following a proven strategy like those we provide here at Dent Research!

Harry

http://economyandmarkets.com

Follow me on Twitter @HarryDentjr

Harry studied economics in college in the ’70s, but found it vague and inconclusive. He became so disillusioned by the state of the profession that he turned his back on it. Instead, he threw himself into the burgeoning New Science of Finance, which married economic research and market research and encompassed identifying and studying demographic trends, business cycles, consumers’ purchasing power and many, many other trends that empowered him to forecast economic and market changes.

Copyright © 2018 Harry Dent- All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

Harry Dent Archive

© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules