Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. US Housing Market House Prices Bull Market Trend Current State - Nadeem_Walayat
2.Gold and Silver End of Week Technical, CoT and Fundamental Status - Gary_Tanashian
3.Stock Market Dow Trend Forecast - April Update - Nadeem_Walayat
4.When Will the Stock Market’s Rally Stop? - Troy_Bombardia
5.Russia and China Intend to Drain the West of Its Gold - MoneyMetals
6.BAIDU (BIDU) - Top 10 Artificial Intelligence Stocks Investing To Profit from AI Mega-trend - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Stop Feeding the Chinese Empire - ‘Belt and Road’ Trojan Horse - Richard_Mills
8.Stock Market US China Trade War Panic! Trend Forecast May 2019 Update - Nadeem_Walayat
9.US China Trade Impasse Threatens US Lithium, Rare Earth Imports - Richard_Mills
10.How to Invest in AI Stocks to Profit from the Machine Intelligence Mega-trend - Nadeem_Walayat
Last 7 days
Why are Central Banks Buying Gold and Dumping Dollars? - 23rd June 19
Financial Sector Paints A Clear Picture For Stock Market Trading Profits - 23rd June 19
What You Should Look While Choosing Online Casino - 23rd June 19
INTEL (INTC) Stock Investing to Profit From AI Machine Learning Boom - 22nd June 19
Here’s Why You Should Drive a Piece of Crap Car - 22nd June 19
How Do Stock Prices React to Fed Interest Rate Cuts? - 22nd June 19
Gold Bull Market Breaking Out! - 21st June 19
Post-FOMC Commentary: Delusions of Grandeur - 21st June 19
Gold Scores Gains as Draghi and Powel Grow Concerned - 21st June 19
Potential Upside Targets for Gold Stocks - 21st June 19
Gold Price Trend Forcast to End September 2019 - 21st June 19
The Gold (and Silver) Volcano Is Ready to Erupt - 21st June 19
Fed Leaves Rates Unchanged – Gold & Stocks Rally/Dollar Falls - 21st June 19
Silver Medium-Term Trend Analysis - 20th June 19
Gold Mining Stocks Waiting on This Chart - 20th June 19
A Key Gold Bull Market Signal - 20th June 19
Money Saving Kids Gardening Growing Giant Sunflowers Summer Fun - 20th June 19
Investing in APPLE (AAPL) to Profit From AI Machine Learning Stocks - 20th June 19
Small Cap Stocks May Lead A Market Rally - 20th June 19 -
Interest Rates Square Minus Zero - 20th June 19
Advice for Financing a Luxury Vehicle - 20th June 19
Stock Market Final Blow Off Top Just Hit… Next Week Comes the FIREWORKS - 20th June 19
US Dollar Rallies Off Support But Is This A Top Or Bottom? - 19th June 19
Most Income Investors Are Picking Up Nickels in Front of a Steamroller - 19th June 19
Is the Stock Market’s Volatility About to Spike? - 19th June 19
Facebook's Libra Crypto currency vs Bitcoin: Five Key Differences - 19th June 19
Fed May Trigger Wild Swing In Stock Index and Precious Metals - 19th June 19
How Long Do Land Rover Discovery Sport Brake Pads Last? - 19th June 19
Gold Golden 'Moment of Truth' Is Upon Us: $1,400-Plus or Not? - 18th June 19
Exceptional Times for Gold Warrant Special Attention - 18th June 19
The Stock Market Has Gone Nowhere and Volume is Low. What’s Next - 18th June 19
Silver Long-Term Trend Analysis - 18th June 19
IBM - Watson Deep Learning - AI Stocks Investing - Video - 18th June 19
Investors are Confident, Bullish and Buying Stocks, but… - 18th June 19
Gold and Silver Reversals – Impossible Not to Notice - 18th June 19
S&P 500 Stuck at 2,900, Still No Clear Direction - 17th June 19
Is Boris set to be the next Conservation leader? - 17th June 19
Clock’s Ticking on Your Chance to Profit from the Yield Curve Inversion - 17th June 19
Stock Market Rally Faltering? - 17th June 19
Johnson Vs Gove Tory Leadership Contest Grudge Match Betfair Betting - 17th June 19
Nasdaq Stock Index Prediction System Is Telling Us A Very Different Story - 17th June 19
King Dollar Rides Higher Creating Pressures On Foreign Economies - 17th June 19
Land Rover Discovery Sport Tailgate Not Working Problems Fix (70) - 17th June 19
Stock Market Outlook: is the S&P today just like 2007 or 2016? - 17th June 19
US China War - Thucydides Trap and gold - 16th June 19
Gold Stocks Bull Upleg Mounting - 16th June 19
Gold Price Seasonal Trend Analysis - Video - 16th June 19
Fethiye Market Fruit, Veg, Spices and Turkish Delight Tourist Shopping - 16th June 19
US Dollar Gold Trend Analysis - 15th June 19
Gold Stocks “Launch” is in Line With Fundamentals - 15th June 19
The Rise of Silver and Major Economic Decline - 15th June 19
Fire Insurance Claims: What Are the Things a Fire Claim Adjuster Does? - 15th June 19
How To Find A Trustworthy Casino? - 15th June 19
Boris Johnson Vs Michael Gove Tory Leadership Grudge Match - Video - 14th June 19
Gold and Silver, Precious Metals: T-Minus 3 Seconds To Liftoff! - 14th June 19
Silver Investing Trend Analysis - Video - 14th June 19
The American Dream Is Alive and Well - in China - 14th June 19
Keeping the Online Gaming Industry in Line - 14th June 19
How Acquisitions Affect Global Stocks - 14th June 19
Please Don’t Buy the Dip in Nvidia or Other Chip Stocks - 14th June 19
A Big Thing in Investor Education is Explainer Videos - 14th June 19
IRAN - The Next American War - 13th June 19
Boris Johnson Vs Michael Gove Tory Leadership Grudge Match Contest - 13th June 19
Top Best VPN Services You Can Choose For Your iPhone - 13th June 19
Tory Leadership Contest Betting Markets Forecast - Betfair - 13th June 19
US Stock Market Setting Up A Pennant Formation - 13th June 19
Which Stocks Will Lead The Cannabis Rebound? - 13th June 19

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Gold Price Trend Forecast Summer 2019

Will Gold Push Above $900 Break its Downtrend?

Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009 Feb 01, 2009 - 10:14 PM GMT

By: Prieur_du_Plessis

Commodities Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFinancial Times: Gold pushes above $900 in buying spree
“Strong investor buying on Monday pushed the price of gold above $900 a troy ounce, hitting a 3½-month high in dollar terms and posting all-time highs in euro and sterling, in a stark sign of money seeking refuge from equities and bond markets.


“Traders said that investors, particularly in continental Europe and the UK, were pouring money into gold exchange-traded funds - a popular way to gain access to the metal - and also noted strong buying of physical gold, from coins to bars.

“Edel Tully at Mitsui & Co Precious Metals in London said gold was the ‘obvious shelter' for safe-haven investors.

“The total amount of gold held by the world's gold ETFs last week rose for the first time above the 40 million ounce level. Together, such investment vehicles are now the largest holders of physical gold after the official reserves of the US, Germany, the International Monetary Fund, France and Italy.

“In the short term, traders said gold was likely to consolidate above $900 an ounce this week and could test the $930 an ounce level previously touched in October.”

Source: Javier Blas, Financial Times , January 26, 2009.

Bespoke: Will gold break its downtrend?
“After briefly piercing the $1,000 level in March of last year, the price of gold went into a long-term downtrend with a series of lower highs and lower lows. However, since bottoming out at $681 in October, gold has rallied to over $900 per ounce. This has brought the commodity right to the top of its downtrend line from the March 2008 high. While the current rally in gold has been attributed to fears over competitive currency devaluations across the globe, how the commodity acts in the coming days will go a long way in determining how valid those fears are.”

1-feb-29.jpg

Source: Bespoke , January 26, 2009.

Richard Russell (Dow Theory Letters): Gold benefits from devaluations
“The world battle for exports, with the help of cheap currencies is on. They call it competitive devaluations, and the whole picture is not lost on gold. The move is starting - to move to hard assets. The hardest of all assets is gold. Gold, in case you forget, is pure wealth, it's the only money with no debt against it or without a counter-partner. Gold needs no nation or central bank to attest, by fiat - that it's money.”

Source: Richard Russell, Dow Theory Letters , January 26, 2009.

Bloomberg: StockCharts's Murphy sees gold at $1,000 by year end
“John Murphy, chief technical analyst at StockCharts.com, talks with Bloomberg's Brennan Lothery about the outlook for the gold price in 2009. Murphy also discusses commodity prices, the US equity market and investment strategy.”

1-feb-30.jpg

Source: Bloomberg , January 27, 2009.

Bespoke: Baltic Dry Index up seven days in a row
“The Baltic Dry Index gained another 1% today, which makes seven up days in a row. Since bottoming in December, the Index has formed a nice uptrend, gaining over 50%. Longer term, however, the Index's highs from last Spring are still a long way off. While the Index bottomed on December 5 with a 94.4% decline from its all-time high of 11,793, at its current level of 1,014, it is still down 91.4% from its May 20 high. In order to get back to those highs, the index would have to rally an additional 1,063%. Hey, you have to start somewhere.”

1-feb-31.jpg

Source: Bespoke , January 28, 2009.

CNBC: Oil move to $20?
“Crude oil may fall to $20 this year, says Joe Petrowksi, Gulf Oil and Cumberland Farms CEO.”

1-feb-32.jpg

Source: CNBC , January 27, 2009.

Victoria Marklew (Northern Trust): Eurozone - is that light at the end of the tunnel?
“Today's [Tuesday] Ifo and last week's Belgian leading indicator offer the tantalizing hope that the economic downturn across the Eurozone is starting to bottom out - but one month is not enough to call a trend, and the ‘zone' in general, and Germany in particular, are still likely in for a rough first quarter of 2009.

“First, the Ifo index in Germany. The headline business climate index edged upward from 82.7 in December to 83.0 in January, the first improvement in eight months. Nevertheless, the difference between the current conditions and expectations indices remains wide, suggesting that the economy will contract again in Q1 2009 and that the government's latest forecast of -2.25% real GDP growth this year is about right.

1-feb-33.jpg

“Which takes us to our favorite Eurozone leading indicator, the Belgian National Bank's (BNB) business confidence indicator. As we've noted before, thanks to Belgium's strong trade ties with its neighbors (about 80% of Belgium's manufacturing output is sold abroad, mostly to fellow EU members), the BNB's business confidence index is a reliable leading indicator - about six months out - for GDP growth in the Eurozone as a whole.

1-feb-34.jpg

“The Belgian and German data imply that the Eurozone as a whole will see a marked contraction in Q4 2008 and Q1 2009, flat-to-negative growth in the middle of the year, and a sustained improvement finally underway by Q4.”

Source: Victoria Marklew, Northern Trust - Daily Global Commentary , January 27, 2009.


© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules