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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Stagflation

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Economics

Monday, June 08, 2009

Is the U.S. Economy Heading for Stagflation? / Economics / Stagflation

By: Gerard_Jackson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIrrespective of how Obama's media supporters try to spin it the unemployment situation is grave and still deteriorating. This was not supposed to happen. According to his economic advisors the situation would be disastrous unless congress rushed through Obama's stimulus package. Dr. Christine Romer -- one of Obama's chief economic advisors -- predicted unemployment would hit 8.8 per cent unless swift action was undertaken.

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Economics

Tuesday, April 28, 2009

Why It’s Stagflation, Not Hyperinflation... For Now / Economics / Stagflation

By: Michael_Pento

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn the longer term, the risk of the U.S. suffering through a bout with hyperinflation is very real. However, in the short term what we most likely face is a protracted period of stagflation first because of our record debt and the Fed’s decision to pay interest on excess bank reserves.

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Economics

Wednesday, April 01, 2009

Economic Stimulus Recipe for Cooking up Stagflation / Economics / Stagflation

By: Michael_Pento

Actually, We're not Saving Yet - There seems to be much confusion lately about the consumer's increased savings rate and if this is a good or bad condition for the health of the U.S. economy. While many Austrian economists are lauding our new found predilection to save, the Administration is obsessing over forcing banks to increase lending and compelling consumers to step up their borrowing.

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Economics

Thursday, November 20, 2008

Hyperinflation to Follow Deflationary Debt Unwind / Economics / Stagflation

By: Eric_deCarbonnel

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn the investor community, there currently exists the belief that hyperinflation is impossible because of the deflationary debt unwind now underway. However, this logic is based on the flawed assumption that the money supply is the only important factor when determining inflation or deflation. This ignores the fact that for nations heavily dependent on foreign imports, like the US and Iceland, the purchasing power of the currency is the most important determinant of inflation/deflation.

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Economics

Friday, October 17, 2008

Deflation Scare the Perfect Camouflage for Inflationary Money Printing / Economics / Stagflation

By: Chris_Galakoutis

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt is said the market can sniff out prospective problems and price itself accordingly. If so, then someone needs to get this dog some nasal spray, lickedy-split! The deflation scare currently hovering over the entire market, particularly in the metals and commodities sectors, has been brutal. But the key question today is whether this “scare” will evolve into a genuine deflation threat to the US and the world?

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Economics

Wednesday, August 27, 2008

Stagflation Becoming an Economic Reality / Economics / Stagflation

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWilliam Patalon III writes: U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke didn't use the "S" word - stagflation - but he might as well have.

On Friday, the U.S. central bank chief said that the financial crisis that has hammered the U.S. market is combining with rising inflation to eviscerate American economy. Together, the two forces are making it extremely difficult for the Fed to restore economic stability in the U.S. market.

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Economics

Tuesday, August 19, 2008

Stagflation a Weapon of Mass Wealth Destruction / Economics / Stagflation

By: Richard_C_Cook

U.S. wholesale prices in July 2008 grew at the fastest rate since 1981. The cost of materials has risen 9.8 percent in the last twelve months, according to government data. While gasoline prices fell the week of August 18 to $3.74 a gallon, they remain far higher than the $2.40 a gallon of mid-2005. Meanwhile, the price of food at the grocery store continues to climb, while consumer purchasing power remains stagnant.

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Economics

Friday, August 01, 2008

Silver and Monetary Considerations of Hyperinflation / Economics / Stagflation

By: David_Morgan

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMany of you are probably too young to appreciate the full impact of the hyperinflation in Germany after WW1. It was devastating. This picture shows you the amount of paper that was equal to one silver dollar, or ¾ of one troy ounce of fine silver. After seven years of constantly accelerating inflation, the mark is finally stabilized at the rate of over 4 trillion to a U.S. dollar. The black market rate, however, was an incredible 12 trillion to the dollar at this time. The pre-inflation exchange rate for the mark was by contrast a modest 4.2 to the U.S. dollar. Can anyone say Hyperinflation?

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Economics

Thursday, July 10, 2008

Global Stock Markets Hit by Staglation Fears and Threat of War with Iran / Economics / Stagflation

By: Gary_Dorsch

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn today's lightning fast and violent markets, where a constant barrage of news and noise flows into the marketplace each day, it's easy to forget a vital piece of information that was released just a few hours or days earlier. Trader sentiment is often swayed by the price action of the moment, and it's easy to lose sight of the mega-trends and core issues, that move the markets over the longer-term.

It was nearly one-year ago, on July 17, 2007, when Bear Stearns BSC said in a letter to investors, that two of its troubled hedge funds that bet heavily on risky sub-prime mortgages had very little value. “The preliminary estimates show there is effectively no value left for the investors in the Enhanced Leverage Fund and very little value left for the investors in the High-Grade Fund, as of June 30, 2007,” BSC said.

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Economics

Wednesday, July 09, 2008

Stagflation Sightings Multiplying / Economics / Stagflation

By: John_Browne

We have long warned that stagflation, or economic contraction accompanied by inflation, would become so evident that even the most optimistic observers could not deny its virulence. 

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Economics

Wednesday, July 02, 2008

Fed Stuck in Neutral on Monitory Policy Response to Stagflation / Economics / Stagflation

By: John_Browne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOn June 25th , the Fed made no changes in its key interest rates and issued a statement that underscored how narrow their room for maneuver had become. Caught between the opposing forces of economic contraction and inflation, the Fed revealed that it was locked in neutral.  Given that the Fed must use opposite remedies to satisfy the demands of its dual mandate (higher rates to curb inflation and lower rates to stimulate growth), the Fed is stuck firmly in neutral.  There appears to be nothing left to do except to talk and hope for the best.

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Economics

Saturday, June 28, 2008

The Slow Motion Recession, Inflation, Deflation and Stagflation / Economics / Stagflation

By: John_Mauldin

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"We appear to be entering a period of serious stagflation with sharply rising expected and actual inflation combined with large downside risks to growth and employment."

"I would argue that what we are seeing is an acceleration of expected consumer price inflation in the context of a sharp expansion in global liquidity. It is hardly surprising that the prices of those commodities, such as oil, for which the short-run price elasticities of supply and demand are low move upwards strongly when there is a rise in expected general inflation.

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Economics

Thursday, June 26, 2008

Money Supply Surge to Lead to US Inflationary Depression / Economics / Stagflation

By: Mark_OByrne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGold closed at $879.60 in New York  yesterday and was down $9.20 and silver closed at $16.48, down 13 cents. Gold fell prior to and shortly after the Federal Reserve's decision to keep interest rates on hold at 2%. However, with rates remaining extremely accommodative and inflation surging gold soon recovered and rallied into the New York close and continued rallying in electronic trading. Gold has continued to rally in Asian and early European trading.

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Economics

Monday, June 23, 2008

Don't Worry About a Return to 1970s Style Stagflation / Economics / Stagflation

By: John_Derrick

Recent months have resurrected a potent economic villain of the past—stagflation.

The U.S. economy is seeing little to no growth, while at the same time inflation has risen to levels not seen in the better part of two decades due in large part to soaring food and energy prices.

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Economics

Thursday, June 19, 2008

Wage Price Inflation Spiral Plus House Price Deflation Equals Stagflation / Economics / Stagflation

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWarnings of a further 40% hike in energy costs this year puts the Bank of England on high alert for a wage price spiral kicking in which will lead to much higher and prolonged inflation. The first signs of this are in the 14% pay hike agreed with the Shell subcontracted tanker haulers over 2 years at 7% per year which is more than double the current CPI inflation rate of 3.3%. The public sector unions are seizing this event to warn that recent pay agreements that cover the next 2 years will have to be negotiated in line with the rising cost of living signaling a 'Winter of Discontent' for Gordon Browns Labour government.

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Economics

Monday, June 16, 2008

Fed Failure has Put United States on the Path to Hyper-inflation / Economics / Stagflation

By: Captain_Hook

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMan is his own worst enemy – this truism has proven itself over and over in history – and is doing so once again in our handling of economy. As you undoubtedly know the consumer is on the ropes and in need of relief due to excessive credit. True to form however, and consistent with our title today, just when this is happening, commodity prices have lit-up, and are showing no signs of retreat, especially energy prices. This has created a very big problem for central planners they can actually identify within their incompetence, that being, in order to tackle the effects of inflation, they will genuinely (a few choice words in the Fed Minutes won't do the trick) need to show fiscal restraint, or crude oil will go to $200, the dollar will break 70, and it's hyperinflation here we come.

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Economics

Wednesday, June 11, 2008

Manipulated, Corrupted and Unreliable Government Data Points to Hyperinflation / Economics / Stagflation

By: Stephen_Lendman


Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWalter "John" Williams thinks out of the box. He makes disquieting reading, but you won't find him in the mainstream. At least not often. He runs a "Shadow Government Statistics" site with an electronic by-subscription newsletter. Anyone can access some of his data and occasional special reports. They can also assess his reasoning. In his judgment, government data are manipulated, corrupted and unreliable. He's not alone thinking that.

First, through technical changes over time in how data are collected and/or interpreted. The intent is to portray a more rosy scenario and ignore real world experiences of ordinary people. Calculating the CPI is an example:

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InvestorEducation

Tuesday, June 10, 2008

How to Survive and Profit from Stagflation / InvestorEducation / Stagflation

By: Martin_Hutchinson

IBest Financial Markets Analysis Articlencreasingly in recent weeks commentators have begun speculating about the dreaded “S-word”- stagflation- and whether or not such a protracted period featuring both high prices and high unemployment would blight the U.S. economy.

The stagflation debate arose anew on Friday when a worse-than-expected employment report and a record single-day surge in crude oil prices made economists once again consider the possibility that the U.S. economy could drop into a recession even as inflationary pressures spiraled higher.

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Economics

Tuesday, June 10, 2008

UK Producer Price Inflation Soars Suggesting Stagflationary Recession / Economics / Stagflation

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleUK Producer Price inflation soared in May to 8.6% for the price of output of manufactured goods to levels not seen since the early 1980's stagflationary recession. The trend not only signals a halt to further rate cuts but increasingly the expectations are that despite sharply lower economic growth, UK interest rates will be forced higher as inflationary forces make themselves visible in the CPI data that currently stands at the Bank of England's upper limit of 3%.

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Economics

Tuesday, May 27, 2008

The Hyperinflationary Shell Game / Economics / Stagflation

By: Darryl_R_Schoon

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleModern economics is not rocket science. In fact, it's not science at all. It's a game, a confidence game. Once paper passed for money, economics became an elaborate shell game designed to hide the fact paper had been substituted for silver and gold. Debt ratings are an attempt to quantify confidence in paper assets and are an essential part of the game. The shell game is called “Where's The Money?” The answer is simple, it's not there.

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