Category: Commodities Trading
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Monday, November 12, 2018
Cyclical Commodities Continue to Weaken, Gold Moves in Relation / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Gary_Tanashian
Crude Oil and Industrial Metals continue downward. This is significant per this NFTRH monthly chart showing these items and the broad CRB itself having hit trend lines from the 2008 highs. These pullbacks from long-term trend lines are notable and qualify cyclical commodities as risk indicators for the cyclical macro.
Tuesday, November 06, 2018
Energy Markets Analysis FreePass / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: EWI
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Monday, October 08, 2018
Inflation Is Starting To Heat Up / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Gary_Savage
For years now analysts, and the media have been trying to convince everyone there is no inflation despite central banks massive quantitative easing programs. Of course this is ridiculous. They just choose to ignore where the inflation has manifested.
In 2008 inflation spiked in the commodity markets contributing to the severity of the last recession. One could even make a strong case inflation was the main cause of the recession. From 2011 until recently inflation has focused mostly in asset markets, especially the stock market. But it’s also appeared in healthcare, housing prices, insurance premiums, education, etc. So to claim there has been no inflation one has to willfully turn a blind eye to where the inflation is. We’ve actually had massive inflation, it’s just that it has run mostly in sectors that people don’t mind seeing inflation, namely the stock market. I think that is about to change.
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Saturday, October 06, 2018
How Commodities Will Perform in the 'Impending Massive Credit Crunch' / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Clive_Maund
Technical analyst Clive Maund looks at the factors that he sees are behind a massive credit crunch and discusses how the markets could react. An enormous "sword of Damocles" hangs over all markets now. A massive liquidity drain is underway as global QE reverses into QT and rates rise against the background of immense ubiquitous crippling debt burdens. What this means is that the biggest credit crunch of all time is bearing down on us, which will involve markets crashing in the absence of bids, serious dislocation of capital markets and out of control interest rates.
This is probably the high point for Trump's presidency as the stock market enjoys its final "swansong rally" ahead of the crash, buoyed up the last of the stock buybacks before rising rates choke them off, and the dumbest of the dumb money who think that because the market has been in an uptrend for years it's going to continue.
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Saturday, September 22, 2018
Trade War vs. Commodities / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: The_Gold_Report
Lobo Tiggre of the Independent Speculator discusses the trade war and its impact on commodities, and what that all means for resource investors. There is a widespread notion among investors, analysts and pundits that the escalating trade conflict between the U.S. and its trading partners is bad for the global economy. This is no stretch. The leap from there to it being bad for commodities is understandable, but less certain. Still, people who should know, like those running the world's largest mining company, are saying it's so.
Is it any wonder, then, that we've seen the rally in commodities that started in 2016 start to peter out?
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Monday, August 20, 2018
What the Copper and Gold Crash Means for Commodities and Stocks / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Troy_Bombardia
As you probably know, commodity prices have been falling significantly over the past few months on Trump’s trade war, which has caused the U.S. Dollar to rise.
This has some bearish investors afraid of a few things:
- “Contagion” from commodities and emerging markets to the U.S. stock market
- An economic slowdown, because commodity prices are “supposed to” reflect economic data. Conventional thinking states that falling commodity prices = falling demand, which signals a slowdown in the economy.
Thursday, July 26, 2018
Gold, Silver, Copper, Platinum Commodities Set Up for a Rally / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: The_Gold_Report
Technical analyst Clive Maund provides copper, gold, platinum, silver and US dollar updates at what he calls a "key juncture."Commodities, including gold and silver, have plunged to become so deeply oversold that a snapback rally looks likely soon. This could be sharp and could trigger a wave of short covering. Such a rally is likely to be sparked by a dollar reaction, as we will see, but it is likely to be followed by further heavy losses across the sector if a general market crash ensues as expected.
We will start by looking at the latest dollar index chart, as a dollar reaction will be what ignites a commodity rally. The 2-year chart for the dollar index shows that the dollar is rounding over beneath a zone of resistance that dates back to a reversal that occurred at this level last October and November. The pattern that has formed from last July looks like a large head-and-shoulders bottom, with the right shoulder of the pattern about to form.
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Monday, June 18, 2018
Orange Juice Commodity Trading Analysis / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Austin_Galt
Latest Price – $159.90. Previous analysis updated – price has traded exactly as outlined, rallying before finding resistance and I now believe the next leg up has commenced.
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Wednesday, May 09, 2018
A Bottom in GOLD and a Top in CRUDE! / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Enda_Glynn
UPCOMING RISK EVENTS:
USD: PPI m/m, Core PPI m/m.
EUR: N/A.
GBP: N/A.
JPY: N/A.
Wednesday, May 09, 2018
Supercycle May Be Setting Up for Higher Commodity Demand / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: The_Gold_Report
Conditions may be in place for increased demand and increased prices for a number of commodities. In this interview with Streetwise Reports, Frank Holmes, CEO of U.S. Global Investors, discusses the commodity supercycle and the factors behind it, why some commodities may get more of a boost than others, and ways investors can profit.
The Gold Report: Frank, thank you for joining us today. Let's talk about the commodity supercycle. Would you explain what the supercycle is?
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Friday, May 04, 2018
US Dollar Cycle Rotation To Boost Oil & Other Commodities / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our recent analysis of the US Dollar has presented a very unique and interesting setup for traders – an opportunity for a general commodity rally with Oil leading the way.
Taking a look at this Daily chart of the UUP (US Dollar Index Bullish Fund) with our Advanced Dynamic Learning Cycles price modeling system applied to it, we can see that the cycle analysis is predicting a rotational top in the US Dollar over the next 2~5+ trading days before a new bearish price trend pushes this US Dollar fund back to below the $24 level. We have highlighted the Resistance Zone in red and we believe this rotating top will play out fairly quickly as an excellent opportunity for traders.
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Saturday, April 14, 2018
Sugar Commodity Buying Levels Analysis / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Austin_Galt
Pattern – price is clearly in a downtrend…which I think is finished, for the time being anyway. Price made a little inside candle the day before last and the last day’s trading saw price breach the high of the previous day which is often a sign of a change in trend. Price will, obviously, need to trade further up to confirm this suspicion of mine.
PSAR – this has indicator has now turned bullish with the dots now underneath price. A good sign for the bulls but nothing to get too excited about.
Thursday, April 12, 2018
Rise Of The New Commodities Bull Market? / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Chris_Vermeulen
New massive breakout patterns have been setting up in the markets for months and our research team at the Wealth Building Newsletter has been quietly watching these setups – waiting for the right time to alert our followers of these exceptional opportunities. Today, we are announcing our research and triggers to all of our followers so you can attempt for profit from our hard work and see just how critical our “Adaptive Learning Tools” are for success.
We believe the following charts clearly show just how important these breakout patterns are for traders. This first chart shows the Stage 1 Basing formation that we’ve been following for quite a while with our Adaptive Dynamic Learning Cycles. These cycle projections help us to determine the future potential of any markets as well as help us to understand historical and current price cycle rotations.
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Tuesday, April 03, 2018
Orange Juice Commodity Price Analysis / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Austin_Galt
Latest Price – $139.20
Patterm – price looks to be generally in an uptrend with a secondary low in place with a recent test of that higher low turning price back up.
Fibonacci – the higher low was just above the 88.6% retracement level which is normal for the first correction in a new bull market as first corrections often make deep retracements while the most recent low looks to have found support at the 76.4% level. The higher low was at support from the 88.6% angle and price looks to have once again found support at that angle.
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Tuesday, April 03, 2018
Review of Gold, Silver and Copper Charts and Implications of the Latest COTs / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Clive_Maund
We've certainly got plenty to look at in coming days, but perhaps a good place to start is with a review of some of the latest COTs, because of their implications for the immediate future. The following charts make very clear why those in control of publishing COT data hold up its release for three days (the data is always for Tuesday's close) so that those at the top of the food chain can position themselves comfortably to benefit from early knowledge of what's going on before the ordinary shmuck does—observe how the uptrends in both copper and the broad market S&P 500 index presaged by the COTs have already started by the end of the week. In looking at the charts, keep in mind that markets were closed on Friday.
Monday, February 19, 2018
Inflationary Pressures Building / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Donald_W_Dony
Inflationary pressures have been on the rise since 2016. The U.S. Inflation Rate currently sits at 2.20 percent up from 1 percent in early 2016.
Increasing economic growth both globally and domestically have aided the rise of inflationary pressures.
The rise or fall in commodity prices are a good reliable gauge on inflation.
But the biggest driver of natural resource prices appears to be the U.S. dollar.
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Thursday, February 08, 2018
U.S. Dollar Appears to be Bottoming. Is this the End of the Commodities Rally? / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Donald_W_Dony
The U.S. dollar appears to be finding a floor at $0.885 after six weeks of sharp declines. What does that mean to commodity prices?
The "Big dollar" slid almost six percent since mid-December aiding many commodity prices to stage a strong rally.
Gold bounced up 8.4 percent, silver soared 10 percent and WTI roar upward by 15 percent.
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Monday, February 05, 2018
Best Commodity Trading Opportunities to See Now / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: EWI
Special 5-day event (free): "Best Commodity Opportunities to See Now"
Dear reader,
Volatility is picking up steam -- and it's more than just Bitcoin and U.S. stocks that deserve your attention.
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Thursday, January 25, 2018
A New Commodities Bull Market is Emerging / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Peter_Degraaf
We’ve all watched in amazement, while the equities markets around the world have risen to new highs. On Wall Street hardly a week goes by without a new record. There comes a time however when a sector becomes so overbought, that smart money begins to leave and search for a sector that has been overlooked. That moment is now at hand, as can be seen in our first chart – courtesy sources listed.
Sunday, January 07, 2018
Commodities the Return To Inflation? / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: WMA
The headline in this Thursday’s Financial Times reads: “Commodities prices hit highest point since 2014”.
The FT article begins: “The Bloomberg Commodity Spot Index, which tracks price of 22 raw materials, has hit its highest level since 2014 when the oil market price crash started.”
A small problem might be that the Bloomberg Commodity Spot Index does not include Energy or Precious Metals, which are in other Bloomberg indexes. In fact, in the Bloomberg Commodity Spot Index is a grouping of Raw Industrials and Food Stuffs. The Raw Industrials includes burlap, copper scrap, cotton, hides, lead scrap, print cloth, rosin, rubber, steel scrap, tallow, tin, wool tops, and zinc. Foodstuffs include butter, cocoa beans, corn, cottonseed oil, hogs, lard, steers, sugar, and wheat.
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