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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Commodities Trading

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Commodities

Thursday, June 22, 2017

LOG 0.786 support in CRUDE OIL and COCOA / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Stephen_Cox

Originally written in the Wednesday JUN 21 MRI 3D Report,

CRUDE OIL GROUP- CLQ 17 (4253):  (W.D. GANN): Today is 19 trading days down from 52.00. 52×19= 988  Subtract 988 from 52.00 = 42.12 = the square of TIME and PRICE.  Today’s low = 42.05.

TIME: Today is 33a/May04 LOW, 7×7(G)d/APR12 TOP and 120(G)d/55.24 Jan03 TOP

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Commodities

Friday, June 16, 2017

Heating Oil Bottom Is In.(probably) / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Stephen_Cox

MRI Trading Signals has identified a high probability of a HEATING OIL LOW, at least for awhile.  It may be a stretch to see the nearby HON 17 (141.13) close above the previous week’s close 143.70, requiring a 2.57+ net change on Friday.  IF that happens then HO is confirming the WEEKLY TIME SETUP in the ACL and LCL Closing Line Chart Frames- 3D, 5(F)A, 13(F)a and 30(G)a to WK 07 NOV’16 and 45(G)a to WK 25 JUL’16.  

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Commodities

Friday, June 09, 2017

Is The Great Commodity Bear Finally Over ? / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Rambus_Chartology

There is something happening in the commodities complex that has been going on for awhile now that needs to be addressed tonight. A subtle change actually started earlier this year and has been gaining momentum especially in the energy sector. I know for a lot of you, with the weak US dollar, you are thinking, “how could commodities be declining,” which goes against everything you have learned about how the markets are supposed to work. If the markets always behaved like everyone thinks they should then there would be no markets, because everyone can’t be right. That’s the nature of the beast we’re trying to tame.

Tonight I would like to show you some bearish rising wedges which have formed all over the place in the commodities complex. Many of the rising wedges took over a year to build out so that sets up a healthy decline. The bigger the pattern the bigger the move.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Tuesday, May 09, 2017

Commodities Trading and Investing: Inside Look at 18+ Top Markets / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: EWI

Dear reader,

Our partners at Elliott Wave International, the world’s leader in Elliott wave analysis since 1978, have some exciting news!

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Saturday, May 06, 2017

Plunger’s Big Trade Update & Gold Stocks GDXJ update / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Plunger

GDXJ-

One can see from Rambus’ below charts that it appears the PM stocks are still early on in the decline process. I would agree, but of course stocks don’t move in a straight uninterrupted line. Therefore I would suggest we are due for a bit of an upward retracement soon. I claim this on the following basis: RSI is now significantly oversold and is now putting in a positive divergence (note red line). Also stochastics are extended to full range and appear to be in the first stage of turning up. We have reached its measured move as depicted. Also its reached the boundary of its Bollinger Band, (altough not outside of it). As a result I covered my short today and actually went long JNUG and some selective shares. I am looking for no more than a bounce up. It may look like a BT to the red bear flags Rambus has drawn in the below charts. I am not advocating others do the same just discussing trading opportunities.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Tuesday, March 14, 2017

Gold, Oil, CRB, Bonds - Beware The Bearish Rising Wedge / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Rambus_Chartology

In this report I would like to show you a chart pattern that seems to be showing up in a lot of different area’s of the markets, in particular the commodities complex. We looked at some of them in the last Weekend Report which were maturing, but in some cases hadn’t broken down yet. The chart pattern I’m referring to is the bearish rising wedge.

Some of the bearish rising wedges have a common theme which is the late 2015 low, when commodities and the PM complex finally bottomed out after that massive impulse move down. At a minimum the price objective for a rising or falling wedge is the first reversal point in which the wedge began to build out. Prices can go much lower, but the first reversal point is a good first price objective.

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Commodities

Tuesday, March 07, 2017

Chartology of the Commodities: The Inflation/Deflation Barometer / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Rambus_Chartology

One of the biggest questions investors have is what type of environment are stocks and the economy in, deflation or inflation? Knowing the answer to that question can give you a heads up on what different sectors to invest in and what sectors to stay away from. Tonight I would like to update some of the different commodities indexes to see if they can give us any clues on which way the deflationary or inflationary pendulum is swinging. Commodities are often an under analysed asset class as compared to Stocks and Bonds. However they are the nuts and bolts , the real stuff supporting human existence.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, February 20, 2017

Headwinds Continue for Commodities with Rising US Dollar / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Donald_W_Dony

Recent pro-US rhetoric from the current administration is only adding to an existing multi-year renewed strength of the US dollar.

The chant of "USA first" has only been the last of the drivers to push the greenback higher.

Some of the other factors have been unemployment, which has reached a milestone at 4.8 percent, the second lowest level since 2006.

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Commodities

Thursday, January 05, 2017

The Rising U.S. Dollar and the Impact on Commodities / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Donald_W_Dony

The FOMC has raised its benchmark interest rate up for the second time since the recession of 2008 and 2009. And as the U.S. is the only G8 country, over the last eight years, to start increasing its rate, there is little to no competition for the currency.

The impact of a raising currency are many.

On the plus side, it creates higher demand for U.S. Treasuries, lower borrowing costs for the Federal government and foreign demand for U.S. assets (including stocks).

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Tuesday, January 03, 2017

Commodities: New Year's Promises Vs. Elliott Wave Patterns / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: EWI

2011, 2014, and 2016: The year's performance has consistently followed its Elliott wave script

It's that time of year again, when before us an entirely new blank slate is laid, which we eagerly fill with promises of better health, habits, and life choices.

But, according to Statisticsbrain.com, only 8% of people successfully carry through with their New Year's resolutions -- or as I like to call them, Maybe-lutions.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, October 03, 2016

Get Free Commodity Market Forecasts! / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: EWI

Dear trader,

This week our friends over at Elliott Wave International are hosting a free online event exclusively for commodity traders!

For 5 opportunity-filled days -- at ZERO cost to you -- you will enjoy premium video forecasts from one of the world's foremost Elliott wave experts, Jeffrey Kennedy. Each video gives you real-time analysis, charts, forecasts and actionable trading ideas and tips to help you find the best commodity opportunities.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Friday, July 29, 2016

2016: Current Gold and Commodity Market Themes / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Gary_Tanashian

A year ago almost to the day we began tracking a ‘Macrocosmic’ theme that would eventually see gold bottom and rise vs. stocks and bonds in 2016, joining its bullish status vs. commodities, which had been in place since 2014.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Friday, June 17, 2016

Inflation, Deflation & Associated Trading Prospects / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Gary_Tanashian

Recently I have gotten wordy about the decline in ‘inflation expectations’ beginning on June 2, right on through yesterday’s update of the TIP-TLT ratio and TLT in essence, attaining their targets.  The implication would be that the mini deflation whiff is coming to its limits.

As often happens at potential limit points, the market’s crosscurrents are strong.  As noted yesterday, USD, gold, silver and the gold miners all did in-day reversals as items that had been risk ‘off’ got hammered.  ‘What, USD and gold in lockstep?  What is the meaning of this?!?’ think inflationists. See yesterday’s in-day post Strange Bedfellows.

The meaning is that these items, along with the VIX and US Treasury bonds have been plays for a risk ‘off’ market as it got the jitters over deflation.  Gold miners had been, however fleetingly, rising in line with their counter-cyclical fundamentals and this is the mirror image to the reasons why I so often parrot that if you are a gold miner bull, realize that fundamentally at least, the sector is done no favors in an inflationary backdrop (price, for long stretches of time, can be something else all together).

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Thursday, May 26, 2016

Think Beyond Oil And Gold: Interview With Mike 'Mish' Shedlock / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Mike_Shedlock

This past week I was interviewed by James Stafford at Oilprice.com.

We discussed, oil, gold, lithium, other natural resources, global opportunities, and even biotech plays.

Here is the full interview, conducted several days ago.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, May 09, 2016

Commodities Overtake Stocks and Bonds with Best Rally Since 2010! / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Traders who follow the price of gold and silver, should keep an eye out on the U.S. dollar index. The dollar has been within a trading range for more than a year. During December of 2015, the dollar rose to test the highs at 100, however, since February of 2016, the dollar has been in a downtrend, as shown in the chart below.

The FED has reduced the expectations of a rate hike in 2016 from one full percentage point, in the beginning of the year, to a half percent and perhaps to none at all. However, my expectation is that the FED may have to start rolling back this increase before the end of 2016.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Thursday, May 05, 2016

Investing After the Global Commodities Super-Cycle / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Dan_Steinbock

While cyclical challenges remain tough in global commodities, structural realities look more tolerable.

According to conventional wisdom, the challenges of global commodities can be attributed to China’s slowdown and poor growth prospects. Advanced economies are not immune. In the US, just two commodity-related sectors – oil and gas, as well as metals and steel – accounted for more than half of the defaults in 2015.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Tuesday, April 26, 2016

CRB, Gold, Oil, Cotton, Coffee - 7 Must See Commodities Charts / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: InvestingHaven

Commodities are in a positive cycle. It is too early to tell whether the long term bear market is over, but short and medium term momentum is clearly in favor of commodity bulls.

In this article, we revise 7 must-see charts covering the commodities complex, which reveal current and future investment opportunities.

First, the CRB commodoties index bottomed in January of this year. At that point in time, sentiment was even worse than during the depth of the 2008 financial crisis. The first chart shows how bad sentiment was in the last months of 2015 / early January 2016, see lower pane. Consequently, the upside potential is enormous as commodities are currently nowhere near positive sentiment levels.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Sunday, April 17, 2016

CRB, Gold, The Fed has Unleashed Inflation / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Graham_Summers

And it wants more of it.

From mid-2014 until early 2016, commodities as an asset class, collapsed some 45%.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Wednesday, March 09, 2016

Commodities Jump on US Dollar Weakness / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Donald_W_Dony

With the U.S. dollar drifting lower over the past four months, most commodities are feeling a strong tailwind blowing their way.

Dollar bulls were hoping for a more aggressive program of interest rate increases, but instead the Fed dialed-back the number from four to two this year. The US$ pulled away from its high of $100.60 and formed a series of lower levels.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Wednesday, January 13, 2016

WTIC Crude Oil and Silver Charts / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Gary_Savage

At 63% below the 200 week moving average the price of oil has gone "parabolic" to the downside. Silver is due for an intermediate degree rally. Read full article... Read full article...

 


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