Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Wednesday, March 25, 2015

Stock Market Decline Gaining Momentum / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

It appears that my forecast of a drop to the 50-day was correct, but in a way that I had not imagined. All the red skid marks (excuse me, red candles) that you see may be a running correction where each successive zigzag had a lower top and a lower bottom. It is likely that the first hourly candle this morning was a sub-Micro Wave c of a sub-Minute Wave (ii). We may see a brief bounce at Short-term support at 2076.91, but the real target is the 50-day Moving Average at 2065.83, where a sub-Minute Wave (iii) may put in a low.

Wednesday, March 25, 2015

Carefully Watch The Stock Market NYA Index / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Marty_Chenard

While the other indexes are typically showing levels above their resistance line, the NYA index is still below its resistance.

Is there a problem with that?

Wednesday, March 25, 2015

SPX Futures Appear Weak. WTIC and Gold May Be at Max Retracement / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

So far, SPX Premarket is going nowhere as of this report. This bolsters the argument that SPX must decline at least to its next level of support at 2085.18 before any retracement, since it completed an impulse from 2114.86 yesterday. It may go deeper, possibly to the 50-day Moving Average at 2065.36. It’s hard to label the squiggles in the Elliott Wave. One thought is that it may be doing a running correction with no visible retracement.

Wednesday, March 25, 2015

Can The FTSE 100 Sustain Its Elevated Levels? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Richard_Cox

The FTSE 100 is continuing to push forward with its historic bull run and markets are now clearly set on overcoming the closely watch 7,000 mark.  It is never surprising to see this much attention spent on moves in a major stock index to surpass a significantly psychological round figure like this but the real question for investors is in whether or not these latest moves will be sustainable over the long-term.  On the supportive side is the fact that consumer inflation levels in the UK have dropped to zero.  This is a factor that is likely to prove to be important given the elevated inflation levels the region has experienced for most of the last decade. 

Tuesday, March 24, 2015

Stock Market NYSE Hi-Lo Index Aggressive Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The NYSE Hi-Lo index is on an aggressive sell signal. I would like to see it remain beneath the 50-day moving Average at 130.08 by the end of the day. The prior low on March 20 was 37, so this morning’s 33.00 low constitutes a breakdown.

Tuesday, March 24, 2015

Stock Market Three Peaks/ Domed House Part III / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Money_Morning

As the Dow appears to be sketching out the Cupola of a Three Peaks/Domed House formation I thought this would be a good time to focus on that chapter of the book I am currently working on (The Complete Technical Analysis of George Lindsay: A Unified Theory of the American Equity Market – due in 2016). While that chapter is far from complete I have stumbled across an observation which will be new to the Lindsay corpus.

Tuesday, March 24, 2015

Stock Market Reversal May Have Begun / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX declined just ticks below its Broadening Wedge trendline. This would be considered the official crash trigger, although most would wait until it crossed beneath the 50-day Moving Average at 2064.31. Considering that the Ending Diagonal already projects a decline beneath that level, it would not be out of the question to take an aggressive short position.

Tuesday, March 24, 2015

Stock Market Grinding At The Old Highs.....Nasdaq Nasty Daily Negative Divergence... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

As the S&P 500 grinds its way to the old highs we're now seeing a true negative divergence on the Nasdaq daily chart. It doesn't have to play out, but it's there and needs to be respected as yet another headache that's hanging over this market, along with froth and terrible looking monthly-index charts. The market seems to be adding up problems yet it still hasn't broken. The power of the fed ever present in the minds of the traders out there. They seem to worry about nothing, no matter how bad the problem may be. The S&P 500 and Dow have the potential to flash negative divergences if they get up to their old highs.

Monday, March 23, 2015

Tech Startups and Nigerian Bonds - We’re All Hedge Funds Now / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: John_Rubino

Watching formerly risk-averse investors adapt to a negative interest rate world is almost as much fun as watching Europe try to keep Greece and Germany in the same financial family. In each case, success depends on all the parties becoming something they really don’t want to be.

Monday, March 23, 2015

Why You Must Beware of Quicksilver Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Money_Morning

Shah Gilani writes: “Quicksilver Markets” is the provocative title of an Office of Financial Research (OFR) report published March 17.

The report’s author, Ted Berg, in his conclusion warns that “Quicksilver markets can turn from tranquil to turbulent in short order.”

He believes the stock market could crash – again.

Monday, March 23, 2015

Is Stock Market Minor Top Taking Hold? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market

Intermediate trend - Is the 7-yr cycle sketching an intermediate top?

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which ultimately indicate the course of longer market trends.

Monday, March 23, 2015

The Psychology Behind Your Stock Market Pessimism / Stock-Markets / Trader Psychology

By: Investment_U

Alexander Green writes: Over the course of the last few columns - and during my recent talks at the Investment U Conference - I’ve laid out my case for viewing the future of the economy and the stock market optimistically.

Yet Editorial Director Andrew Snyder polled our readership and found that only 38% of you agree with me.

Monday, March 23, 2015

What Stock Market Bears Don’t Understand / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Investment_U

Alexander Green writes: At the Investment U Conference in St. Petersburg, Florida, last week, I argued that “The Great Enrichment” has created a Golden Age for investors.

To briefly summarize my case, economic freedom - as measured by the Heritage Foundation’s Index of Economic Freedom - is increasing worldwide. Interest rates are at historic lows. Inflation is negligible. Job creation is the strongest in 20 years. The U.S. economy is improving. The annual budget deficit is coming down. Energy prices have more than halved in the last eight months. Technological innovation is accelerating. The dollar just hit a 12-year high against the euro and an eight-year high against the yen. U.S. household net worth is near an all-time high. So are corporate profits. And so are profit margins.

Monday, March 23, 2015

Today is a Stock Market Cycle Turn Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

My earlier forecast of a low on the 13th and a high on the 23rd seems to be prescient. This has been a rather shallow decline and a very sharp rally, but the SPX has managed to become overbought again without breaking new highs. This leaves the vast majority of investors in a very casual mood about the dangers of a decline

Monday, March 23, 2015

Greece and EU Running Out of Time as Bank Runs Intensify / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: GoldCore

- EU and Greece running out of time as talks end “in disarray” – again
- Greece warns Merkel of ‘impossible’ debt
- Concerns Greece out of money by end of April
- Friday’s “agreement” in Brussels falls apart hours later as protagonists fail to agree on specifics
- Greece now insolvent – will run out of liquidity by end of April
- Greek banks on verge of collapse as runs continue – €1.5 billion emptied out of banks last week alone
- ‘Grexit’ could propel gold to over $2,000/oz
- Cyprus style bail-ins look increasingly possible

Monday, March 23, 2015

Stock Market Slightly Negative Expectations Following Last Week's Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.

Our intraday outlook is now neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

Sunday, March 22, 2015

Wall Street Doesn't Want You to Do This / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015

By: DailyWealth

Chris Mayer writes: I write a lot about the virtues of buying stocks and sitting on them...

Take my "coffee can portfolio," for example. It's a simple, but successful strategy in which you find the best stocks you can and let them sit for 10 years. By committing to these safe and steady businesses, you incur almost no costs and you keep your worst instincts from hurting you.

But how about sitting still for 80 years?

Sunday, March 22, 2015

Strategy to Profit Before the Markets Head South / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Money_Morning

Michael E. Lewitt writes: For the last six months, I have been warning that economic growth is faltering. In November of last year, I predicted that the U.S. economy would experience a "growth scare" in 2015.

This week, we learned that the Atlanta Fed is tracking first quarter GDP growth at a mere 0.3% and that the Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee (FOMC) has significantly downgraded its growth forecast.

Sunday, March 22, 2015

FED Guidance Like Flying in Bermuda Triangle / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Brad_Gudgeon

Last week, I thought from what I was reading on my volume indicators, (showing that money was leaving the S&P 500) that the market would fall on the FOMC news Wednesday. WRONG! Here I am flying in the Bermuda Triangle!

A few weeks ago, I related how last year was so difficult trading the market for me. The normal 10,20,30, 40 week cycle lows are not acting like they used to. I had surmised that the normal 20 week (100 trading day 15-16%) low would not be the dominant low, but that it would likely come in April instead. March 11 proved to be the 100 trading day low and we fell less than 4% top to bottom! But, because of volume indicators like OBV, Money Flow and Chaiken Money Flow that are showing net money outflows (I'll elaborate on these more next week), I thought this time might be different. WRONG!

Sunday, March 22, 2015

Stocks Bull Market Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the week at SPX 2053. On Monday the market gapped up and hit SPX 2083. Then after two gap down openings the market pulled back to SPX 2061 by Wednesday, before the FOMC statement. After a strong Wednesday afternoon rally, the market gapped down on Thursday, but rose into a Friday high of SPX 2114. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 2.40%, the NDX/NAZ gained 3.25%, and the DJ World index gained 3.25%. On the economic front reports continue to come in slightly negative. On the uptick: industrial production, building permits, leading indicators, the WLEI and the monetary base. On the downtick: the NY/Philly FED, capacity utilization, the NAHB, housing starts, current account deficit, and weekly jobless claims. Next week we get updates on Q4 GDP, the CPI and more Housing reports.