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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Monday, December 16, 2013

Stock Market Melt-up 2014 - Is It 1929 All Over Again? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Clif_Droke

A growing number of market technicians, some of them highly respected, are forecasting a sharp correction in the January-February time frame. In light of a number of recent inquiries I've had regarding this possibility, let's examine this topic.

Tom DeMark is one of Wall Street's most esteemed technical analysts. He recently uncovered an analog between the current stock market and the run-up to the 1929 top. Tom McClellan published a chart comparing the two markets in a recent article. The theory behind price pattern analogs is that "similar market conditions can produce similar patterns" as McClellan put it.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 16, 2013

Start of Stock Market Intermediate Decline, Or...? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.

Intermediate trend - An important top formation may be in the making.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 16, 2013

Stock Market SPX Decline is More Complex, Possibly More Bearish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

We saw the SPX decline beneath its 50-day moving average in the overnight futures, only to be ramped up starting around 3:00 am.  This is a sub-Minute Wave (iii) of Minute Wave [c].  The Model now calls for a pullback and a final sub-Minute Wave (v) to double overhead resistance at 1796.17. 

The Cycles Model calls for a turn in SPX tomorrow, so it may be that today may be a slow day of bouncing between support and resistance.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 16, 2013

Stock Market Sentiment: Dow Industrials Weakening / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Declan. I have added a new market sentiment chart with relative momentum, trend and volume metrics in the one chart. As an example in the new chart, industrials (XLI) gained Thursday and Friday, but these gains were delivered with a drop in momentum, cooling volume and a weak bullish trend.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 16, 2013

Stock Market 2014 - Saving You From a Dangerously Popular Delusion / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Money_Morning

Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: There's a very dangerous meme making the rounds.

It goes something like this:

The economy is improving, therefore the Fed's going to taper... and, when it does, the economy is strong enough to endure the withdrawals that will come with it.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 16, 2013

UK Tax Free Spread Betting Industry under the Spotlight  / Stock-Markets / Spread Betting

By: Submissions

Spread betting popularity remains high, despite dip in numbers!

Brett Chatz writes: The nationwide popularity of spread betting remains high in the United Kingdom, albeit at lower levels than this time one year ago. According to statistics, the numbers of spread bettors reflect a drop of 7000 people from September 2012 to November at 2013. This represents an 8% decline, as indicated by findings from a prominent research company in the UK. The fundamental tenet of spread betting requires the trader to place a bet on the movement in the price of a particular asset. This can also be an index.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 16, 2013

Robert Prechter Stocks, Bonds and Commodity Market Forecasts 2014 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: EWI

Dear Reader,

I may not be Santa Claus, but I have an early present for you this year. It’s actually 15 presents in the form of 15 charts of financial markets with analysis by Bob Prechter, the president of Elliott Wave International.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Monday, December 16, 2013

Stock Market VIX Shows Biggest Drop Since Mid-August / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Submissions

Richard Cox writes: The benchmark index that is used to price US stock options started to show declines on Friday for the first time in eight trading sessions, as positive economic data supported equity markets in the early part of the month.  The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX) dropped 8.6% to 13.8, which was the largest single-session decline since Oct. 16. The VIX essentially measures appropriate costs for the use of options as protection against losses in the S&P 500.  In the eight-session span prior to Friday, the VIX has risen 23%, after valuations in equity markets rose to their highest levels in four years.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, December 15, 2013

Stocks Bear Market Focus Point: The Demise of the Social Compact is leading us to the next GFC / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Garry_Abeshouse

For those readers of my commentaries who do not look at charts on a regular basis, the price charts in the commentary that follows this one, should be a timely reminder of where we are in the scheme of things and how unrelated to the real world equity prices have become as a result. Risk is now at levels not seen since 2006 – 2008. What makes this situation even more unstable and untenable over the short to medium term, is that the Obama government, as part of their plan to destroy the US Tea Party once and for all by grabbing a majority vote in the US house of Reps on November 4th 2014, will be doing “whatever it takes” to keep the US dollar depressed and US equities on the boil. But despite this, financial markets are just too big and too fragmented to be totally controlled – even by the USA.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, December 15, 2013

Stock Market Primary Wave III Rally Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Tony_Caldaro

After hitting a rebound high at SPX 1812 early Monday the market experienced its first real, (not a point or two), week over week decline since late September. And its largest weekly decline since the last downtrend. For the week the SPX/DOW were -1.65%, the NDX/NAZ were -1.45%, and the DJ World lost 1.45%. On the economic front positive economic reports again outpaced negative ones. On the uptick: wholesale/business inventories, retail sales, export/import prices, the monetary base, plus the budget deficit improved. On the downtick: the PPI, the WLEI and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week is FED week, plus we get reports on Capacity utilization, Housing and Q3 GDP. Should be an interesting week before the following holiday week.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, December 14, 2013

Stock Market Bummer! Losing Streak Now at Four Days / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short writes: At one minute before the close, it looked like the S&P 500 would snap its three-day losing streak. But at the Friday 13th closing bell, the index had tipped into the red, increasing the streak to day four. And the 1.65% weekly decline gives us the second week of losses (although the previous one was a microscopic -0.04%). The Dow and Nasdaq fared a bit better, both closing with fractional Friday gains.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, December 14, 2013

Stock Market Upside Getting Tougher.....Complacency Soars....... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Jack_Steiman

Never a good thing to see complacency in anything we partake in during our lifetimes. It has a way of coming back to haunt us. Once we think there's only one outcome to things we get the lesson that there's another outcome sitting out there lurking and surprising us when we want no part of it. I mean, come on, things were so nice. Who needs this headache! When complacency hits the market you know there's trouble coming. We had a bull-bear spread coming in to this week at 43.9%. That is a very rare-reading indeed. You also know that we won't stay at those levels forever. There will have to come a time when we likely see levels back in the 20's again. So you have to ask yourself, how do we get there. How could we ever get back down to a spread with a 2 as the first number?

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Stock-Markets

Friday, December 13, 2013

Crisis Investing in Cyprus - Video / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets

By: Casey_Research

By Nick Giambruno, Senior Editor, International Man

Recently, legendary crisis investor Doug Casey and I put our boots to the ground in Cyprus to search the rubble of one of recent history's most significant financial crises—the financial collapse and bank deposit raid in Cyprus—for incredible bargains. And we found them.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, December 13, 2013

Financial, Stock and Commodity Market's Outlook 2014 by Robert Prechter / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: EWI

Dear Reader,

I may not be Santa Claus, but I have an early present for you this year. It’s actually 15 presents in the form of 15 charts of financial markets with analysis by Bob Prechter, the president of Elliott Wave International.

He created these charts – which cover markets like the S&P 500, NASDAQ, gold, and mutual funds – to explain where financial markets have been and where they are headed. These are not your typical price charts. They combine history and patterns to tell the story clearly, all from his distinctly different point of view. With this information, his Elliott Wave Theorist subscribers are now prepared for 2014. And you can be, too, because you can get the full 10-page issue, FREE.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Friday, December 13, 2013

Current Stock Market Euphoria a Carbon Copy of 2007? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: DailyGainsLetter

Mohammad Zulfiqar writes: Increasing optimism towards the key stock indices worries me. In the beginning of 2013, you would hear the bears’ opinions all over the financial news channels. Now, it seems they have all disappeared—or have turned outright bullish. No matter where I look, it’s pretty much the same opinion across the board in the mainstream: key stock indices are going higher, they say.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, December 13, 2013

Stock Buybacks at Market All-Time Highs: Poor Use of Corporation Capital / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: EconMatters

Era of Stock Buybacks

This has definitely been the era of stock buybacks with such low borrowing costs as companies are borrowing at very low rates not to expand the business, create innovative products, increase research and development but to buy back their own stock which isn`t cheap considering the multiple expansion in markets the last five years.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, December 12, 2013

Has the Long-term Kress Cycle Bottomed Early? / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis

By: Clif_Droke

A reader asks, "I was wondering if it's possible that the long cycles, such as the 60-year cycle, have already bottomed early. Is that even a possibility within the scope of the cycles? It appears that the Fed has complete control of the markets right now. One cannot help but wonder how high they will drive the stock market, and how low they will drive the gold miners. It would seem that the imbalances are beginning to look a little conspicuous."

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 11, 2013

Mon(k)ey Puzzle / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: John_Mauldin

By Grant Williams  

Protruding from the sand a short distance to the south of the Pilot Pier, on the golden sands of Hartlepool in England's North East, is a vertical wooden mast.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 11, 2013

Did the U.S. Government Shutdown Help the Economy? / Stock-Markets / US Economy

By: Frank_Holmes

From New Delhi to San Francisco to London, and finally back in San Antonio, I’ve been communicating one consistent theme to investors: Follow the money.

What’s really important in following the money is for investors to not get caught up in the negative web spun by the media. There’s a lot of drama these days about Obamacare and Washington dysfunction. Take the government shutdown in October, when the House and Senate fought over the debt ceiling. Economic data wasn’t released, services were halted, national parks were closed, and “non-essential” government workers were told to stay home.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 11, 2013

Stock Market Decline Resumes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

VIX has lifted above its 50-day moving average at 14.23 and its mid-Cycle support/resistance at 14.43. The sell signal is re-confirmed.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


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