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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Investor & Trader Education

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

InvestorEducation

Tuesday, March 06, 2007

A Chronological Account Leading Up to Tuesdays Stock Market Meltdown in the Dow Jones Index / InvestorEducation / Elliott Wave Theory

By: Joseph_Russo

The Power of Chart Technical Analysis and Price Forecasting - In the highly competitive and at times controversial, rough and tumble financial forecasting sphere, maintaining resident impartial disciplines, and "getting it right more often than not," is virtually the closest possible reality toward capturing the Holy Grail that we know of.

Trading, investing, and managing any sum of money is an inherently risky but highly rewarding endeavor. Traders and Managers of all stripes have "big money" on the line every day, year after year. Exposed in equal measure, open positions are continually subject to both inherent risks and substantial opportunities that evolve with the passage of time. Time is critical to this equation and waits for no one. Other than by way of mere chance, time is completely void of accommodation in facilitating individual outcome preferences. Time and price evolve dynamically irrespective of participants' collective time horizons or tolerance for risk. Given this, adopting a reliable primary or secondary financial forecasting source would check risk and balance profits in all time frames.

What follows are chronicled price charts of the Dow Jones Industrial Average leading up to the market meltdown of Feb-27, 2007:

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InvestorEducation

Monday, March 05, 2007

The Trading Doctor - What do You See When you Look in the Mirror ? / InvestorEducation / Analysis & Strategy

By: Dr_Janice_Dorn

The way we perceive our actions or the consequences of our actions is, often, entwined closely with the way we identify who we are. We traders often define ourselves in terms of our trading...our actions and inactions, our triumphs, our gains and our losses. As a result, it is easy to merge so strongly with a decision that has resulted in unexpected negative consequences that we actually become that decision.

The disappointment and shame we feel when we make what we perceive is an error, grows until it becomes a dominant part of our identity. We rationalize our "poor" decisions by labeling ourselves incompetent decision makers, or, in the trading vernacular "idiots." Imagine walking around all day telling everyone that you are an idiot? Why are you doing that? What gain are you getting from that, and what message are you giving to those around you?

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InvestorEducation

Sunday, March 04, 2007

The Trading Doctor - TIME TRAPS - Learn to Manage your Time / InvestorEducation / Analysis & Strategy

By: Dr_Janice_Dorn

Time is the substance I am made of. Time is a river which sweeps me along, but I am the river; it is a tiger which destroys me, but I am the tiger; it is a fire which consumes me, but I am the fire. The world, unfortunately, is real; I, unfortunately, am Borges... Jose Luis Borges, Essay: "A New Refutation of Time," 1946

We react and respond to the following: data, information, knowledge and wisdom. My vision is to bring you knowledge and wisdom which will enrich your life, challenge you and propel you to higher and higher levels of evolution of your brain. I want each and every one of you who who reads what I write to be--not on the cutting edge of the curve-- but far ahead of the curve. My wish for you and for myself is that we retain and remain imbued with a personal value system that enriches and nourishes every aspect of our lives.

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InvestorEducation

Tuesday, February 27, 2007

Call Options, Leaps and Warrants - Investor 101 / InvestorEducation / Investing

By: Dudley_Baker

With the Precious Metals markets heating up once again, and investors, both individual and professionals, considering how to invest appropriately, we thought it would be timely to discuss objectively some of your choices to increase leverage.

We realize investors have different views, different time horizons and different levels of risk tolerance and this affects our opinions and choices of investment vehicles to use in the search of ways to increase leverage.

While we at Precious Metals Warrants are biased as to our personal choice, we will discuss and define objectively the difference in call options, leaps and warrants so that readers can have the knowledge to make their own decisions as to which is the best for their situations.

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InvestorEducation

Tuesday, February 27, 2007

What the PE Ratio can tell us about the Future Stock Market Direction / InvestorEducation / Corporate Earnings

By: Hans_Wagner

S&P 500 earnings are on track for a 20% gain compared to last years 3 rd quarter. Next quarter earnings should rise about 11%, marking the fifteenth straight quarter of a double-digit gain. Along with the excellent earnings performance we have experienced dramatic strength in the major averages as well. The DJIA is at all time highs and the S&P 500 is above 5 year highs.

The outlook for continued good performance in both earnings and the indices remains strong. Given this positive outlook, I thought it might be appropriate to see if stock valuations are getting ahead of themselves by looking at current and past PE ratios.

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InvestorEducation

Wednesday, February 21, 2007

Trading - Timing The Entry into a Market Position / InvestorEducation / Forecasts & Technical Analysis

By: Hans_Wagner

Timing the Entry sets the parameters to buy the potential high profit stocks that have been identified. The objective is to identify the rules that will be used to enter a buy (or short), the exit target and the trailing stop. Technical analysis provides the best way to effectively plan the trade. Many people believe that being able to properly read and interpret a chart leads to profitable trades. Unfortunately, this is not true. Reading a chart to identify the existing patters, trends and interpreting the indicators only provides the framework for executing a trade. The secret is to identify the characteristics on the chart that when realized will yield an optimal trade opportunity. You are preparing to commitment your hard earned money, so you want to be as sure as possible that the trade criteria is the best it can be.

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InvestorEducation

Tuesday, February 20, 2007

Investment decisions based on the Business Cycle and Sector Rotation / InvestorEducation / Investing

By: Hans_Wagner

The business cycle is a long-term pattern of changes in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) that follows four stages: expansion, prosperity, contraction, and recession. After a recessionary phase, the expansionary phase can start again. The phases of the business cycle are characterized by changing employment, industrial productivity, and interest rates. Some economists believe that stock price trends precede business cycle stages. As a result the economic cycle provides the strategic framework for economic activity and investing. The business cycle affects employees, employers and investors. For example:

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InvestorEducation

Monday, February 19, 2007

The Investor, Trader and Gambler - How to make Profits / InvestorEducation / Investing

By: Hans_Wagner

What do an investor, a trader and a gambler have in common? As professionals, they have succeeded by following a strict set of rules. Actually, we all live our lives by following some set of rules. Some of us are more disciplined than others. Shortly after we are born we start to learn the rules of life. Some of these rules we had to learn the hard way, such when you fall down you can skin up your knees. Others we learned from our parents, like look both ways before crossing the street. Learning from our parents is easier, at least sometimes. However, we seem to do a better job remembering the ones we learned the hard way.

As investors we have a choice. We can learn the hard way and hopefully survive our lessons and not run out of money. Or we can learn from three very successful professionals.

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InvestorEducation

Saturday, February 17, 2007

The Cult of the Bear - Another Missed Bull Market / InvestorEducation / Investing

By: Clif_Droke

A gradual procession of super bears has been quietly admitting they've been wrong in their bearish assessment of the stock market. As the major stock market indices continue to push to higher highs and as market internals continue to reflect a stellar market condition, even the most stubborn of bearish traders and market commentators have been forced to reconsider their positions. Slowly, and with little fanfare, they've been covering short positions. 

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InvestorEducation

Friday, February 16, 2007

How to Set Stop Losses to Lock in Profits / InvestorEducation / Investing

By: Hans_Wagner

I have had several questions regarding how I set stops and why sometimes I use a trailing percent stop and other times I use a specific price. I hope to help clarify my approach with this Point of Interest. The trailing stop is an excellent method to lock in profits or protect from greater losses. By placing a stop order below the current price it limits your loss to a predetermined amount. When the bid price hits the stop price your position is sold and you exit your position. 

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InvestorEducation

Monday, February 12, 2007

Dow Theory - How the Transports Confirms the Dow Jones Breakouts / InvestorEducation / Cycles Analysis

By: Tim_Wood

In light of the recent rally in the Transports I thought that it would be appropriate to discuss the Dow theory and this recent move by the Transports. According to Dow theory the confirmation of a trend occurs when both averages better their previous Secondary high or low point, depending on whether or not the trend is up or down. Without going into exactly how you define a Secondary high or low point let me just say that the May 2006 highs marked the last Secondary high in both averages.

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InvestorEducation

Friday, February 09, 2007

Davos - The Brave New World Economy: A Rejoinder to Mohamed El-Erian / InvestorEducation / Analysis & Strategy

By: Douglas_V_Gnazzo

Recently, the shakers and the movers of the world met in Davos, Switzerland for their yearly meeting. It is here that the world's elite discuss the state of the world, the future course of world affairs they wish to see manifest as destiny, and the wherewithal to make it all happen.

One of the tools the elite have always used to forge the works wrought from the anvil and the hammer is the intelligentsia - the counsels of Aries. This work speaks to those who listen to the Ram, and have occasion to frequent the House of Mars. It would be wise to heed the words:

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InvestorEducation

Thursday, February 08, 2007

New Technical Indicator that Times Bull Market Peaks in Gold and Silver / InvestorEducation / Forecasts & Technical Analysis

By: Roland_Watson

There is one question above all others that is on the minds of gold and silver investors. It can be expressed in two ways.

The first is "At what price will the gold and silver bull market end?"

The second is similar "At what date will the gold and silver bull market end?"

The chief end of both questions is the same, getting out with maximum profits for the holder of gold and silver be it in bullion, ETF or mining stock form.

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InvestorEducation

Thursday, February 01, 2007

Bubbles and Crowd Madness - Internet Bubble 2.0 - 2007 compared with 2000 / InvestorEducation / Analysis & Strategy

By: Paul_Lamont

During the early 1690s, England experienced a 'Financial Revolution.' It was described by financial historian Edward Chancellor as "a wave of exciting new technology companies coming to market, of rising share prices and record stock turnover, of new fangled financial derivatives, of credit wildly extended, of stock market rumours and sharp practices, and of naïve investors rushing to buy shares."

Sound Familiar? Shortly after in 1695, the English stock market peaked and subsequently crashed. Simultaneously it was recorded that "women's fashionable headdresses which reached a height of 7 feet" during the mania became shorter and more somber. While this may seem a ridiculous coincidence, extravagance in culture and fashion historically coincides with the peak of a mania.

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InvestorEducation

Tuesday, January 30, 2007

Investment Gems - Avoid these three investing mistakes / InvestorEducation / Investing

By: Money_and_Markets

Most of the time I tell you what I think you should be doing when it comes to your investments. But today, I want to tell you about three things that you shouldn't do.

I've had a lot of investing victories over the years, but I'm far from perfect. So I want to revisit three lessons that I learned the hard way. It's not that I like eating humble pie … I just want to give you an opportunity to learn from my past mistakes.

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InvestorEducation

Tuesday, January 30, 2007

How To Invest in Canadian Stocks & Warrants / InvestorEducation / Investing

By: Dudley_Baker

Frequently I read comments from other analysts regarding the difficulties of trading, i.e. buying, the Canadian mining stocks. They usually suggest investors seek out a broker that specializes in these stocks and while that is not bad advice, it is not necessary to do so.

Allow me to first provide some insight on the mining sector and in particular the investment conferences being held frequently in both Canada and the United States .

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InvestorEducation

Wednesday, January 24, 2007

Another Look at Dow Theory and Cycles / InvestorEducation / Cycles Analysis

By: Tim_Wood

I continue to receive e-mails asking about the 4-year cycle and the ongoing Dow theory non-confirmation. In order to address this topic I have decided that it would be best to simply use a piece that I wrote before.

I have virtually every scrap of material written by Charles H. Dow, William Peter Hamilton and Robert Rhea and I want to confirm that cycles are definitely not a part of the Dow theory. I'll also add that head and shoulder formations, rising wedges, symmetric triangles and other technical patterns are not a part of the Dow theory. The McClellan oscillator, stochastics, RSI nor any other oscillator, for that matter, is a part of the Dow theory. Nor is gold, the dollar, bonds or individual stock analysis a part of the Dow theory.

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InvestorEducation

Wednesday, January 24, 2007

Long term Economic and Stock Market Cycles - The only cycles that really matter / InvestorEducation / Cycles Analysis

By: Clif_Droke

Theories of periodicity (cycles) in the stock market are as intriguing as they are controversial.  The subject of equity market cycles has been discussed at length over the past 60 years with precious little in the way of agreement among cyclists as to what exactly constitutes a cycle, let alone which cycles are key.

Unfortunately, one of the major attempts at advancing the understanding of cycle theory, namely the Foundation for the Study of Cycles, was marked by internecine strife and fell by the wayside in the mid-1990s despite the pioneering work of its founder, Edward Dewey.  In recent years, much credit must be given to Samuel “Bud” Kress for discovering the remarkable rhythms that define the series of yearly cycles that compose the K-wave long-term series.  The K-wave has been traditionally defined as a 60-year rhythm as formulated by the Russian economist Nikolai Kondratiev. 

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InvestorEducation

Tuesday, January 23, 2007

Four Ways Companies mislead Investors in earnings reporting using Intel as an example / InvestorEducation / Investing

By: Money_and_Markets

Intel recently reported its fourth-quarter results. The headlines celebrated the fact that the semiconductor company delivered $0.26 a share in profits, beating the Wall Street consensus estimate by a penny. Everyone seems impressed … except me. In fact, all I see is a company whose business is sinking fast, and a stock that's going to get hammered.

So today I want to use Intel as an example of how companies use different tactics to convince investors that everything is better than it really is. Think about these the next time you're about to buy a stock …

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InvestorEducation

Monday, January 22, 2007

Dow Theory and Cycles Analysis / InvestorEducation / Cycles Analysis

By: Tim_Wood

Recently I have received e-mails asking about cycles and Dow theory. I have addressed this before, but it seems that it's now time to look at this topic again. I have virtually every scrap of material written by Charles H. Dow, William Peter Hamilton and Robert Rhea and I want to confirm that cycles are definitely not a part of the Dow theory. I'll also add that head and shoulder formations, rising wedges, symmetric triangles and other technical patterns are not a part of the Dow theory. The McClellan oscillator, stochastics, RSI nor any other oscillator for that matter is a part of the Dow theory. Gold, the dollar, bonds or individual stock analysis is not a part of the Dow theory.

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