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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: US Bonds

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Friday, September 18, 2009

Jim Cramer Calling For A Top In US Treasury Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Guy_Lerner

Jim Cramer is at it again. This time he is calling for a top in US Treasury Bonds. Mama mia, I am heading for the hills. Cramer is calling for higher interest rates, therefore it must be so.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 16, 2009

Treasury Bond Market Bullish Sentiment, Circumstances Are Different / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIf you have been paying attention the last couple of weeks, I have been warming up to bonds. However, earlier in the year, I thought that Treasury yields would head higher (i.e., bonds lower), and that this would result in a secular trend change. In other words, we would be embarking on a long period of increasing yield pressures. This did not come to pass although yields on the 10 year Treasury bond did reach 4.0%. Despite this failed signal, Treasury yields still have the technical characteristics of an asset poised to undergo a secular trend change, and by secular, I mean lasting years. But not now.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, September 15, 2009

Are Foreign Purchases of U.S. Treasury Bonds Being Faked? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Washingtons_Blog

Everyone knows that the American government is gaming the market for treasury bonds to some extent.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, September 14, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bonds Trade Higher on Weak Economy / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The bond market traded mostly positive all week and followed the recent pattern of one ugly Friday alternating with one neutral Friday.  This last one actually managed to eke out a small gain.  The financial markets are shaping up to be a diverging tale of three themes.  On the one hand we have the stock markets around the world relentlessly grinding to new highs, while on the other hand the bond market refuses to buckle as it continues to retain a strong safe haven bid.  In the mean time, gold is also breaking out to the upside with some conviction.  The yellow metal managed to achieve its highest weekly closing level ever at $1007 per ounce. 

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, September 12, 2009

What Will Happen When Foreign Investors Dump U.S. Treasury Bonds? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Larson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEvery time I talk about the risk of our foreign creditors selling off their U.S. Treasuries, I hear the same objection: These guys have no place else to put the money! They’ll ALWAYS buy our debt because our bond market is the most liquid, freest place to stash their money.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 11, 2009

UK Government Bond, Gilt Market’s Uncertainty / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Macro Trader’s view:

‘The Gilt is a government bond market that is dogged by an unprecedented build of peacetime debt, supported by the Central Bank.’ Discuss.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, September 08, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bonds Move Higher in Spite of Stronger Economic Data / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The bond market traded mostly positive all week only to give up most of its weekly advance for second time in the past three Fridays.  Ironically, the worst fundamental news was released on Friday in the form of the monthly Employment report (see details in the economic data section below). 

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, September 06, 2009

China is Now a Net SELLER of U.S. Treasury Notes and Bonds! / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Larson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe told you this was coming. Heck: A blind man could have seen it a mile away.

For many months now, we’ve predicted that Washington’s wild spending and borrowing spree would make the global investors who buy our longer-term Treasuries — notes and bonds — as nervous as long-tailed cats in a room full of rocking chairs.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 02, 2009

Rising U.S. Treasuries Foretell Lower Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhile gold prices attempt to break out to the upside, the bond market continues to climb as well. Let's take a look at the pattern developing in the iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NYSE: TLT).

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Interest-Rates

Monday, August 31, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bonds Lower, Despite Supportive Fundementals / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The bond market moved up last week as yields dropped across the curve.  In spite of stronger than expected economic data, another auction cycle and a rock solid stock market, bonds spent most of the week in positive territory and managed to hold on to their gains better than the previous week.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, August 26, 2009

Long Term U.S. Treasury Yields, Someone Is Going To Be Wrong / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor over 8 months now, I have been chronicling the plight of the 10 year Treasury bond. Based upon the "next big thing" indicator it was my expectation that yields on the 10 year Treasury bond would rise once there was a monthly close above a yield of 3.342%. This occurred at the end of May, 2009.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, August 24, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bond Market Kept Positive by Friendly Inflation Data / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The bond market ended flat after spending most of the time trying to move up last week.  Friendly inflation data and a confirmation of solid international demand kept the market in positive territory for most of the week.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, August 22, 2009

Even Warren Buffett Is Now Saying U.S. Treasury Bonds Could Crack! / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMike Larson writes: I’ve made no secret about my view on U.S. bonds and the U.S. dollar …

I’ve minced no words, and cut no corners …

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Interest-Rates

Monday, August 17, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bond Yields, Where to From Here? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLast week's treasury rally was the biggest in eight months notes Bloomberg in Treasuries Rise Amid Flat Consumer Prices, Declining Confidence.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, August 17, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bonds Positive Seasonal Influences / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The bond market bounced back last week.  We went through another 3-10-30 year auction cycle, but the restless natives did not even wait for the auctions to be out of the way as the bond started its move up first thing on Monday.  Needless to say the supply was well received.  Not only was the bidding substantial and aggressive, but also the closely watched “International Buyers” showed up in force again.  They took over 50% of all the bonds auctioned and were especially aggressive in buying the 30 year tranche on Thursday. 

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Interest-Rates

Friday, August 14, 2009

Moment of Truth for U.S. Treasury Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The moment of truth for the iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NYSE:  TLT).  If current strength continues to propel prices into and ABOVE a key near-term resistance plateau between 94.15 and 94.85, then prices should explode even more rapidly towards 97 thereafter (and I will be forced to chase the long side). 

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Interest-Rates

Monday, August 10, 2009

Treasury Bond Holders Receive a Pasting, Though Seasonal Influences Remain Bullish / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The bond market got pasted last week.  While the trend in bonds has been sideways, it is noticeable that there has been a fairly predictable cycle within the course of each month related to the Treasury auction calendar.  The first week of the month has the announcement for the long auction cycle consisting of 3-10-30 year auctions to be conducted during the second week. 

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, August 04, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bond Market Expected to Surprise to the Upside / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The bond market traded sideways in July.  This is remarkable in light of the events that have transpired last month in the financial markets.  The risk trade remained in vogue for another month as stocks, commodities and peripheral currencies powered ahead.  Chinese equities have almost doubled from their lows and they have led the charge in emerging market equities.  Market participants however fully realize that efforts to re-flate prices only have a chance in a steady to declining interest rate environment. 

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, July 29, 2009

Foreign Investment Flows into U.S. Treasuries and Money Printing Consequences / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Michael_Pollaro

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleObama and Company say... All We Need Is A Little Help From Our Foreign Friends

Oh I get by with a little help from my friends
Mm going to try with a little help from my friends
Oh I get high with a little help from my friends
Yes I get by with a little help from my friends
With a little help from my friends

Refrain to The Beatles “With a Little Help from My Friends”

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, July 22, 2009

Shorting U.S. Treasury Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe bond, TLT, TBT charts and technicals are urging me to get short the long end of the yield curve...looking for longer term rates to climb in the days ahead.  My near-term work in the ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year T-Bond ETF (NYSE: TBT) argues that the upmove off of the July lows at 48.01/05 exhibits very bullish form, in the aftermath of the completion of a major correction from the 6/10 high at 59.97 into the July lows. 

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