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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Commodities Trading

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Commodities

Sunday, January 07, 2018

Commodities the Return To Inflation? / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: WMA

The headline in this Thursday’s Financial Times reads: “Commodities prices hit highest point since 2014”.

The FT article begins: “The Bloomberg Commodity Spot Index, which tracks price of 22 raw materials, has hit its highest level since 2014 when the oil market price crash started.”

A small problem might be that the Bloomberg Commodity Spot Index does not include Energy or Precious Metals, which are in other Bloomberg indexes. In fact, in the Bloomberg Commodity Spot Index is a grouping of Raw Industrials and Food Stuffs. The Raw Industrials includes burlap, copper scrap, cotton, hides, lead scrap, print cloth, rosin, rubber, steel scrap, tallow, tin, wool tops, and zinc. Foodstuffs include butter, cocoa beans, corn, cottonseed oil, hogs, lard, steers, sugar, and wheat. 

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Saturday, January 06, 2018

Four Commodity Charts For the “There is No Inflation” Crowd / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Graham_Summers

I keep reading articles claiming that inflation is nowhere to be found.

If that is true, explain the following four charts.

Copper has broken out of a 10-year downtrend.

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Commodities

Sunday, December 31, 2017

Commodities, CRB, Oil & Gas, Gold, Silver... Markets Big Picture Update / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Gary_Tanashian

Some monthly charts of interest in the commodity sector, including precious metals.

CRB Index dwells below key resistance. A break of 200 would target around 250 in 2018.

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Commodities

Thursday, December 21, 2017

Some Commodity Charts are Breaking Out / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Rambus_Chartology

Today I would like to update some charts for the commodities complex as we are starting to see some action in this sector. Back in the summer months when we first started to get long some of the different commodities sectors, we got many breakouts from some very nice H&S bases. After the initial move up came the first consolidation phase that has been going on for nearly four months or so. We are now starting to see some of these consolidation patterns breaking out which should lead to the next impulse move higher in most cases.

Lets start with BHP, one of the biggest miners on the planet, that shows a good example of where we are at in the bull market. Today the price action broke out with a gap above the top rail of an almost 5 month triangle consolidation pattern. A backtest to the top rail would come in around the 43.50 area.

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Commodities

Thursday, December 21, 2017

GOLD AND CRUDE SETUP IS VERY BULLISH! / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Enda_Glynn

My Bias: Long to a new all time high above 1827.
Wave Structure: Impulse structure to a new high.
Long term wave count: wave (3) above 1666.

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Commodities

Thursday, December 14, 2017

A Pivotal Week For Gold And Crude Oil / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Enda_Glynn

My Bias: Long to a new all time high above 1827.
Wave Structure: Impulse structure to a new high.
Long term wave count: wave (3) above 1666.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Sunday, October 01, 2017

DBA, SOYB, JJG MOO Soft Commodites ETF's Update / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: SurfCity

My last update on Soft’s was back in mid-April here: https://surfcity.co/2017/04/12/soft-commodities/

Are Soft commodities finding a major low here? Could be but it will vary by commodity and could take another few months to a year for some.

Here is update with charts on DBA, SOYB, JJG MOO and I may add Sugar and Coffee later if I find time. The first three charts are DBA which covers a broad mix of various softs. Also charts on SOYB for Soybeans and JJG, an ETF that buys Futures in Soybeans, Corn and Wheat.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 28, 2017

Copper, Oil, Commodities Bottom as Emerging Markets Breakout / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Rambus_Chartology

Tonight I would like to update some of the different commodities and emerging markets we took some positions in back in late July of this year. First, let me say that as investors we like everything to line up in perfect harmony so we can make some sense out of what is actually happening in the markets. It’s just human nature. For example, if the US dollar is doing this then the PM complex or the commodities should be doing that. There is a general rule that there is an inverse correlation between the US dollar and the PM complex or commodities, but it’s not always accurate.

Many times we can get bogged down trying to make everything fit perfectly before we make a trade. This can sometimes lead to missed opportunities as what we were expecting didn’t take place. For the most part this is one of the reasons why I prefer Chartology. When a pattern is building out the bears and bulls are making their side known by the battle they’re having with each other, which eventually creates a consolidation or reversal pattern. All the fundamentals that a stock has is also priced into the chart pattern.

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Commodities

Monday, September 04, 2017

When and how to invest in the commodity market – Taking a balanced step forward / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Boris_Dzhingarov

Commodity prices usually soar higher during inflationary periods. There are times when the economy goes through soaring levels of inflation, just like it happened in 1970s. During that period, interest rates surged up to 18% to fight against the levels of inflation and the prices of commodities reached their record high levels. However, it is not that all periods of inflation have to be so extreme but at the same time it is true that commodities usually perform well when there is mild inflation in the country.
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Commodities

Friday, July 28, 2017

Sugar Commodity Investors: "Desperately Seeking..." Clarity and Objectivity / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: EWI


Congratulations, Elliott wave analysis is your ideal match

Over the last two years, sugar futures have crashed and spiked and crashed again -- much like a diabetic without insulin.

After plummeting to an 8-year low in September 2015, sugar prices then doubled in a stunning rally to a 4-year high in September 2016, only to turn back down in a 40% sell-off to19-month lows in late June 2017, where they linger to this day.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Thursday, July 27, 2017

Gold and Oil - 3 charts, 3 forecasts, in 7 fast minutes / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: EWI

See just how much you can learn from three simple charts.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Saturday, July 22, 2017

Crude Oil, Gold, ETFs & more: Pro-grade Market Forecasts / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: EWI

Dear Investor,

Are you paying attention to commodities? You should be.

Major moves in oil, gold and other commodities have offered up huge opportunities for traders in 2017.

Our friends at Elliott Wave International have kept our subscribers ahead of many big commodity moves.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Thursday, June 22, 2017

LOG 0.786 support in CRUDE OIL and COCOA / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Stephen_Cox

Originally written in the Wednesday JUN 21 MRI 3D Report,

CRUDE OIL GROUP- CLQ 17 (4253):  (W.D. GANN): Today is 19 trading days down from 52.00. 52×19= 988  Subtract 988 from 52.00 = 42.12 = the square of TIME and PRICE.  Today’s low = 42.05.

TIME: Today is 33a/May04 LOW, 7×7(G)d/APR12 TOP and 120(G)d/55.24 Jan03 TOP

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Commodities

Friday, June 16, 2017

Heating Oil Bottom Is In.(probably) / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Stephen_Cox

MRI Trading Signals has identified a high probability of a HEATING OIL LOW, at least for awhile.  It may be a stretch to see the nearby HON 17 (141.13) close above the previous week’s close 143.70, requiring a 2.57+ net change on Friday.  IF that happens then HO is confirming the WEEKLY TIME SETUP in the ACL and LCL Closing Line Chart Frames- 3D, 5(F)A, 13(F)a and 30(G)a to WK 07 NOV’16 and 45(G)a to WK 25 JUL’16.  

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Commodities

Friday, June 09, 2017

Is The Great Commodity Bear Finally Over ? / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Rambus_Chartology

There is something happening in the commodities complex that has been going on for awhile now that needs to be addressed tonight. A subtle change actually started earlier this year and has been gaining momentum especially in the energy sector. I know for a lot of you, with the weak US dollar, you are thinking, “how could commodities be declining,” which goes against everything you have learned about how the markets are supposed to work. If the markets always behaved like everyone thinks they should then there would be no markets, because everyone can’t be right. That’s the nature of the beast we’re trying to tame.

Tonight I would like to show you some bearish rising wedges which have formed all over the place in the commodities complex. Many of the rising wedges took over a year to build out so that sets up a healthy decline. The bigger the pattern the bigger the move.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Tuesday, May 09, 2017

Commodities Trading and Investing: Inside Look at 18+ Top Markets / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: EWI

Dear reader,

Our partners at Elliott Wave International, the world’s leader in Elliott wave analysis since 1978, have some exciting news!

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Saturday, May 06, 2017

Plunger’s Big Trade Update & Gold Stocks GDXJ update / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Plunger

GDXJ-

One can see from Rambus’ below charts that it appears the PM stocks are still early on in the decline process. I would agree, but of course stocks don’t move in a straight uninterrupted line. Therefore I would suggest we are due for a bit of an upward retracement soon. I claim this on the following basis: RSI is now significantly oversold and is now putting in a positive divergence (note red line). Also stochastics are extended to full range and appear to be in the first stage of turning up. We have reached its measured move as depicted. Also its reached the boundary of its Bollinger Band, (altough not outside of it). As a result I covered my short today and actually went long JNUG and some selective shares. I am looking for no more than a bounce up. It may look like a BT to the red bear flags Rambus has drawn in the below charts. I am not advocating others do the same just discussing trading opportunities.

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Commodities

Tuesday, March 14, 2017

Gold, Oil, CRB, Bonds - Beware The Bearish Rising Wedge / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Rambus_Chartology

In this report I would like to show you a chart pattern that seems to be showing up in a lot of different area’s of the markets, in particular the commodities complex. We looked at some of them in the last Weekend Report which were maturing, but in some cases hadn’t broken down yet. The chart pattern I’m referring to is the bearish rising wedge.

Some of the bearish rising wedges have a common theme which is the late 2015 low, when commodities and the PM complex finally bottomed out after that massive impulse move down. At a minimum the price objective for a rising or falling wedge is the first reversal point in which the wedge began to build out. Prices can go much lower, but the first reversal point is a good first price objective.

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Commodities

Tuesday, March 07, 2017

Chartology of the Commodities: The Inflation/Deflation Barometer / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Rambus_Chartology

One of the biggest questions investors have is what type of environment are stocks and the economy in, deflation or inflation? Knowing the answer to that question can give you a heads up on what different sectors to invest in and what sectors to stay away from. Tonight I would like to update some of the different commodities indexes to see if they can give us any clues on which way the deflationary or inflationary pendulum is swinging. Commodities are often an under analysed asset class as compared to Stocks and Bonds. However they are the nuts and bolts , the real stuff supporting human existence.

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Commodities

Monday, February 20, 2017

Headwinds Continue for Commodities with Rising US Dollar / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Donald_W_Dony

Recent pro-US rhetoric from the current administration is only adding to an existing multi-year renewed strength of the US dollar.

The chant of "USA first" has only been the last of the drivers to push the greenback higher.

Some of the other factors have been unemployment, which has reached a milestone at 4.8 percent, the second lowest level since 2006.

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