Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Investing in a Bubble Mania Stock Market Trending Towards Financial Crisis 2.0 CRASH! - 9th Sep 21
2.Tech Stocks Bubble Valuations 2000 vs 2021 - 25th Sep 21
3.Stock Market FOMO Going into Crash Season - 8th Oct 21
4.Stock Market FOMO Hits September Brick Wall - Evergrande China's Lehman's Moment - 22nd Sep 21
5.Crypto Bubble BURSTS! BTC, ETH, XRP CRASH! NiceHash Seizes Funds on Account Halting ALL Withdrawals! - 19th May 21
6.How to Protect Your Self From a Stock Market CRASH / Bear Market? - 14th Oct 21
7.AI Stocks Portfolio Buying and Selling Levels Going Into Market Correction - 11th Oct 21
8.Why Silver Price Could Crash by 20%! - 5th Oct 21
9.Powell: Inflation Might Not Be Transitory, After All - 3rd Oct 21
10.Global Stock Markets Topped 60 Days Before the US Stocks Peaked - 23rd Sep 21
Last 7 days
CATHY WOOD ARK GARBAGE ARK Funds Heading for 90% STOCK CRASH! - 22nd Jan 22
Gold Is the Belle of the Ball. Will Its Dance Turn Bearish? - 22nd Jan 22
Best Neighborhoods to Buy Real Estate in San Diego - 22nd Jan 22
Stock Market January PANIC AI Tech Stocks Buying Opp - Trend Forecast 2022 - 21st Jan 21
How to Get Rich in the MetaVerse - 20th Jan 21
Should you Buy Payment Disruptor Stocks in 2022? - 20th Jan 21
2022 the Year of Smart devices, Electric Vehicles, and AI Startups - 20th Jan 21
Oil Markets More Animated by Geopolitics, Supply, and Demand - 20th Jan 21
Fake It Till You Make It: Will Silver’s Motto Work on Gold? - 19th Jan 22
Crude Oil Smashing Stocks - 19th Jan 22
US Stagflation: The Global Risk of 2022 - 19th Jan 22
Stock Market Trend Forecast Early 2022 - Tech Growth Value Stocks Rotation - 18th Jan 22
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: Are We Setting Up For A 'Mini-Crash'? - 18th Jan 22
Mobile Sports Betting is on a rise: Here’s why - 18th Jan 22
Exponential AI Stocks Mega-trend - 17th Jan 22
THE NEXT BITCOIN - 17th Jan 22
Gold Price Predictions for 2022 - 17th Jan 22
How Do Debt Relief Services Work To Reduce The Amount You Owe? - 17th Jan 22
RIVIAN IPO Illustrates We are in the Mother of all Stock Market Bubbles - 16th Jan 22
All Market Eyes on Copper - 16th Jan 22
The US Dollar Had a Slip-Up, but Gold Turned a Blind Eye to It - 16th Jan 22
A Stock Market Top for the Ages - 16th Jan 22
FREETRADE - Stock Investing Platform, the Good, Bad and Ugly Review, Free Shares, Cancelled Orders - 15th Jan 22
WD 14tb My Book External Drive Unboxing, Testing and Benchmark Performance Amazon Buy Review - 15th Jan 22
Toyland Ferris Wheel Birthday Fun at Gulliver's Rother Valley UK Theme Park 2022 - 15th Jan 22
What You Should Know About a TailoredPay High Risk Merchant Account - 15th Jan 22
Best Metaverse Tech Stocks Investing for 2022 and Beyond - 14th Jan 22
Gold Price Lagging Inflation - 14th Jan 22
Get Your Startup Idea Up And Running With These 7 Tips - 14th Jan 22
What Happens When Your Flight Gets Cancelled in the UK? - 14th Jan 22
How to Profit from 2022’s Biggest Trend Reversal - 11th Jan 22
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: Are We Ready To Drop To 4400SPX? - 11th Jan 22
What's the Role of an Affiliate Marketer? - 11th Jan 22
Essential Things To Know Before You Set Up A Limited Liability Company - 11th Jan 22
Fiscal and Monetary Cliffs Have Arrived - 10th Jan 22
The Meteoric Rise of Investing in Trading Cards - 10th Jan 22
IBM The REAL Quantum Metaverse STOCK! - 9th Jan 22
WARNING Failing NVME2 M2 SSD Drives Can Prevent Systems From Booting - Corsair MP600 - 9th Jan 22
The Fed’s inflated cake and a ‘quant’ of history - 9th Jan 22
NVME M2 SSD FAILURE WARNING Signs - Corsair MP600 1tb Drive - 9th Jan 22
Meadowhall Sheffield Christmas Lights 2021 Shopping - Before the Switch on - 9th Jan 22
How Does Insurance Work In Europe? Find Out Here - 9th Jan 22
Effect of Deflation On The Gold Price - 7th Jan 22
Stock Market 2022 Requires Different Strategies For Traders/Investors - 7th Jan 22
Old Man Winter Will Stimulate Natural Gas and Heating Oil Demand - 7th Jan 22
Is The Lazy Stock Market Bull Strategy Worth Considering? - 7th Jan 22
What Elliott Waves Show for Asia Pacific Stock and Financial Markets 2022 - 6th Jan 2022
Why You Should Register Your Company - 6th Jan 2022
4 Ways to Invest in Silver for 2022 - 6th Jan 2022
UNITY (U) - Metaverse Stock Analysis Investing for 2022 and Beyond - 5th Jan 2022
Stock Market Staving Off Risk-Off - 5th Jan 2022
Gold and Silver Still Hungover After New Year’s Eve - 5th Jan 2022
S&P 500 In an Uncharted Territory, But Is Sky the Limit? - 5th Jan 2022

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Stock Market So Close..Needs A Gap...

Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010 Sep 16, 2010 - 04:09 AM GMT

By: Jack_Steiman


Normally, when a market is close to breaking out, but is up against particularly difficult resistance, such as 1131 S&P 500 is, it usually takes a gap up in the morning to get the market juiced enough to make the move. Making such a move intra-day is not at all easy. It can happen that way, but a gap up is the usual way it occurs, and here we are just six points away. A strong group of economic reports in the morning could do the trick. We get jobless claims and PPI pre-market. Then once the market opens, we get the Philly fed report on manufacturing. That will be a huge report.

If all of these reports come through market positive, we just may get a gap up that holds and puts 1131 in the rear view mirror a bit. However, there's no guarantee the reports will be good. This is why we are long but not overly exposed. Appropriateness. Even if they do come through, there's no way to tell for sure that the gap up move would hold. If the numbers are bad we will gap down and fail once again right in front of that pesky 1131 S&P 500. The bulls can sniff the breakout, but nothing is easy in this sideways market. We must respect that all we've done overall is move laterally for nearly four months. Most think it'll fail here, but I think we'll find a way to get through. Even if we do we'll start getting overbought on the daily charts, thus, please keep things balanced. Interesting day ahead tomorrow.

We got those new sentiment figures today and it shows that even though things have been more positive from a stock market perspective, bullishness is not ramping higher. Still tons of doubt. Even with last week's market gains the bull-bear spread is still only 5.6% more bulls. I would have thought more, but when I listen to the talking heads on TV, I am not surprised because the majority I hear talking are saying this market will not move much higher at all. There is enough doubt still out there to help this market make the breakout from a sentiment point of view if we get the right economic reports tomorrow. We'll need to see the bull-bear spread get well up in to the teens before it becomes more of a neutral indicator.

There are a lot of folks saying how bad things still look on there semiconductor front. We showed a chart today that tells us that things certainly aren't great. No one would argue that, but we do have buried oscillators on the daily charts along with positive divergences on the MACD, along with a nice pattern in place. If this pattern holds it should move the semiconductors higher in the days and weeks ahead. It has a lot of work left to become healthy, but it is slowly trying to repair itself. The bulls are going to need this sector along with the financial stocks to have any chance of breaking out and holding on to that breakout. These two sectors must be very closely watched in the days ahead for more signals about whether that repair seems to be going on now continues or not. If it does continue, this market will plow through 1131 S&P 500. Big moment for these two critically important areas of the stock market.

S&P 500 has strong support at 1115 down to 1105 with the breakout as we know at 1131. The Nasdaq is right at resistance at 2300. A break through 2300 cleanly is huge for that index, and the market in general. S&P 500 above 1131 and Nasdaq above 2300 is very bad news for the bears. They will try to defend but will have to cover should we start clearing on both indexes at the same time. The action has been solid so let's see if we can get the move through 1131 and 2300 and force more short covering. Some long exposure but nothing aggressive for now.



Jack Steiman is author of ( ). Former columnist for, Jack is renowned for calling major shifts in the market, including the market bottom in mid-2002 and the market top in October 2007.

Sign up for a Free 21-Day Trial to!

© 2010

Mr. Steiman's commentaries and index analysis represent his own opinions and should not be relied upon for purposes of effecting securities transactions or other investing strategies, nor should they be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy any security. You should not interpret Mr. Steiman's opinions as constitutinginvestment advice. Trades mentioned on the site are hypothetical, not actual, positions.

© 2005-2019 - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.

Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in