Most Popular
1. Banking Crisis is Stocks Bull Market Buying Opportunity - Nadeem_Walayat
2.The Crypto Signal for the Precious Metals Market - P_Radomski_CFA
3. One Possible Outcome to a New World Order - Raymond_Matison
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
5. Apple AAPL Stock Trend and Earnings Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
6.AI, Stocks, and Gold Stocks – Connected After All - P_Radomski_CFA
7.Stock Market CHEAT SHEET - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.US Debt Ceiling Crisis Smoke and Mirrors Circus - Nadeem_Walayat
9.Silver Price May Explode - Avi_Gilburt
10.More US Banks Could Collapse -- A Lot More- EWI
Last 7 days
Keep Calm and Carry on Buying Quantum AI Tech Stocks - 19th Feb 24
How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - 17th Feb 24
Why Rising Shipping Costs Won't Cause Inflation - 17th Feb 24
Intensive 6 Week Stock Market Elliott Wave Training Course - 17th Feb 24
INFLATION and the Stock Market Trend - 17th Feb 24
GameStop (GME): 88% Shellacking Yet No Lesson Learned - 17th Feb 24
Nick Millican Explains Real Estate Investment in a Changing World - 17th Feb 24
US Stock Market Addicted to Deficit Spending - 7th Feb 24
Stocks Bull Market Commands It All For Now - 7th Feb 24
Financial Markets Narrative Nonsense - 7th Feb 24
Gold Price Long-Term Outlook Could Not Look Better - 7th Feb 24
Stock Market QE4EVER - 7th Feb 24
Learn How to Accumulate and Distribute (Trim) Stock Positions to Maximise Profits - Investing 101 - 5th Feb 24
US Exponential Budget Deficit - 5th Feb 24
Gold Tipping Points That Investors Shouldn’t Miss - 5th Feb 24
Banking Crisis Quietly Brewing - 5th Feb 24
Stock Market Major Market lows by Calendar Month - 4th Feb 24
Gold Price’s Rally is Normal, but Is It Really Bullish? - 4th Feb 24
More Problems in US Regional Banking System: Where There's Fire There's Smoke - 4th Feb 24
New Hints of US Election Year Market Interventions & Turmoil - 4th Feb 24
Watch Consumer Spending to Know When the Fed Will Cut Interest Rates - 4th Feb 24
STOCK MARKET DISCOUNTING EVENTS BIG PICTURE - 31st Jan 24
Blue Skies Ahead As Stock Market Is Expected To Continue Much Higher - 31st Jan 24
What the Stock Market "Fear Index" VIX May Be Signaling - 31st Jan 24
Stock Market Trend Forecast Review - 31st Jan 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Stock Market Keeps Rolling Higher....

Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010 Sep 25, 2010 - 04:20 AM GMT

By: Jack_Steiman

Stock-Markets

Taking folks by surprise for sure. Not many thought this was possible, but those oscillators did give hints to the possibilities. Now we see what happens when things align just right. Get those MACD's compressed down low in their cycle. Get stochastic's oversold and those RSI's down near 30. Add in some positive divergences, and best of all, get the bull-bear spread inverted, and you take the masses by surprise.


The market took on 1131 and made it through only to give it up one day later. A nice bear fake lower. Today it shot right back through. No hesitation at all as the futures exploded this morning, ignoring not the very best of action overseas. We gapped up beautifully and never looked back. Not for a moment. A trend up day, all day, with the markets closing on their highs.

The Nasdaq led as it was expected as the appetite for beta was there today. And I just love when that happens, especially when I'm on the long side of the market. When the Nasdaq doesn't lead it's not a good sign, but once beta is the play, I love the bullish side of the equation. An excellent day for the bulls for sure as 1131 was taken right back.

One thing I want to discuss, today, is the nonsense I'm hearing on the business television stations. You hear over and over how the market is being led up by only a very few stocks. That's complete and total nonsense. The advance-decline line since this rally began has been nothing short of spectacular. It's not just Apple Inc. (AAPL) and Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN), folks. It's across the board.

I study hundreds of stocks daily, and I can tell you for sure, this is across the board in all sectors. Look at today -- advancers led decliners by an average of 4.5/1. 87% up volume as well. Tell me how that's not the real deal! It's been this way all along. On down days the advance-decline line is never all that bad save the odd day here and there. On the strong days the advance-decline lines, along with all the other critical internals, remain strong. I can understand if it's just here and there that things match price to internals, but it's been a constant. So please don't believe those voices out there telling you that things are a lot worse than they seem. They're as good as they look folks.

When I look at the charts there are two things that stand out. We all know that the real laggards of this market have been the semiconductors and the financials. The semiconductors, in my opinion, have put in a significant low for the near-term. Strong oscillators abound on the daily SMH/SOX chart. The financials aren't quite as promising, but improving at the least.

The market could never really blast up without both sectors, but can do very well if one of them participates. I think the semiconductors are about to add on to the good action we've been seeing there the past few weeks. The financials need more work for sure, but at least things are a bit more promising there. Bottom line is I believe at least one of the two major headaches is behind this market, and possibly both, with one more week of solid action in the financials.

Now here's the key to a bigger picture bull market. The long-term down-trend line on the weekly S&P 500 chart comes in at 1160. I believe an index, or stock, must clear critical support, or resistance, by 1% to verify a breakout, or breakdown. Any move above 1160 S&P 500 will have the bears feeling heavy pressure to cover their shorts. Any move above 1171 will have the bears running to their machines to get them out at any cost.

Bottom line here is if the S&P 500 can start to clear 1160 with force, we may just be in a new bull market confirmed. Strong support remains at 1131 down to 1110. Nasdaq support comes in at 2350 and then 2300. Let's keep a keen eye on S&P 500 1160 if and when it gets tested next week. The bears will be desperate once again at this level. We'll also be near, or at overbought, at 1160 S&P 500, so that'll make the job of clearing 1160 on the first try a bit difficult, but let's watch how things work out next week.

One of the major factors to this week's rise were the words out of the mouth of Fed Bernanke, who promised the world that he will do whatever it takes in terms of printing dollars to keep this economy afloat. Many will argue with this thesis, as will I, but it's not my job to let my emotions on this subject interfere with the market action taking place. I think it's wrong to leave the printing presses open to prop up an economy. If that's what's needed it's best to let things work out as they need to.

However, the market seems to like what it's hearing from our Fed. Promises to keep things from becoming of the double dip variety is what this market seems to want, and it feels, for now, that he is delivering on keeping this from happening. If the market likes it then I like it, regardless of whether it's morally the right thing to do or not. For now things are looking more positive. We will watch 1160 S&P 500 closely for more clues about much further upside potential.
Staying only long for now.

Peace,

Jack

Jack Steiman is author of SwingTradeOnline.com ( www.swingtradeonline.com ). Former columnist for TheStreet.com, Jack is renowned for calling major shifts in the market, including the market bottom in mid-2002 and the market top in October 2007.

Sign up for a Free 21-Day Trial to SwingTradeOnline.com!

© 2010 SwingTradeOnline.com

Mr. Steiman's commentaries and index analysis represent his own opinions and should not be relied upon for purposes of effecting securities transactions or other investing strategies, nor should they be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy any security. You should not interpret Mr. Steiman's opinions as constitutinginvestment advice. Trades mentioned on the site are hypothetical, not actual, positions.


© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in