Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Market Decline Will Lead To Pension Collapse, USD Devaluation, And NWO - Raymond_Matison
2.Uber’s Nightmare Has Just Started - Stephen_McBride
3.Stock Market Crash Black Swan Event Set Up Sept 12th? - Brad_Gudgeon
4.GDow Stock Market Trend Forecast Update - Nadeem_Walayat
5.Gold Significant Correction Has Started - Clive_Maund
6.British Pound GBP vs Brexit Chaos Timeline - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Cameco Crash, Uranium Sector Won’t Catch a break - Richard_Mills
8.Recession 2020 Forecast : The New Risks & New Profits Of A Grand Experiment - Dan_Amerman
9.Gold When Global Insanity Prevails - Michael Ballanger
10.UK General Election Forecast 2019 - Betting Market Odds - Nadeem_Walayat
Last 7 days
Stock Market Dow Long-term Trend Analysis - 16th Oct 19
This Is Not a Money Printing Press - 16th Oct 19
Online Casino Operator LeoVegas is Optimistic about the Future - 16th Oct 19
Stock Market Dow Elliott Wave Analysis Forecast - Video - 16th Oct 19
$100 Silver Has Come And Gone - 16th Oct 19
Stock Market Roll Over Risk to New highs in S&P 500 - 16th Oct 19
10 Best Trading Schools and Courses for Students - 16th Oct 19
Dow Stock Market Short-term Trend Analysis - 15th Oct 19
The Many Aligning Signals in Gold - 15th Oct 19
Market Action Suggests Downside in Precious Metals - 15th Oct 19
US Major Stock Market Indexes Retest Critical Price Channel Resistance - 15th Oct 19
“Baghad Jerome” Powell Denies the Fed Is Using Financial Crisis Tools - 15th Oct 19
British Pound GBP Trend Analysis - 14th Oct 19
A Guide to Financing Your Next Car - 14th Oct 19
America's Ruling Class - Underestimating Them & Overestimating Us - 14th Oct 19
Stock Market Range Bound - 14th Oct 19
Gold, Silver Bonds - Inflation in the Offing? - 14th Oct 19
East-West Trade War: Never Take a Knife to a Gunfight - 14th Oct 19
Consider Precious Metals for Insurance First, Profit Second... - 14th Oct 19
Stock Market Dow Elliott Wave Analysis Forecast - 13th Oct 19
The Most Successful IPOs Have This One Thing in Common - 13th Oct 19
Precious Metals & Stock Market VIX Are Set To Launch Dramatically Higher - 13th Oct 19
Discovery Sport EGR Valve Gasket Problems - Land Rover Dealer Fix - 13th Oct 19
Stock Market US Presidential Cycle - Video - 12th Oct 19
Social Security Is Screwing Millennials - 12th Oct 19
Gold Gifts Traders With Another Rotation Below $1500 - 12th Oct 19
US Dollar Index Trend Analysis - 11th Oct 19
China Golden Week Sales Exceed Expectations - 11th Oct 19
Stock Market Short-term Consolidation Does Not change Secular Bullish Trend - 11th Oct 19
The Allure of Upswings in Silver Mining Stocks - 11th Oct 19
US Housing Market 2018-2019 and 2006-2007: Similarities & Differences - 11th Oct 19
Now Is the Time to Load Up on 5G Stocks - 11th Oct 19
Why the Law Can’t Protect Your Money - 11th Oct 19
Will Miami be the First U.S. Real Estate Bubble to Burst? - 11th Oct 19
How Online Casinos Maximise Profits - 11th Oct 19
3 Tips for Picking Junior Gold Stocks - 10th Oct 19
How Does Inflation Affect Exchange Rates? - 10th Oct 19
This Is the Best Time to Load Up on These 3 Value Stocks - 10th Oct 19
What Makes this Gold Market Rally Different From All Others - 10th Oct 19
Stock Market US Presidential Cycle - 9th Oct 19
The IPO Market Is Nowhere Near a Bubble - 9th Oct 19
US Stock Markets Trade Sideways – Waiting on News/Guidance  - 9th Oct 19
Amazon Selling Fake Hard Drives - 4tb WD Blue - How to Check Your Drive is Genuine  - 9th Oct 19
Whatever Happened to Philippines Debt Slavery?  - 9th Oct 19
Gold in the Negative Real Interest Rates Environment - 9th Oct 19
The Later United States Empire - 9th Oct 19
Gold It’s All About Real Interest Rates Not the US Dollar - 8th Oct 19
A Trump Impeachment Would Cause The Stock Market To Rally - 8th Oct 19
The Benefits of Applying for Online Loans - 8th Oct 19
Is There Life Left In Cannabis - 8th Oct 19
Yield Curve Inversion Current State - 7th Oct 19

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Stock Market Trend Forecast Oct - Dec 2019 by Nadeem Walayat

"Mystery Gold Seller" Spied in Asia

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012 Dec 06, 2012 - 11:10 AM GMT

By: Adrian_Ash

Commodities

The GOLD PRICE traded in a narrow range around $1691 per ounce Thursday morning in London, rising slightly from yesterday's 1-month low.

Asian and European stock markets also ticked higher, as did US Treasury bonds.

Silver rallied to $32.78 per ounce after losing nearly 3% this week so far, but commodities more broadly slipped again.


"Risks to our [economic] growth outlook remain elevated," said a widely-reported gold price forecast from investment-bank Goldman Sachs on Wednesday, "especially given the uncertainty around the fiscal cliff.

"[That] makes calling the peak in gold prices a difficult exercise. [But] the gold cycle is likely to turn in 2013," says Goldman analyst Damien Courvalin, lowering his 12-month forecast to $1800 per ounce.

Looking at the commodities sector more broadly, "Supply-side fundamentals, demand elasticity and idiosyncratic risks will prove increasingly important in driving price action," counters Hussein Allidina in his 2013 Commodities Outlook for Morgan Stanley.

"Under this lens, we favor exposure to gold/silver," he says, forecasting an average gold price in 2013 of $1853 per ounce.

The US Federal Reserve "is set" to launch a fourth round of quantitative easing Treasury-bond buying, says a story on Reuters today, claiming that the Fed "[will] replace Operation Twist with $45 bln in new bond buys."

Greece meantime was declared to be in "selective default" today by the Standard & Poor’s ratings agency, because Athens' buy-back of debt from private holders – scheduled for two weeks' time – will give those investors "less value than the promise of the original securities."

Spending €10 billion, Greece will give the bondholders a maximum of €0.40 per Euro, according to the Wall Street Journal.

Ahead of the latest European Central Bank policy statement and press conference, the Euro stemmed Wednesday's 1-cent drop at $1.3050, while the gold price for Eurozone investors bounced €5 from its 6-month low of €1290 per ounce.

The British Pound meantime held near a 1-month high of $1.61 after the Bank of England kept its interest rate at a record low of 0.5% for the 44th month running, and reconfirmed its quantitative easing target of £375 billion in government debt purchases.

"Positive US data [on Wednesday] pointed to some improvement in economic growth," says Commerzbank, "which did not bode too well for the gold price.

"Silver followed gold's trail lower."

"Now that the key support level of $1700 an ounce has been breached," says David Levenstein in his daily note for South Africa's Rand Refinery, "there is a possibility that technical traders may attempt to push prices lower in the short-term."

"We're actually seeing a fairly mysterious seller in the Asian time zone over the last week," says Jeffrey Rhodes, CEO of INTL Commodities in Dubai, quoted by Emirates 24/7.

"We've seen some fairly large sell orders hit the market in the thinly-traded twilight zone" between London and Asian business, Rhodes says.

"Maybe that [push to lower prices] is a prelude to buying gold...Either way, many players are closing their books for the year – they've either made what they’ve made for the year, or they’ve lost and don't want to lose anymore."

"Over the past 4 years December has traditionally been a poor performing month for gold," writes Moudi Raad at Swiss refinery group MKS, "averaging a decline of around 8% over that period."

Since 2008 the New Year has then seen what Raad calls "a solid turnaround, and with central bank buying still on the cards and ETF holdings increasing for a 13th straight session yesterday there is demand out there."

"There is some heavy selling by fund investors and leveraged money," agrees Miguel Perez-Santalla, vice president for the Americas here at BullionVault, speaking to Reuters.

"But physical gold demand should benefit in the long run from the fiscal cliff after these short-term fluctuations."

By Adrian Ash
BullionVault.com

Gold price chart, no delay   |   Buy gold online at live prices

Formerly City correspondent for The Daily Reckoning in London and a regular contributor to MoneyWeek magazine, Adrian Ash is the editor of Gold News and head of research at www.BullionVault.com , giving you direct access to investment gold, vaulted in Zurich , on $3 spreads and 0.8% dealing fees.

(c) BullionVault 2012

Please Note: This article is to inform your thinking, not lead it. Only you can decide the best place for your money, and any decision you make will put your money at risk. Information or data included here may have already been overtaken by events – and must be verified elsewhere – should you choose to act on it.

Adrian Ash Archive

© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules