Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. US Housing Market Real Estate Crash The Next Shoe To Drop – Part II - Chris_Vermeulen
2.The Coronavirus Greatest Economic Depression in History? - Nadeem_Walayat
3.US Real Estate Housing Market Crash Is The Next Shoe To Drop - Chris_Vermeulen
4.Coronavirus Stock Market Trend Implications and AI Mega-trend Stocks Buying Levels - Nadeem_Walayat
5. Are Coronavirus Death Statistics Exaggerated? Worse than Seasonal Flu or Not?- Nadeem_Walayat
6.Coronavirus Stock Market Trend Implications, Global Recession and AI Stocks Buying Levels - Nadeem_Walayat
7.US Fourth Turning Accelerating Towards Debt Climax - James_Quinn
8.Dow Stock Market Trend Analysis and Forecast - Nadeem_Walayat
9.Britain's FAKE Coronavirus Death Statistics Exposed - Nadeem_Walayat
10.Commodity Markets Crash Catastrophe Charts - Rambus_Chartology
Last 7 days
Silver Bull Market Update - 7th Aug 20
This Inflation-Adjusted Silver Chart Tells An Interesting Story - 7th Aug 20
The Great American Housing Boom Has Begun - 7th Aug 20
Know About Lotteries With The Best Odds Of Winning - 7th Aug 20
Could Gold Price Reach $7,000 by 2030? - 6th Aug 20
Bananas for All! Keep Dancing… FOMC - 6th Aug 20
How to Do Bets During This Time - 6th Aug 20
How to develop your stock trading strategy - 6th Aug 20
Stock Investors What to do if Trump Bans TikTok - 5th Aug 20
Gold Trifecta of Key Signals for Gold Mining Stocks - 5th Aug 20
Stock Market Uptrend Continues? - 4th Aug 20
The Dimensions of Covid-19: The Hong Kong Flu Redux - 4th Aug 20
High Yield Junk Bonds Are Hot Again -- Despite Warning Signs - 4th Aug 20
Gold Stocks Autumn Rally - 4th Aug 20
“Government Sachs” Is Worried About the Federal Reserve Note - 4th Aug 20
Gold Miners Still Pushing That Cart of Rocks Up Hill - 4th Aug 20
UK Government to Cancel Christmas - Crazy Covid Eid 2020! - 4th Aug 20
Covid-19 Exposes NHS Institutional Racism Against Black and Asian Staff and Patients - 4th Aug 20
How Sony Is Fueling the Computer Vision Boom - 3rd Aug 20
Computer Gaming System Rig Top Tips For 6 Years Future Proofing Build Spec - 3rd Aug 20
Cornwwall Bude Caravan Park Holidays 2020 - Look Inside Holiday Resort Caravan - 3rd Aug 20
UK Caravan Park Holidays 2020 Review - Hoseasons Cayton Bay North East England - 3rd Aug 20
Best Travel Bags for 2020 Summer Holidays , Back Sling packs, water proof, money belt and tactical - 3rd Aug 20
Precious Metals Warn Of Increased Volatility Ahead - 2nd Aug 20
The Key USDX Sign for Gold and Silver - 2nd Aug 20
Corona Crisis Will Have Lasting Impact on Gold Market - 2nd Aug 20
Gold & Silver: Two Pictures - 1st Aug 20
The Bullish Case for Stocks Isn't Over Yet - 1st Aug 20
Is Gold Price Action Warning Of Imminent Monetary Collapse - Part 2? - 1st Aug 20
Will America Accept the World's Worst Pandemic Response Government - 1st Aug 20
Stock Market Technical Patterns, Future Expectations and More – Part II - 1st Aug 20
Trump White House Accelerating Toward a US Dollar Crisis - 31st Jul 20
Why US Commercial Real Estate is Set to Get Slammed - 31st Jul 20
Gold Price Blows Through Upside Resistance - The Chase Is On - 31st Jul 20
Is Crude Oil Price Setting Up for a Waterfall Decline? - 31st Jul 20
Stock Market Technical Patterns, Future Expectations and More - 30th Jul 20
Why Big Money Is Already Pouring Into Edge Computing Tech Stocks - 30th Jul 20
Economic and Geopolitical Worries Fuel Gold’s Rally - 30th Jul 20
How to Finance an Investment Property - 30th Jul 20
I Hate Banks - Including Goldman Sachs - 29th Jul 20
NASDAQ Stock Market Double Top & Price Channels Suggest Pending Price Correction - 29th Jul 20
Silver Price Surge Leaves Naysayers in the Dust - 29th Jul 20
UK Supermarket Covid-19 Shop - Few Masks, Lack of Social Distancing (Tesco) - 29th Jul 20
Budgie Clipped Wings, How Long Before it Can Fly Again? - 29th Jul 20
How To Take Advantage Of Tesla's 400% Stock Surge - 29th Jul 20
Gold Makes Record High and Targets $6,000 in New Bull Cycle - 28th Jul 20
Gold Strong Signal For A Secular Bull Market - 28th Jul 20
Anatomy of a Gold and Silver Precious Metals Bull Market - 28th Jul 20
Shopify Is Seizing an $80 Billion Pot of Gold - 28th Jul 20
Stock Market Minor Correction Underway - 28th Jul 20
Why College Is Never Coming Back - 27th Jul 20
Stocks Disconnect from Economy, Gold Responds - 27th Jul 20
Silver Begins Big Upside Rally Attempt - 27th Jul 20
The Gold and Silver Markets Have Changed… What About You? - 27th Jul 20
Google, Apple And Amazon Are Leading A $30 Trillion Assault On Wall Street - 27th Jul 20
This Stock Market Indicator Reaches "Lowest Level in Nearly 20 Years" - 26th Jul 20
New Wave of Economic Stimulus Lifts Gold Price - 26th Jul 20
Stock Market Slow Grind Higher Above the Early June Stock Highs - 26th Jul 20
How High Will Silver Go? - 25th Jul 20
If You Own Gold, Look Out Below - 25th Jul 20
Crude Oil and Energy Sets Up Near Major Resistance – Breakdown Pending - 25th Jul 20
FREE Access to Premium Market Forecasts by Elliott Wave International - 25th Jul 20
The Promise of Silver as August Approaches: Accumulation and Conversation - 25th Jul 20
The Silver Bull Gateway is at Hand - 24th Jul 20
The Prospects of S&P 500 Above the Early June Highs - 24th Jul 20
How Silver Could Surpass Its All-Time High - 24th Jul 20

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Get Rich Investing in Stocks by Riding the Electron Wave

The JIS – Junk Ideology Syndrome

Politics / Social Issues Apr 22, 2014 - 03:34 PM GMT

By: Andrew_McKillop


Global Reach
What I call the JIS has been studied and commented under different names, but the start and end points of political mass movements and political ideology, crystallized as JIS at a peak point, is a process driven by crisis conditions. These can be economic, cultural or national security and geopolitical, or other shocks to society. The examples are numerous and well-documented, and certainly extend from Antiquity. They also exist at a smaller scale in so-called pre-modern non-Western societies.

At its most general level and in terms of ethics and social philosophy, JIS can be called a mass-society, politicized response to ontological insecurity and epistemological uncertainty. Following one or more massive shocks to society - which do not have be the same type, such as defeat in war, economic or monetary collapse, environmental disaster, food shortage and starvation – loss of credibility for leaderships and elites grows to breaking point. The elites respond by creating “junk ideology” to woo the masses. New elites, at that time, can quickly emerge.

Even the start of modern nationalism, which can be quite precisely dated at around 1750-1775, surely and certainly intensified the elite recourse to JIS. Modern nationalism was born out of crisis.

Ideologically, this concerns the creation and promotion of “beta doctrines” when the first or alpha-version has failed, been discredited, rejected. In this respect, JIS is easy to compare with the non-Western, pre-industrial cultural process and system of millenarian cults. Secondary or “canonized” religious doctrine can be considered an analog in religious philosophy, following schism. The original alpha-version ideological package is replaced, by a new and restructured, simplified single unified doctrine, which may often only have a short life, but during that time can do uber-damage.

Reform, Restructure and Relaunch

At this time we have stark examples of the JIS syndrome. Almost unremarked, at least by Western journalists and media, all the BRICS countries – the former torch bearers of globalization and global economic growth – are not only suffering unexpected economic difficulty, in cases like Brazil teetering on the brink of recession, but are also experiencing massive political and social change. Destabilized in cultural terms by globalization, they are now exposed to the underside of and blowback from global economic retreat and stagnation. The political impact is massive.

India's reformed or modernized BJP (Bharatiya Janata Party) is at this time poised to win a possible or probable landslide victory in national elections under its leader Narendra Modi. Under BJP leader Ajit Bihari Vajpayee in the late-1990s his government oversaw Pokhran-II – five nuclear tests in May 1998 and the linked test of multiple ballistic missile systems now including ICBMs. The Vajpayee government also responded to what Western journalists wrongly call “Hindu nationalism” by intensifying military action to expel Pakistani infiltrators in the disputed territory of Kashmir, calling it the Kargil War. Not only a high altitude war, this was also the first war opposing two nuclear-armed belligerants. After the 2001 Indian Parliament attack, Prime Minister Vajpayee ordered the mobilisation of India's armed forces along India's border with Pakistan, but tensions were later de-escalated.

The December 2001 terrorist attacks on the Parliament enabled the BJP government to pass the Prevention of Terrorism Act (POTA). Exactly like US Homeland Security measures, this heavily expanded intelligence operations, the ability of police and security forces to search and detain suspects, and to operate outside India. The POTA was partly repealed by the Indian Congress party government of Manmohan Singh. With the coming near-certain victory of Narendra Modi the POTA will also near-certainly be restored, extended and relaunched.

The BJP under its present leader Modi. has tipped firmly towards the JIS in several ways. Modi, who states that his preferred political reading is 'Mein Kampf' has extended the politically-traditional anti-Pakistani scope of “Hindu nationalism” to new doctrinal heights. His party platform speeches in the election campaign of today, identify the major threat to Hindu identity, cultural integrity and “the survival of India” as due to the existence of the Muslim community of India – an internal “fifth column” - and the external Islamic threat.

Modi is outspoken – and very popular among the dominant Hindu voting population. His New BJP is also openly xenophobic and isolationist. India's banking and finance elite has rallied to the new doctrine. Raghuram Raj, India's central bank governor and former IMF chief economist has for example, 30 Jan 2014, hit out at the US Fed, ECB, the IMF and other western financial institutions as being “selfish” and using India and other BRICS as “disposable adjustment mechanisms” for their own Western-origin post-2008 economic crisis.

Russia, as we know, is in no way exempt from rapid doctrinal or ideological change intensified by adverse global economic – and in Russia's case adverse geopolitical – pressures. Following his 2011 electoral restoration as president, Vladimir Putin's Yedinaya Rossiya-United Russia party has pursued a major program of ideological reform or modernization. The new doctrinal package moves on from Russian nationalism and protection of the Fatherland (Yedinaya Rossiya was founded in Dec 2001 by merger with the All Russia Fatherland party), to the JIS doctrine of defending Western culture, christianity and civilization, with a heavy and permanent linkage to the Orthodox Church. Rarely commented by Western media, this doctrine in no way seeks to avoid conflict with external powers.

Economic Millenarian Cults
Certainly for modern or industrial-urban societies, the JIS always features economic millenarianism. The QE of the Western central banks can firstly be considered a junk doctrine, and secondly a millenarian cult. The dangers of this are only dimly perceived, but the process can run very fast and interact with, and reinforce political or ideological JIS. The USA has notably since 2001, under George W. Bush firstly launched the cult of National or Homeland Security, and since 2008 the cult of QE. One is political JIS, the other is economic JIS.

The dangers of massive and permanent “monetary easing” are amply analyzed and described, but the political or ideological JIS is under-appreciated as a more powerful, and more dangerous threat.

The upstream historical versions and antecedents of the political-economic fusion of junk doctrines are however well known. The 1930s Great Depression and its European- and US-focus, and worldwide impacts, most certainly helped trigger the doctrinal mutation of existing political ideologies. Key examples were the Stalinist mutation of marxism and communism, and the emergence of Italian fascism and German nazism, which heavily included economic millenarian cults, mutated versions of existing “liberal market economics”. Western Keynesian doctrine was the mutant shift to JIS in other “liberal market” capitalist economies, but since 2008 has reached extremes of intensity.

The great depression was in fact less intense than the post-2008 global economic crisis, firstly and simply due to the world economy being so much smaller in the 1930s, but also due to post-1980s globalization, the scope and impacts of economic adversity are much wider. For this reason, the JIS is sure and certain to rapidly manifest itself outside Western societies – for example in India.

Sharpened, more intense, more extreme and more simplified political ideology in mass societies very often features the creation and identification of hostile, non-patriotic scapegoat classes, groups and communities.  In the Indian New BJP case, it is Muslims and Islam, and the West. In the case of Putin's Russia, it is America, its EU28 lapdogs and the erosion of Christian values. For Saudi Arabia it is Iran and the shia community. For Israel it is anti-semitism and the denial of Israel's place in the world. For China, it is both internal enemies, including doctrinal enemies, Japan and the West.

The list is in fact very long, but in each case the creation and identification of “threat entities” is paramount in the JIS process, usually followed by internal domestic national conflict, or by international conflict. The basic psychology of the process is of course infantile rather than adult, making it highly significant that “dumbing down” is one of the main features, or the main feature of mass utilization of the Internet. Those who criticize the tens of thousands of Germans who thrilled to the hysterical speeches of Adolf Hitler at mass meetings in the 1930s, can for example consider mass turnouts for football matches today, which only await the political-doctrinal spark, notably through intense economic adversity to mutate into the JIS. All is ready.

By Andrew McKillop


Former chief policy analyst, Division A Policy, DG XVII Energy, European Commission. Andrew McKillop Biographic Highlights

Co-author 'The Doomsday Machine', Palgrave Macmillan USA, 2012

Andrew McKillop has more than 30 years experience in the energy, economic and finance domains. Trained at London UK’s University College, he has had specially long experience of energy policy, project administration and the development and financing of alternate energy. This included his role of in-house Expert on Policy and Programming at the DG XVII-Energy of the European Commission, Director of Information of the OAPEC technology transfer subsidiary, AREC and researcher for UN agencies including the ILO.

© 2014 Copyright Andrew McKillop - All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisor.

Andrew McKillop Archive

© 2005-2019 - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.

Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules