Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
S&P Stock Market Trend Forecast to Dec 2024 - 16th Apr 24
No Deposit Bonuses: Boost Your Finances - 16th Apr 24
Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - 8th Apr 24
Gold Is Rallying Again, But Silver Could Get REALLY Interesting - 8th Apr 24
Media Elite Belittle Inflation Struggles of Ordinary Americans - 8th Apr 24
Profit from the Roaring AI 2020's Tech Stocks Economic Boom - 8th Apr 24
Stock Market Election Year Five Nights at Freddy's - 7th Apr 24
It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- 7th Apr 24
AI Revolution and NVDA: Why Tough Going May Be Ahead - 7th Apr 24
Hidden cost of US homeownership just saw its biggest spike in 5 years - 7th Apr 24
What Happens To Gold Price If The Fed Doesn’t Cut Rates? - 7th Apr 24
The Fed is becoming increasingly divided on interest rates - 7th Apr 24
The Evils of Paper Money Have no End - 7th Apr 24
Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - 3rd Apr 24
Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend - 2nd Apr 24
Dow Stock Market Annual Percent Change Analysis 2024 - 2nd Apr 24
Bitcoin S&P Pattern - 31st Mar 24
S&P Stock Market Correlating Seasonal Swings - 31st Mar 24
S&P SEASONAL ANALYSIS - 31st Mar 24
Here's a Dirty Little Secret: Federal Reserve Monetary Policy Is Still Loose - 31st Mar 24
Tandem Chairman Paul Pester on Fintech, AI, and the Future of Banking in the UK - 31st Mar 24
Stock Market Volatility (VIX) - 25th Mar 24
Stock Market Investor Sentiment - 25th Mar 24
The Federal Reserve Didn't Do Anything But It Had Plenty to Say - 25th Mar 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Gold Rallies on Indian Festive Demand

Commodities / Gold & Silver May 08, 2008 - 10:00 AM GMT

By: Adrian_Ash

Commodities PHYSICAL GOLD BULLION hit a two-day high of $874 per ounce in thin trade Thursday morning in London, while world stock markets ticked lower and crude oil held just below yesterday's new record high of $123.93 per barrel.

Government bond prices rose, pushing the yields offered to new buyers lower.


"With all eyes on crude oil markets," notes Walter de Wet for Standard Bank today, "volumes in the precious metals market remain low.

But "look out for the ECB interest rate decision [at 08:00 EST] today. Although no rate cut is expected, a dovish tone at the policy statement could pave the way for further Euro weakness."

Gold and the Euro last week showed a daily correlation of 0.51 last week, sharply down from the near-perfect 0.97 reached at the end of 2007.

Today the Gold Price in Euros rose to a seven-session high of €569.35 per ounce as the single currency ticked up from a two-month low of $1.5285.

For British investors wanting to Buy Gold today, the price held in a tight range between £443 and £446 per ounce as the Bank of England voted to keep UK interest rates on hold at 5.0%

UK inflation has pushed up to a decade high in the last year; the Bank of England has cut its lending rate three times since December.

Analysts including Jonathan Loynes at Capital Economics now expect the Bank to cut rates to 4.0% by the end of the year.

"Our view is that [global] economic conditions are likely to deteriorate," said Dan Smith at Standard Chartered in London to Bloomberg this morning.

"Some money will come out of equities and go back into gold."

Today in India – where the two-day festival of Akshaya Thrithiya concludes on Thursday – gold prices ticked up to 11,800 Rupees per 10 grams as the Indian currency fell on the forex market.

"The rupee's volatility has kept gold traders from buying," said a private-bank Gold Dealer to Reuters. "There is not much buying in the wholesale segment, but the retail side is good."

"Early sales of gold on Akshaya Thrithiya were quite satisfactory," confirms Bhargav Vaidhya, a Gold Market analyst in Mumbai. "In fact, thanks to the current high prices, consumers did not buy all they had planned."

The World Gold Council's local office now expects gold sales during this week's festival – an auspicious time for Gold Investment on the Hindu calendar – to show a 15% increase from Akshaya Thrithiya '07.

"A modern-day Gold Investment at Akshaya Thritiya is probably more likely to involve a visit to the neighborhood bank or calling an investment advisor rather than a jewelry store," according to DNA Money. But this week "consumers appeared to prefer buying from zaveris [jewelers] rather than banks," says Vaidhya in Mumbai.

Indian Gold Buyers must pay a "marginal premium" if they Buy Gold from a bank, says K.V.S. Manian at Kotak Mahindra, justified by its warranted purity and tamper-proof packaging. But India's banks are "taking advantage of goodwill" reckons Rajeev Popley, head of the Popley jewelry and coin group.

"Banks sell their coins at a price far higher than the market price."

What's more, Indian banks will not re-purchase gold coins from their customers. "The regulator does not allow it," says Sonu Bhasin, senior vice-president of the wealth management division at Axis Bank.

And that forces Indian consumers who've bought gold at a premium from the banks to sell it to local jewelers at raw Gold Market prices.

( Why not cut out the middleman entirely? You can now Buy & Sell Gold at your own price using BullionVault 's live online order board here... )

In the broader financial markets, meantime, Asian-Pacific equities fell 1.1% on Thursday, pulled down by banking and export stocks after Toyota blamed a 28% drop in its first-quarter profits on the strengthening Yen and lower US car sales.

European stocks slipped 0.4% ahead of the European Central Bank's interest-rate decision. US stock futures pointed lower.

"US stocks are in a bear-market rally," said George Soros, the multi-billionaire hedge fund manager, at a conference in Washington yesterday.

"Markets don't tend toward equilibrium, they actually go to excesses. House prices overshot on the upside, and they will overshoot on the way down.

"The United States is at the very beginning of an uptrend in foreclosures. The effect of that is only beginning to be felt. There is a certain time lag."

By Adrian Ash
BullionVault.com

Gold price chart, no delay | Free Report: 5 Myths of the Gold Market
City correspondent for The Daily Reckoning in London and a regular contributor to MoneyWeek magazine, Adrian Ash is the editor of Gold News and head of research at www.BullionVault.com , giving you direct access to investment gold, vaulted in Zurich , on $3 spreads and 0.8% dealing fees.

(c) BullionVault 2008

Please Note: This article is to inform your thinking, not lead it. Only you can decide the best place for your money, and any decision you make will put your money at risk. Information or data included here may have already been overtaken by events – and must be verified elsewhere – should you choose to act on it.

Adrian Ash Archive

© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in