Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Gold vs Cash in a Financial Crisis - Richard_Mills
2.Current Stock Market Rally Similarities To 1999 - Chris_Vermeulen
3.America See You On The Dark Side Of The Moon - Part2 - James_Quinn
4.Stock Market Trend Forecast Outlook for 2020 - Nadeem_Walayat
5.Who Said Stock Market Traders and Investor are Emotional Right Now? - Chris_Vermeulen
6.Gold Upswing and Lessons from Gold Tops - P_Radomski_CFA
7.Economic Tribulation is Coming, and Here is Why - Michael_Pento
8.What to Expect in Our Next Recession/Depression? - Raymond_Matison
9.The Fed Celebrates While Americans Drown in Financial Despair - John_Mauldin
10.Hi-yo Silver Away! - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
The Past Stock Market Week Was More Important Than You May Understand - 31st Mar 20
Coronavirus - No, You Do Not Hear the Fat Lady Warming Up - 31st Mar 20
Life, Religions, Business, Globalization & Information Technology In The Post-Corona Pandemics Age - 31st Mar 20
Three Charts Every Stock Market Trader and Investor Must See - 31st Mar 20
Coronavirus Stocks Bear Market Trend Forecast - Video - 31st Mar 20
Coronavirus Dow Stocks Bear Market Into End April 2020 Trend Forecast - 31st Mar 20
Is it better to have a loan or credit card debt when applying for a mortgage? - 31st Mar 20
US and UK Coronavirus Trend Trajectories vs Bear Market and AI Stocks Sector - 30th Mar 20
Are Gold and Silver Mirroring 1999 to 2011 Again? - 30th Mar 20
Stock Market Next Cycle Low 7th April - 30th Mar 20
United States Coronavirus Infections and Deaths Trend Forecasts Into End April 2020 - 29th Mar 20
Some Positives in a Virus Wracked World - 29th Mar 20
Expert Tips to Save on Your Business’s Office Supply Purchases - 29th Mar 20
An Investment in Life - 29th Mar 20
Sheffield Coronavirus Pandemic Infections and Deaths Forecast - 29th Mar 20
UK Coronavirus Infections and Deaths Projections Trend Forecast - Video - 28th Mar 20
The Great Coronavirus Depression - Things Are Going to Change. Here’s What We Should Do - 28th Mar 20
One of the Biggest Stock Market Short Covering Rallies in History May Be Imminent - 28th Mar 20
The Fed, the Coronavirus and Investing - 28th Mar 20
Women’s Fashion Trends in the UK this 2020 - 28th Mar 20
The Last Minsky Financial Snowflake Has Fallen – What Now? - 28th Mar 20
UK Coronavirus Infections and Deaths Projections Trend Forecast Into End April 2020 - 28th Mar 20
DJIA Coronavirus Stock Market Technical Trend Analysis - 27th Mar 20
US and UK Case Fatality Rate Forecast for End April 2020 - 27th Mar 20
US Stock Market Upswing Meets Employment Data - 27th Mar 20
Will the Fed Going Nuclear Help the Economy and Gold? - 27th Mar 20
What you need to know about the impact of inflation - 27th Mar 20
CoronaVirus Herd Immunity, Flattening the Curve and Case Fatality Rate Analysis - 27th Mar 20
NHS Hospitals Before Coronavirus Tsunami Hits (Sheffield), STAY INDOORS FINAL WARNING! - 27th Mar 20
CoronaVirus Curve, Stock Market Crash, and Mortgage Massacre - 27th Mar 20
Finding an Expert Car Accident Lawyer - 27th Mar 20
We Are Facing a Depression, Not a Recession - 26th Mar 20
US Housing Real Estate Market Concern - 26th Mar 20
Covid-19 Pandemic Affecting Bitcoin - 26th Mar 20
Italy Coronavirus Case Fataility Rate and Infections Trend Analysis - 26th Mar 20
Why Is Online Gambling Becoming More Popular? - 26th Mar 20
Dark Pools of Capital Profiting from Coronavirus Stock Markets CRASH! - 26th Mar 20
CoronaVirus Herd Immunity and Flattening the Curve - 25th Mar 20
Coronavirus Lesson #1 for Investors: Beware Predictions of Stock Market Bottoms - 25th Mar 20
CoronaVirus Stock Market Trend Implications - 25th Mar 20
Pandemonium in Precious Metals Market as Fear Gives Way to Command Economy - 25th Mar 20
Pandemics and Gold - 25th Mar 20
UK Coronavirus Hotspots - Cities with Highest Risks of Getting Infected - 25th Mar 20
WARNING US Coronavirus Infections and Deaths Going Ballistic! - 24th Mar 20
Coronavirus Crisis - Weeks Where Decades Happen - 24th Mar 20
Industry Trends: Online Casinos & Online Slots Game Market Analysis - 24th Mar 20
Five Amazingly High-Tech Products Just on the Market that You Should Check Out - 24th Mar 20
UK Coronavirus WARNING - Infections Trend Trajectory Worse than Italy - 24th Mar 20
Rick Rule: 'A Different Phrase for Stocks Bear Market Is Sale' - 24th Mar 20
Stock Market Minor Cycle Bounce - 24th Mar 20
Gold’s century - While stocks dominated headlines, gold quietly performed - 24th Mar 20
Big Tech Is Now On The Offensive Against The Coronavirus - 24th Mar 20
Socialism at Its Finest after Fed’s Bazooka Fails - 24th Mar 20
Dark Pools of Capital Profiting from Coronavirus Stock and Financial Markets CRASH! - 23rd Mar 20
Will Trump’s Free Cash Help the Economy and Gold Market? - 23rd Mar 20
Coronavirus Clarifies Priorities - 23rd Mar 20
Could the Coronavirus Cause the Next ‘Arab Spring’? - 23rd Mar 20
Concerned About The US Real Estate Market? Us Too! - 23rd Mar 20
Gold Stocks Peak Bleak? - 22nd Mar 20
UK Supermarkets Coronavirus Panic Buying, Empty Tesco Shelves, Stock Piling, Hoarding Preppers - 22nd Mar 20
US Coronavirus Infections and Deaths Going Ballistic as Government Start to Ramp Up Testing - 21st Mar 20
Your Investment Portfolio for the Next Decade—Fix It with the “Anti-Stock” - 21st Mar 20
CORONA HOAX: This Is Almost Completely Contrived and Here’s Proof - 21st Mar 20
Gold-Silver Ratio Tops 100; Silver Headed For Sub-$10 - 21st Mar 20
Coronavirus - Don’t Ask, Don’t Test - 21st Mar 20
Napag and Napag Trading Best Petroleum & Crude Oil Company - 21st Mar 20
UK Coronavirus Infections Trend Trajectory Worse than Italy - Government PANICs! Sterling Crashes! - 20th Mar 20
UK Critical Care Nurse Cries at Empty SuperMarket Shelves, Coronavirus Panic Buying Stockpiling - 20th Mar 20
Coronavirus Is Not an Emergency. It’s a War - 20th Mar 20
Why You Should Invest in the $5 Gold Coin - 20th Mar 20
Four Key Stock Market Questions To This Coronavirus Crisis Everyone is Asking - 20th Mar 20
Gold to Silver Ratio’s Breakout – Like a Hot Knife Through Butter - 20th Mar 20
The Coronavirus Contraction - Only Cooperation Can Defeat Impending Global Crisis - 20th Mar 20
Is This What Peak Market Fear Looks Like? - 20th Mar 20
Alessandro De Dorides - Business Consultant - 20th Mar 20
Why a Second Depression is Possible but Not Likely - 20th Mar 20

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter


Greece, Gold, The Death Of Paper Money And The Modern State

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015 Apr 10, 2015 - 09:27 AM GMT

By: Darryl_R_Schoon


The size and existence of the modern state is limited only by the ability to borrow money; an ability dependent on the continuing value of fiat paper money.  That limit has now been reached. Greece is not just a country that overindulged on the bankers’ poisoned candy of cheap credit. Greece is the canary in the coal mine of the modern state.

When gold was removed from the international monetary system in 1971, US interest rates were 6%.  By 1980, however, US rates rapidly rose to 21.5% in order to contain virulent inflationary forces unleashed when ties between paper money and gold were cut. The separation of gold and money was unprecedented. So, too, would be the consequences.


US interest rates have now fallen for 35 years. In the short term, falling interest rates are viewed as positive, growth is encouraged and investors leverage ever-cheaper credit to reap ever-larger rewards in ever-expanding markets.

In the long term, however, continually falling interest rates are a sign that something is fundamentally amiss; that the requisite balance between credit and debt necessary for self-sustaining growth is missing. Continually falling interest rates—like continually falling blood pressure—indicates the presence of a pathological monetary state that is ultimately fatal.

In his article, Euthanasia of the Pension Funds, (Part 1) Professor Antal E Fekete pointed out the dangers of continually falling interest rates:

…a falling interest-rate structure has a deleterious effect on accumulated capital. Capital is destroyed across the board simultaneously and stealthily. By the time the damage is discovered, it is too late to do anything about it and firms go bankrupt in droves. The falling trend of interest rates is the unrecognized cause of the depression that is presently devastating the world economy.

…The last vestiges of the gold standard were unilaterally discarded by the government of the United States in 1971. This event was coincident with the onset of the greatest gyration in the rate of interest on a world-wide scale. In a decade interest rates shot up to two-digit figures in the high teens. Then a slow decline started in the 1980's pushing interest rates relentlessly towards zero. The first move (rising interest rates) was accompanied with a great surge of inflation, wiping out a large part of the value of pension rights. The second move (falling interest rates), which is still continuing, has brought deflation. It has not yet fully manifested its corrosive on the pension funds as yet. Even so, the forces that drive the rate of interest to zero are squarely responsible for the erosion or destruction of all capital...


Below, I combined a chart of falling interest rates ( with a chart of the US money supply (St. Louis Fed), further evidence of the destruction of capital.


Because of the continuing increase in the money supply, the dollars of today are worth less than yesterday’s and those of tomorrow will be worth less than today’s. We are now, all of us, running faster and faster at unsustainable levels on a treadmill towards inevitable disaster.

pg. 64, Time of the Vulture: How to Survive the Crisis and Prosper in the Process, 3rd ed. (2012), Darryl Robert Schoon


When the Roman empire collapsed, even slaves feared what would happen next. It is no different today.

In the 1st edition of my book, Time of the Vulture: How to Survive the Crisis and Prosper in the Process (2007), I predicted a financial crisis even more devastating than the Great Depression was about to happen.

Today’s devastation will be even greater, because paper money is no longer backed by gold. The coming deflationary depression will involve not just the collapse of capital markets but, in addition, a cataclysmic currency crisis caused by the global destabilization of money.

When stocks lose their value

That’s a terrible thing

When homes lose their value

That’s a terrible thing

But when money loses its value

That’s the most terrible thing of all

Time of the Vulture  (1st ed. 2007)

When I published Time of the Vulture, Fed interest rates were 5 ¼ %. When the financial crisis began in 2008, the Fed slashed rates to almost zero, 0.0-0.25%, to provide markets with excessive levels of liquidity to offset the sudden and severe drop in global aggregate demand.


Today, 90% of industrialized economies now have interest rates near zero or below zero.

cotd industrialized world post

In addition to near zero interest rates, central banks created excessive amounts of money by issuing trillions of dollars of bonds, e.g. QE1, QE2, QE3, QE4, etc. pushing unprecedented amounts of newly created money into global markets to contain the growing deflationary threat; and, while it failed to contain deflation, the excessive liquidity is now circulating in markets with no place to go, akin to moribund monetary edema.

2012-05 Money Supply Growth

In capitalism’s end game, capital instead of circulating in the economy accumulates in financial markets. Bubbles are the result, not economic expansion; and, as aggregate demand fatally slows, so, too, does the velocity of money.


Capitalism, like a bicycle, doesn’t do well at slow speeds

In the 1930s, when global demand collapsed, countries fought for shares of a shrinking market by levying  tariffs on imported goods. The US Smoot-Hawley Tariff imposed surcharges on over 20,000 imported goods to record levels. Enacted to protect domestic markets from foreign imports, the net effect, however, was to accelerate the collapse of international trade.


As in 1929, international trade fell in 2009; but, this time, countries moved to protect markets not with tariffs but by debasing their currencies with excessive money printing, making their exports cheaper in foreign markets.

Debasing currencies to obtain a trade advantage, however, is akin to the Chinese proverb, Drinking poison to quench thirst, 飲鴆止渴. While the advantages are temporary, the consequences are not.

In November 2012, I wrote:

There are only two possibilities left in the bankers’ end game. Either deflation’s growing momentum will pull today’s faltering economies into the ever-growing maw of a deflationary collapse or the continued printing of money to stave off such a collapse will end with the complete debasement of paper currencies in a hyperinflationary blowoff.

Schoon, The Tipping Point (2012)

Today’s excessive money printing—whether to gain a trade advantage or to prevent a deflationary collapse—will end in the cataclysmic collapse of today’s fiat currencies and the consequent disarray of global markets and sovereign states.


When paper money dies, the payout will be spectacular




That’s it, plain and simple. The more chaotic the monetary conditions, the more chaotic the price of gold. Gold is a barometer of economic uncertainty. In times when inflation threatens, gold moves up and down. In times when deflation threatens, gold moves up and down. When both inflation and deflation threaten, gold moves rapidly up and down.

Pg. 127, Time of the Vulture, 3rd. ed. 2012, Schoon

After 2001, gold moved upwards, from $250 to $1900 in 2011. Since 2011, gold has retraced 42 % of those gains. This had a negative effect on many gold investors. Indeed, that was the purpose of the bankers’ war on gold after 1971.

For those who understand the tremendous financial and geopolitical forces that today are vying not so much for supremacy as they were previously, but for survival; gold remains as it always has been—a store of value in times of monetary chaos and economic distress.

In March 2007, I predicted that an economic crisis would happen. It did. That crisis has yet to run its course to make way for the better world to come. In my Dollars & Sense youtube video, Darryl’s New Prediction, see I make another forecast.

These are interesting times. Get used to it.

Buy gold, buy silver, have faith.

By Darryl Robert Schoon

About Darryl Robert Schoon
In college, I majored in political science with a focus on East Asia (B.A. University of California at Davis, 1966). My in-depth study of economics did not occur until much later.

In the 1990s, I became curious about the Great Depression and in the course of my study, I realized that most of my preconceptions about money and the economy were just that - preconceptions. I, like most others, did not really understand the nature of money and the economy. Now, I have some insights and answers about these critical matters.

In October 2005, Marshall Thurber, a close friend from law school convened The Positive Deviant Network (the PDN), a group of individuals whom Marshall believed to be "out-of-the-box" thinkers and I was asked to join. The PDN became a major catalyst in my writings on economic issues.

When I discovered others in the PDN shared my concerns about the US economy, I began writing down my thoughts. In March 2007 I presented my findings to the Positive Deviant Network in the form of an in-depth 148- page analysis, " How to Survive the Crisis and Prosper In The Process. "

The reception to my presentation, though controversial, generated a significant amount of interest; and in May 2007, "How To Survive The Crisis And Prosper In The Process" was made available at and I began writing articles on economic issues.

The interest in the book and my writings has been gratifying. During its first two months, was accessed by over 10,000 viewers from 93 countries. Clearly, we had struck a chord and , has been created to address this interest.

Darryl R Schoon Archive

© 2005-2019 - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.

Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules