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Nadeem Walayat Financial Markets Analysiis and Trend Forecasts

US Stock Market Will Likely Drop 5% by Next Week!

Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015 Apr 16, 2015 - 10:33 AM GMT

By: Brad_Gudgeon

Stock-Markets

Last weekend, I expected the US stock market to drop suddenly from Monday into Tuesday. While I expected about close to a 2% drop, we got closer to a 1% drop instead (I give myself a C grade there). Out of this cycle low Tuesday (Gann 4/8/12 and Wall Cycle 22.5 TD low), we rallied 1.3%. I also talked about the prevailing 32 TD top due Thursday this week, which I believe came a day early on April 15th. There has been much talk about Lindsay's methods, and his method agrees with me that we made an important top on April 15th.


The charts below show that a 5% drop is imminent into April 24th, which follows the recent 7 Trading Day drops, (especially notable is the early to mid December drop of 5%). It also agrees with the 8 TD cycle, as well as the larger Gann 16 TD 4 cycle low. The e-wave set up is there, and we are now going from Wave (b) to Wave (c) of an a-b-c type drop from the March 2nd top to April 24th (a 31 TD low from Mar 11).

S&P500 Daily Chart

Dow 30 Daily Chart

Of note: the NASDAQ failed to keep up with the Dow and SPX today creating an inter-market bearish divergence. There are also important reversal signatures on the "astro" scene this week. Notable is Pluto Retrograde on April 16 and Mars sq. Jupiter on April 17. According to Merriman, Pluto rules debt and bonds. Is the FED going to say something that spooks the market? Stay tuned.

In my opinion, this would be the time to buy puts or heavily leverage positions to the down side. The odds favor the bears here... at least into April 24th... and after that? Well, it is after all a bull market, right? Yeah, buy the dip... this is the mantra going forward. I don't see anything to change that viewpoint ... yet.

Brad Gudgeon

Editor of The BluStar Market Timer

www.blustarmarkettimer.info

The BluStar Market Timer was rated #1 in the world by Timer Trac in 2014, competing with over 1600 market timers. This occurred despite what the author considered a very difficult year for him. Brad Gudgeon, editor and author of the BluStar Market Timer, is a market veteran of over 30 years. The website is www.blustarmarkettimer.info To view the details more clearly, you may visit our free chart look at www.blustarcharts.weebly.com Copyright 2015. All Rights Reserved

Copyright 2015, BluStar Market Timer.  All rights reserved.

Disclaimer:  The above information is not intended as investment advice.  Market timers can and do make mistakes.  The above analysis is believed to be reliable, but we cannot be responsible for losses should they occur as a result of using this information.  This article is intended for educational purposes only. Past performance is never a guarantee of future performance.

Brad Gudgeon Archive

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