Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
Stocks Correct into Bitcoin Happy Thanks Halving - Earnings Season Buying Opps - 4th July 24
24 Hours Until Clown Rishi Sunak is Booted Out of Number 10 - UIK General Election 2024 - 4th July 24
Clown Rishi Delivers Tory Election Bloodbath, Labour 400+ Seat Landslide - 1st July 24
Bitcoin Happy Thanks Halving - Crypto's Exist Strategy - 30th June 24
Is a China-Taiwan Conflict Likely? Watch the Region's Stock Market Indexes - 30th June 24
Gold Mining Stocks Record Quarter - 30th June 24
Could Low PCE Inflation Take Gold to the Moon? - 30th June 24
UK General Election 2024 Result Forecast - 26th June 24
AI Stocks Portfolio Accumulate and Distribute - 26th June 24
Gold Stocks Reloading - 26th June 24
Gold Price Completely Unsurprising Reversal and Next Steps - 26th June 24
Inflation – How It Started And Where We Are Now - 26th June 24
Can Stock Market Bad Breadth Be Good? - 26th June 24
How to Capitalise on the Robots - 20th June 24
Bitcoin, Gold, and Copper Paint a Coherent Picture - 20th June 24
Why a Dow Stock Market Peak Will Boost Silver - 20th June 24
QI Group: Leading With Integrity and Impactful Initiatives - 20th June 24
Tesla Robo Taxis are Coming THIS YEAR! - 16th June 24
Will NVDA Crash the Market? - 16th June 24
Inflation Is Dead! Or Is It? - 16th June 24
Investors Are Forever Blowing Bubbles - 16th June 24
Stock Market Investor Sentiment - 8th June 24
S&P 494 Stocks Then & Now - 8th June 24
As Stocks Bears Begin To Hibernate, It's Now Time To Worry About A Bear Market - 8th June 24
Gold, Silver and Crypto | How Charts Look Before US Dollar Meltdown - 8th June 24
Gold & Silver Get Slammed on Positive Economic Reports - 8th June 24
Gold Summer Doldrums - 8th June 24
S&P USD Correction - 7th June 24
Israel's Smoke and Mirrors Fake War on Gaza - 7th June 24
US Banking Crisis 2024 That No One Is Paying Attention To - 7th June 24
The Fed Leads and the Market Follows? It's a Big Fat MYTH - 7th June 24
How Much Gold Is There In the World? - 7th June 24
Is There a Financial Crisis Bubbling Under the Surface? - 7th June 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Stock Market Holding Ahead Of Parliament Vote In Greece...

Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015 Jul 16, 2015 - 07:04 AM GMT

By: Jack_Steiman

Stock-Markets

The market started the day overbought on the short-term sixty-minute charts. It seemed likely we would sell early in order to unwind those overbought conditions, but that wasn't the case at all. The market didn't blast up as 70 RSI stopped things a bit, but it did move up some. As the day wore on we finally started to see the oscillators unwind some as the market fell a bit. Nothing dramatic, but it fell a little bit off the highs. The reason for the fall was really more than just being overbought. There was some anxiety ahead of the Parliament vote tonight out of Greece. The wrong vote would send Greece out of the Euro zone, out of the Euro, and send the global market reeling lower.


No one expects that to happen, but there was some anxiety out there, so with the averages overbought on the short-term charts we saw the Spy close about seventy cents off the highs. The unwinding was the important part to me. A little more would be best, but we may not get it due to earnings, but more on that in a bit. Bottom line is the market averages held well today after doing some unwinding. The oscillators pulled back rapidly with very little price erosion, which is normally good news for the bulls. We shall wait on the vote this evening, and if the vote confirms the Euro zones demands already accepted by the Greek leader Tsipras, then that whole situation will finally be behind us. That would be very welcome news for all.

So, if Greece is finally behind us in terms of uncertainty, where do we turn for the next catalyst to bring this market up and out or down and out. The answer would be earnings. Thus far, the bulls are carrying the upper hand in a very large way. Many companies took the road of short-term pain last quarter by reporting not only poor results but lowering the outlook by quite a bit. Many probably figured they were over doing the pessimism but lower those expectations and then beat them. That's smart thinking, and thus far, it's working out quite well.

Leaders such as JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM), Wells Fargo & Company (WFC), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Bank of America Corporation (BAC) and The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. (PNC), all did this and were rewarded over the past two days with solid up sticks. This evening we are seeing a very powerful move out of Intel Corporation (INTC) which has been a major laggard for quite some time. Important companies are reporting really good numbers based on them being lowered last quarter and with froth the name of the game, that's good enough for most folks. There's no way to know if this trend will continue onward but if you're a bull you have to be very happy with what's taken place thus far on the earnings front. Tough for the bears to get much traction with these types of positive reports.

Ms. Yellen was out talking again today. and she's making sure the world knows every time she speaks now that rates will begin a slowly move higher in the coming months regardless of what happens overseas. She says she's confident that the economy is doing well enough for the cycle to begin. A slow cycle at that, but she's making sure the market is prepared, which is smart. No uncertainty. Just the fact that it will happen, but no worries as the process will be very slow. She's also making sure everyone knows she has the market's best interest at heart. The market can now, basically, shrug off the rate hike when it actually does take place. The Fed is in control and won't let the market take a big hit on the interest rate front. Bottom line is the market will, hopefully, get past its biggest hurdle tonight regarding Greece. If it occurs the way the market thinks it will, it's possible earnings will be the catalyst for an eventual breakout over 2134 on the S&P 500.

Peace,

Jack

Jack Steiman is author of SwingTradeOnline.com ( www.swingtradeonline.com ). Former columnist for TheStreet.com, Jack is renowned for calling major shifts in the market, including the market bottom in mid-2002 and the market top in October 2007.

Sign up for a Free 15-Day Trial to SwingTradeOnline.com!

© 2015 SwingTradeOnline.com

Mr. Steiman's commentaries and index analysis represent his own opinions and should not be relied upon for purposes of effecting securities transactions or other investing strategies, nor should they be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy any security. You should not interpret Mr. Steiman's opinions as constituting investment advice. Trades mentioned on the site are hypothetical, not actual, positions.


© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in