Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
Friday Stock Market CRASH Following Israel Attack on Iranian Nuclear Facilities - 19th Apr 24
All Measures to Combat Global Warming Are Smoke and Mirrors! - 18th Apr 24
Cisco Then vs. Nvidia Now - 18th Apr 24
Is the Biden Administration Trying To Destroy the Dollar? - 18th Apr 24
S&P Stock Market Trend Forecast to Dec 2024 - 16th Apr 24
No Deposit Bonuses: Boost Your Finances - 16th Apr 24
Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - 8th Apr 24
Gold Is Rallying Again, But Silver Could Get REALLY Interesting - 8th Apr 24
Media Elite Belittle Inflation Struggles of Ordinary Americans - 8th Apr 24
Profit from the Roaring AI 2020's Tech Stocks Economic Boom - 8th Apr 24
Stock Market Election Year Five Nights at Freddy's - 7th Apr 24
It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- 7th Apr 24
AI Revolution and NVDA: Why Tough Going May Be Ahead - 7th Apr 24
Hidden cost of US homeownership just saw its biggest spike in 5 years - 7th Apr 24
What Happens To Gold Price If The Fed Doesn’t Cut Rates? - 7th Apr 24
The Fed is becoming increasingly divided on interest rates - 7th Apr 24
The Evils of Paper Money Have no End - 7th Apr 24
Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - 3rd Apr 24
Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend - 2nd Apr 24
Dow Stock Market Annual Percent Change Analysis 2024 - 2nd Apr 24
Bitcoin S&P Pattern - 31st Mar 24
S&P Stock Market Correlating Seasonal Swings - 31st Mar 24
S&P SEASONAL ANALYSIS - 31st Mar 24
Here's a Dirty Little Secret: Federal Reserve Monetary Policy Is Still Loose - 31st Mar 24
Tandem Chairman Paul Pester on Fintech, AI, and the Future of Banking in the UK - 31st Mar 24
Stock Market Volatility (VIX) - 25th Mar 24
Stock Market Investor Sentiment - 25th Mar 24
The Federal Reserve Didn't Do Anything But It Had Plenty to Say - 25th Mar 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Stock Market Holding Ahead Of Parliament Vote In Greece...

Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015 Jul 16, 2015 - 07:04 AM GMT

By: Jack_Steiman

Stock-Markets

The market started the day overbought on the short-term sixty-minute charts. It seemed likely we would sell early in order to unwind those overbought conditions, but that wasn't the case at all. The market didn't blast up as 70 RSI stopped things a bit, but it did move up some. As the day wore on we finally started to see the oscillators unwind some as the market fell a bit. Nothing dramatic, but it fell a little bit off the highs. The reason for the fall was really more than just being overbought. There was some anxiety ahead of the Parliament vote tonight out of Greece. The wrong vote would send Greece out of the Euro zone, out of the Euro, and send the global market reeling lower.


No one expects that to happen, but there was some anxiety out there, so with the averages overbought on the short-term charts we saw the Spy close about seventy cents off the highs. The unwinding was the important part to me. A little more would be best, but we may not get it due to earnings, but more on that in a bit. Bottom line is the market averages held well today after doing some unwinding. The oscillators pulled back rapidly with very little price erosion, which is normally good news for the bulls. We shall wait on the vote this evening, and if the vote confirms the Euro zones demands already accepted by the Greek leader Tsipras, then that whole situation will finally be behind us. That would be very welcome news for all.

So, if Greece is finally behind us in terms of uncertainty, where do we turn for the next catalyst to bring this market up and out or down and out. The answer would be earnings. Thus far, the bulls are carrying the upper hand in a very large way. Many companies took the road of short-term pain last quarter by reporting not only poor results but lowering the outlook by quite a bit. Many probably figured they were over doing the pessimism but lower those expectations and then beat them. That's smart thinking, and thus far, it's working out quite well.

Leaders such as JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM), Wells Fargo & Company (WFC), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Bank of America Corporation (BAC) and The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. (PNC), all did this and were rewarded over the past two days with solid up sticks. This evening we are seeing a very powerful move out of Intel Corporation (INTC) which has been a major laggard for quite some time. Important companies are reporting really good numbers based on them being lowered last quarter and with froth the name of the game, that's good enough for most folks. There's no way to know if this trend will continue onward but if you're a bull you have to be very happy with what's taken place thus far on the earnings front. Tough for the bears to get much traction with these types of positive reports.

Ms. Yellen was out talking again today. and she's making sure the world knows every time she speaks now that rates will begin a slowly move higher in the coming months regardless of what happens overseas. She says she's confident that the economy is doing well enough for the cycle to begin. A slow cycle at that, but she's making sure the market is prepared, which is smart. No uncertainty. Just the fact that it will happen, but no worries as the process will be very slow. She's also making sure everyone knows she has the market's best interest at heart. The market can now, basically, shrug off the rate hike when it actually does take place. The Fed is in control and won't let the market take a big hit on the interest rate front. Bottom line is the market will, hopefully, get past its biggest hurdle tonight regarding Greece. If it occurs the way the market thinks it will, it's possible earnings will be the catalyst for an eventual breakout over 2134 on the S&P 500.

Peace,

Jack

Jack Steiman is author of SwingTradeOnline.com ( www.swingtradeonline.com ). Former columnist for TheStreet.com, Jack is renowned for calling major shifts in the market, including the market bottom in mid-2002 and the market top in October 2007.

Sign up for a Free 15-Day Trial to SwingTradeOnline.com!

© 2015 SwingTradeOnline.com

Mr. Steiman's commentaries and index analysis represent his own opinions and should not be relied upon for purposes of effecting securities transactions or other investing strategies, nor should they be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy any security. You should not interpret Mr. Steiman's opinions as constituting investment advice. Trades mentioned on the site are hypothetical, not actual, positions.


© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in