Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Crude Oil and Water: How Climate Change is Threatening our Two Most Precious Commodities - Richard_Mills
2.The Potential $54 Trillion Cost Of The Fed's Planned Interest Rate Increases - Dan_Amerman
3.Best Cash ISA Savings for Rising UK Interest Rates and High Inflation - March 2018 - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Fed Interest Hikes, US Dollar, and Gold - Zeal_LLC
5.What Happens Next after February’s Stock Market Selloff - Troy_Bombardia
6.The 'Beast from the East' UK Extreme Snow Weather - Sheffield Day 2 - N_Walayat
7.Currencies Will Be ‘Flushed Down the Toilet’ Triggering a ‘Mad Rush into Gold’ - MoneyMetals
8.Significant Decline In Stocks On The Cards! -Enda_Glynn
9.Land Rover Discovery Sport Extreme Driving "Beast from the East" Snow Weather Test - N_Walayat
10.SILVER Large Specualtors Net Short Position 15 Year Anniversary - Clive_Maund
Last 7 days
Gold Junior Mining Stocks GDXJ Fundamentals - 23rd Mar 18
Global Trade War Fears See Precious Metals Gain And Stocks Fall - 23rd Mar 18
Stocks Recovering from a "deep dive" Overnight - 23rd Mar 18
Blaming the Fed for Weaker Greenback US Dollar - 23rd Mar 18
Watch This Group Signal Stock Market Trend Changes - 22nd Mar 18
Stocks are Gapping Beneath the Trendline Support - 22nd Mar 18
Fed Action Casts Shadow on Bullish Case for Stocks - 22nd Mar 18
A Strong Economy and Weak Stock Market is Bullish for Stocks - 22nd Mar 18
Fed Raises US Interest Rates 25bp – Where Are We In The Stock Market Cycle? - 22nd Mar 18
Why Spotify Will Likely Surge During Its IPO - 22nd Mar 18
SY Police Arrest Woman for Blowing Trumpet at Sheffield Tree Felling Protest - 22nd Mar 18
Facebook: The Anti-Social Network Covert Data Gathering - 21st Mar 18
Additional Signs for Gold and Silver Amid Increasing FOMC Tension - 21st Mar 18
Credit Concerns In U.S. Growing As LIBOR OIS Surges to 2009 High - 21st Mar 18
Stock Markets Are Flat-to-lower Before the FOMC - 21st Mar 18
Will Powell’s Actions Pop Stock Market Perfection - 21st Mar 18
Economic Moral Hazards of the International Criminal Court - and Philippines Withdrawal - 21st Mar 18
Larry Kudlow vs. Vladimir Putin on Gold - 21st Mar 18
Trump Builds Economy and War Machine - 21st Mar 18
This Stock Market "Illusion" Can Destroy Once-Vibrant Portfolios - 21st Mar 18
Gold Short-term Pull Back in Progress - 20th Mar 18
Stocks Appear to be Under Pressure - 20th Mar 18
Time To Eliminate Your Wall Street Tax? - 20th Mar 18
The Beast from the East Snow, UK Roads Driving Car Accidents - 20th Mar 18
Can Bitcoin Price Rally Continue After Paypal Fake FUD Attack? - 19th Mar 18
2018 Reversal Dates for Gold, Silver and Gold Stocks - 19th Mar 18
This Tech Breakthrough Could Save The Electric Car Market - 19th Mar 18
Stocks Set to Open Lower, Should You Buy? - 19th Mar 18
The Wealth Machine That Rising Interest Rates Create Conflict With The National Debt - 19th Mar 18
Affiliate Marketing Tips and Network Recommendations - 19th Mar 18
Do Stocks Bull Market Tops Need Breadth Divergences? - 19th Mar 18
Doritos Instant £500 Win! Why Super Market Shelves are Empty - 19th Mar 18
Bonds, Inflation & the Market Amigos - 19th Mar 18
US Housing Real Estate Market and Banking Pressures Are Building - 19th Mar 18
Stock Market Bulls Last Stand? - 18th Mar 18
Putin Flip-Flops Like A Drunken Whore On Bitcoin Cryptocurrency Legalization - 18th Mar 18
How to Legally Manipulate Interest Rates - 18th Mar 18
Return of Stock Market Volatility Amidst Political Chaos and Uncertain Economy - 18th Mar 18
Bitcoin Price Trend Forecast, Paypal FUD Fake Cryptocurrency Warning - 17th Mar 18
Strong Earnings Growth is Bullish for Stocks - 17th Mar 18
The War on the Post Office - 17th Mar 18
GDX Gold Mining Stocks Fundamentals - 16th Mar 18
Nationalism, Not the Russians, got Trump Elected - 16th Mar 18
Has Bitcoin Bought It? - 16th Mar 18
Crude Oil Price – Who Wants the Triangle? - 16th Mar 18
PayPal Cease Trading Crypto Currency Bitcoin Warning Email Sophisticated Fake Scam? - 16th Mar 18
EUR/USD – Something Old, Something New and… Something Blue - 16th Mar 18

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Urgent Stock Market Message

Will Sheffield Labour Lose MP Seats in BrExit Election 2017?

ElectionOracle / Sheffield Jun 02, 2017 - 04:51 AM GMT

By: Nadeem_Walayat


A perfect storm is about to hit the Labour party where even Labour MP's in the capital city of the Peoples Socialist Republic of South Yorkshire may not be immune to what is likely to transpire, a wipeout of the Labour party at the polls where the driving forces are BrExit, as Theresa May makes a convincing argument for requiring a large majority towards helping ensure the strongest possible hand during the BrExit negotiations without subversion from the Scottish Nationalists or Labour's borrow and spend agenda. After all Sheffield did vote for BrExit.

On top of Labour's poor national picture are the local issues of Labour city council incompetence and blind disregard for the repeated expressed wishes of the people of Sheffield to stop ordering Amey to take chainsaws to thousands of Sheffield's biggest and best Trees that has angered many tens of thousands of Sheffield residents with dozens of campaign groups having sprung up on the stumps of thousands of killed trees.

Watch the following two videos for a taste of Sheffield's Tree's issue's and the Labour city council and MP's blind disregard for what's best for Sheffield as they cosy up to Spanish Ferrovial family owned Amey to the tune of £2 billion pounds!

So all in all Labour faces a perfect storm both nationally and locally which means Labour could lose a Sheffield MP or two!

Ignoring YouGov that is gyrating all over the place as they attempt to corner the shock polls market. The Conservatives on average still lead Labour by a good 10-12%, against a 6% lead at the May 2015 election, which implies further seat losses on the Labours poor performance of May 2015.

The key dynamics at work will be the number of UKIP voters in each constituency most of whom are expected to vote for the Conservatives.

So will Sheffield Labour Lose any of their MP's at the June 8th election?

Sheffield Central

Labour Paul Blomfield 24308 55%
Green Party Jillian Creasy 6999 15.8%
Conservative Stephanie Roe 4917 11.1%
Liberal Democrat Joe Otten 4278 9.7%

The Conservative 10-12% poll lead is clearly nowhere near enough to unseat Paul Blomfield despite the best efforts of the Green Party. Nor are the Lib-Dems in any position to threaten Labour.

Sheffield Brightside & Hillsborough

Labour Gill Furniss 22663 56.6%
UKIP John Booker 8856 22.1%
Conservative Elise Dünweber 4407 11%
Liberal Democrat Jonathan Harston 1802 4.5%

Again Labours lead is far too large for any BrExit election upset in Sheffield Brightside. For instance even if all of the other parties combined would not be able to unseat Labour.

Sheffield Heeley

Labour Louise Haigh 20269 48.2%
UKIP Howard Denby 7315 17.4%
Conservative Stephen Castens 6792 16.2%
Liberal Democrat Simon Clement-Jones 4746 11.3%

Sheffield Heeley is another strong Labour seat. Where even if every UKIP voter this time voted for the Conservatives, they still would come nowhere near winning the seat.

Sheffield South East

Labour Clive Betts 21439 51.4%
UKIP Steven Winstone 9128 21.9%
Conservative Matt Sleat 7242 17.4%
Liberal Democrat Gail Smith 2226 5.3%

Sheffield South East is another rock solid Labour seat that would require a miracle for the Conservatives to win, one of every UKIP and Lib Dem voter.

So my conclusion is that it despite the people of Sheffield voting for BrExit, it looks like mission impossible for the Tories to unseat any of Sheffield's Labour MP's, despite city council incompetence by getting into bed with the Spanish Ferrovial family owned Amey for 25 years as they rip Sheffield bare of several more thousands of big trees as though Sheffield is being punished for voting for BrExit in June 2016.

So what about South Yorkshires lone Lib Dem, Nick Clegg in Sheffield Hallam?

Sheffield Hallam

Liberal Democrat Nick Clegg 22,215 40%
Labour Oliver Coppard 19,862 35.8%
Conservative Ian Walker 7,544 13.6%
UKIP Joe Jenkins 3,575 6.4%


Which I will cover in my next article in this BrExit election series.

Ensure you are subscribed to my always free newsletter for the next analysis in this series as I countdown to my UK general election 2017 final forecast conclusion and to our youtube channel for videos in this and the BrExit War series.

By Nadeem Walayat

Copyright © 2005-2017 (Market Oracle Ltd). All rights reserved.

Nadeem Walayat has over 25 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of five ebook's in the The Inflation Mega-Trend and Stocks Stealth Bull Market series that can be downloaded for Free.

Housing Markets Forecast 2014-2018The Stocks Stealth Bull Market 2013 and Beyond EbookThe Stocks Stealth Bull Market Update 2011 EbookThe Interest Rate Mega-Trend EbookThe Inflation Mega-trend Ebook

Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication that presents in-depth analysis from over 1000 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets, thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction.

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

Nadeem Walayat Archive

© 2005-2018 - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.

Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules