Best of the Week
Most Popular
1.US Paving the Way for Massive First Strike on North Korea Nuclear and Missile Infrastructure - Nadeem_Walayat
2.Trump Reset: US War With China, North Korea Nuclear Flashpoint - Video - Nadeem_Walayat
3.Silver Junior Mining Stocks 2017 Q2 Fundamentals - Zeal_LLC
4.Soaring Inflation Plunges UK Economy Into Stagflation, Triggers Government Pay Cap Panic! - Nadeem_Walayat
5.The Bitcoin Blueprint To Your Financial Freedom - Sean Keyes
6.North Korea 'Begging for War', 'Enough is Enough', is a US Nuclear Strike Imminent? - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Hits All-Time High and Smashes Through $5,000 As Gold Shows Continued Strength - Jeff_Berwick
8.2017 is NOT "Just Another Year" for the Stock Market: Here's Why - EWI
9.Gold : The Anatomy of the Bottoming Process - Rambus_Chartology
10.Bitcoin Falls 20% as Mobius and Chinese Regulators Warn - GoldCore
Last 7 days
4 Reasons Gold is Starting to Look Attractive as Cryptocurrencies Falter - 21st Sep 17
Should Liners Invest in Shipping Software Solutions and Benefits of Using Packaged Shipping Software - 21st Sep 17
The 5 Biggest Bubbles In Markets Today - 20th Sep 17
Infographic: The Everything Bubble Is Ready to Pop - 20th Sep 17
Americans Don’t Grasp The Magnitude Of The Looming Pension Tsunami That May Hit Us Within 10 Years - 20th Sep 17
Stock Market Waiting Game... - 20th Sep 17
Precious Metals Sector is on Major Buy Signal - 20th Sep 17
US Equities Destined For Negative Returns In The Next 7 Years - 3 Assets To Invest In Instead - 20th Sep 17
Looking For the Next Big Stock? Look at Design - 20th Sep 17
Self Employed? Understanding Business Insurance - 19th Sep 17
Stock Market Bubble Fortunes - 19th Sep 17
USD/CHF – Verification of Breakout or Further Declines? - 19th Sep 17
Blockchain Tech: Don't Say You Didn't Know - 19th Sep 17
The Fed’s 2% Inflation Target Is Pointless - 19th Sep 17
How To Resolve the Korean Conundrum  - 19th Sep 17
A World Doomed to a Never Ending War - 19th Sep 17
What is Backtesting? And Why You Need Backtesting System? - 19th Sep 17
These Two Articles Debunk The Biggest Financial Nonsense I See In The Media - 18th Sep 17
Bitcoin Price Crash 40% In 3 Days Underlining Gold’s Safe Haven Credentials - 18th Sep 17
The Sum of Risks – Global, Strategic, Political, and Financial - 18th Sep 17
The Netflix Of Canada’s Cannabis Boom - 18th Sep 17
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: Either You Learn From The Events Of The Past Week, Or You Are Hopeless - 18th Sep 17
SPX 2500 … At Last! - 18th Sep 17
Inflation Lies, Lies and OMG More Lies - 18th Sep 17
How to Choose right Forex Trader? - 18th Sep 17
Who Has Shaped the World the Most? The Dozen Greatest Achievers - 17th Sep 17
Riding the ‘Slide’: Is This What the Next Stocks Bear Market Looks Like? - 17th Sep 17
Gold Up, Markets Fatigued As War Talk Boils Over - 17th Sep 17
Predicting the Future of the U.S. and the World - 16th Sep 17
Deceit in the Financial Food Chain - 16th Sep 17
Gold GLD ETF Investment Resuming - 16th Sep 17
Extreme Weather & Energy Markets: What's Next? - Video - 15th Sep 17
Trump’s Path to IP Wars - 15th Sep 17
GBP USD Approaches Fibonacci Target - 15th Sep 17
Higher US Interest Rates May Force Higher Inflation Rates - 15th Sep 17
Stock Market Investors: Taking the Road "Less Traveled" Has Its Perks - 15th Sep 17
The 3 Best P2P Lending Platforms For Investors In 2017—Detailed Analysis - 15th Sep 17
The US Debt Bubble Will Soon Warrant Serious Measures - 15th Sep 17
Why it is Often Difficult to Sell a House Fast - 15th Sep 17
S&P 500 At New Record High, Will It Break Above 2,500? - 14th Sep 17
Capital Market Trends - 14th Sep 17
Mike Maloney: The Top 10 Reasons I Own Gold and Silver - 14th Sep 17
The Only Real Europe is Greece - 14th Sep 17
7 Security Tips for Online Traders - 14th Sep 17

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

5 Markets Ready to Move Before Year-End. Eexpert Analysis and New Trading Opportunities

Get Ready for an Historic Upside Gold and Silver Run

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017 Aug 07, 2017 - 08:36 AM GMT

By: David_Morgan

Commodities

The Bigger the Base, the Greater the Upside Case. This saying among technical analysts/chartists helps define where we are today in the precious metals – and where we’ll soon be headed.

It means that when prices “base” in a relatively narrow sideways range for an extended period, they will at some point break out. Before the action gets underway, bears and bulls alike will get “sandpapered” as they take positions, trying to guess whether or not the price is getting ready to decline further or move upward into a new bull phase.


If you consider that time spent in sideways consolidation represents a build-up in stored energy, then a valid upside breakout will be propelled by a lot of buying fuel as old shorts who bet on lower prices offset their losing positions and new longs jump in to get onboard the change in trend.

Chart by Gary Savage, Editor, Smart Money Tracker.

This frustrating sideways movement is not taking place in a vacuum.

Bankster manipulation, algo-trading, “fat finger” futures markets’ whip-saw behavior, and price chasing in both directions becomes a regular feature of the trading landscape. A long time goes by with neither side having enough trading power to break out of congestion.

This takes place concomitant with the central banks’ war on cash, currency and trade manipulation, and geo-political brushfires stacking up around the globe. Ongoing strife in Syria, possible war with North Korea and flash points in the South China sea may be classed as severe “low-probability events, but as Jim Rickards says, when taken in total, it becomes highly probable that at least one of them will ignite a crisis, possibility starting a chain-reaction with the others.

At some point prices jump the rails, catching most by surprise. By the time the picture clears and Mr. Market decides to provide us with some answers, it’s usually too late to climb aboard.

$1300 Gold’s “red line in the sand”
Courtesy Nick Laird

Given the powerful seven-month rally during the first half of 2016 notwithstanding (followed by a more than 50% give-back over the past year), a lot of gold and silver bugs can be forgiven for coming to believe that they will never see a meaningful, sustained resumption of the exciting days of 2005-6, 2009-11 and early 2016.
The feeling of being either “worn out or scared out” – as David Morgan likes to characterize the patience-testing during an extended cyclical bear market wave – has caused more than a few people to sell back their insurance and investment positions in the metals. I believe this is a decision that – sooner rather than later – they will come to seriously regret.

Make no mistake. The government is not here to help you.

Steward Dougherty, in the essay, Currecide: The Globalists’ Planned Annihilation of Your Savings and Freedom states:

Its (gold) going ballistic, is probably better set-up right now than at any other time in history, for a large number of reasons… I continue to think that cash elimination is the biggest story out there. It is a fraud of epic proportions, and its implications are dark and deeply disturbing… Sometimes, you have to say something five times before people say, “Wow. This is important. I better do something about it.” If people decide to “do something about it,” they are going to find that their options are limited. Gold being one of the few of them.

Gold demand would go nuts if only the people could finally understand why they need to buy it right now… I think the dam of realization is coming very close to breaking, and that there could be an outright flood of new, popular awareness and action (my underline).

A Greek financial golden age? Looking at the pathetic financial state of Greece today, it’s hard to imagine that there was ever a time when financial acumen was a trait of which they could be proud. Does the following sound even remotely like what we’ve got going on now – just about anywhere around the globe?

When the Athenian treasury was audited in 440 B.C., it showed a surplus of over 9700 talents – a common unit of measurement for gold and silver during those times. Using current precious metals’ values, aligned with the 14:1 silver/gold ratio favored by the ancient Greeks, those 9700 talents would be the equivalent today of around $700 million!

Says Simon Black, writing in Sovereign Man, “At the time, Athens boasted a population of around 43,000 citizens and 28,500 foreign residents… so on a ‘per capita’ basis, the ancient Athenian surplus amounted to just under $10,000 per person in today’s money. If you compare this figure to our modern world, it’s pretty extraordinary.”

Of the 5 classifications of estimated metals’ holdings for a given project or property tallied for a formal NI-43 101 Report, the most reliable are found in the “Reserve” category, the subsets of which are “Proven” and “Probable”. Everything else being equal, these two listings show what management believes – backed by a variety of exploration methods – have the highest probability of being economically feasible.

Source: SNL Metals & Mining U.S. Global Investors IAMGOLD

Discoveries, reserves, and grades (grams/tonne) are in steady decline.

For well over a decade, the grade (grams/tonne) of gold produced has been steadily declining. Since 2013 listed reserves, as well as absolute production itself looks to have peaked. And now it’s taking years longer just to bring a new discovery into operation. Toss increasing demand into the mix, and the math points in only one direction – higher prices.

It’s not easy to buy metals when they’re trading sideways to down.

It’s taken a lot longer for us to reach “the promised land” of sustainably higher gold and silver prices than most anticipated. Yes, the herd is throwing money at the DOW and the S&P, assuming they will grow indefinitely to the sky. Yes, with all these things considered, it’s difficult to start or continue accumulating precious metals. And the charts have only recently begun to suggest a change. But…

When things look this way and you feel like going with the herd and maybe stepping in what it leaves behind, recall once again Rick Rule’s famous (and profitable) investment cautionary, “You can either be a contrarian… or road kill.” Could his “investing rule” make your decision to “keep on stackin'” a bit easier?

Warren Buffet has without a doubt, been one of the preeminent investors of the modern era. As you read the following quote, replace the term “stocks” with “precious metals.”

“To refer to a personal taste of mine, I’m going to buy hamburgers the rest of my life. When hamburgers go down in price, we sing the ‘Hallelujah Chorus’ in the Buffett household. When hamburgers go up in price, we weep. For most people, it’s the same with everything in life they will be buying – except buying stocks. When stocks go down and you can get more for your money, people don’t like them anymore.” – Fortune Magazine: “The Wit and Wisdom of Warren Buffett.”

The clock is ticking. The ducks are lining up. Are you paying attention? Do you have a plan? Are you working your plan…?

by David Smith

David Morgan

Mr. Morgan has followed the silver market for more than thirty years. He wrote the book, Get the Skinny on Silver Investing. Much of his Web site, Silver-Investor.com, is devoted to education about the precious metals, it is both a free site and does have a members only section. To receive full access to The Morgan Report click the hyperlink.

Disclaimer: The opinions expressed above are not intended to be taken as investment advice. It is to be taken as opinion only and I encourage you to complete your own due diligence when making an investment decision.

David Morgan Archive

© 2005-2017 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

Catching a Falling Financial Knife