Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Climate Change Mass Extinction - Birds, Bees and Bugs: Going Going Gone - Richard_Mills
2.A Purrrfect Gold Price Setup! - Peter_Degraaf
3.Who Finances America's Borrowing? Recession Indicator for Independent Thinkers Part 2 - F_F_Wiley
4.America’s One-sided Domestic Financial War - Raymond_Matison
5.Gold Price Summer Doldrums - Zeal_LLC
6.Two Key Events Will Unleash Gold - Jim_Willie_CB
7.Billionaire Schools Teacher in NAFTA Trade Talks - Richard_Mills
8.Get Out Of Crypto Cannabis Bubble Before It Pops and Move Into Bargain Basement Miners - Jeb_Handwerger
9.Stock Market Could Pullback for 1-2 weeks, But Medium Term Bullish - Troy_Bombardia
10.G7 Chaos, Central Banks and US Fed Will Drive Stock Prices This Week - Chris_Vermeulen
Last 7 days
Financial Markets Analysis and Trend Forecasts 2018 - A Message from Nadeem Walayat - 21st Jun 18
SPX Bouncing Above Support - 21st Jun 18
Things You Need To Know If You Want To Invest In Bitcoin Now - 21st Jun 18
The NASDAQ’s Outperformance vs. the Dow is Very Bullish - 21st Jun 18
Warning All Investors: Global Stock Market Are Shifting Away From US Price Correlation - 20th Jun 18
Gold GLD ETF Update… Breakdown ? - 20th Jun 18
Short-term Turnaround in Bitcoin Might Not Be What You Think - 19th Jun 18
Stock Market’s Short Term Downside Will be Limited - 19th Jun 18
Natural Gas Setup for 32% Move in UGAZ Fund - 19th Jun 18
Magnus Collective To Empower Automation And Artificial Intelligence - 19th Jun 18
Trump A Bull in a China Shop - 19th Jun 18
Minor Car Accident! What Happens After You Report Your Accident to Your Insurer - 19th Jun 18
US Majors Flush Out A Major Pivot Low and What’s Next - 18th Jun 18
Cocoa Commodities Trading Analysis - 18th Jun 18
Stock Market Consolidating in an Uptrend - 18th Jun 18
Russell Has Gone Up 7 Weeks in a Row. EXTREMELY Bullish for Stocks - 18th Jun 18
What Happens Next to Stocks when Tech Massively Outperforms Utilities and Consumer Staples - 18th Jun 18
The Trillion Dollar Market You’ve Never Heard Of - 18th Jun 18
The Corruption of Capitalism - 17th Jun 18
North Korea, Trade Wars, Precious Metals and Bitcoin - 17th Jun 18
Climate Change and Fish Stocks – Burning Oxygen! - 17th Jun 18
A $1,180 Ticket to NEW Trading Opportunities, FREE! - 16th Jun 18
Gold Bullish on Fed Interest Rate Hike - 16th Jun 18
Respite for Bitcoin Traders Might Be Deceptive - 16th Jun 18
The Euro Crashed Yesterday. Bearish for Euro and Bullish for USD - 15th Jun 18
Inflation Trade, in Progress Since Gold Kicked it Off - 15th Jun 18
Can Saudi Arabia Prevent The Next Oil Shock? - 15th Jun 18
The Biggest Online Gambling Companies - 15th Jun 18
Powell's Excess Reserve Change and Gold - 15th Jun 18
Is This a Big Sign of a Big Stock Market Turn? - 15th Jun 18
Will Italy Sink the EU and Boost Gold? - 15th Jun 18
Bumper Crash! Land Rover Discovery Sport vs Audi - 15th Jun 18
Stock Market Topping Pattern or Just Pause Before Going Higher? - 14th Jun 18
Is the ECB Ending QE a Good Thing? Markets Think So - 14th Jun 18
Yield Curve Continues to Flatten. A Bullish Sign for the Stock Market - 14th Jun 18
How Online Gambling has Impacted the Economy - 14th Jun 18
Crude Oil Price Targeting $58 ppb Before Finding Support - 14th Jun 18
Stock Market Near Another Top? - 14th Jun 18
Thorpe Park REAL Walking Dead Living Nightmare Zombie Car Park Ride Experience! - 14th Jun 18

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

5 "Tells" that the Stock Markets Are About to Reverse

Black Friday Bitcoin Crypto Crash! Are All Cryptocurrencies Going To Zero?

Currencies / BlockChain Dec 23, 2017 - 03:42 PM GMT

By: Jeff_Berwick

Currencies

Peter Schill and the Health Ranger are finally right. They were right all along.

The cryptocurrencies have all crashed and are headed towards zero.

It was only a few days ago I commented that almost every cryptocurrency was in the green. Today was the exact opposite.


Cryptocurrencies hit an all-time high of $652 billion just a day ago and on Friday they hit a low of $423 billion for a one day loss of 35%.

They have since recovered to $540 million.

Bitcoin hit an all-time high just above $20,000 on December 17th and recorded a low at Coinmarketcap.com on Friday of $11,833 and is currently just above $14,000.

That means bitcoin has slumped 40% since its high to the low and is currently 30% off its all-time high. Overall, bitcoin has fallen further than the rest of the sector quite dramatically in the last few days.

But, wait, are Peter Schill and the Vitamin guy right? We are only down in the neighborhood of 30-40%.

Bitcoin has actually fallen 30% five times this year already. So, on average, this happens every two months. And, during previous drops it was followed by an increase of 76%, 237%, 183%, 165% and 152% before it dropped again.

And here are past major drops going all the way back to 2010:

So, is this latest drop all that extreme? Or unexpected?

In fact, it wasn’t unexpected at all, by us here at TDV.

TDV’s Senior Analyst, Ed Bugos, put out an alert to subscribers (subscribe HERE) on Thursday warning of a pullback being imminent, saying, “We could easily see prices fall back to $13,500. The primary bull market trend is intact above $12,700, which is the last highest low.”

Less than 24 hours later and bitcoin hit Ed’s target low almost exactly. And, as you know, I have been suggesting taking profits on bitcoin and the cryptos since bitcoin soared over $15,000. And Ed reiterated that in his alert yesterday, saying, “we still highly recommend rebalancing your portfolio and reducing your crypto exposure a little."

So, we will see how this most recent pullback plays out. In this interview I did today with Rogue Money I discuss where things could be headed.

For now, this looks like a completely ordinary pullback after a massive run higher. And, a healthy and needed pullback at that.

Perhaps bitcoin and the cryptos are giving everyone an early 30% off Christmas present. If this was Black Friday and it was 30% off DVD players at Walmart, millions of American sheeple would climb over each other to get it. But, when cryptos are 30% off? For some reason, people have the opposite reaction to retail goods and they are too scared to buy.

For all those who had been waiting for the dip to buy... this is the dip.

And, on December 24th at 12pm Eastern time I’ll be revealing my next cryptocurrency pick to TDV Premium subscribers (you can subscribe or upgrade from Basic HERE).

It has fallen about 30% along with all the other cryptos in the last few days… so, if that doesn’t change by Sunday you may get it at a bargain.

For now, HODL on, everyone.

Anarcho-Capitalist.  Libertarian.  Freedom fighter against mankind’s two biggest enemies, the State and the Central Banks.  Jeff Berwick is the founder of The Dollar Vigilante, CEO of TDV Media & Services and host of the popular video podcast, Anarchast.  Jeff is a prominent speaker at many of the world’s freedom, investment and gold conferences as well as regularly in the media.

© 2017 Copyright Jeff Berwick - All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

Jeff Berwick Archive

© 2005-2018 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Comments

HarrisD
25 Dec 17, 17:49
Minor Bitcoin Pull-Back On Way To The TOP

Dear Jeff,

Excellent article, you have really captured the seductive nature of exponential bubbles. What would be a catastrophic drop for any other asset is just a regular pull-back for a technical bubble, as the price drives its way to the top. Despite the pull-back last week I expect the price to continue on higher to even more insane levels before the bubble top is recorded and the bubble really does burst.

I'm looking at a Bitcoin top price of between 21,500 and 22,650 in coming weeks. There is a top signal forming around the end of January (not yet fully formed, but its close) and that suggests a top in Bitcoin forming sometime between the end of January and the end of April.

I'm looking at a particular pattern that is predictive, that is to say it's different from other technical analysis that tells you what has happened in the past, instead my approach predicts what is going to happen over coming weeks and months. It's a combination of quantitative analysis and predictive analytics with some pattern recognition thrown in for good measure.

Once the bubble bursts we are looking at a huge drop in price that will burn most investors. Previously my model was predicting a drop of 70% to 80%, but I'm revising that a little more today to be a 75% to 90% drop from top to bottom. The lucky ones who get out at the top will walk away with a fortune, however, the rest will walk away nursing their wounds (and counting their huge losses) and thinking to themselves how could they have been seduced so easily to throw so much cash away. Think Tulips! Think dot com bubble! Old or new there are countless examples in history where the same manic investing happens. Those who don't study history are doomed to repeat it.

Cheers,

David


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules