Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Next Financial Crisis Is Already Here! John Lewis 99% Profits CRASH - Retail Sector Collapse - Nadeem_Walayat
2.Why Is Apple Giving This Tiny Stock A $900 Million Opportunity? - James Burgess
3.Gold Price Trend Analysis - - Nadeem_Walayatt
4.The Beginning of the End of the Dollar - Richard_Mills
5.Stock Market Trend Forecast Update - - Nadeem_Walayat
6.Hindenburg Omen & Consumer Confidence: More Signs of Stock Market Trouble in 2019 - Troy_Bombardia
7.Precious Metals Sector: It’s 2013 All Over Again - P_Radomski_CFA
8.Central Banks Have Gone Rogue, Putting Us All at Risk - Ellen_Brown
9.Gold Stocks Forced Capitulation - Zeal_LLC
10.The Post Bubble Market Contraction Thesis Receives Validation - Plunger
Last 7 days
Stock Market is Making a Sharp Rally After a Sharp Drop. What’s Next? - 18th Oct 18
Global Warming (Assuming You Believe In It) Does Not Affect Gold - 18th Oct 18
Best Waterproof Compact Camera Olympus Tough TG-5 Review - Unboxing - 18th Oct 18
Silver's Time Is Coming - 17th Oct 18
Stock Market Volatility Breeds Contempt - 17th Oct 18
Gold 7-Year Bear Market Phase Is Over - 17th Oct 18
Gold - A Golden Escape - 17th Oct 18
Tec Stocks Sector Set For A Rebound? - 16th Oct 18
Real Estate Transactions are Becoming Seamless with Blockchain-Powered Data Sets - 16th Oct 18
Important Elements of a Viral Landing Page - 16th Oct 18
Stephen Leeb Predicts 3-Digit Silver and 5 Digit Gold?! - 16th Oct 18
BREXIT, Italy’s Deficit, The EU Summit And Fomcs Minutes In Focus - 16th Oct 18
Is this the Start of a Bear Market for Stocks? - 16th Oct 18
Chinese Economic Prospects Amid US Trade Wars - 16th Oct 18
2019’s Hottest Commodity Is About To Explode - 15th Oct 18
Keep A Proper Perspective About Stock Market Recent Move - 15th Oct 18
Is the Stocks Bull Dead? - 15th Oct 18
Stock Market Bottoms are a Process - 15th Oct 18
Fed is Doing More Than Just Raising Rates - 14th Oct 18
Stock Markets Last Cheap Sector - Gold - 14th Oct 18
Next Points for Crude Oil Bears - 13th Oct 18
Stock Market Crash: Time to Buy Stocks? - 12th Oct 18
Sheffield Best Secondary School Clusters for 2018-19 Place Applications - 12th Oct 18
Trump’s Tariffs Echo US Trade Policy That Led to the Great Depression - 12th Oct 18
US Dollar Engulfing Bearish Pattern Warns Of Dollar Weakness - 12th Oct 18
Stock Market Storm Crash, Dow Plunges to Trend Forecast! - 12th Oct 18

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Trading Any Market

Here Come Bigger Paychecks!

Politics / Government Spending Feb 03, 2018 - 11:02 PM GMT

By: Rodney_Johnson

Politics So far in 2018, New England froze over and the government shut down. And it’s only January!

But just like with Christmas, there are some things that never happen fast enough. One of them is any change that gives workers bigger paychecks. With February just around the corner, that change is coming fast!

The IRS has published the new withholding tables reflecting the recent tax reform. By the pay period ending February 15, employers should have built these rules into their payroll calculations.


The end result will be more money in almost every pocket. (There are some high-earners who will feel a pinch.)

There’s reason to believe the lower tax rates will stick around longer than the law allows, and unfortunately, they probably won’t create the economic growth that the president and Congress want.

Tax reform was mostly about cutting corporate taxes, along with mild tax relief for individuals. Without significantly raising taxes elsewhere, the overall effect was to increase the budget deficit by $1.5 trillion over the next 10 years.

But Congress cannot increase the deficit without 60 votes. This tax reform passed, ironically enough, through budget reconciliation, which only requires a simple majority of 50. Because of this procedural dance, the tax reform act had to add back in tax revenue by the end of the 10-year window.

By making personal taxes move higher seven to 10 years from now, the impact of the legislation will be revenue neutral at the end of 10 years. That’s why individual taxes that fall today are set to rise in the future.

While this is the law of the land, I don’t think many politicians will object to maintaining lower taxes on individuals down the road, at least not on the bottom 80% of earners. To do otherwise would be political suicide, and most of the elected class are more concerned with re-election than anything else.

Then there’s this… Even with more jingle in their pockets, I don’t think consumers will rush out to spend those extra nickels.

We still have the same financial issues we had at the end of last year, and a few extra bucks won’t make them go away.

The largest group of Baby Boomers turn 57 this year, which means they’re more than halfway through their empty-nester years. By all measures, they are woefully unprepared for retirement.

Per the 2016 Federal Reserve Survey of Consumer Finances, Americans 55 to 64 years old had about $59,000 in financial assets. This is the median, so half the group had less, and half had more. This doesn’t include retirement accounts, but the news isn’t much better on that front.

From the same report, only 60% of the same age cohort actually had a retirement account, and the median value was a mere $120,000.

Looking at the typical empty-nester with a retirement account and a few bucks in the bank, that person has a whopping $180,000 to use in retirement, plus whatever modest amount they receive from Social Security.

Those numbers aren’t exactly comforting.

That’s why I think the Boomers, along with most people older than 30, will probably save more of their newfound wealth than spend it. Restaurants might get a boost, and perhaps Starbucks will sell a few more lattes, but modest spending growth in a few areas won’t be enough to boost GDP. For that, we need a major economic change, which won’t happen until the Millennials get fully onboard with forming households and having children. When that trend takes hold in the 2020s, then we’ll be back in growth mode.

Rodney

Follow me on Twitter ;@RJHSDent

By Rodney Johnson, Senior Editor of Economy & Markets

http://economyandmarkets.com

Copyright © 2018 Rodney Johnson - All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

Rodney Johnson Archive

© 2005-2018 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules