Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Crude Oil Price Trend Forecast - Saudi's Want $100 for ARAMCO Stock IPO - Nadeem_Walayat
2.Gold Price Focusing on May Cycle Bottom - Jim_Curry
3.Silver, silver, and silver! There’s More Than Silver, People! - P_Radomski_CFA
4.Is the Malaysian Economy a Potemkin Village - Sam_Chee_Kong
5.Stock Market Study Shows Why You Shouldn’t “Sell in May and Go Away” - Troy_Bombardia
6.A Big Stock Market Shock is About to Start - Martin C
7.A Long Term Gold Very Unpopular View - Rambus_Chartology
8.Stock Market “Sell in May and go away” Study When Stocks Are Down YTD - Troy_Bombardia
9.Global Currency RESET Challenge: Ultimate Twist - Jim_Willie_CB
10.The Coming Silver Supply Crunch Is Worse Than You Know - Jeff Clark
Last 7 days
What Happens Next to Stocks when Tech Massively Outperforms Utilities and Consumer Staples - 18th Jun 18
The Trillion Dollar Market You’ve Never Heard Of - 18th Jun 18
The Corruption of Capitalism - 17th Jun 18
North Korea, Trade Wars, Precious Metals and Bitcoin - 17th Jun 18
Climate Change and Fish Stocks – Burning Oxygen! - 17th Jun 18
A $1,180 Ticket to NEW Trading Opportunities, FREE! - 16th Jun 18
Gold Bullish on Fed Interest Rate Hike - 16th Jun 18
Respite for Bitcoin Traders Might Be Deceptive - 16th Jun 18
The Euro Crashed Yesterday. Bearish for Euro and Bullish for USD - 15th Jun 18
Inflation Trade, in Progress Since Gold Kicked it Off - 15th Jun 18
Can Saudi Arabia Prevent The Next Oil Shock? - 15th Jun 18
The Biggest Online Gambling Companies - 15th Jun 18
Powell's Excess Reserve Change and Gold - 15th Jun 18
Is This a Big Sign of a Big Stock Market Turn? - 15th Jun 18
Will Italy Sink the EU and Boost Gold? - 15th Jun 18
Bumper Crash! Land Rover Discovery Sport vs Audi - 15th Jun 18
Stock Market Topping Pattern or Just Pause Before Going Higher? - 14th Jun 18
Is the ECB Ending QE a Good Thing? Markets Think So - 14th Jun 18
Yield Curve Continues to Flatten. A Bullish Sign for the Stock Market - 14th Jun 18
How Online Gambling has Impacted the Economy - 14th Jun 18
Crude Oil Price Targeting $58 ppb Before Finding Support - 14th Jun 18
Stock Market Near Another Top? - 14th Jun 18
Thorpe Park REAL Walking Dead Living Nightmare Zombie Car Park Ride Experience! - 14th Jun 18
More on that Gold and Silver Ratio 'Deviant Conundrum' - 13th Jun 18
Silver Shares? Nobody Cares - 13th Jun 18
What Happens to Stocks, Forex, Commodities, and Bonds When the Fed Hikes Rates - 13th Jun 18
Gold and Silver Price Setting Up for A Sleeper Breakout - 13th Jun 18
Tesla Stock Analysis - 12th Jun 18
What Happens Next to Stocks when Russell Goes up 6 Weeks in a Row - 12th Jun 18
Gold vs. Stocks: Ratios Do Not Imply Correlation - 12th Jun 18
Silver’s Not-so-subtle Outperformance - 12th Jun 18
Why You Should Brace Yourself for Big Financial Changes - 11th Jun 18
Inflation to Skyrocket When Fed Reverts to New QE & Interest Rate Cuts - 11th Jun 18
Stock Market Topping Pattern or Just Consolidation? - 11th Jun 18
Study: What Happens Next to Stocks When the Put/Call Ratio is Very Low - 11th Jun 18
G7 Chaos, Central Banks and US Fed Will Drive Stock Prices This Week - 11th Jun 18
SPX Unshackled - 11th Jun 18
When Trump Met Fibonacci And Won - 11th Jun 18
FREE Theme Park Entry with Cadbury's Choc's! Legoland, Alton Towers, Chessington.... - 11th Jun 18
Stock Market Could Pullback for 1-2 weeks, But Medium Term Bullish - 10th Jun 18
End of the World Stock Market Chart! - 10th Jun 18
All US Homes Are Overvalued - 10th Jun 18
Thorpe Theme Park London Car Park Exit Nightmare - Drivers Beware! - 10th Jun 18
Gold Price Summer Doldrums - 9th Jun 18
How to Prepare for Economic Uncertainty with Gold and Silver - 9th Jun 18
5 "Tells" that the Stock Markets Are About to Reverse - 9th Jun 18
Billionaire Schools Teacher in NAFTA Trade Talks - 9th Jun 18
Land Rover Discovery Sport ECO Mode Real World Driving MPG Fuel Economy - 9th Jun 18
Crude Oil Bullish Weekly Reversal vs. Bearish Monthly Reversal - 8th Jun 18
Fed’s Interest Rate Hike is Short term Bearish for Stocks - 8th Jun 18
The Deviant Conundrum Called Silver - 8th Jun 18
Pleasure Island Theme Park Cleethorpes, Last Day Trip Before it Closed Down - 8th Jun 18
America’s One-sided Domestic Financial War - 8th Jun 18
Debt Consolidation Advice: When and Why to Consolidate - 8th Jun 18
Get Out Of Crypto Cannabis Bubble Before It Pops and Move Into Bargain Basement Miners - 8th Jun 18

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

5 "Tells" that the Stock Markets Are About to Reverse

Will We See A Cryptocurrency Wipeout This 2018?

Currencies / Bitcoin Feb 25, 2018 - 07:18 AM GMT

By: Science_Investing

Currencies

Summary
Every cryptocurrency investor and trader must carefully consider the underlying facts to their investment. There are major red flags from a fundamental and technical point of view. Therefore crypto traders and investors should invest only as much as they are ready to loose in case of a total wipeout. Moreover, everyone should critically question expert opinions suggesting to buy cryptocurrencies.

Right now we see a great opportunity to divest at attractive levels. It is highly likely that the situation will change. A total wipeout is not unlikely in the near future.


Fundamentals

Cryptocurrencies are in a classic bubble with all ingredients it takes right now. There is almost no fundamental value in cryptocurrencies. There are no dividends, interest, or anything similar benefits for bitcoin holders. The only fundamental benefit is to simplify payment processes for illegal activities.

Cryptocurrencies have an excessively unstable value. They are not suited at all as a mean of payment. Currency is an awfully displaced name for these instruments. We are dealing here with the purest form of speculation that the broad public encounters most likely just once in their lifetime.

Wikipedia has counted something around 1,400 altcoins around year end 2017. The mechanics of many of these instruments are exactly the same that are found in already well-known penny stock scams: The issuer is the only person long (he/she can sell) the instrument and satisfies demand from buyers. It is quite obvious that a short squeeze must occur. The bucket will be pulled further and further away from the buyer resulting in price gains. Moreover, prominent supporters are hired to „consult“ these ICO’s in return for coins. These alleged experts use their public standing to animate the broad public to invest in their supported projects. They provide short stories on how great their promoted product is. There are extraordinary similarities to a Ponzi system. It breaks down quickly as confidence erodes.

It is therefore crucial to question the statements of these experts: Why is the ICO great? What’s its use in the next two years? Is it going to create positive changes for enough people in society? What are the underlying facts to the claims?

Technicals

The short term Bitcoin Elliott wave structure counts best as a 3-wave correction. It roots at the Dec. 17th high and corrects to the downside. This pattern here implies on a standalone basis a high odds case for followthrough to the upside to another all-time high.

However, a bird’s eye view over the entire crypto-space tells a very different story. Further upside seems for most of the major altcoins unlikely. The technical picture given on our website on our January 2018 update is on the way of getting confirmation.

Moreover, the Bitcoin’s rebound off the February 2018 low counts as a 3-wave move to the upside as we publish this. We therefore assign the highest odds to a leading diagonal pattern for the Bitcoin. The target is below $4,000 for this structure.



Our case here is severely weakened if 11,750 gets crossed to the upside. This price action makes a new higher high most likely.

The Bitcoin’s long term Elliott wave count shows a terminal A-B-C structure into December 2017. Historically the bursting of a bubbles occurred swiftly. There is no clear evidence why this should be different for the Bitcoin. Technically, the initial leg down seems to develop as an expanding leading diagonal. The pattern will be most likely complete in about three months time. A subsequent correction should lift price levels probably into April/May 2018. We expect a third wave to start around late spring or early summer. It will most likely erase the vast majority of price gains, which accrued during the past years.

About The Author

Our background lies in economics and trading. We have been trained at reputable universities and worked as proprietary traders as well as portfolio managers throughout the past couple of decades. We started exploring the field of behavioral economics due to self-interest in the late 90’s.

Our goal is to contribute outstanding technical analysis and forecasting. We focus on the most liquid assets that are subject to worldwide public attention.

Please visit us for more information:
www.scienceinvesting.com

© 2018 Science Investing - All Rights Reserved
Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.


© 2005-2018 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules