Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. US Housing Market Real Estate Crash The Next Shoe To Drop – Part II - Chris_Vermeulen
2.The Coronavirus Greatest Economic Depression in History? - Nadeem_Walayat
3.US Real Estate Housing Market Crash Is The Next Shoe To Drop - Chris_Vermeulen
4.Coronavirus Stock Market Trend Implications and AI Mega-trend Stocks Buying Levels - Nadeem_Walayat
5. Are Coronavirus Death Statistics Exaggerated? Worse than Seasonal Flu or Not?- Nadeem_Walayat
6.Coronavirus Stock Market Trend Implications, Global Recession and AI Stocks Buying Levels - Nadeem_Walayat
7.US Fourth Turning Accelerating Towards Debt Climax - James_Quinn
8.Dow Stock Market Trend Analysis and Forecast - Nadeem_Walayat
9.Britain's FAKE Coronavirus Death Statistics Exposed - Nadeem_Walayat
10.Commodity Markets Crash Catastrophe Charts - Rambus_Chartology
Last 7 days
Fasten Your Seatbelts Stock Market Make Or Break – Big Trends Ahead - 17th Sep 20
Peak Financialism And Post-Capitalist Economics - 17th Sep 20
Challenges of Working from Home - 17th Sep 20
Sheffield Heading for Coronavirus Lockdown as Covid Deaths Pass 432 - 17th Sep 20
What Does this Valuable Gold Miners Indicator Say Now? - 16th Sep 20
President Trump and Crimes Against Humanity - 16th Sep 20
Slow Economic Recovery from CoronaVirus Unlikely to Impede Strong Demand for Metals - 16th Sep 20
Why the Knives Are Out for Trump’s Fed Critic Judy Shelton - 16th Sep 20
Operation Moonshot: Get Ready for Millions of New COVAIDS Positives in the UK! - 16th Sep 20
Stock Market Approaching Correction Objective - 15th Sep 20
Look at This Big Reminder of Dot.com Stock Market Mania - 15th Sep 20
Three Key Principles for Successful Disruption Investors - 15th Sep 20
Billionaire Hedge Fund Manager Warns of 10% Inflation - 15th Sep 20
Gold Price Reaches $2,000 Amid Dollar Depreciation - 15th Sep 20
GLD, IAU Big Gold ETF Buying MIA - 14th Sep 20
Why Bill Gates Is Betting Millions on Synthetic Biology - 14th Sep 20
Stock Market SPY Expectations For The Rest Of September - 14th Sep 20
Gold Price Gann Angle Update - 14th Sep 20
Stock Market Recovery from the Sharp Correction Goes On - 14th Sep 20
Is this the End of Capitalism? - 13th Sep 20
The Silver Big Prize - 13th Sep 20
U.S. Shares Plunged. Is Gold Next? - 13th Sep 20
Why Are 7,500 Oil Barrels Floating on this London Lake? - 13th Sep 20
Sheffield 432 Covid-19 Deaths, Last City Centre Shop Before Next Lockdown - 13th Sep 20
Biden or Trump Will Keep The Money Spigots Open - 13th Sep 20
Gold And Silver Up, Down, Sideways, Up - 13th Sep 20
Does the Stock Market Really "See" the Future? - 12th Sept 20
Basel III and Gold, Silver and Platinum - 12th Sept 20
Tech Stocks FANG Index Nearing Critical Support – Could Breakout At Any Moment - 12th Sept 20
The Tech Stocks Quantum AI EXPLOSION is Coming! - 12th Sept 20
AMD Zen 3 Ryzen 4000 Questions Answered on Cores, Prices, Benchmarks and Threadripper Launch - 12th Sept 20
The Inflation Mega-trend is Going Hyper! - 11th Sep 20
Gold / Silver Ratio: Slowly I Toined… - 11th Sep 20
Stock Market Correction or Reversal? The Jury Isn't Out! - 11th Sep 20
Crude Oil – The Bearish Outlook Remains - 11th Sep 20
Crude Oil Breaks Lower – Sparking Fears Of Another Sub $30 Price Collapse - 11th Sep 20
Inflation by Fiat - 10th Sep 20
Unemployment Rate Drops. Will It Drag Gold Down? - 10th Sep 20
How Does The Global Economy Recover After This Global Pandemic? - 10th Sep 20
The Best Mobile Casino - 10th Sep 20
QE4EVER! - 9th Sep 20
AMD Ryzen Zen 3 4800x 10 Core 5ghz CPU, Cinebench Benchmark Scores (Est.) - 9th Sep 20
Stock Traders’ Dreams Come True – Big Technical Price Swings Pending on SP500 - 9th Sep 20
Should You Be Concerned About The Stock Market Big Downside Rotation? - 9th Sep 20
Options Traders Keep "Opting" for Even Higher Stock Market Prices - 8th Sep 20
Gold Stocks in Correction Mode - 8th Sep 20
The law of long-term time preference and Gold ownership - 8th Sep 20
Gold Bull Markets: History and Prospects Ahead - 8th Sep 20
Sheffield City Centre Coronavirus Shopping Opera Ahead of Second Covid-19 Peak - 8th Sep 20
Gold Price Trend Forecast Analysis - Part1 - 7th Sep 20
Bitcoin Price Crash - You Will be Suprised What Happens Next - 7th Sep 20
From Trump’s TikTok Mess to US Tech Cold War against China - 7th Sep 20
The Federal Reserve vs. Judy Shelton And Gold - 7th Sep 20
Fed Dials Up Inflation Target…Own Gold - 7th Sep 20
Does Gold Still Have Plenty of Potential? - 7th Sep 20
CDC Shock Admission - THERE IS NO PANDEMIC! Over 90% of Deaths NOT From COVID19 - 7th Sep 20
Stock Market SPX to Gold/Silver Ratios Explored – What To Expect Next - 7th Sep 20
Is the Precious Metals Market really Overwhelmed and Chaotic - 7th Sep 20

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Get Rich Investing in Stocks by Riding the Electron Wave

Will the Markets Explode One Last Time?

Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019 Jan 23, 2019 - 07:38 AM GMT

By: Harry_Dent

Stock-Markets Look… the crash of a lifetime ahead is inevitable.

But, it’s looking increasingly like we’ll see a last-hurrah short boom of a lifetime first. Something I like to call the Dark Window because it’s unexpected and most miss it.

Will you?

I hope not.

I hope you’ll be ready for it because, today I’m going to give you a few insights into what to watch for…


First, a Warning…

Most analysts see a deep correction here and then modest gains and only slight new highs in 2019.

Jeremy Siegel, the perma-bull, sees a “good” 2019 for stocks if we don’t have a recession, which neither he or I think is likely in the near term. By good, he means a 5% to 15% rally. But 15% wouldn’t even retest the markets’ recent highs.

Expect the Unexpected…

In the January Boom & Bust newsletter that we published yesterday, and the Economy & Markets email I plan to send you tomorrow, I show the most bullish scenario for the Nasdaq in 2019. You’ll be surprised.

But it doesn’t compare to the most extreme topping pattern we saw in 1999 to 2000. Look at this…



The whole bubble from late 1994 into early 2000 was up 622% in 5.2 years; then investors endured a 78% crash in 2.6 years, taking the index back near to its bubble origin, classic for my bubble model.

Look at that 34% flash crash in mid-1998. Painful. Ten percent more painful than the current crash thus far for the Nasdaq, at 24%.

The thing is, look what happened next… 

The Greatest Surprise of All 

When everyone was expecting the see their asses handed to them, the markets turned around and produced a blistering 282% rally into March of 2000 in 1.4 years…

Hello Dark Window!

That didn’t occur in 1929 or any other bubble of the last century. The only other time we’ve seen that was in the Tulips bubble and the South Seas final run into 1720.

And from the looks of the way markets are behaving now, there’s a good chance we’re about to see a similar Dark Window open again.

This means there’s the chance to make unimaginable gains before that inevitable crash sets in. And like I started out today by saying, there WILL BE a soul crushing crash, very likely worse than what we saw on the Nasdaq into 2002 and more like the Dow from late 1929 to 1932.

When the fat lady eventually stopped singing in early 2000, Nasdaq investors lost 41% in just 2.5 months (one of the biggest reasons you shouldn’t wait until a bubble is definitively over before you try to get out).

Within a year and a half, they’d given up 73%!

By the time the bottom was in, they’d bled to the tune of 78%.

And this wasn’t even the most extreme crash investors have had to endure because it didn’t happen into a “Great Depression” like the next crash will and 1929 to 1932 did.

Still, it was by far the most extreme for that final Dark Window, blow-off rally.

And if this Dark Window occurs again exactly 90 years after the infamous 1929, on my most powerful Bubble Buster Cycle, even the most bullish forecasters on Wall Street won’t see it coming.

Tomorrow, I’ll show you how high the Nasdaq could go this time around, if we don’t break some critical support levels in the next several weeks.

Harry

http://economyandmarkets.com

Follow me on Twitter @HarryDentjr

P.S. Another way to stay ahead is by reading the 27 simple stock secrets that our Seven-Figure Trader says are worth $588,221. You’ll find the details here.

Harry studied economics in college in the ’70s, but found it vague and inconclusive. He became so disillusioned by the state of the profession that he turned his back on it. Instead, he threw himself into the burgeoning New Science of Finance, which married economic research and market research and encompassed identifying and studying demographic trends, business cycles, consumers’ purchasing power and many, many other trends that empowered him to forecast economic and market changes.

Copyright © 2019 Harry Dent- All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

Harry Dent Archive

© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules