Most Popular
1. Banking Crisis is Stocks Bull Market Buying Opportunity - Nadeem_Walayat
2.The Crypto Signal for the Precious Metals Market - P_Radomski_CFA
3. One Possible Outcome to a New World Order - Raymond_Matison
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
5. Apple AAPL Stock Trend and Earnings Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
6.AI, Stocks, and Gold Stocks – Connected After All - P_Radomski_CFA
7.Stock Market CHEAT SHEET - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.US Debt Ceiling Crisis Smoke and Mirrors Circus - Nadeem_Walayat
9.Silver Price May Explode - Avi_Gilburt
10.More US Banks Could Collapse -- A Lot More- EWI
Last 7 days
Stock Market Volatility (VIX) - 25th Mar 24
Stock Market Investor Sentiment - 25th Mar 24
The Federal Reserve Didn't Do Anything But It Had Plenty to Say - 25th Mar 24
Stock Market Breadth - 24th Mar 24
Stock Market Margin Debt Indicator - 24th Mar 24
It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - 24th Mar 24
Stocks: What to Make of All This Insider Selling- 24th Mar 24
Money Supply Continues To Fall, Economy Worsens – Investors Don’t Care - 24th Mar 24
Get an Edge in the Crypto Market with Order Flow - 24th Mar 24
US Presidential Election Cycle and Recessions - 18th Mar 24
US Recession Already Happened in 2022! - 18th Mar 24
AI can now remember everything you say - 18th Mar 24
Bitcoin Crypto Mania 2024 - MicroStrategy MSTR Blow off Top! - 14th Mar 24
Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - 11th Mar 24
Gold and the Long-Term Inflation Cycle - 11th Mar 24
Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - 11th Mar 24
Two Reasons The Fed Manipulates Interest Rates - 11th Mar 24
US Dollar Trend 2024 - 9th Mar 2024
The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - 9th Mar 2024
Investors Don’t Believe the Gold Rally, Still Prefer General Stocks - 9th Mar 2024
Paper Gold Vs. Real Gold: It's Important to Know the Difference - 9th Mar 2024
Stocks: What This "Record Extreme" Indicator May Be Signaling - 9th Mar 2024
My 3 Favorite Trade Setups - Elliott Wave Course - 9th Mar 2024
Bitcoin Crypto Bubble Mania! - 4th Mar 2024
US Interest Rates - When WIll the Fed Pivot - 1st Mar 2024
S&P Stock Market Real Earnings Yield - 29th Feb 2024
US Unemployment is a Fake Statistic - 29th Feb 2024
U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - 29th Feb 2024
What a Breakdown in Silver Mining Stocks! What an Opportunity! - 29th Feb 2024
Why AI will Soon become SA - Synthetic Intelligence - The Machine Learning Megatrend - 29th Feb 2024
Keep Calm and Carry on Buying Quantum AI Tech Stocks - 19th Feb 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Why Next Wave of Margin Calls Will Be FAR More "Disruptive" Than in 2000 or 2007

Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021 Feb 03, 2021 - 03:35 PM GMT

By: EWI

Stock-Markets

"Can investors afford to borrow anymore?"

Financial history shows that every bear market has been followed by a bull market and vice versa.

So, the current bull market will end sooner or later.

The prior two bull market tops occurred in the years 2007 and 2000. One of the characteristics of each of those tops was investors' ramped up use of margin. In other words, market participants were borrowing heavily to buy stocks.


This can work out well until stock prices tumble. Then come the "margin calls" or demands from their brokerage firms to increase the amount of equity in their accounts. Investors who lack sufficient cash to deposit into their accounts are often forced to liquidate securities quickly, which can result in big losses.

Considering what's been stated, the January Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, a monthly publication which focuses on U.S. financial markets, has a section titled "Margin Debt Mania." Here's one of the charts along with the commentary:

Margin debt as a percentage of disposable income is near a record. The most recent data point of 4.7% is higher than at the 2007 stock market peak and close to its level near the 2000 market top. With employment and economic conditions far more precarious now than at either of those prior peaks, margin calls will likely be far more disruptive than during either of the prior bear markets that followed.

The "Margin Debt Mania" section of the January Elliott Wave Financial Forecast has two more revealing margin debt charts that you need to see.

You'll also learn how the frenzy to use borrowed money to buy stocks ties in with Elliott wave analysis.

Right now, you can read the January Financial Forecast issue FREE inside the State of the U.S. Markets FreePass event.

Now through February 3, you'll see what Elliott waves show next for U.S. stocks, U.S. Treasuries, the U.S. dollar, gold and more.

Follow the link to see everything that's included and join now: State of the U.S. Markets FreePass.

This article was syndicated by Elliott Wave International and was originally published under the headline Why Next Wave of Margin Calls Will Be FAR More "Disruptive" Than in 2000 or 2007. EWI is the world's largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts led by Chartered Market Technician Robert Prechter provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.


© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in