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The Current Cannabis Sector Rally Is Pointing To Another Breakout

Commodities / Cannabis Apr 14, 2021 - 11:13 AM GMT

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Commodities

My research team and I continue to believe the Cannabis/Alternative sector is poised for a big trend in 2021 and 2022.  Over the past few years, this sector has continued to trend lower after the hype of 2016~2018 – back when everyone was getting into the Cannabis industry as multiple US states authorized recreational and medical use.  After the 2018 peak, followed by the early 2019 moderate price recovery, this entire industry sector fell out of favor with investors for almost 2 full years.

MJ Pennant Setup Almost Complete

The peak in the MJ, Alternative Harvest ETF, in September 2018 was $45.40.  The lowest price since that peak was in March 2020 at $8.81 – that’s an 80% decline in price.  Currently, MJ is trading near $22.31 and we’ve seen a tremendous recovery after the 2020 US elections.  These elections resulted in a wave of enthusiasm for Cannabis and Alternative supply companies as it was widely expected the Democrats would move quickly to legalize Cannabis and other illegal drugs after their win.


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Looking at the MJ Daily chart below, MJ has retraced and stalled into a Pennant/Flag formation that we believe may prompt another explosive upside price trend.  The Apex of any Pennant formation can be very volatile at times.  Traders need to be prepared for wild price action as we near this Apex date.  Yet, we believe the bias of the market, with a resurgence of the US economy and continued belief that the Democrats will attempt to push through Federal Cannabis legalization, may prompt another upside price wave.

A simple Fibonacci Measured Move of recent price action on this Daily MJ chart shows a potential for a minimum of +20% with a target near $27.18.  Other cannabis stocks may be setup for even bigger gains.

Aurora Cannabis May Breakout Above $11 Very Quickly

As we can see from the following Aurora Cannabis chart, which we highlighted in our Four Stocks To Own Before The US Elections follow up article, rallied from $3.71 to levels near $19 (a massive +423%) in just 4 months.  If a true Fibonacci Measured move takes place from recent price lows (near $8.95), then we believe another +150% rally may be setting up in ACB with a target price level near $17.76, then $23.35.  As amazing as that may seem, this won’t be happening overnight but rather is expected to unfold over the next weeks and months.

The rally in MJ could happen much quicker than the rally in ACB – yet both symbols seem poised for another upside price rally.  If the US reflation trade continues to push the general market rally higher and US states continue to gradually reopen for business as usual, Cannabis will continue to grow in revenues and activity.  The very deep contraction in this industry has barely just begun to reflect the projected growth over the next 5+ years. 

Don’t miss the opportunities in the broad market sectors over the next 6+ months.    Staying ahead of these sector trends is going to be key to developing continued success in these markets.  As some sectors fail, others will begin to trend higher.  Learn how BAN Trader Pro can help you spot the best trade setups. Learning to profit from these bigger trends and sector rotation will make a big difference between success and failure.  If you are not prepared for these sector rotations, then you can sign up now for my FREE webinar that teaches you how to find, enter, and profit from only those sectors that have the most strength and momentum. Staying ahead of sector trends is going to be key to success in volatile markets.

For those who believe in the power of trading on relative strength, market cycles, and momentum but don’t have the time to do the research every day then my BAN Trader Pro newsletter service does all the work for you with daily market reports, research, and trade alerts. More frequent or experienced traders have been killing it trading options, ETFs, and stocks using my BAN Hotlist ranking the hottest ETFs, which is updated daily for my premium subscribers.

Chris Vermeulen
www.TheTechnicalTraders.com

Chris Vermeulen has been involved in the markets since 1997 and is the founder of Technical Traders Ltd. He is an internationally recognized technical analyst, trader, and is the author of the book: 7 Steps to Win With Logic

Through years of research, trading and helping individual traders around the world. He learned that many traders have great trading ideas, but they lack one thing, they struggle to execute trades in a systematic way for consistent results. Chris helps educate traders with a three-hour video course that can change your trading results for the better.

His mission is to help his clients boost their trading performance while reducing market exposure and portfolio volatility.

He is a regular speaker on HoweStreet.com, and the FinancialSurvivorNetwork radio shows. Chris was also featured on the cover of AmalgaTrader Magazine, and contributes articles to several leading financial hubs like MarketOracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: Nothing in this report should be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any securities mentioned. Technical Traders Ltd., its owners and the author of this report are not registered broker-dealers or financial advisors. Before investing in any securities, you should consult with your financial advisor and a registered broker-dealer. Never make an investment based solely on what you read in an online or printed report, including this report, especially if the investment involves a small, thinly-traded company that isn’t well known. Technical Traders Ltd. and the author of this report has been paid by Cardiff Energy Corp. In addition, the author owns shares of Cardiff Energy Corp. and would also benefit from volume and price appreciation of its stock. The information provided here within should not be construed as a financial analysis but rather as an advertisement. The author’s views and opinions regarding the companies featured in reports are his own views and are based on information that he has researched independently and has received, which the author assumes to be reliable. Technical Traders Ltd. and the author of this report do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or usefulness of any content of this report, nor its fitness for any particular purpose. Lastly, the author does not guarantee that any of the companies mentioned in the reports will perform as expected, and any comparisons made to other companies may not be valid or come into effect.

Chris Vermeulen Archive

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