Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. TESLA! Cathy Wood ARK Funds Bubble BURSTS! - 12th May 21
2.Stock Market Entering Early Summer Correction Trend Forecast - 10th May 21
3.GOLD GDX, HUI Stocks - Will Paradise Turn into a Dystopia? - 11th May 21
4.Crypto Bubble Bursts! Nicehash Suspends Coinbase Withdrawals, Bitcoin, Ethereum Bear Market Begins - 16th May 21
5.Crypto Bubble BURSTS! BTC, ETH, XRP CRASH! NiceHash Seizes Funds on Account Halting ALL Withdrawals! - 19th May 21
6.Cathy Wood Ark Invest Funds Bubble BURSTS! ARKK, ARKG, Tesla Entering Severe Bear Market - 13th May 21
7.Stock Market - Should You Be In Cash Right Now? - 17th May 21
8.Gold to Benefit from Mounting US Debt Pile - 14th May 21
9.Coronavius Covid-19 in Italy in August 2019! - 13th May 21
10.How to Invest in HIGH RISK Tech Stocks for 2021 and Beyond - Part 2 of 2 - 18th May 21
Last 7 days
UK Energy Firms Scamming Customers Out of Their Best Fixed Rate Gas Tariffs - 23rd Sep 21
Global Stock Markets Topped 60 Days Before the US Stocks Peaked - 23rd Sep 21
Should School Children be Jabbed with Pfizer Covid-19 Vaccine To Foster Herd Immunity? - UK - 23rd Sep 21
HOW TO SAVE MONEY ON CAR INSURANCE - 23rd Sep 21
Stock Market FOMO Hits September Brick Wall - Evergrande China's Lehman's Moment - 22nd Sep 21
Trading Crude Oil ETFs in Foreign Currencies: What to Focus On - 22nd Sep 21
URGENT - Crypto-trader event - 'Bitcoin... back to $65,000?' - 22nd Sep 21
Stock Market Time to Buy the Dip? - 22nd Sep 21
US Dollar Bears Are Fresh Out of Honey Pots - 22nd Sep 21
MetaTrader 5 Features Every Trader Should Know - 22nd Sep 21
Evergrande China's Lehman's Moment, Tip of the Ice Berg in Financial Crisis 2.0 - 21st Sep 21
The Fed Is Playing The Biggest Game Of Chicken In History - 21st Sep 21
Focus on Stock Market Short-term Cycle - 21st Sep 21
Lands End Cornwall In VR360 - UK Holidays, Staycations - 21st Sep 21
Stock Market FOMO Hits September CRASH Brick Wall - Dow Trend Forecast 2021 Review - 20th Sep 21
Two Huge, Overlooked Drains on Global Silver Supplies - 20th Sep 21
Gold gets hammered but Copper fails to seize the moment - 20th Sep 21
New arms race and nuclear risks could spell End to the Asian Century - 20th Sep 21
Stock Market FOMO Hits September Brick Wall - Dow Trend Forecast 2021 Review - 19th Sep 21
Dow Forecasting Neural Nets, Crossing the Rubicon With Three High Risk Chinese Tech Stocks - 18th Sep 21
If Post-1971 Monetary System Is Bad, Why Isn’t Gold Higher? - 18th Sep 21
Stock Market Shaking Off the Taper Blues - 18th Sep 21
So... This Happened! One Crypto Goes From "Little-Known" -to- "Top 10" in 6 Weeks - 18th Sep 21
Why a Financial Markets "Panic" May Be Just Around the Corner - 18th Sep 21
An Update on the End of College… and a New Way to Profit - 16th Sep 21
What Kind of Support and Services Can Your Accountant Provide? Your Main Questions Answered - 16th Sep 21
Consistent performance makes waste a good place to buy stocks - 16th Sep 21
Dow Stock Market Trend Forecasting Neural Nets Pattern Recognition - 15th Sep 21
Eurozone Impact on Gold: The ECB and the Phantom Taper - 15th Sep 21
Fed To Taper into Weakening Economy - 15th Sep 21
Gold Miners: Last of the Summer Wine - 15th Sep 21
How does product development affect a company’s market value? - 15th Sep 21
Types of Investment Property to Become Familiar with - 15th Sep 21
Is This the "Kiss of Death" for the Stocks Bull Market? - 14th Sep 21
Where Are the Stock Market Fireworks? - 14th Sep 21
Play-To-Earn Cryptocurrency Games Gain More and Is Set to Expand - 14th Sep 21
The CashFX TAP Platform - Catering to Bull Investors and Bear Investors Alike - 14th Sep 21
Why every serious investor should be focused on blockchain technology - 13th Sep 21
SPX Base Projection Reached – End of the Line? - 13th Sep 21
There are diverse ways to finance the purchase of a car - 13th Sep 21
6 Tips For Wise Investment - 13th Sep 21 - Mark_Adan

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Financial Markets Analysis: Stocks Bounce, Where Next?

Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market Feb 08, 2009 - 02:26 AM GMT

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Stock-Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleStock Markets continued their strong rally on Friday from early week lows that had threatened to break below the recent tight trading range and target fresh bear market lows.

Where Next ?


Using the Dow Jones Index as a proxy for other global indices that exhibit similar trend and patterns. Friday's powerful rally cannot be ignored as it does imply that the recent peak of 8,400 is expected to be breached early next week, however heavy resistance lies overhead all the way to 9,000. This implies that the rally will soon run out of steam probably around 8,600 and therefore target a return to the tight trading range of between 7,900 and 8,400.

The longer the market continues to trade within the trading range of of 9,100 and 7,800 the more powerful will be the eventual breakout from the range, at this time probability still strongly favors a break lower with a summer bear market target of 6,600 as of 20th Jan 09. The far less probable outcome of an upside breakout would target Dow 10,300.

Again, I need to iterate that we are in a stocks bear market and the current action is a correction within the bear market. So whilst the moves higher are tradable, they do not at this point come close to signaling an end of the stocks bear market that is expected to resume towards fresh lows this summer.

Outrageous Bank Bonuses

Meanwhile greedy culpable bankers continue to reward themselves for failure with billions of tax payers monies across the globe. In the UK the Labour governments in-action is going to cost it the next election for allowing this to happen, after-all the banking rules and contracts have already been been broken in the aid of £800 billion of liabilities with more to come, the only contracts still being held up are those that allow bankers to be rewarded for destroying the British financial system. This is totally outrageous and unforgivable.

The banks try to defend the indefensible with statements that they need to pay bonuses to attract the brightest and smartest. So smart are these people that they have destroyed the financial institutions that they worked for, any smarter and we may be looking at an Iceland style Bankrupt Britain, which therefore supports the view of dumbing down on the employees as well as the function of the banks, i.e. to focus on lending out deposited money without resorting to financial trickery to mis-price assets so as to reward bonuses for non existent profits.

The Deflation Survival Guide

This weeks special is the full 60 page ebook on the implications of Economic Deflation by the 30 year financial markets veteran Robert Pretcher. If you have not already done so, download the full ebook whilst it is still available.

Topics include:

Your stock index futures trading analyst.

By Nadeem Walayat
http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Copyright © 2005-09 Marketoracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd). All rights reserved.

Most Popular Financial Markets Analysis of the Week

1. U.S. Unemployment Government Statistics Hiding the Dismal Truth

By: Don Miller

The dismal U.S. unemployment numbers have gotten more airtime recently than Jerry Springer.

And why not?

Read Article

2. Stock Market Crash 2009: Fine Tuning DJIA Target To 5,800

By: Eric_Chevrette

Before we turn our attention towards the need to do some fine tuning about the DJIA target around the end of the current bear leg with global stocks, it might be appropriate to look back and see where we do come from, especially with regard to market volatility ( VIX ).

Read Article

3. United States Day of Reckoning Treasury Bond Market Collapse Underway

By: Martin Weiss

If you read just one of my Money and Markets issues this year, make sure it's this one.

You will not hear what I'm about to say from our nation's leaders. Nor will it pour forth from talking heads on Wall Street.

Read Article

Download your 60-page Deflation Survival Guide now

4. Soaring Unemployment Means No U.S. Housing Market Bottom

By: Mike_Shedlock

California Association of Realtors C.A.R. Data

The following chart is from my friend "TC" who has been monitoring California Association of Realtors (C.A.R.) and DQNews data. C.A.R. data contains resale single family residences and new homes. DQNews data contains resale single family residences and new homes

Read Article

5. Mike Shedlock (Mish) Vs Peter Schiff: Analysts Clash

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Mike Shedlock last week fired a broadside attack onto Peter Schiff (Dr Doom's) record of financial forecasts for 2008, which culminated with a statement that illustrated and implied that many of Peter Schiff's clients may have actually lost between 30% to 60% of the value of their portfolios during the volatile trading and investment environment of 2008.

Read Article

6. Financial and Economic Forecasts 2009, Stock Market Crash to New Lows

By: Martin Weiss

If you were shocked by last quarter's 3.8% plunge in the economy , wait till you see the tally for the current quarter!

Late last year, consumers snapped their wallets shut so quickly, and America's manufacturers were so unprepared, they couldn't stop their assembly lines fast enough.

Read Article

7. Political Elite on Guard Against Global Economic Depression and Gold Safehaven

By: Gary_Dorsch

“If you want to continue to be the slaves of bankers, and pay the cost of your own slavery, then let bankers continue to create money and control credit,” warned Sir Josiah Stamp, former chief of the Bank of England in 1927. Indeed, the world economy is now held hostage by an elite banking cartel, whose reckless pursuit of speculation and bloated profits, has precipitated a breakdown of the global financial system, and is plunging the world towards a “Great Depression.”

Read Article

Download your 60-page Deflation Survival Guide now

8. Is the World Finally Ready to Accept the Deflationary Scenario?

By: EWI

This article is part of a syndicated series about deflation from market analyst Robert Prechter, the world's foremost expert on and proponent of the deflationary scenario. For more on deflation and how you can survive it.

Read Article

9. Stock Market Trends February 2009: Bear Market Rally

By: Hans_Wagner

This is a free monthly newsletter on stock market trends to help you to learn to invest. Following the trend is a proven way to beat the market and grow your stock portfolio. Basic technical analysis provides the tools to identify and follow the market trends using the S&P 500.

Read Article

10. Gold is Dead and Neitzsche had Nothing to do with it

By: Matt McAbby

“Gold kind of scares me because very often the people involved with it seem to be slightly insane.” – James Montier, head of equity research, Societe Generale, London

Read Article


Nadeem Walayat has over 20 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis specialises on the housing market and interest rates. Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication. We present in-depth analysis from over 250 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets. Thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

Attention Editors and Publishers! - You have permission to republish THIS article. Republished articles must include attribution to the author and links back to the http://www.marketoracle.co.uk . Please send an email to republish@marketoracle.co.uk, to include a link to the published article.

Nadeem Walayat Archive

© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in