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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Germany

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Tuesday, May 16, 2017

German - US Bond Market Spreads and Sentiment / Interest-Rates / Germany

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Putting aside hard and soft data, yield differentials continue to command FX markets as the German-US 10 year yield spread breaks above its 200-day MA for the 1st time since August to hit -1.90%. The story, however, is not only in the break of the average, but also in the fact that the formation of the spread consists of higher lows and higher highs since the December bottom, which is the same formation for EURUSD, gold and most "anti-USD" instruments.

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Economics

Tuesday, February 21, 2017

How The Slowing Shipping Industry Could Spark A Banking Crash In Germany / Economics / Germany

By: John_Mauldin

BY ANTONIA COLIBASANU : In geopolitics, events rarely occur in isolation.

Several stories about German exports, banks, and the shipping industry recently appeared in the media. But these stories do not gain their full significance unless taken as part of a bigger picture.

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Economics

Wednesday, February 15, 2017

Here’s How Germany Buys Time From China / Economics / Germany

By: John_Mauldin

BY JACOB SHAPIRO : As we’ve written before, Germany’s economy has avoided problems besetting most export-dependent countries in the last two years.

In 2015, Germany accomplished this by compensating for decreased demand from China by substantially increasing its exports to the United States and the United Kingdom. In 2016, the situation was reversed. Exports to China increased while exports to the US and UK declined significantly.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, June 14, 2016

Germany Stock Market DAX H&S Break Leading ? / Stock-Markets / Germany

By: Joseph_VanDerveer

Simple daily chart for the last year on the The German Stock Index "DAX" which comprises 30 German blue chip stocks.

Notice the price fib. retracement from early Dec. high to Mid. Feb. low was hit first at the 50%, then 61.8%, then follows a lower high, and lower low. This may lead to lower prices in the near future.

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Economics

Monday, June 06, 2016

3 Signs the German Economy Is Falling Apart / Economics / Germany

By: John_Mauldin

Germany is the world’s fourth-largest economy. It is also Europe’s largest economy, and any European economic recovery depends a great deal on Germany’s trajectory. 

Germany is also the third-largest exporter in absolute terms in the G20 and is nearly as dependent on exports as Saudi Arabia and South Korea.  The country, therefore, must export vast amounts to maintain social and political stability.

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Companies

Tuesday, October 13, 2015

VW's Scandal Comes at a Bad Time For Germany / Companies / Germany

By: Rodney_Johnson

The German economy has been nothing if not impressive. In the face of ugly economic circumstances across Europe, this country held fast to fiscal discipline while staying on track with exports. Hence, Germany ran budget surpluses for the last three years and has a cost of capital so low that its bond yields rival that of Japan.

Then, out of nowhere, comes a claim of corporate cheating that rocked iconic Volkswagen, the “People’s Car” company, maker of the famous Beetle.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, October 13, 2015

German DAX Stock Market Index Expected To Go Lower / Stock-Markets / Germany

By: Gregor_Horvat

German DAX fell sharply down this summer so we see price in big wave IV) pullback which could reach much lower levels by the end of the year, but after wave (B) rally is complete which seems to be underway now to higher levels. Ideally price will hit 10800 before downtrend will continue into wave (C).

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Companies

Tuesday, September 22, 2015

Merkel’s Next Big Headache: Volkswagen’s ‘Defeat Device’ / Companies / Germany

By: Raul_I_Meijer

Angela Merkel has another huge headache on her plate. She seems to attract those these days. And given how she’s been dealing with the last few migraines coming her way, perhaps she deserves them.

For now, it’s a story of one carmaker, Volkswagen. And in one country, the USA. A country in which the diesel engine is somewhat of an orphan, making up just a few percent of the total car market. But the “defeat device” scandal will not stop there.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, April 22, 2015

Bill Gross - German 10-Year Bunds Short of a Life Time / Interest-Rates / Germany

By: Bloomberg

Bill Gross of Janus Capital spoke with Bloomberg Television's Alix Steel about yields on the 10-year German bund, his bet against German debt and the European Central Bank's program of quantitative easing.

On shorting the bund, Gross said: "Most investors would probably want to wait for 12 to 18 months because that's when the Eurozone and the ECB's quantitative easing program ends. And one of the reasons for the overvaluation of bunds has to do with Mario Draghi and his program of EUR60 billion a month in terms of buying power. And so you don't want to fight the Fed or the ECB, I suppose, and then getting in early is doing that to a certain extent."

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Politics

Tuesday, February 10, 2015

Greece Euro-zone Crisis, Ukraine - Germany Emerges / Politics / Germany

By: STRATFOR

German Chancellor Angela Merkel, accompanied by French President Francois Hollande, met with Russian President Vladimir Putin on Feb. 6. Then she met with U.S. President Barack Obama on Feb. 9. The primary subject was Ukraine, but the first issue discussed at the news conference following the meeting with Obama was Greece. Greece and Ukraine are not linked in the American mind. They are linked in the German mind, because both are indicators of Germany's new role in the world and of Germany's discomfort with it.

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Economics

Wednesday, October 08, 2014

Germany’s Bad Economic Numbers Are Great News For All Of Us / Economics / Germany

By: Raul_I_Meijer

Something’s happening in Europe that I would like to cheer and encourage at the top of my lungs. While only yesterday, most European leaders, the ECB and the IMF were busy chiding Germany for not lowering taxes or increasing government investment in its economy, today’s release of German economic data should either shut them up or drastically change their tune.

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Politics

Tuesday, September 30, 2014

Germany Fights on Two Fronts to Preserve the Eurozone / Politics / Germany

By: STRATFOR

The European Court of Justice announced Sept. 22 that hearings in the case against the European Central Bank's (ECB) bond-buying scheme known as Outright Monetary Transactions (OMT) will begin Oct. 14. Though the process is likely to be lengthy, with a judgment not due until mid-2015, the ruling will have serious implications for Germany's relationship with the rest of the eurozone. The timing could hardly be worse, coming as an anti-euro party has recently been making strides in the German political scene, steadily undermining the government's room for maneuver.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, June 01, 2014

German Dax 10000 New All Time High? / Stock-Markets / Germany

By: Gregor_Horvat

Most of the FX markets are still slow and choppy within corrective price action, while metals and stocks are trading completely on their own. We have seen a push to a new high on the S&P 500 yesterday, very close to 1920. At the same time German DAX remained trapped in range because of low volume during the European session. Some would have thought that the S&P can be in final stages here within bigger uptrend, but if we consider that DAX is still in fourth wave then we need to be aware of even higher swings on US markets.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 27, 2014

German DAX: Correcting Within Uptrend / Stock-Markets / Germany

By: Gregor_Horvat

We have seen some risk-off moves on European markets with the Dax falling more than 100 points on the day down to 9500 where recent support was found. From an Elliott Wave perspective we see the Dax in an expanded flat correction with wave (c) now underway down to 9430-9470 support area. Wave (c) also needs to be made by five subdivisions so looks like there is room for more weakness before corrective pullback can be finished.

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Politics

Tuesday, February 04, 2014

A More Assertive German Foreign Policy / Politics / Germany

By: STRATFOR

By George Friedman and Marc Lanthemann: The Ukrainian crisis is important in itself, but the behavior it has elicited from Germany is perhaps more important. Berlin directly challenged Ukraine's elected president for refusing to tighten relations with the European Union and for mistreating Ukrainians who protested his decision. In challenging President Viktor Yanukovich, Berlin also challenged Russia, a reflection of Germany's recent brazen foreign policy.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, November 24, 2013

Dramatic Slowdown in Germany: Saxo Bank Analysis / Stock-Markets / Germany

By: Mike_Shedlock

Saxo Bank chief economist Steen Jakobsen had some interesting comments on Germany and German exports given a slowdown in China and a rising Euro.

To help put things in perspective, here is a chart on the Euro.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 19, 2013

German DAX Stocks Index Analysis / Stock-Markets / Germany

By: Ed_Carlson

Germany’s DAX index is the equivalent to America’s Dow Jones industrial index. Both indices are composed of 30 blue-chip issues.  As of Friday, the DAX has scored a six-week winning streak ending the week above 9,000 for the first time in its 25-year history.

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Politics

Wednesday, September 25, 2013

Angela Merkel Must Reform Energiewende / Politics / Germany

By: Andrew_McKillop

PROMISED AND DUE
Angela Merkel promised on repeated occasions during her election campaign that reform of Germany's energy transition plan – Energiewende – would be high on her agenda if she received another mandate to govern. Following her triumphal re-election and the political horsetrading on forming a Grand Coalition with the SDP and the Greens, this reform will have to come.

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Politics

Monday, September 23, 2013

Why Is Angela Merkel So Popular? / Politics / Germany

By: Andrew_McKillop

READ IT IN THE POLLS
Angela Merkel became Europe's most popular leader by telling Germans they don't need to change, their national energy security was guaranteed, the economy was powerful – at least for car exports - and they were shielded from the stressful Club Med debt and deficit crisis that tore southern Europe apart. Also, despite it being unpopular she had shown her European credentials. Using German money, with German conditions attached she had helped save, or delay the end of, the Euro-zone.

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Politics

Saturday, September 21, 2013

Germany Will Dilute - Not Abandon Its Energiewende Plan / Politics / Germany

By: Andrew_McKillop

TOSSING THE HOT POTATO
In Germany's election campaign the attention going to the national energy transition plan is bafflingly low. Official Environment ministry reports however suggest that total costs of Energiewende could or might rise to 1000 billion euros by the late 2030's if the program is maintained as present, and its targets are not cut back or shifted further into the future. Despite this, most German political parties have tacitly agreed to limit discussion of Energiewende and backpedal their criticism of this free-spending plan, for reasons that are much more than simply political.

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