Wednesday, August 23, 2017

Do Not Feed The Stock Market Bears - Until 2018 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Avi_Gilburt

Back on July 15th, the title to my weekend update to members of my market analysis service was “Market Will Likely Top Within The Next Three Weeks.” My initial target region for this top was between 2487-2500SPX. One of the factors I considered in my timing for this potential top was Luke Miller’s Bayesian Timing model, which was looking for a top to our wave (3) on August 9th. And, as we know, the market topped on August 8th at 2491SPX, and we seem to have begun the multi-month pullback/consolidation we have been expecting.

Wednesday, August 23, 2017

USDJPY Recoil Rally On The Cards / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Enda_Glynn

My Bias: LONG
Wave Structure: rally in wave [C]
Long term wave count: wave [C] is underway, upside to above 136.00
Important risk events: JPY: N/A. USD: New Home Sales, Crude Oil Inventories.

Wednesday, August 23, 2017

Stock Market SPX at its 61.8% Fib Retracement / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX exceeded its 50-day Moving Average, but is very close to its 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at 2453.08. This is yet another “sell the rally” opportunity.

Tomorrow appears to be our expected turn date, according to the Cycles Model.

Wednesday, August 23, 2017

How Planned Fed Rate Increases Impact The National Debt & Deficits / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Dan_Amerman

The United States national debt is currently about $20 trillion, and the federal government is paying some of the lowest interest rates in history on that debt. The Federal Reserve has raised interest rates four times now, and is publicly considering another five increases, for a total increase of roughly 2.25%.

What will be the impact on the national debt and deficits if the interest payments on the debt jump upwards because of the actions of the Fed?

Wednesday, August 23, 2017

Bitcoin Price Stalls / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

The fact that Bitcoin has recently hit an all-time high has already fueled wild speculation in the market and we are now seeing increased interest in the currency. The mainstream media are now full of articles  on the meteoric rise of Bitcoin, Bitcoin Cash, Ethereum and the prospects of cryptocurrencies. In an article on Bloomberg, we read:

It seems like everyone is coming up with a price forecast these days, with some of the biggest banks including Goldman Sachs Group Inc. jumping into the action, while speculators to long-time investors are also making their bets.

The consensus is that the biggest cryptocurrency will face some resistance around $4,500 to $4,800 and correct, to then continue rallying. How high? Pantera Capital Management’s Paul Veradittakit, Tom Lee at Fundstrat Global Advisors and John Spallanzani at GFI Group Inc. see it going to $6,000 by year-end, while Ronnie Moas at Standpoint Research says it will keep rising to $7,500 in 2018.

Wednesday, August 23, 2017

The 3 Assets to Add to Your Stocks Portfolio in This Rate Tightening Cycle / Companies / Investing 2017

By: John_Mauldin

BY STEPHEN MCBRIDE : I’m surprised how things can turn upside down in a year, even twice.

Exactly a year ago, in the wake of Brexit, the US 10-Year Treasury rate fell to an all-time low of 1.36%. At that point, bond yields—which move inversely to their price—had been declining for eight years with no end in sight.

Then Trump won the US election; another unexpected twist. An uptick in inflation and a series of rate hikes followed shortly afterward, and the 10-year yield has risen 67% from its lows.

Wednesday, August 23, 2017

Half Price UK Theme Parks Entry 2017 With Cheap Chocolate Packs / Personal_Finance / Holidays

By: Anika_Walayat

With a couple of weeks to go and the Bank Holiday next week, then there is still plenty of time for a trip to one of Britain's best theme parks and attractions such as Alton Towers, Thorpe Park, Chessington World of Adventure, Legoland, Shreks Adventure, Sea Life, Madam Tussaud's, Warwick Castle and the Dungeon. But don't pay full price a the gate, or even the online price which invariably requires pre-booking. Instead find out how to easily and cheaply get half price entry without having to pre-book so you don't have to play russian roulette with Britain's weather.

Wednesday, August 23, 2017

... / Stock-Markets / Learn to Trade

By: Submissions

Tuesday, August 22, 2017

4 Reasons European Stocks Will Make a Big Comeback This Year / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets

By: John_Mauldin

BY STEPHEN MCBRIDE : Just a year ago, Europe looked like the last place where you’d want to put your money.

The UK had voted to leave the EU, top German and Italian banks were in shambles, and populists reigned on the Continent.

The issues that plagued Europe didn’t fade away, but the turmoil subsided.

While everyone was applauding the uptick in US growth after the election, Europe recorded higher growth in 2016. This reversal of fortunes has now begun to show up in the markets.

Tuesday, August 22, 2017

3 Lesser-Known Charts Revealing a Massive Stock Market Disconnect / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: John_Mauldin

What’s a fair price for a share of stock?

In theory, it’s easy to define. The fairest price lies at the intersection of the company’s supply and demand curves. The market price at any given moment reveals exactly where that point is.

The averaged prices of all stocks in an index, appropriately weighted, tell us the same for market benchmarks.

Tuesday, August 22, 2017

U.S. Treasury Secretary: "I Assume Fort Knox Gold Is Still There" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

• US Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin visits Fort Knox Gold
• Later tweeted ‘Glad gold is safe!’
• Only the third Treasury Secretary to visit the fortified vault, last visit was 1948
• Last Congressional visit was 1974
• Speculation over existence of gold in Fort Knox is rife
• Concerns over Federal Reserves lack of interest in carrying to an audit on gold
• Gold was last counted in 1953, nine years before Mnuchin was born
• Mnuchin may be looking to prevent countries and states from worrying about and repatriating their gold

Tuesday, August 22, 2017

Is the Stock Market Setting itself up for a Spectacular Crash? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Sol_Palha

“Neither a man nor a crowd nor a nation can be trusted to act humanely or to think sanely under the influence of a great fear.”  Bertrand Russell, Unpopular Essays

The stock market crash story is getting boring and annoying to a large degree. Since 2009, there has been a constant drumbeat of the market is going to crash stories. In 2009, many experts felt that the market had rallied too strongly and that it needed to pull back strongly before moving higher up.  They were calling for 15%-20% correction.  Ten years later and most of them are still waiting for this so-called strong correction or crash. A stock market crash is a possibility but the possibility is not the same thing as certainty, and this is what seems to elude most of the naysayers. One day they will get it right as even a broken clock is correct twice a day.  In the interim waiting for this stock market crash has cost these experts a fortune, both in lost capital gains and actual booked losses if they shorted this market.

Tuesday, August 22, 2017

EURJPY Bounce Off Channel Support / Currencies / Euro

By: Franco_Shao

EURJPY rebounded from 127.56 after touching the bottom support trend line of the price channel on the daily chart, suggesting that the pair remains in the uptrend from 114.85. As long as the price is in the channel, the fall from 131.39 could be treated as consolidation of the uptrend.

Tuesday, August 22, 2017

Lightening-Fast COT Reversal: Now Fairly Bearish For Gold And Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: John_Rubino

That didn’t take long at all. Just a few weeks after the Commitment of Traders (COT) Reports for gold and silver turned positive – setting off a nice rally in both metals’ prices – this indicator has flipped back to strongly negative.

In gold especially, speculators (always wrong at big turning points) have loaded up on long futures contracts while closing out their short positions. The commercials (always right at big turning points) have done the opposite, closing out long positions and going aggressively short.

Tuesday, August 22, 2017

Sleeper Issues Poised to Rattle Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: MoneyMetals

Investors have been well-trained in complacency. They have spent the past few years watching markets shrug off momentous geopolitical events – each more quickly than the last. Brexit’s impact faded within days. Trump’s election faded within hours.

Stocks traded at all-time highs this summer and volatility made all-time lows. That is the set-up as we head into the fall...

Tuesday, August 22, 2017

Power Elites Launches Civil War Against Trump / Politics / US Politics

By: BATR

What you are witnessing is a full court press to remove Donald Trump from the Presidency. The endless dribble from every corner of the gate keeping controlled media, the careerist bipartisan hacks, the diseased swamp ridden bureaucrat rats and the cowards who wave the flag of the establishment globalist order, all have banned together to take out the America First agenda. Trump was elected by populist discontent, but is now being betrayed by every faction who fears meaningful change in a corrupt political system that rules over the common man. Make no mistake about the stakes. A forced resignation, a contrived impeachment or an assassination for all to see are now in play. The establishment will not settle for anything less. The people be damned, it is time to show just who rules the United States.

Tuesday, August 22, 2017

The Bear Market in Oil Sector Continues / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: The_Energy_Report

Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in the multiyear bear market in oil and gas.

Tuesday, August 22, 2017

Stock Market Cycle Act II / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Ed_Carlson

Cycles warn that the sell-off in equites during the last two weeks should find a bottom this week – temporarily. The Bradley model does not hold much hope for those who hope to trade the bounce as it points an upwards-to-sideways move until mid-September when it drops precipitously into mid-October.

The Decennial pattern warns of a nasty sell-off in equities during years ending in the number 7 (i.e. 2017).  Since 1907 each of these years (with the exception of 1947 which suffered a mere 6.2% drop) has seen a double-digit decline beginning somewhere between June and October.

Monday, August 21, 2017

Win a Barny Family Safari Holiday - Last Chance! / Personal_Finance / Freebies and Comps

By: Anika_Walayat

This is your last chance to win a Barny Family Safari Holiday, or one of a thousand other relatively easy to win Ranger prizes. See our video for details, so that you don't waste your chance to win.

Monday, August 21, 2017

Cryptocurrencies: Modern Day Alchemy / Currencies / BlockChain

By: Michael_Pento

Cryptocurrencies make good currencies, but fail miserably when trying to achieve the status of money.
Cryptocurrencies are both created and held electronically inside a virtual wallet. These digital currencies use encryption techniques to regulate the generation of new units and to verify the transfer of funds. Cryptocurrencies operate independently of governments and are decentralized.