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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Saturday, January 26, 2008

Fed Duped by Rogue Trader and the Destruction of Bond Insurers / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation

By: John_Mauldin

  • Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhat Does the Fed Really Know?
  • Fed's Folly: Fooled by Flawed Futures?
  • Brother, Can You Spare a Billion?
  • $5 Billion a Quarter
  • Planes, Trains, and Santa Barbara
  • And Charlie Wilson's War

It had been my original intention to devote this week's letter to the view from Europe, as I have been here for the last week, but events have changed that goal. The Federal Reserve made a very rare inter-meeting rate cut of 75 basis points this week, after the worldwide markets were in turmoil. Many pundits suggest the Fed was responding to the worldwide collapse in stock prices. This week we examine that suggestion, and I will offer an alternative explanation. I am beginning this letter in a London subway train. Quickly, the consensus wherever I go seems to be that Europe and the United Kingdom are also headed into recession. There is a lot of interesting ground to cover, so let's get started.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, January 26, 2008

Bailout Battle Raging Between US Government and Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMike Larson writes: Pardon me, but am I the only one suffering a serious case of whiplash here? I mean, the financial sector developments over the past few days have been amazing ... simply amazing.

Coming into the week, the global markets were in a freefall. While U.S. markets were closed for Martin Luther King Day, stock indexes from Hong Kong to London were collapsing on fears of a bond insurance market meltdown.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, January 26, 2008

How to Survive and Prosper During the Financial Markets Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLarry Edelson writes: Six months ago I warned you that all hell was about to break loose in the U.S. economy. Tumbling real estate values ... tens of billions of dollars in mortgage debt at risk ... the virtually non-stop decline in the dollar ... an ongoing bull market in gold — all pointed to tough times ahead for our country.

Despite the Federal Reserve slashing interest rates by three-quarters of a point this week, the time of reckoning has arrived.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, January 26, 2008

Stock Market Dominant Trend Remains Down / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Mike_Paulenoff

In the end, investors and traders really did not want to go home long equities Friday, even after the Fed's emergency rate cut on Tuesday, which is certainly not a confidence builder. Maybe the bulls will feel a bit more confident after the weekend.

In any case, I think it is fitting for us to take a look at this week's price range in the S&P 500 and to notice that all of the action, including the post rate-cut rally, has transpired below the last week's critical breakdown plateau at 1362.50.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, January 26, 2008

Stock Market Investors Running With the Herd / Stock-Markets / Investing

By: Roger_Conrad

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRunning with the herd certainly beats trying to run against it—and getting trampled in the process. But it comes with a cost: surrendering your own common sense for “group think” that often makes no real sense at all.

As I pointed out last week, the character of the Wall Street herd has changed remarkably over the past two decades. Back in the 1980s, individual investors still accounted for the majority of stock ownership. Today, trading is squarely in the hands of big institutions and those who run them.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, January 26, 2008

Stock Market Gloom and Doom - “Granville's Golden Rule” Versus Conventional Wisdom / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Clif_Droke

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMarket forecaster Joe Granville was a colorful character in what has always been perceived as a staid and conservative business. The great stock market guru of the 1970s was known for his outlandish antics and prescient market forecasts.

He would often appear at lectures wearing garish costumes, including blinking bow ties, electrified sunglasses, togas, Elvis costumes and chicken outfits. Infamously, he was known for dropping his pants and reading stock quotes to surprised observers.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, January 25, 2008

The US Fed, Societe Generale Rogue Trader, William Poole, and Black Swans / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation

By: David_Urban

On Tuesday morning, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 75 basis points in response to a worldwide selloff. The selloff started on mounting fears that the United States has fallen into a recession. The mass fear became so great that the Federal Reserve felt compelled to act before next week's meeting in an attempt to restore confidence in the markets. In the press release, one governor, William Poole from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis voted against a move before next week's meeting. While his actions may leave some people scratching their heads, one needs to go to the website ( http://stlouisfed.org/default.cfm ), note the commentary on the left side of the page, and read the following speech ( http://stlouisfed.org/publications/re/2008/a/pages/inflation.html ).

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Stock-Markets

Friday, January 25, 2008

Stocks Secular Bear Market / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market

By: Zeal_LLC

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBack in early October when the benchmark S&P 500 stock index was hitting all-time highs, “bear” was a heretical four-letter word. Merely letting it roll off your tongue or spill from your pen offered a fast track to pariah status. In the best of times, people tend to forget that the worst of times are even possible anymore.

But after the most brutal new-year selloff in market history, investors and speculators are far more receptive to the usually taboo topic of stock bears. Most on Wall Street consider a bear market a 20% decline from the latest interim high. This week we came pretty darned close to a 20% slide in S&P 500 (SPX) terms.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, January 25, 2008

Institutional Selling Goes Opposite to Stock Market Direction / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Marty_Chenard

Every day, on our paid subscriber website, we show and rate 9 underlying fundamental conditions that are critical relative to rallies and corrections. 

This morning, we will share one of them with you ...  The rate and trend in Selling by Institutional Investors. 

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 24, 2008

The US Debt and Yen Carry Trade Unwinding Time Bomb is About to Explode! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Christopher_Laird

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSynthetic Dollar Short - Richard Russell and other gold writers talked about a ‘synthetic dollar short' based on debt in 04/5. The thesis is that overly indebted entities will face a day when their loans are called in, and the demand for dollars will rise dramatically, as assets are liquidated to pay off positions/debt.

The often discussed Yen carry trade has a similar mechanism, where lots of Yen have been borrowed for the last 10 years and invested in various markets that yield more than the half percent Japanese interest rates. Big and small investors have taken advantage of this more or less free money, riding the interest rate bonus with little risk – up to now.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 24, 2008

Investors Lose Relying On Worthless Rating Agencies - Moody's, Fitch and Standard & Poor's / Stock-Markets / Risk Analysis

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"The one sure way to prolong a depression is to resist it..." – Walter Lippmann, Sept. 1931

ISN'T MODERN LIFE MARVELLOUS? All risk has vanished, not least for high-risk behavior.

Hence Scott Anthony Gomez Jr., now suing the sheriff of Pueblo County in Colorado . Gomez was able to break out of his jail cell, push up a ceiling tile, and crawl to freedom through the ventilation shafts before slipping and falling 85 feet off the roof of his prison.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 24, 2008

Global Impact of the US Debt Implosion / Stock-Markets / US Debt

By: John_Lee

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe have written a series articles dating back to March 2007 tracking the US debt implosion, which are available here . The story started out in early 2007 with the blowout of Novastar and New Century, the multi-billion non-bank intermediary mortgage brokers. In summer of 2007 we witnessed the collapse of American Home Mortgage, America's largest subprime mortgage issuing bank. Then we saw a series of subprime write-offs amounting to hundreds of $ billions by banks, funds, and institutions around the world. Then the trouble moved up in the chain of the mortgage complex, with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac announcing surprising losses.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 23, 2008

Corporate Income Tax - Stock Market Investors Enemy Number Two / Stock-Markets / Investing

By: Steve_Selengut

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Investor's Eye view of politics is a simplistic, practical, dot-connecting approach to sorting things out so that win/win change can be considered. Real World politics is not concerned with such things, and that is one of the most serious problems facing investors today. As outlined in Investment Politics 2008, there are at least ten issues that require government action if we are to maintain our competitive position in the World Economy. Most of these are interrelated and need to be acted upon simultaneously... thus causing a major political dilemma.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 23, 2008

Financial Market Forecasts - Elliott Wave International Free Week Access is LIVE! / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article

Now Live ! - Access to Elliott Wave Internationals Premium Financial Markets, Commodities Forecasting Services

(No Strings Attached!)
From Wednesday, January 23 at noon (EST) to Wednesday, January 30 at noon (EST), The Market Oracle visitors can read the latest short, intermediate and long-term market analysis for FREE, from the world's largest market forecasting firm.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 23, 2008

Greenspan's Grand Design To Serve the Money Trust - Financial Tsunami Part III / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation

By: F_William_Engdahl

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Long-Term Greenspan Agenda
Seven years of Volcker monetary “shock therapy” had ignited a payments crisis across the Third World . Billions of dollars in recycled petrodollar debts loaned by major New York and London banks to finance oil imports after the oil price rises of the 1970's, suddenly became non-payable.

The stage was now set for the next phase in the Rockefeller financial deregulation agenda. It was to come in the form of a revolution in the very nature of what would be considered money—the Greenspan “New Finance” Revolution.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 23, 2008

Forecasts for U.S. Stock Markets, Bonds, Metals and more! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOne Week of Elliott Wave Internationals Financial Forecasts worth $80 for FREE

(No Strings Attached!)
From Wednesday, January 23 at noon (EST) to Wednesday, January 30 at noon (EST), The Market Oracle visitors can read the latest short, intermediate and long-term market analysis for FREE, from the world's largest market forecasting firm.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 23, 2008

Stock Market and Interest Rates Forecast 2008 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Ty_Andros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIntroduction
The first three weeks of the year started with a BANG and this is set to continue as the public servants wrestle with the consequences of their poor policies. And, instead of creating policies of wealth creation, the result to their decades-long policies of currency debasement and creeping socialism: “Temporary” stimulus plans, front and center with the various public servants trying to outbid each other as to the size of the package.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 23, 2008

Expert Views on the Stock Market Credit Crisis and Global Economy / Stock-Markets / Global Financial System

By: John_Mauldin

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis week we do something a little different in our Outside the Box. Every weekend I get a very information-filled blog called Investment Postcards from Cape Town ( http://www.investmentpostcards .com ) by Dr. Prieur du Plessis. In it he highlights what he thinks is the most important portion of the writings of 10 to 15 analysts from around the world on the state of the economy and investing, and summarizes the news and data. I find it very useful, as Prieur generally finds a lot of interesting pieces that I miss and go on to read in my effort to stay on top of the markets. You can subscribe on your own if you like by activating the subscription option on the blog.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 22, 2008

Long Nasdaq 100 Trust Shares - The Fed Rate Cut Must Succeed! / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: Mike_Paulenoff

So why am I net long the market here, in the form of the Q's -- Nasdaq 100 Trust Shares (Nasdaq: QQQQ)?

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 22, 2008

Use Short Bear Funds to Hedge Crashing Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Donald_W_Dony

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWith the introduction of the bear fund, analysts and investors have another very valuable tool to review the markets that was not available before. The use of fundamental analysis can provide investors with an inside look at the financial health of a company, its management skills and spot potential difficulties for the organization in the near future. Technical analysis allows the investor to review large numbers of securities, in different time frames, for profit opportunities, but normally only from one perspective; the buy side. The bear fund offers that mirrored image of a security that when used properly, can greatly expands the investors vantage point and provide valuable data that is not available through simple fundamental reviews or only buy-side technical analysis.

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